Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) comes back to life: what happens next

The Bitcoin (BTCUSD) price rose to 63,421 USD. Buyers remain resilient, but renewed capital inflows would make their task easier.

BTCUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rising at the start of the week, but geopolitical risks and the FOMC minutes remain in focus
• Bulls need capital inflows into ETFs to resume
• BTCUSD forecast for 17 August 2026: 63,520

Fundamental analysis

The Bitcoin price is rising to 63,421 USD on Monday. The fundamental backdrop for BTCUSD remains mixed. Earlier, soft US inflation data and a decline in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September to around 33% supported risk assets. A weaker US dollar remains an additional positive factor.

Geopolitics continues to weigh on the cryptocurrency market through energy prices. Negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz remain deadlocked, while rising Brent prices increase the risk that energy inflation could become a more persistent factor.

Read this article on RoboForex website - BTCUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Central banks are buying gold at a record pace: what is next for XAUUSD?

Despite ongoing support, gold is forming a correction and testing the 4,390 USD level.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September is around 35%
• The key upcoming event will be the release of the minutes from the July FOMC meeting on 19 August
• XAUUSD forecast for 18 August 2026: 4,345 and 4,480

Fundamental analysis

Weak employment data, moderate inflation, and lower retail sales have prompted investors to reassess the outlook for US monetary policy. At this stage, the market estimates the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September at around 35%, which continues to provide fundamental support for gold.

US-Iran negotiations have effectively reached a deadlock, with Tehran announcing a shift to an offensive stance. Brent oil prices have risen to 89.00 USD per barrel, simultaneously supporting demand for safe-haven assets and increasing the risk of renewed inflationary pressure.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 index forecast: US 30 completes correction

The US 30 is completing its correction and is poised to resume its rise towards a new all-time high. A breakout below the 53,800.0 support level could push the index lower and open the way towards 52,900.0.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US PPI remained flat in July compared to June
• Market impact: the current data has a moderately positive impact on the US 30

Fundamental analysis

The release of the US Producer Price Index for July 2026 may have a moderately positive impact on the US 30 index and the US stock market overall, as PPI growth came in at 0.0% month-on-month versus expectations of a 0.2% increase. In June, the indicator fell by 0.1%.

For the US 30, the main positive factor is a potential easing of concerns about further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team