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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 5, 2025
Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:
The RBA is expected to hold rates steady, with a slightly hawkish bias due to rising inflation and stronger services activity.
The pair found support amid easing U.S.–China tensions and firm domestic inflation but faces headwinds from dollar strength.
Support: 0.6515
Resistance: 0.6595, 0.6630
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 6, 2025
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:
BTC consolidates around the psychological $100,000 level after recent sell-off.
Market sentiment remains cautious amid U.S. shutdown and Fed policy delay, yet long-term structure stays bullish.
Potential rebound toward $106,000–$108,000 if support at $100,000 holds.
Support: $99,000, $95,900
Resistance: $106,100, $111,300
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 7, 2025
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:
BTC rebounds above $103,000 amid institutional outflows and ongoing consolidation.
Long-term holders continue profit-taking; fresh investors accumulating positions.
Support: 99,400, 96,875, 95,800
Resistance: 105,300, 108,800, 111,300
Forecast: Consolidation between 100,000–110,000 likely; bullish above 105,000, bearish below 99,000.
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Weekly Economic Calendar
November 10 - November 14, 2025
ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Mon — Nov 10
Japan: Leading indicators, current account, trade balance.
BoJ summary / regional data in Asia.
Tue — Nov 11
US: Veterans Day — many US markets/banks closed (reduced US on-shore liquidity).
UK: Unemployment / average earnings / claimant count and related labor data.
Germany: ZEW / sentiment items; NFIB small-business index and Fed speeches also on the radar.
Wed — Nov 12
Europe & Asia: assorted monthly/weekly releases (trade, confidence, business surveys) and central-bank commentary.
Market focus shifts toward next-day US inflation prints and scheduled Fed speakers.
Thu — Nov 13
U.S. CPI (Oct) — headline and core CPI (primary market mover).
US initial jobless claims and other US labor/price reads; watch for any delays/changes if shutdown persists.
Fri — Nov 14
Mixed local releases across APAC and Europe (monthly indicators, business surveys, small-cap data).
End-of-week Fed commentary and fiscal/budget updates may influence USD flows into the close.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 11, 2025
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:
Bitcoin trades around $106,000 , recovering after a steep correction from record highs.
Optimism over a potential end to the U.S. shutdown and return of government operations boosted crypto sentiment.
However, risks from ETF outflows and leveraged trading remain.
Near-term, BTC must hold above $105,000 to sustain bullish momentum.
Support levels: $105,300, $103,000, $99,400
Resistance levels: $108,800, $111,300, $113,500
Forecast:
If Bitcoin clears $108,800 , it could aim for $111,000–$113,000. A drop below $103,000 risks extending losses toward $99,000.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 12, 2025
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:
Bitcoin trades around $105,600 , consolidating after a rejection near $107,000 .
Institutional demand remains strong, as shown by exchange outflows and accumulation by large investors.
Market sentiment stays positive as long as BTC holds above $100,000 , though short-term corrections toward $104,000 are possible.
Broader crypto weakness persists, with altcoins underperforming due to declining tech market flows.
Support levels: $104,000, $100,000, $98,000
Resistance levels: $107,000, $110,000, $118,000
Outlook: Mildly bullish above $100,000; range-bound between $104,000–$108,000. A close above $110,000 could trigger a run toward $118,000.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 13, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
The euro strengthened amid optimism about a quick resolution to the U.S. government shutdown and diverging central bank policies.
Germany’s inflation and Italy’s industrial output data are key drivers today; strong figures may sustain euro gains.
Market expects no ECB rate cut in December, offering further near-term support.
Intraday sentiment slightly bullish if price holds above 1.1577; below it, momentum may shift downward.
Support: 1.1577, 1.1542, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1634, 1.1667
Forecast: Mild bullish bias above 1.1577; likely range between 1.1540–1.1630.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 14, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Euro supported by improving sentiment, expectations of stable ECB policy, and growing anticipation of Fed easing.
Market focus remains on US inflation, labor data, and upcoming Fed remarks.
Consolidation persists as price holds above key support with potential for upside if Fed tone softens.
Support: 1.1569, 1.1542, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1634, 1.1667
Forecast: Mild upward bias if dollar softens; downside risk if Fed remains firm.
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Weekly Economic Calendar
November 17 - November 21, 2025
ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Mon 17 Nov
Early-week PMI and manufacturing/service flash surveys across Europe/Asia.
Light domestic US releases; market focus stays on midweek Fed material.
Tue 18 Nov
Continued PMI prints and regional data from Europe/Asia.
Central bank speakers and earnings headlines may create noise ahead of Fed minutes.
Wed 19 Nov
Key: Federal Reserve — release of FOMC meeting minutes (watch for guidance/comments).
Philippines BSP: Balance of Payments / Gross International Reserves updates.
German/EU inflation or GDP updates likely to appear; Japan/China data may also show.
Thu 20 Nov
US delayed data (possible catch-up releases) and housing/industrial series may appear.
More central bank speakers and regional flash prints — watch EUR/GBP/JPY volatility windows.
Fri 21 Nov
Final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (US) — market attention on consumer mood.
Month-end positioning flows begin; watch liquidity and headline risk into the close.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 18, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Recent movement driven by stable Eurozone inflation and anticipation of Fed speeches.
Consolidation below resistance suggests limited upside near-term.
Soft Eurozone data and cautious Fed outlook keep direction mixed.
Support: 1.1579, 1.1568, 1.1540
Resistance: 1.1605, 1.1650, 1.1665
Forecast: Slight bearish bias if below 1.1605; recovery possible if above 1.1650.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 19, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Pound stuck in a tightening range due to lack of U.K. data.
Market uncertainty grows ahead of November 26 budget and BoE policy path.
U.S. macro events and Fed rhetoric likely to dominate intraday flow.
Bias: Mildly bearish while below 1.3185.
Support: 1.3138 / 1.3085 / 1.3072
Resistance: 1.3185 / 1.3216 / 1.3247
Forecast: Downside risk if price breaks 1.3138; recovery only above 1.3185.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 20, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Euro supported by stable inflation and ECB’s cautious policy stance.
Fed minutes and trade data may add volatility depending on tone toward rate cuts.
Short-term bias mildly upward if USD softens from dovish commentary.
Support: 1.1580, 1.1568, 1.1540
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1653, 1.1665
Forecast: Consolidation with slight upward potential toward resistance zone.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 21, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Euro weakened after U.S. policy expectations shifted toward fewer rate cuts.
Stabilization came from stronger German data but recovery remains limited.
Sentiment still favors USD strength unless labor data weakens.
Support: 1.1497
Resistance: 1.1521 / 1.1541 / 1.1563
Forecast: Bias remains downward toward support unless U.S. data disappoints.
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Weekly Economic Calendar
November 24 - November 28, 2025
ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Mon 24 Nov
Japan: Holiday (Labor Day).
Singapore: CPI prints.
Swiss employment data and early German business sentiment items.
Tue 25 Nov
US: Retail sales, PPI / Core PPI and several housing and confidence reads (bus. inventories, Case-Shiller / pending sales).
Market focus on US activity/inflation flow.
Wed 26 Nov
Major: US GDP second estimate and PCE inflation indexes (key for Fed outlook).
RBNZ monetary policy decision and Australian CPI also due.
UK: Budget day (finance minister delivers annual budget).
Thu 27 Nov (Thanksgiving Day, US)
US markets closed for Thanksgiving; thin / limited data flow.
Japan: Tokyo CPI release.
Fri 28 Nov (Black Friday — early US market close)
European: German CPI / German retail sales and Swiss GDP updates.
Canada: GDP release.
Markets: early close on US cash and bond markets.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 25, 2025
British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:
Market Tone: Euro remains weak as mixed EU data and cautious sentiment limit upside; geopolitical developments still affect demand.
Near-Term Bias: Range-bound with bearish undertone.
Support: 1.1500 / 1.1480 / 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1540 / 1.1560 / 1.1650–1.1700
Outlook:
Early-week sideways movement.
Late-week potential rebound from support zones.
Strategy:
Buy only near deeper supports.
Sell limited potential; caution advised .
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 26, 2025
British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:
Euro supported by stable German GDP but capped by weak export outlook.
U.S. data may drive short-term volatility; softer results favor euro recovery.
Pair still ranging between key boundaries.
Support: 1.1503
Resistance: 1.1547 / 1.1563
Forecast: Mild upside if buyers defend 1.1503; break below resumes downward bias.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 27, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Market Analysis
Euro gains supported by softer US data and expectations that the Fed may ease sooner than the ECB.
Eurozone calendar is light, keeping price action dependent on US labor and manufacturing numbers.
Momentum favors buyers as long as price holds above key support.
Forecast
Mild upward bias; weak US data may extend recovery.
A drop becomes likely only if price slips below major support.
Support: 1.1583, 1.1550, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1653
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
November 28, 2025
Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Euro shows mild correction within a broader upward bias; holiday conditions limit volatility.
Political uncertainty in Europe still caps upside momentum.
Price expected to trade within a contained range unless unexpected headlines emerge.
Support: 1.1583, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.1613, 1.1653
Forecast: Range-bound with mild upward tilt toward resistance .
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Weekly Economic Calendar
December 1 - 5, 2025
ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday — Dec 1
S&P Global final global manufacturing PMIs + ISM Manufacturing PMI (US)
NZ Building Consents (Oct) — scheduled release.
Egypt: Central bank USD T-bill auction
Tuesday — Dec 2
Regional calendar: eurozone unemployment / CPI items and UK house-price updates; assorted vehicle / local data (varies by market). (Light headline day vs. Monday/Wednesday).
Wednesday — Dec 3
ADP National Employment Report (US, Nov)
BLS Import & Export Price Indexes (Sept, delayed)
S&P Global final US Services PMI and final PMIs (regional) — usual morning slot US services
Thursday — Dec 4
US Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
U.S. International Trade in Goods & Services / trade deficit (Oct) .
Friday — Dec 5
BEA: Personal Income & Outlays (includes PCE price indexes, Sep — delayed release) (headline inflation metrics for markets).
Other delayed/secondary US items (consumer sentiment prelim., consumer credit items may also appear ) .
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Market Analysis and Forecasts
December 2, 2025
Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook:
Analysis
Weak U.S. data expectations continue to support gold as traders favor safer assets.
Dollar softness and lower yields maintain upward bias.
Geopolitical and economic uncertainty adds demand.
Forecast
Upward bias remains while the dollar stays pressured.
A strong U.S. ISM print could temporarily limit gains.
Key Levels
Support: 2030, 2018, 1995
Resistance: 2055, 2070, 2090
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