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GBP/JPY — Double Bottom (Sort of) on Weekly

February 19, 2012 (Last updated on May 17, 2012) by

GBP/JPY has formed a pattern that looks like a double bottom on its weekly Forex chart. It ends the descending trend wave that has started back in August 2009, which itself is a part of the longer downtrend with beginning in July 2007. The pattern isn’t perfect — the second bottom isn’t exactly on the same horizontal line as the first one, and the price haven’t rose to the initial point of the pattern yet, so it may still form symmetrical triangles, a continuation pattern. But, nonetheless, it’s a good a setup if you don’t jump into a trade right away.

I use the horizontal channel setup as the entry/exit system for this double bottom pattern. The borders of the “channel” are marked with the yellow lines on the image below. The entry points (cyan lines) are located at +/-10% of the “channel’s” height. Green lines show the probable targets of the breakout trades — they are located at +/-100% of the “channel’s” height. Stop-loss can be set to the low/high of the breakout bar or the bar preceding the breakout. You can click on the image to get the full-size chart:

GBP/JPY Double Bottom Pattern on Weekly Chart as of 2012-02-19

Update 2012-02-24: Buy order triggered at 128.48 with the stop-loss at 125.46 — low of the breakout weekly bar, not the trigger-bar but a bar before it. Target was set to 137.99.

Update 2012-05-17: After a long period of profitable trading, the position has been closed at 125.38 (8 pips below the initial stop-loss).

If you have any questions or comments regarding this GBP/JPY chart pattern, please feel free to reply via the form below.

4 Responses to “GBP/JPY — Double Bottom (Sort of) on Weekly”

  1. scalper

    yeah. looks like a double bottom. but its on weekly charts.. too long for waiting. what we can expect on short term?

    Reply

    admin Reply:

    I don’t look shorter than H4 and prefer only formed chart patterns. Weekly chart offers a lot of pips for potential profit relatively to the spread.

    Reply

  2. Ken

    The larger the time frame the bigger potential profit. ´Patience is a virtue´ especially in trading. Would you rather enter 20 scalp trades in a day and be killed by the spread and end of with a loss or breakeven at best (dependent on your strategy) or focus on longer term trades, good risk levels and long term turning points? My view is the latter.

    Reply

    admin Reply:

    My point exactly :-). The problem is that long-term opportunities don’t arise too often.

    Reply

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