FreshForex broker

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for February 5, 2026 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 4880.86-4986.86, TP1-5092.86, TP2-5462.46.

Bonus +15% added to your balance on deposits from $150. Enter promo code SILVER26 in your Personal Area and join!​

• Long-term trend: long-term. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range of 4850.00–4930.00 quotes. At the moment, XAUUSD investment transactions are carried out within the specified range, which indicates a temporary uncertainty.

​

• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the medium-term trend is located in the range of 4900.00-4930.00 quotes. At the moment, XAUUSD investment transactions are carried out below the specified range, which indicates the weakness of buyers.

• The area of favorable purchase prices in terms of margin provision is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the maximum on 02/04/2026.

• Quote of the upper limit of the 1/4 zone–4986.86.

• The quote of the upper limit of the 1/2 zone is 4880.86.

• Intraday targets: updating the highs from 02/04/2026–5092.86.

• Medium-term goals: the test of the lower limit of the GNKZ is 5462.46.

​

• Trading recommendations: purchases from a range of favorable prices during the formation of a reversal pattern.

• Buy: 4880.86–4986.86, Take Profit 1–5092.86, Take Profit 2–5462.46.

Up to $20 for each lot with real funds - get guaranteed income by activating the Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 13 February 2026​

XAUUSD: SELL 5020.00, SL 5060.00, TP 4895.00​

Get a +15% balance bonus on deposits from $150. Enter the promo code SILVER26 in your Client Area and join in!

​

Gold starts the week near $5,020 per ounce after sharp swings. Investors are partly moving into safe assets due to uncertainty around U.S. economic policy and delays in key statistics, which supports the price, but a stronger U.S. dollar could quickly reduce demand.

This week, the postponed employment report is due on February 11 and the Consumer Price Index on February 13. If the data comes in strong, expectations of keeping interest rates high may increase and gold could decline; therefore, the base case is downward pressure on prices.

Trading recommendation: SELL 5020.00, SL 5060.00, TP 4895.00

#SP500: SELL 6935, SL 6995, TP 6755​

​

The S&P 500 enters the week near 6,930 points after a sharp rebound late last week. Support comes from expectations of easier monetary conditions in 2026 and solid corporate results, but the market is becoming more sensitive to inflation and interest-rate news, as well as to re-pricing of risks in major technology companies.

Key releases this week include retail sales on February 10, the employment report on February 11, and inflation data on February 13—dates that were shifted due to a pause in U.S. government operations. If the figures come in above expectations, yields may rise and that would increase pressure on equities.

Trading recommendation: SELL 6935, SL 6995, TP 6755

#BRENT: SELL 67.50, SL 69.00, TP 63.00​

​

Brent is holding around $67.5 per barrel: part of the geopolitical premium is fading amid continued U.S.–Iran talks, but supply risks and the sanctions agenda remain in place. The market is also factoring in OPEC+ maintaining output without an increase at least until March.

This week, the focus is on reports: the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s short-term outlook on February 10, weekly inventories on February 11, OPEC’s report on February 11, and the International Energy Agency’s review on February 12. If they confirm rising supply alongside moderate demand, pressure on oil could intensify.

Trading recommendation: SELL 67.50, SL 69.00, TP 63.00

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Let’s bring the spread back!​

​

We’re bringing the spread back with a DOUBLE CASHBACK promotion across three schemes:

• Scheme 1: USD 40 (USD 4 on ECN 5) per 1 trading lot on closed losing trades.
• Scheme 2: USD 20 (USD 2 on ECN 5) per 1 trading lot on closed profitable trades.
• Scheme 3: USD 10 (USD 1 on ECN 5) per 1 trading lot on all closed trades.

Hurry up and activate it! The offer is valid for one reporting week only — from February 9 to February 14, 2026.

How to participate:

1. Make a deposit of $100 or more during the promotion period.
2. Activate the SPREAD100 promo code via live chat with Support.
3. Make sure your account is connected to the CASHBACK promotion.
4. DONE! Trade with CASHBACK and receive 2× rewards!

Deposit funds​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Return 50% of the swap to the BALANCE!​

​

Want to cut your SWAP costs with the SWAP50 promo code?

Here are your steps:

1.Deposit $500 or more to any account in February.

2. Activate the SWAP50 promo code via support chat.

3.DONE! Once activated, we will reimburse 50% of negative swaps directly to your BALANCE across all accounts.

Hurry! The swap compensation applies from the moment of activation until the end of February!

Note: Compensation will not be credited if a withdrawal request is submitted in the Client Area between the promo code activation and February 28, 2026 (inclusive).

Make a deposit​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for February 13, 2026 USDJPY​

Event to watch today:

15:30 EET. USD – Consumer Price Index (CPI)

15:30 EET. USD – Core Consumer Price Index (CPI excluding food and energy)

USDJPY:

Return 50% of the negative swap! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until the end of February. Activation: top up any account starting from $500 and write to the SWAP50 support chat. Details

​

On Friday, February 13, USD/JPY is fluctuating near 153.10, as Japan’s yen strengthened amid a reassessment of political risks and a reduction in bets against the local currency. After the election, investors view fiscal policy as more predictable, and rising interest in Japanese assets is supporting demand for the yen.

From the U.S. side, the key trigger for the day remains inflation data. If price growth comes in above forecasts, expectations of a longer period of higher rates could restore support for the dollar and temporarily limit the yen’s strengthening. However, a softer inflation picture would strengthen expectations for a rate cut closer to mid-year and increase the likelihood that the pair continues to decline, so the market is pricing in elevated volatility.

Signals from Japanese officials also matter: authorities are closely monitoring sharp exchange-rate swings, and any verbal response can quickly shift sentiment. Combined with higher demand for defensive instruments in global markets, this creates a foundation for a stronger yen, while attempts by the dollar to recover will depend on whether U.S. data confirm persistent inflation.

Trading recommendation: SELL 153.10, SL 153.25, TP 152.05

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 20 February 2026​

XAUUSD: BUY 5000.00, SL 4985.00, TP 5045.00​

Return 50% of the negative swap! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until the end of February. Activation: deposit any amount from $500 and write to SWAP50 support chat. Details

​

Gold starts the week near $5,000 per ounce. The market is supported by expectations of lower US interest rates after softer inflation data, as well as steady demand from major buyers, including central banks and China.

Limiting factors include a potential rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking after sharp moves. Still, if global political uncertainty persists and US Treasury yields ease further, demand for gold may remain firm.

Trading recommendation: BUY 5000.00, SL 4985.00, TP 5045.00

#SP500: BUY 6840, SL 6810, TP 6930​

​

The #SP500 is holding near 6,836 points. Expectations of policy easing by the Federal Reserve later in 2026 are reducing rate pressure and supporting demand for equities. Investors are watching US macro releases and major corporate earnings, which are likely to set the tone for the week.

Risks include weaker consumption data or unexpected signals from the Fed, which could raise investor caution and trigger short-term selling. The baseline backdrop remains supportive if yields continue to decline and earnings confirm resilient profit growth.

Trading recommendation: BUY 6840, SL 6810, TP 6930

#BRENT: SELL 67.80, SL 68.60, TP 65.40​

​

Brent crude starts the week around $67.8 per barrel. The market is weighing US–Iran talks and the possibility of higher supply, alongside fresh assessments pointing to slower global demand growth. These factors are limiting the upside.

Additional pressure comes from expectations that OPEC+ may resume increasing output and from US inventory data. Geopolitical headlines can still cause brief spikes, but the base case for the week is a moderate decline unless new supply disruptions emerge.

Trading recommendation: SELL 67.80, SL 68.60, TP 65.40

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for February 17, 2026 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 4903.90-5014.60, TP1-5125.40, TP2-5537.10

Return 50% of the negative swap! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until the end of February. Activation: deposit any amount from $500 and write to SWAP50 support chat. Details​

Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range of 5050.00–5100.00. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out below the specified range, which indicates the weakness of buyers.

​

Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of medium-term trend volumes is located in the range of 5010.00-5030.00. Currently, investment transactions on XAUUSD are being carried out below this range, which indicates weakness among buyers.

The area of favorable prices for buying from the point of view of margin coverage is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the maximum of 11.02.2026.

The upper limit of zone 1/4 is quoted at 5014.60.

The upper limit of zone 1/2 is quoted at 4903.90.

Intraday targets: renewal of highs from 11.02.2026–5125.40.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower limit of SNKZ-5537.10.

​

Trading recommendations: buy from the range of favorable prices when a reversal pattern forms.

Buy: 4903.90–5014.60, Take Profit 1–5125.40, Take Profit 2–5537.10.

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for February 18, 2026 USDJPY​

Event to watch today:

18.02 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes

USDJPY:

Return 50% of the negative swap! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until the end of February. Activation: deposit any amount from $500 and write to SWAP50 support chat. Details

​

USD/JPY is holding around 153.5, but fundamental factors in favor of the yen have strengthened after the release of strong Japanese export data: external demand supported trade performance, increasing interest in the Japanese currency. At the time of writing, the pair is fluctuating in the 153.1–153.7 area, while the market is assessing how durable this macro support will be.

Stronger exports and improvement in selected business-confidence indicators increase the probability that the Bank of Japan will continue a cautious normalization of monetary conditions. Even without abrupt moves, the prospect of a gradual shift toward higher rates supports the yen’s appeal and can cap USD/JPY, especially if expectations for rate cuts in the US intensify again.

Another key driver today is the Fed meeting minutes. If the market sees grounds in the text for earlier policy easing in the US, the dollar may weaken while the yen strengthens. Overall, the combination of solid Japanese external trade data and heightened focus on Fed signals creates conditions for USD/JPY to drift lower in the coming sessions.

Trading recommendation: SELL 153.50, SL 154.00, TP 152.00

Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for February 19, 2026 #NQ100​

#NQ100: SELL 24657.4-24934.9, TP1-24379.9, TP2-23731.2

Return 50% of the negative swap! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until the end of February. Activation: deposit any amount from $500 and write to SWAP50 support chat. Details​

Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The maximum concentration of current contract volumes is located in the range of 25500.0–25750.0. At the moment, investment transactions on #NQ100 are being carried out below the specified range, which indicates the strength of sellers.



Medium-term trend: short. The maximum concentration of medium-term trend volumes is located in the range of 24710.0–24760.0. Currently, investment transactions on #NQ100 are being carried out above the specified range, which indicates the weakness of sellers.

The area of favorable prices for sale from the point of view of margin coverage is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the low of 17.02.2026.

The quote for the lower border of zone 1/4 is 24657.4.

The lower limit of zone 1/2 is quoted at 24934.9.

Intraday targets: renewal of lows from 17.02.2026–24379.9.

Medium-term targets: test of the upper limit of the ZNKZ – 23731.2.



Investment recommendations: sell from the range of favorable prices when a reversal pattern forms.

Sell: 24657.4-24934.9, Take Profit 1-24379.9, Take Profit 2-23731.2.

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for February 20, 2026 EURUSD​

Event to watch today:

20.02 15:30 EET. USD - Gross Domestic Product

EURUSD:

Return 50% of the negative swap! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until the end of February. Activation: deposit any amount from $500 and write to SWAP50 support chat. Details

​

EUR/USD is trading near 1.176–1.178 and looks vulnerable as the US dollar is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will not rush into cutting rates. When the market prices in a longer period of high rates, demand for dollar instruments tends to stay firm, while the euro finds it harder to extend gains even during short-lived pullbacks in the dollar.

In the US, investors are focused on Fed officials’ comments and on data showing how steadily inflation is cooling. If clear evidence of “quick relief” does not appear, market participants often prefer the dollar as a more reliable currency during periods of uncertainty, while the euro remains under pressure due to the gap in policy expectations.

In the euro area, the overall backdrop is still cautious: the market is watching the outlook for growth and inflation and how firmly the ECB may keep financial conditions. For now, there are not enough signals that could sharply lift the euro, while the broader environment continues to support the dollar. In the coming sessions, this keeps downside risks for EUR/USD elevated.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1765, SL 1.1795, TP 1.1675

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 27 February 2026​

XAUUSD: BUY 5158.29, SL 5148.00, TP 5249.00​

Return 50% of the negative swap! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until the end of February. Activation: top up any account starting from $500 and write to the SWAP50 support chat. Details

​

Gold starts the week supported by stronger demand for safe-haven assets: uncertainty around new U.S. tariffs and a weaker dollar are keeping prices near $5,160 per ounce.

This week’s focus is on the Fed’s rate signals, fresh U.S. data, and how Washington’s trade decisions develop. Any rise in geopolitical tensions could boost demand, but if inflation accelerates, interest in gold may cool temporarily.

Trading recommendation: BUY 5158.29, SL 5148.00, TP 5249.00

#SP500: SELL 6874, SL 6885, TP 6755​

​

S&P 500 futures enter the week under pressure as the market reassesses the impact of new U.S. import tariffs and waits for clearer direction on trade policy following the Supreme Court decision.

Key drivers in the coming days are major corporate earnings and U.S. demand-related macro data, which will show whether the economy can absorb higher costs. If uncertainty lingers, investors may reduce risk even if corporate profits remain strong.

Trading recommendation: SELL 6874, SL 6885, TP 6755

#BRENT: SELL 70.89, SL 71.30, TP 67.26​

​

Brent is holding around $71 per barrel, but the week starts in “cautious” mode: renewed U.S.–Iran talks are easing supply-disruption fears, while tariff headlines are weighing on expectations for global demand.

Supply conditions remain tight due to sanctions and regional risks, yet banks are increasingly pointing to a potential surplus in 2026 and a likely OPEC+ output increase in the second quarter. That could limit upside unless new shocks emerge.

Trading recommendation: SELL 70.89, SL 71.30, TP 67.26

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for February 24, 2026 #NQ100​

#NQ100: BUY 24530.4-24807.9, TP1-25085.4, TP2-26059.9.​

Get twice as many rewards with the DOUBLE CASHBACK promotion! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until February 28. Activation: deposit $100 or more into any account and write X2WIN in the support chat.
​

• Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The maximum volume accumulation of the current contract is located in the range of 25500.0–25800.0, according to quotes. Currently, investment transactions are being conducted on #NQ100 below this range, indicating sellers' strength. #NQ100: BUY 24530.4–24807.9, TP1–25085.4, TP2–26059.9.

• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation of the medium-term trend is located in the range of 24780.0–24840.0, according to quotes. Currently, investment transactions are being conducted on #NQ100 within this range, indicating temporary uncertainty.

• The area of favorable buying prices in terms of margin is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2, built from the high of February 20, 2026.

• The upper boundary of zone 1/4 is 24807.9.

• The upper boundary of zone 1/2 is 24530.4.

• Intraday targets: updating the highs of February 20, 2026, at 25085.4.

• Medium-term targets: testing the lower boundary of the ZNKZ at 26059.9. #NQ100: BUY 24530.4-24807.9, TP1-25085.4, TP2-26059.9.

​

• Investment recommendations: buy from the favorable price range when a reversal pattern forms.

• Buy: 24530.4-24807.9, Take Profit 1-25085.4, Take Profit 2-26059.9.

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for February 26, 2026 BTCUSD​

BTCUSD: SELL 62500, SL 65000, TP 57000.

Get twice as many rewards with the DOUBLE CASHBACK promotion! Hurry up! Valid from the moment of activation until February 28. Activation: deposit $100 or more into any account and write X2WIN in the support chat.

​

Bitcoin refuses to decline further. Instead of continuing its downward movement, we saw a rapid surge upward.

Perhaps this movement is part of a correction, or more precisely, the second wave in an emerging impulse within wave (c) of a complex corrective structure.

If this is indeed the case, then we can expect a sharp decline in the near future, which will be caused by the development of the third impulse wave.

The expected price movement trajectory and the contours of the downward impulse are schematically shown in the chart below.

Therefore, it is worth considering the possibility of opening sell trades when the local minimum is updated.

Investment idea: SELL 62500, SL 65000, TP 57000.

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 6 March 2026​

XAUUSD: BUY 5365.00, SL 5315.00, TP 5515.00​

Spring bonus of 126% on deposits from $202. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 in your Personal Account and participate! Terms apply

​

Gold enters the week near $5,365 per ounce, supported by rising geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices. In a more uncertain environment, investors tend to favor safe-haven assets, while expectations of lower US rates partially reduce the dollar’s support.

This week the focus shifts to US employment data and Federal Reserve comments: stronger figures could temporarily strengthen the dollar and cap gold’s advance. At the same time, risks of energy supply disruptions and steady demand from large buyers may keep prices elevated.

Trading recommendation: BUY 5365.00, SL 5315.00, TP 5515.00

#SP500: SELL 6835, SL 6905, TP 6625​

​

The US equity market starts the week around 6,835 on #SP500 amid a sharp rise in oil prices and increased geopolitical risks. Expensive energy raises business costs and heightens inflation concerns, so investors reassess the outlook for US interest rates more cautiously.

Key catalysts this week are the US jobs report, demand indicators, and a set of corporate earnings releases. Weaker data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support equities. However, if tensions persist and oil stays high, the index remains vulnerable to a pullback.

Trading recommendation: SELL 6835, SL 6905, TP 6625

#BRENT: BUY 78.40, SL 76.40, TP 84.40​

​

Brent begins the week near $78.40 per barrel after a sharp jump driven by the Iran-related conflict and risks to shipping near the Strait of Hormuz. The market is pricing in a risk premium for potential delivery delays and higher transport costs, so price reactions to headlines remain fast.

This week, the key drivers are updates on route availability, supply-and-demand assessments, and US crude inventory data. If shipping disruptions persist, the risk of further spikes will remain. A de-escalation or steps to boost supply could cool prices, but the backdrop still supports oil.

Trading recommendation: BUY 78.40, SL 76.40, TP 84.40

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for March 3, 2026 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 5185.90–5303.00, TP1 – 5420.10, TP2 – 5777.20.

Spring bonus of 126% on deposits from $202. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 in your Personal Account and participate! Terms apply

Long-term trend: bullish. The largest volume accumulation of the current contract is located in the 5150.00–5250.00 range. At the moment, investment activity in XAUUSD is taking place above this range, which indicates strong buyers.

​

Medium-term trend: bullish. The largest volume accumulation for the medium-term trend is located in the 5170.00–5205.00 range. Currently, investment activity in XAUUSD is occurring above this range, which indicates strong buyers.

The most favorable buy area (from a margin requirement standpoint) is between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the 02.03.2026 high.

Upper boundary of the 1/4 zone: 5303.00.

Upper boundary of the 1/2 zone: 5185.90.

Intraday targets: a retest / break of the highs from 02.03.2026 – 5420.10.

Medium-term targets: a test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ – 5777.20.

​

Trading recommendation: buy from the favorable price range once a reversal pattern forms.

Buy: 5185.90–5303.00, Take Profit 1 – 5420.10, Take Profit 2 – 5777.20.

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for March 4, 2026​

EURUSD:

Spring bonus of 126% on deposits from $202. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 in your Personal Account and participate! Terms apply

​

On March 4, EUR/USD is holding near 1.1600 after the US dollar strengthened amid escalating conflict in the Middle East and a spike in oil and gas prices. For the euro area, this means more expensive imported energy and higher inflation risks, while for markets it typically means a shift toward more liquid assets—supporting demand for the dollar.

Pressure on the euro is also driven by the latest eurozone inflation data and the ECB’s assessment that a prolonged energy shock can lift inflation while simultaneously worsening the economic outlook. In such an environment, market participants become more cautious about pricing in policy easing in Europe, waiting for confirmation that price pressures will not become persistent.

From the US side, the picture looks steadier: the economy is less dependent on imported energy, and expectations for rapid Fed rate cuts have been partly pushed back due to the risk of inflation re-accelerating. As long as tensions persist, fundamental factors remain in favor of the dollar; support for the euro would most likely come from de-escalation and signs of cooling inflation in the US.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1600, SL 1.1635, TP 1.1495

Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for March 5, 2026 #NQ100​

#NQ100: BUY 24651.6–24929.1, TP1 25206.6, TP2 25979.3.

Spring bonus of 126% on deposits from $202. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 in your Personal Account and participate! Terms apply​

Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The largest concentration of volume in the current contract is located in the 25550.0–25750.0 range. At the moment, investment activity in #NQ100 is taking place below this range, which indicates strong selling pressure.

​

Mid-term trend: bullish. The largest concentration of volume for the mid-term trend is located in the 25070.0–25150.0 range. Currently, investment activity in #NQ100 is occurring below this range, which points to weak buying interest.

The favorable buying zone from a margin perspective lies between the 1/4 and 1/2 areas built from the high of 05.03.2026.

The upper boundary of the 1/4 zone is 24929.1.

The upper boundary of the 1/2 zone is 24651.6.

Intraday targets: a new high above the 05.03.2026 level at 25206.6.

Mid-term targets: a test of the lower boundary of the mid-term control zone (GWCZ) at 25979.3.

​

Investment recommendation: buy from the favorable price range once a reversal pattern is formed.

Buy: 24651.6–24929.1, Take Profit 1: 25206.6, Take Profit 2: 25979.3.

Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for March 6, 2026 USDJPY​

Event to watch today:

06.03 15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change

USDJPY:

Spring bonus of 126% on deposits from $202. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 in your Personal Account and participate! Terms apply

​

USD/JPY is holding near 157.50 and maintains an upward bias, as the dollar continues to receive support from safe-haven demand. The escalation of the conflict in the Middle East has pushed oil prices higher, and this is particularly unfavorable for Japan, which remains a major energy importer. At the same time, the market has become more cautious in assessing the scale of future US rate cuts, which also works in favor of the dollar.

There is also a limiting factor for the pair, and it is related to Japan. According to economist surveys, the market expects a further rate increase by the Bank of Japan by the end of June, while the central bank leadership has indicated that the March and April meetings will be important for assessing inflation and wage data. This supports the yen and limits the speed of USD/JPY growth, but for now it does not change the overall balance of forces.

As a result, the market remains caught between two themes: expectations of a firmer stance from the Bank of Japan and the current advantage of the dollar amid high oil prices and increased investor caution. For now, the second theme looks stronger. If external tensions do not ease, the base-case scenario for today remains a moderate move higher in USD/JPY, with buying positions taking priority from current levels.

Trading recommendation: BUY 157.50, SL 157.20, TP 158.40

FreshForex offers a wonderful 300% bonus on every deposit of $100 or more, giving you the opportunity to increase your trading volumes!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 13 March 2026​

XAUUSD: 5100.70, SL 5095.00, TP 5255.00​

Spring bonus of 126% on deposits from $202. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 in your Personal Account and participate! Terms apply

​

Gold enters the week near $5,100 per ounce as investors seek safety amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and a sharp rise in oil prices. Additional support comes from central bank buying and strong demand for the metal across Asia.

This week, attention will shift to U.S. inflation data and regulators’ response to higher energy costs. If tensions persist, demand for gold may strengthen; if risks ease and the dollar firms, pullbacks are possible.

Trade recommendation: BUY 5100.70, SL 5095.00, TP 5255.00

#SP500: SELL 6700, SL 6710, TP 6460​

​

The S&P 500 starts the week near 6,700 under pressure: the surge in oil raises corporate costs and fuels inflation concerns. Against this backdrop, investors are more cautious toward risk assets and increasingly prefer currencies and bonds.

Next, the market will watch the release of U.S. inflation data and officials’ comments on the impact of expensive energy. If expectations for higher rates become entrenched, the index may continue to decline even alongside solid corporate results.

Trade recommendation: SELL 6700, SL 6710, TP 6460

#BRENT: BUY 102.35, SL 101.50, TP 118.50​

​

Brent is holding around $102.35 per barrel after extreme swings as the market prices in supply disruption risks linked to the war and threats to shipping near the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, measures to release part of strategic reserves are being discussed, which is limiting the upside.

In the coming days, the tone will be set by news on route security, OPEC+ decisions, and reports on the supply-demand balance. If logistics disruptions persist, prices may accelerate again; if tensions ease and reserves are released, a correction is possible.

Trade recommendation: BUY 102.35, SL 101.50, TP 118.50

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

 

[Fresh Forex]

#BRENT surged: what’s happening?​

Recently, #BRENT climbed from the $70 area to an intraday peak of about $119.50 per barrel, and then remained noticeably above previous levels. The market pushed prices higher not because of abstract expectations, but due to a real threat of disruptions to oil supplies from the Persian Gulf. At first, investors priced in fears of escalation around Iran, and later saw actual shipment problems and production cuts from major producers.

Spring bonus of 126% on deposits from $202. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 in your Personal Account and participate! Terms apply

​

5 factors behind the rally:

• Escalation around Iran sharply increased anxiety in the oil market. Strikes and retaliatory actions in the region forced buyers to urgently price in the risk of a major supply disruption.
• The Strait of Hormuz came under threat — a key route for global oil. More than 20% of the world’s oil supply passes through it, so even a partial disruption immediately pushes prices higher.
• The problems moved from expectations to real restrictions. Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia began cutting production because exporting oil became more difficult, while storage capacity is limited.
• The market did not believe that increased OPEC+ production would quickly calm the situation. The announced increase of 206 thousand barrels per day looked too small compared to the potential loss of much larger volumes.
• Major banks and analysts started raising oil forecasts. Goldman Sachs warned that #BRENT could rise above $100 if disruptions through Hormuz are not resolved quickly, which further fueled buying.

After the sharp surge, #BRENT corrected toward the $90 per barrel level, as the market partially removed the maximum risk premium from prices. Investors are no longer pricing in the most severe supply disruption scenario, but tensions in the Middle East still prevent oil from returning to previous levels.

FreshForex analysts believe that the pullback from the highs does not mean the upside potential is exhausted. The market continues to closely monitor developments in the region, and any new supply disruption or escalation could quickly push #BRENT higher again. Oil is now moving not on panic, but on a more measured assessment of risks.

FreshForex offers 250+ trading instruments, including metals with leverage up to 1:1000. Enter the promo code UPSUN126 and activate the Spring 126% bonus on deposits from $202.

Profit from the growth​