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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 5, 2025



Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:

• The RBA is expected to hold rates steady, with a slightly hawkish bias due to rising inflation and stronger services activity.
• The pair found support amid easing U.S.–China tensions and firm domestic inflation but faces headwinds from dollar strength.
• Support: 0.6515
• Resistance: 0.6595, 0.6630

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 6, 2025



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:

• BTC consolidates around the psychological $100,000 level after recent sell-off.
• Market sentiment remains cautious amid U.S. shutdown and Fed policy delay, yet long-term structure stays bullish.
• Potential rebound toward $106,000–$108,000 if support at $100,000 holds.
• Support: $99,000, $95,900
• Resistance: $106,100, $111,300

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 7, 2025



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:

• BTC rebounds above $103,000 amid institutional outflows and ongoing consolidation.
• Long-term holders continue profit-taking; fresh investors accumulating positions.
• Support: 99,400, 96,875, 95,800
• Resistance: 105,300, 108,800, 111,300
• Forecast: Consolidation between 100,000–110,000 likely; bullish above 105,000, bearish below 99,000.

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Weekly Economic Calendar


November 10 - November 14, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Mon — Nov 10

• Japan: Leading indicators, current account, trade balance.
• BoJ summary / regional data in Asia.

Tue — Nov 11

• US: Veterans Day — many US markets/banks closed (reduced US on-shore liquidity).
• UK: Unemployment / average earnings / claimant count and related labor data.
• Germany: ZEW / sentiment items; NFIB small-business index and Fed speeches also on the radar.

Wed — Nov 12

• Europe & Asia: assorted monthly/weekly releases (trade, confidence, business surveys) and central-bank commentary.
• Market focus shifts toward next-day US inflation prints and scheduled Fed speakers.

Thu — Nov 13

• U.S. CPI (Oct) — headline and core CPI (primary market mover).
• US initial jobless claims and other US labor/price reads; watch for any delays/changes if shutdown persists.

Fri — Nov 14

• Mixed local releases across APAC and Europe (monthly indicators, business surveys, small-cap data).
• End-of-week Fed commentary and fiscal/budget updates may influence USD flows into the close.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 11, 2025



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:

• Bitcoin trades around $106,000, recovering after a steep correction from record highs.
• Optimism over a potential end to the U.S. shutdown and return of government operations boosted crypto sentiment.
• However, risks from ETF outflows and leveraged trading remain.
• Near-term, BTC must hold above $105,000 to sustain bullish momentum.
• Support levels: $105,300, $103,000, $99,400
• Resistance levels: $108,800, $111,300, $113,500

Forecast:
If Bitcoin clears $108,800, it could aim for $111,000–$113,000. A drop below $103,000 risks extending losses toward $99,000.







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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 12, 2025



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:

• Bitcoin trades around $105,600, consolidating after a rejection near $107,000.
• Institutional demand remains strong, as shown by exchange outflows and accumulation by large investors.
• Market sentiment stays positive as long as BTC holds above $100,000, though short-term corrections toward $104,000 are possible.
• Broader crypto weakness persists, with altcoins underperforming due to declining tech market flows.
• Support levels: $104,000, $100,000, $98,000
• Resistance levels: $107,000, $110,000, $118,000
• Outlook: Mildly bullish above $100,000; range-bound between $104,000–$108,000. A close above $110,000 could trigger a run toward $118,000.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 13, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:

• The euro strengthened amid optimism about a quick resolution to the U.S. government shutdown and diverging central bank policies.
• Germany’s inflation and Italy’s industrial output data are key drivers today; strong figures may sustain euro gains.
• Market expects no ECB rate cut in December, offering further near-term support.
• Intraday sentiment slightly bullish if price holds above 1.1577; below it, momentum may shift downward.
• Support: 1.1577, 1.1542, 1.1520
• Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1634, 1.1667

Forecast: Mild bullish bias above 1.1577; likely range between 1.1540–1.1630.







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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 14, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:

• Euro supported by improving sentiment, expectations of stable ECB policy, and growing anticipation of Fed easing.
• Market focus remains on US inflation, labor data, and upcoming Fed remarks.
• Consolidation persists as price holds above key support with potential for upside if Fed tone softens.
  Support: 1.1569, 1.1542, 1.1520
  Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1634, 1.1667
  Forecast: Mild upward bias if dollar softens; downside risk if Fed remains firm.

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Weekly Economic Calendar


November 17 - November 21, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Mon 17 Nov

• Early-week PMI and manufacturing/service flash surveys across Europe/Asia.
• Light domestic US releases; market focus stays on midweek Fed material.

Tue 18 Nov

• Continued PMI prints and regional data from Europe/Asia.
• Central bank speakers and earnings headlines may create noise ahead of Fed minutes.

Wed 19 Nov

• Key: Federal Reserve — release of FOMC meeting minutes (watch for guidance/comments).
• Philippines BSP: Balance of Payments / Gross International Reserves updates.
• German/EU inflation or GDP updates likely to appear; Japan/China data may also show.

Thu 20 Nov

• US delayed data (possible catch-up releases) and housing/industrial series may appear.
• More central bank speakers and regional flash prints — watch EUR/GBP/JPY volatility windows.

Fri 21 Nov

• Final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (US) — market attention on consumer mood.
• Month-end positioning flows begin; watch liquidity and headline risk into the close.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 18, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:

• Recent movement driven by stable Eurozone inflation and anticipation of Fed speeches.
• Consolidation below resistance suggests limited upside near-term.
• Soft Eurozone data and cautious Fed outlook keep direction mixed.
• Support: 1.1579, 1.1568, 1.1540
• Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1650, 1.1665
• Forecast: Slight bearish bias if below 1.1605; recovery possible if above 1.1650.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 19, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:

• Pound stuck in a tightening range due to lack of U.K. data.
• Market uncertainty grows ahead of November 26 budget and BoE policy path.
• U.S. macro events and Fed rhetoric likely to dominate intraday flow.
• Bias: Mildly bearish while below 1.3185.
• Support: 1.3138 / 1.3085 / 1.3072
• Resistance: 1.3185 / 1.3216 / 1.3247
• Forecast: Downside risk if price breaks 1.3138; recovery only above 1.3185.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 20, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:

• Euro supported by stable inflation and ECB’s cautious policy stance.
• Fed minutes and trade data may add volatility depending on tone toward rate cuts.
• Short-term bias mildly upward if USD softens from dovish commentary.
• Support: 1.1580, 1.1568, 1.1540
• Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1653, 1.1665
• Forecast: Consolidation with slight upward potential toward resistance zone.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 21, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:

• Euro weakened after U.S. policy expectations shifted toward fewer rate cuts.
• Stabilization came from stronger German data but recovery remains limited.
• Sentiment still favors USD strength unless labor data weakens.
  Support: 1.1497
  Resistance: 1.1521 / 1.1541 / 1.1563
  Forecast: Bias remains downward toward support unless U.S. data disappoints.

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Weekly Economic Calendar


November 24 - November 28, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK

• Mon 24 Nov
  • Japan: Holiday (Labor Day).
  • Singapore: CPI prints.
  • Swiss employment data and early German business sentiment items.
• Tue 25 Nov
  • US: Retail sales, PPI / Core PPI and several housing and confidence reads (bus. inventories, Case-Shiller / pending sales).
  • Market focus on US activity/inflation flow.
• Wed 26 Nov
  • Major: US GDP second estimate and PCE inflation indexes (key for Fed outlook).
  • RBNZ monetary policy decision and Australian CPI also due.
  • UK: Budget day (finance minister delivers annual budget).
• Thu 27 Nov (Thanksgiving Day, US)
  • US markets closed for Thanksgiving; thin / limited data flow.
  • Japan: Tokyo CPI release.
• Fri 28 Nov (Black Friday — early US market close)
  • European: German CPI / German retail sales and Swiss GDP updates.
  • Canada: GDP release.
  • Markets: early close on US cash and bond markets.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 25, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:

• Market Tone: Euro remains weak as mixed EU data and cautious sentiment limit upside; geopolitical developments still affect demand.
• Near-Term Bias: Range-bound with bearish undertone.
• Support: 1.1500 / 1.1480 / 1.1430
• Resistance: 1.1540 / 1.1560 / 1.1650–1.1700
• Outlook:
  • Early-week sideways movement.
  • Late-week potential rebound from support zones.
• Strategy:
  • Buy only near deeper supports.
  • Sell limited potential; caution advised.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 26, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:

• Euro supported by stable German GDP but capped by weak export outlook.
• U.S. data may drive short-term volatility; softer results favor euro recovery.
• Pair still ranging between key boundaries.
• Support: 1.1503
• Resistance: 1.1547 / 1.1563
• Forecast: Mild upside if buyers defend 1.1503; break below resumes downward bias.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 27, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Market Analysis

• Euro gains supported by softer US data and expectations that the Fed may ease sooner than the ECB.
• Eurozone calendar is light, keeping price action dependent on US labor and manufacturing numbers.
• Momentum favors buyers as long as price holds above key support.

Forecast

• Mild upward bias; weak US data may extend recovery.
• A drop becomes likely only if price slips below major support.

Support: 1.1583, 1.1550, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1653




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Market Analysis and Forecasts


November 28, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:

• Euro shows mild correction within a broader upward bias; holiday conditions limit volatility.
• Political uncertainty in Europe still caps upside momentum.
• Price expected to trade within a contained range unless unexpected headlines emerge.
• Support: 1.1583, 1.1550
• Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1653
• Forecast: Range-bound with mild upward tilt toward resistance.

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Weekly Economic Calendar


December 1 - 5, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday — Dec 1

• S&P Global final global manufacturing PMIs + ISM Manufacturing PMI (US)
• NZ Building Consents (Oct) — scheduled release.
• Egypt: Central bank USD T-bill auction

Tuesday — Dec 2

• Regional calendar: eurozone unemployment / CPI items and UK house-price updates; assorted vehicle / local data (varies by market). (Light headline day vs. Monday/Wednesday).

Wednesday — Dec 3

• ADP National Employment Report (US, Nov)
• BLS Import & Export Price Indexes (Sept, delayed)
• S&P Global final US Services PMI and final PMIs (regional) — usual morning slot US services

Thursday — Dec 4

• US Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
• U.S. International Trade in Goods & Services / trade deficit (Oct) .

Friday — Dec 5

• BEA: Personal Income & Outlays (includes PCE price indexes, Sep — delayed release)(headline inflation metrics for markets).
• Other delayed/secondary US items (consumer sentiment prelim., consumer credit items may also appear).

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 2, 2025



Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook:

• Analysis
  • Weak U.S. data expectations continue to support gold as traders favor safer assets.
  • Dollar softness and lower yields maintain upward bias.
  • Geopolitical and economic uncertainty adds demand.
• Forecast
  • Upward bias remains while the dollar stays pressured.
  • A strong U.S. ISM print could temporarily limit gains.
• Key Levels
  • Support: 2030, 2018, 1995
  • Resistance: 2055, 2070, 2090

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