FreshForex broker

[Muhammadalby]

Freshforex is the number 1 trusted and great broker that I have ever met so far. Trading with this broker is safe and successful. Withdrawals are safe and fast to the account. Until now, I still use this broker. Spreads are low and commissions are as thin as tissue paper. Thank you, Freshforex. Smooth and successful always.

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for November 26, 2025 USDJPY​

Event to watch today:

15:30 EET. USD – Initial Jobless Claims

USDJPY:

For our readers only—202% bonus on deposits from $202; mention promo code WINх2 in support and trade with TRIPLED capital; details via the link.

​

The yen is strengthening on Wednesday, 26 November 2025, following reports that the Bank of Japan is prepared to consider a rate hike as early as December and amid discussions of measures aimed at containing inflation risks. The narrowing of rate‑expectations differentials with the US is reducing the appeal of long USD/JPY positions, while the possibility of official comments on the FX market during a low‑liquidity period is deterring participants from increasing USD/JPY longs.

Additional pressure on the dollar comes from the increased likelihood of Fed easing in December and from soft US data in recent days. Lower US yields and a correction in global risk appetite are reducing the carry premium, which is traditionally negative for the pair.

Key opposing risks are unexpectedly strong US figures or a postponement of expectations for a rate hike in Japan. However, given the current news balance, the base case is for a gradual decline in USD/JPY, making shorts from 155.80 towards 154.90 justified under moderate risk limits.

Trading idea: SELL 155.80, SL 156.10, TP 154.90

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for Novermber 27, 2025 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 4077.14-4127.14, TP1-4177.14, TP2-4303.54.

For our readers only—202% bonus on deposits from $202; mention promo code WINх2 in support and trade with TRIPLED capital; details via the link.​

• Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The maximum volume cluster of the current contract is located in the 4140.00–4180.00 range. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being executed within this range, which indicates temporary uncertainty. XAUUSD: BUY 4077.14-4127.14, TP1-4177.14, TP2-4303.54.

​

• Medium-term trend: upward. The maximum volume cluster of the medium-term trend is located in the 4130.00-4145.00 range. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being executed above this range, which indicates buyer strength.

• The area of favorable buying prices from the standpoint of margin provision is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the 26.11.2025 high.

• Quotation of the upper boundary of the 1/4 zone – 4127.14.

• Quotation of the upper boundary of the 1/2 zone – 4077.14.

• Intraday targets: renewal of the 26.11.2025 highs – 4177.14.

• Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the NKZ – 4303.54. XAUUSD: BUY 4077.14-4127.14, TP1-4177.14, TP2-4303.54.

​

• Trading recommendations: buying from the favorable-price range upon the formation of a reversal pattern.

• Buy: 4077.14-4127.14, Take Profit 1–4177.14, Take Profit 2–4303.54.

Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for November 28, 2025 GBPUSD​

GBPUSD:

For our readers only—202% bonus on deposits from $202; mention promo code WINх2 in support and trade with TRIPLED capital; details via the link.

​

Sterling is holding just above 1.31, but momentum has faded: after the budget releases, the debate over the medium-term sustainability of the UK’s public finances and weak productivity remains central. The Bank of England’s messaging allows for a prolonged hold at current rates amid cooling domestic demand, which limits the currency’s room to strengthen. Fresh assessments point to a fragile labor market and pressure on real household incomes.

The external backdrop is also unfriendly to a sustained GBP rise: with uncertainty around the Fed path persisting, the dollar is supported by quality flows, while the yield differential remains unfavorable for the UK currency. In addition, risk sentiment is choppy on global headlines and noise, which traditionally boosts demand for USD during risk-off episodes.

Given the mix of domestic and external factors, the pair is vulnerable to a downside correction: if risk appetite softens and BoE expectations are repriced, a return toward 1.30 looks likely. A tactical sell from 1.3145 with a stop at 1.3195 and a target at 1.2995 is preferred—these parameters reflect current volatility and allow the scenario of renewed dollar demand on adverse news to play out.

Trade idea: SELL 1.3145, SL 1.3195, TP 1.2995

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 5 December 2025​

XAUUSD: BUY 4220.00, SL 4175.00, TP 4355.00

Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim

​

Gold enters the week at elevated levels, with demand for safe-haven assets supported by a softer dollar and a high probability of an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut. Lower U.S. Treasury yields and broader expectations of easier credit conditions in the United States reduce the opportunity cost of holding the metal. Additional support comes from steady official-sector purchases and inflows into gold-linked products, while sentiment across equity markets remains mixed and keeps interest in defensive assets intact.

At the start of the week, spot prices hold above $4,200 per ounce and the news backdrop remains favorable: markets are pricing a strong chance of a December cut and responding to swings in the dollar. Over the short horizon the balance of drivers stays constructive: the combination of easier-policy expectations, a weak dollar and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty supports demand for gold and allows room for further gains after measured pullbacks.

Trade recommendation: BUY 4220.00, SL 4175.00, TP 4355.00

#SP500: BUY 6820, SL 6710, TP 7050

​

U.S. equities begin the week near record highs, remaining sensitive to Federal Reserve communication and the macro data flow. Expectations of policy easing in December support the valuation of future earnings and discount rates, which benefits rate-sensitive sectors and areas tied to investment cycles, including AI-related spending. While a mildly negative tone in parts of Asia and some company-specific headlines linger, they do not alter the broadly constructive view on U.S. corporate profitability.

The index also benefits from a lower premium on dollar liquidity and stabilizing inflation expectations, which bolster risk appetite and encourage allocations into broad benchmarks. Risks stem from unexpectedly firm central-bank messaging and any reassessment of the earnings trajectory, yet under a base case of a gentle Fed stance and neutral data, demand for equities remains resilient through the week.

Trade recommendation: BUY 6820, SL 6710, TP 7050

#BRENT: BUY 62.50, SL 60.00, TP 67.50

​

Brent starts the week firmer after signals from producer alliances about maintaining current output parameters and amid headlines of localized supply disruptions. The market is shifting attention from prior oversupply concerns to logistics and export risks, which reintroduces a risk premium into prices. Expectations of a softer U.S. policy stance also improve the broader environment for commodities by supporting risk sentiment and growth-sensitive assets.

Looking ahead, the medium-term path will hinge on U.S. demand and inventory prints, as well as updated balances from the major agencies. For now, the mix of stable producer policy, episodic news about infrastructure and transport, and a weaker dollar creates conditions for a gradual recovery in prices beyond current levels, while volatility may remain elevated around data releases.

Trade recommendation: BUY 62.50, SL 60.00, TP 67.50

Deposit funds into your account and receive up to 15% in your balance on your first deposit. The additional funds will be used for trading, increasing trading volumes and helping to withstand drawdowns.

You can find more analytical information on our website​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for December 2, 2025 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 4163.17-4213.17, TP1-4263.17, TP2-4398.47.

Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim​

• Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The maximum concentration of current contract volumes is located in the range of 4150.00–4180.00. Currently, investment transactions on XAUUSD are being made above the specified range, which indicates the strength of buyers. XAUUSD: BUY 4163.17-4213.17, TP1-4263.17, TP2-4398.47.

• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of medium-term trend volumes is located in the range of 4159.00-4172.00. Currently, investment transactions are being made above this range for XAUUSD, which indicates the strength of buyers.

• The area of favorable prices for buying from the point of view of margin coverage is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the maximum of 01.12.2025.

• The upper border of zone 1/4 is quoted at 4213.17.

• The upper limit of zone 1/2 is quoted at 4163.17.

• Intraday targets: updating the highs from 01.12.2025–4263.17.

• Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of SNKZ-4398.47.XAUUSD: BUY 4163.17-4213.17, TP1-4263.17, TP2-4398.47.

• Trading recommendations: buy from the range of favorable prices when a reversal pattern forms.

• Buy: 4163.17–4213.17, Take Profit 1–4263.17, Take Profit 2–4398.47.

Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for December 3, 2025 USDJPY​

Event to watch today:

15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change

17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services Business Activity Index

USDJPY:

Pre-New Year bonus of 126% on deposits from $260. Hurry up and take advantage of this offer—the program is valid for a limited time only! Terms apply.

​

The yen is strengthening on Wednesday, 26 November 2025, following reports that the Bank of Japan is prepared to consider a rate hike as early as December and amid discussions of measures aimed at containing inflation risks. The narrowing of rate‑expectations differentials with the US is reducing the appeal of long USD/JPY positions, while the possibility of official comments on the FX market during a low‑liquidity period is deterring participants from increasing USD/JPY longs.

A modest improvement in risk appetite following well-received JGB auctions reduces demand for the dollar as a refuge and supports a yen recovery. Additionally, year-end seasonality—repatriation flows and exporters’ dollar selling—strengthens resistance to further USDJPY gains, especially in the absence of fresh, strong U.S. drivers.

Risks to short positions include a sudden rebound in U.S. yields or signs that Japan’s normalization is delayed, which could push the pair back above 156. Even so, the balance of factors (yield spread, BoJ policy, seasonal yen support) favors selling on rallies with predefined loss limits.

Trading recommendation: SELL 155.55, SL 155.85, TP 154.65

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for December 4, 2025 BTCUSD.​

BTCUSD: SELL 93000, SL 94100, TP 79500.

Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim

​

During the past trading day, nothing significantly important happened with this pair. After strong growth, the price paused and spent the entire trading day moving sideways, choosing the direction for further movement.

The considered scenario assumes the development of corrective wave 4, so from the current price levels, a downward movement is expected. The potential is quite good, so this should be taken into account.

Short positions can be opened at current market levels and held until the price updates the low set by the presumed wave 3, in order to capture the movement within wave 5 of (iii).

Investment idea: SELL 93000, SL 94100, TP 79500.

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Top winners in the stock market​

Recently, the shares of Marvell Technology Inc (#Marvel), Dell Technologies Inc (#Dell), Uber Technologies Inc (#Uber), Coinbase Global Inc (#Coinbase), and Palantir Technologies Inc (#Palantir) have risen amid increasing demand for products essential to artificial intelligence — chips, servers, and software.

Key triggers:

• Strong industry news: companies producing chips and servers reported results above expectations and signaled further growth.
• Uber’s launch of robotaxi services.
• A surge in crypto activity at the end of November.

Pre-New Year Bonus: 126% on deposits starting from $260. Hurry — the offer is available for a limited time! Terms apply.

​

Five Growth Drivers

• #Marvel (+21.2%) — a surge following earnings and the acquisition of Celestial AI (developer of optical solutions for AI) for ~$3.25 billion, paired with an optimistic outlook for next year.
• #Dell (+12.9%) — raised its guidance thanks to soaring demand for AI servers and a record number of confirmed orders.
• #Uber (+8.5%) — shares gained after the launch of robotaxi services in Dallas in partnership with Avride, signaling a new stage of autonomous ride scaling.
• #Coinbase (+7.1%) — a rebound in late November driven by increased crypto volatility and trading volumes (Coinbase profits from trading activity).
• #Palantir (+7.2%) — supported by a strong Q4 outlook and continued demand for its AI platform; enthusiasm in the AI sector fueled additional momentum.

Strong fundamental drivers for #Marvel / #Dell (AI infrastructure) and #Palantir (contracts + commercial AI) create solid ground for the trend to continue. #Uber gains fresh momentum from robotaxi expansion, and #Coinbase stands to benefit further if elevated crypto activity and higher trading volumes persist.

FreshForex analysts see continued growth potential for #Marvel, #Dell, #Uber, #Coinbase, and #Palantir, supported by rising demand for AI solutions and digital infrastructure.
As long as no concrete industry issues arise (such as delays or cancellations of major AI-hardware orders, or chip supply disruptions), these stocks retain strong upward prospects.

Choose from more than 250 instruments in the trading terminal — including CFDs on indices and stocks — and activate the Pre-New Year 126% Bonus on deposits from $260.

Profit from stocks​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 12 December 2025​

XAUUSD: BUY 4215.50, SL 4195.00, TP 4337.00​

Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim

​

Gold enters the week supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and a weaker dollar. The spot price is holding around 4,215 per ounce as of Monday morning. The market assigns a high probability to a rate reduction already at the December meeting, which lowers real yields and increases the appeal of non-yielding safe-haven assets. An additional backdrop is the continued interest from the official sector: according to professional organizations, central banks are maintaining net purchases and, overall, intend to build up gold reserves.

On a one-week horizon, the base case for XAUUSD remains constructive: potential monetary easing in the United States, a cautious tone in assessing the economy, and elevated uncertainty support demand for this “quiet” asset. Risks to the upside scenario include a tougher-than-expected Fed statement, unexpectedly strong U.S. data, a stronger dollar, and profit-taking after new highs. As a tactic, we suggest buying at 4,215.50, with a protective stop at 4,195.00 and a target area at 4,337.00.

Trading recommendation: BUY 4215.50, SL 4195.00, TP 4337.00

#SP500: BUY 6870, SL 6830, TP 7140​

​

The U.S. equity market approaches the week of a key Fed decision near record levels: the index is fluctuating around 6,870. A cut in the policy rate would increase the economy’s sensitivity to investment stimuli and ease financing conditions, which typically supports large-cap stocks. Another factor is resilient earnings expectations in sectors investing in digital infrastructure and automation. On the news front, a series of corporate reports and comments from Fed leadership will set the tone for the coming weeks.

Key risks to further gains include a future rate path that proves higher than participants expect, signs of cooling consumer activity, and potential margin pressure from costs. Even so, if the course toward monetary easing is confirmed, the base case is moderate further upside. The tactic is to buy from 6,870 with protection at 6,830 and a target of 7,140.

Trading recommendation: BUY 6870, SL 6830, TP 7140

#BRENT: BUY 63.80, SL 63.30, TP 69.80​

​

Brent crude begins the week around 63.80 per barrel amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and supply-related headlines. The likelihood of monetary easing in the United States supports the outlook for future energy demand. On the supply side, sporadic disruptions and OPEC+ caution in ramping up output persist, while high-frequency data indicate fluctuations in actual shipments from certain countries. In parallel, foreign-trade statistics for major consumers signal heavy import loads toward year-end.

On a one-week horizon, the balance of factors looks moderately supportive for prices: the combination of rate expectations, supply news, and cross-border constraints in commodity trade keeps a risk premium in place. Risks to the upside scenario include an acceleration in global production in 2025–2026, weak inventory data, and possible de-escalation of geopolitical threats, which would quickly remove the fear component from prices. We suggest a Brent buying tactic with entry at 63.80, a stop at 63.30, and a target at 69.80.

Trading recommendation: BUY 63.80, SL 63.30, TP 69.80

Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for December 9, 2025 #NQ100.​

#NQ100: BUY 25850, SL 25510, TP 27500.

Pre-New Year bonus of 126% on deposits from $260. Hurry up and take advantage of this offer—the program is valid for a limited time only! Terms apply.

​

The nature of price movement during the past trading day has not changed. The index continues to show reduced volatility, remaining within the same price range.

However, if you look closely, a slight upward dynamic can be noticed, although it does not indicate anything significant. The index is waiting for news that could finally move the situation forward.

It is still expected that eventually we will see upward movement completing the development of the final wave (v) of the long-lasting bullish impulse. This rise will lead to another renewal of the historical high, although the timing remains uncertain.

In this situation, buying remains an option, or one may wait for activity to begin and act according to the unfolding events.

Investment idea: BUY 25850, SL 25510, TP 27500.

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for December 10, 2025 GBPUSD​

Event to watch today:

10.12 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision

GBPUSD:

Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim

​

Sterling holds just above 1.33, but momentum is capped: the focus is the Fed decision and subsequent signals from the Bank of England. The market has priced a December U.S. cut, so the reaction of the pound depends on guidance for 2026. If the Fed underscores caution and data dependence, demand for the dollar can firm, acting as a headwind for GBP.

In the U.K., growth remains sluggish, the consumer is under pressure, and business activity lacks sustained acceleration. MPC members’ remarks are mixed, but the overarching message balances inflation risks against a sensitive economy. That limits the chance the BoE can quickly diverge from the global easing tilt if data deteriorate.

The external position also matters: the trade deficit and reliance on global financial conditions keep the pound sensitive to swings in the dollar and U.S. yields. Overall, the current set of fundamental drivers supports short positions in the pair if the dollar strengthens after the Fed, especially should U.S. indicators confirm resilient employment and moderating inflation.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3300, SL 1.3330, TP 1.3210

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for December 11, 2025 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 4170.10-4220.10, TP1-4270.10, TP2-4403.30.

Pre-New Year bonus of 126% on deposits from $260. Hurry up and take advantage of this offer—the program is valid for a limited time only! Terms apply​

• Long-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation for the current contract is in the range of 4180.00-4230.00. Currently, investment transactions are being executed on XAUUSD within this range, indicating time uncertainty.

• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation for the medium-term trend is in the range of 4159.00-4172.00. Currently, investment transactions are being executed on XAUUSD above this range, indicating buying power.

• The area of favorable buying prices in terms of margin is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2, built from the high of December 1, 2025.

• The upper boundary of zone 1/4 is 4220.10.

• The upper boundary of zone 1/2 is 4170.10.

• Intraday targets: renewing the highs of December 1, 2025, at 4270.10.

• Medium-term targets: testing the lower boundary of the SNKZ-4403.30.

• Trading recommendations: buy from within the favorable price range when a reversal pattern forms.

• Buy: 4170.10–4220.10, Take Profit 1–4270.10, Take Profit 2–4403.30.

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for December 12, 2025 USDJPY​

USDJPY:

​

On December 12, USDJPY is hovering near 155.70, but the balance of factors is shifting in favor of the yen after weaker US labor-market data and the Fed’s rate cut. When expectations for yields on dollar assets decline, investors more often reassess long dollar positions, making the pair more sensitive to any negative signals from the US.

The yen is also supported by growing confidence that the Bank of Japan may proceed with further policy normalization at one of the upcoming meetings if inflation and wage dynamics remain steady. Against this backdrop, the gap in rate expectations between the US and Japan narrows, which improves the yen’s appeal and boosts demand during periods of deteriorating global sentiment.

During the day, the main drivers for USDJPY will be fresh US data and Fed commentary, as well as remarks from Japanese officials regarding the pace of policy normalization. If weak US indicators persist, the likelihood of continued downside increases; stronger US numbers, on the other hand, could prompt a short-term dollar bounce.

Trading recommendation: SELL 155.70, SL 156.20, TP 154.20

Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 19 December 2025​

XAUUSD: BUY 4327.20, SL 4300.00, TP 4420.00​

Pre-New Year bonus of 126% on deposits from $260. Hurry up and take advantage of this offer—the program is valid for a limited time only! Terms apply

​

Gold enters the week of December 15–19, 2025 near record highs, with prices holding around $4,327 per ounce. The main support comes from expectations of lower US rates following the Federal Reserve’s December rate cut, as well as the market’s sensitivity to any signs of slowing growth. Demand is also reinforced by risk-off sentiment linked to geopolitical tensions and news about broader investor access to gold via funds in major markets.

For the week ahead, the key drivers are fresh US macro data and decisions from leading central banks. If US bond yields and the dollar keep easing, interest in gold is likely to remain strong. A restraining scenario would be the opposite: stronger US data that pushes the dollar and yields higher. In the base case, gold looks resilient, but headline-driven volatility may stay elevated.

Trading recommendation: BUY 4327.20, SL 4300.00, TP 4420.00

#SP500: BUY 6846, SL 6780, TP 7040​

​

US equities start the week with mixed sentiment: after sharp moves in some technology names, investors are becoming more selective, but the broader backdrop remains supportive. S&P 500 futures hover near 6,846, and the focus is on the rate path and the health of the US economy. The recent Fed rate cut helps expectations for lower financing costs and supports risk appetite.

This week’s spotlight is on a heavy central-bank calendar (including Japan, the UK, and the euro area) and key US releases (some statistics are published with delays), which can quickly shift positioning. A constructive scenario for the index is the absence of negative surprises on inflation and jobs alongside expectations of a more accommodative policy stance later on. Risks to the upside include a sudden deterioration in the external backdrop or renewed concerns about stretched valuations in parts of the market.

Trading recommendation: BUY 6846, SL 6780, TP 7040

#BRENT: SELL 61.44, SL 62.10, TP 59.40​

​

Brent opens the week around $61.44 per barrel. In the near term, prices are supported by supply-disruption risks — notably around Venezuela, sanctions constraints, and isolated attacks on oil infrastructure. Such headlines can trigger quick spikes higher even when demand is not particularly strong.

However, fundamentally, the week’s dominant theme is excess supply and rising inventories. A number of international assessments and US outlooks point to a risk of market surplus in 2026 and downside pressure on prices if current production levels persist. In practice, this means rallies may more often meet selling interest, and the market could react sharply to any signals of weaker demand or higher supply. As a result, the baseline bias for the week is mildly negative, with volatility likely to remain elevated.

Trading recommendation: SELL 61.44, SL 62.10, TP 59.40

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for December 16, 2025 BTCUSD​

BTCUSD: SELL 85000, SL 87300, TP 79500

Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim

​

The situation for the analyzed asset continues to develop according to the previously outlined plan. It is worth recalling that a bearish impulse is likely unfolding, in which wave (iii) is presumably an extended one.

Within this extension, wave 4 has completed its development, taking the form of a contracting horizontal triangle, and the price is now moving downward, intending to form the next wave.

Potentially, the decline looks very promising and attractive for selling at current market levels. The expected target for this move lies around 80,000 and below.

Investment idea: SELL 85000, SL 87300, TP 79500.

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for December 17, 2025 EURUSD​

EURUSD:
​

Pre-New Year bonus of 126% on deposits from $260. Hurry up and take advantage of this offer—the program is valid for a limited time only! Terms apply

​

EUR/USD is holding near 1.1750: the US dollar remains vulnerable due to uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s next steps. The latest labor market data showed moderate job growth and rising unemployment, and disruptions in the work of some government agencies may have distorted certain indicators, so market participants are assessing the state of the US economy more cautiously.

The focus shifts to fresh US inflation data and comments from Fed officials. Weaker figures would strengthen expectations of a rate cut and could weigh on the dollar, while faster inflation would restore demand for the US currency. Additional influence comes from moves in US Treasury yields and demand for safe-haven assets amid the geopolitical backdrop.

In the euro area, the key factor remains the European Central Bank’s stance: markets are watching whether the regulator confirms its intention to keep policy steady and how it assesses inflation and business activity. If the ECB signals there is no rush to cut rates, the euro will stay supported; however, volatility may rise noticeably ahead of US releases.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1750, SL 1.1730, TP 1.1840

Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for December 18, 2025 BTCUSD.​

BTCUSD: SELL 93000, SL 94100, TP 79500.​

Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim

​

The cryptocurrency remains under strong bearish pressure. An attempt to improve the situation brought no positive results. The sharply increased buying activity was immediately absorbed, and the price returned to the local low.

In the near term, we will likely see a continuation of the decline. This is driven by the development of the final wave (v) of the bearish impulse. As a result, the completion of this impulse is expected, followed by preparation for an upward move, which will most likely be corrective in nature.

Therefore, for now it is worth continuing to trade from the short side, holding previously opened short positions.

Investment idea: SELL 84950, SL 87500, TP 79500.

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Energy market cools down: oil and gas under pressure​

​

Over the past three months, global prices for oil (#BRENT/#WTI) and gas (#GAS) have declined noticeably. Benchmark oil grades Brent and WTI have lost around 11–12%, ending the year near multi-month lows. U.S. natural gas has also entered a correction after a strong rally at the start of the winter season.

Pre-New Year Bonus: 126% bonus on deposits from $260. Don’t miss out — the offer is available for a limited time! Terms apply.

​

Factors Behind the Decline:

• #BRENT — U.S. production is at record levels, supplies from Brazil and other countries are rising, and some African oil remains unsold for extended periods. As a result, Brent struggles to stay above $60, with any price rebound quickly sold off.
• #WTI — Economic and fuel demand forecasts have weakened, while crude oil and fuel inventories continue to grow, making WTI more vulnerable to selling on pullbacks.
• #GAS — In autumn, gas prices surged on colder weather forecasts and record exports, but later forecasts turned milder, production stayed high, and inventories remained sufficient — leading to a price correction.

Brent and WTI are ending the year amid a clear supply surplus: record U.S. output and rising supplies from other regions prevent prices from holding above recent levels, while OPEC+ has not yet moved toward aggressive production cuts. This suggests that the risk of a gradual further decline in oil prices may persist into early next year.

The gas market follows the same logic: high production, well-filled storage facilities, and a relatively mild winter create room for prices to move lower after the recent rally. Altogether, this makes #BRENT, #WTI, and #GAS vulnerable to a continuation of the correction unless there is an unexpected surge in demand or a sharp supply disruption.

FreshForex analysts note that in the coming months, the price trajectory of oil (#Brent/#WTI) and natural gas (#GAS) will largely depend on whether the supply surplus persists, how the global economy develops, and whether expectations of a mild winter are confirmed. In such an environment, investors and traders are advised to maintain strict risk management and closely monitor news from the commodity markets.

Our trading terminal offers 250+ instruments, including CFDs on stocks, indices, and crypto assets. Follow the trends and earn — new clients can receive a 126% bonus on deposits from $260.​

Profit from the decline​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 26 December 2025​

XAUUSD: BUY 4397.16, SL 4387.16, TP 4427.16​

226% Christmas bonus on deposits from $300. Enter the promo code XMAS26 in your Personal Account and take part! Terms apply

​

Gold starts the week near record highs: as of December 22, XAUUSD is hovering around 4397.16. Support comes from expectations of lower U.S. interest rates in 2026 and safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty and a softer U.S. dollar.

This week, interest in gold may strengthen if U.S. data on growth and inflation come in softer, and if headlines point to continued central-bank buying. On the other hand, year-end profit-taking and thin holiday liquidity may limit the upside.

Trading recommendation: BUY 4397.16, SL 4387.16, TP 4427.16

#SP500: BUY 6835, SL 6815, TP 6895​

​

#SP500 enters the week near 6835 points as investors reassess the Fed’s 2026 rate path and aim for a calm year-end finish. Sentiment is also supported by renewed demand for large-cap stocks, which carry the biggest weight in the index.

With a shortened week, market reactions to U.S. releases can be sharper—especially GDP updates, corporate orders, and consumer confidence. Strong figures would support revenue expectations, while softer data could reinforce bets on policy easing, which often also supports equities.

Trading recommendation: BUY 6835, SL 6815, TP 6895

#BRENT: SELL 60.93, SL 61.43, TP 59.43​

​

#BRENT starts the week around 60.93 per barrel. In the short term, supply-risk headlines may provide support, but the market is still focused on the possibility of oversupply in 2026 and rising output from producers outside coordinated agreements.

Pressure may increase if new assessments confirm softer demand and elevated inventories. At the same time, any fresh geopolitical developments can trigger sharp but brief spikes, so the key driver remains the broader supply-demand balance.

Trading recommendation: SELL 60.93, SL 61.43, TP 59.43

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​