Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

EURUSD has yielded to the sellers: there is a chance of a move lower

The EURUSD pair is holding low near 1.1464 as market sentiment has shifted in favour of the US dollar.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The EURUSD pair remains under the control of the bears
• The market is monitoring the Middle East and preparing for the release of US PCE data
• EURUSD forecast for 22 June 2026: 1.1415

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate is hovering around 1.1464 on Monday. Investors are assessing new signals around a peace settlement between the US and Iran, while also preparing for the release of the key US inflation report.

According to the latest reports, Washington and Tehran have agreed on a roadmap to conclude a final agreement within the next 60 days.

Read this article on RoboForex website - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Ethereum (ETHUSD) is betting on Ethlabs

Ethereum (ETHUSD) is hovering around 1,728 USD on Tuesday, with the market excited about the idea of launching Ethlabs.

ETHUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The Ethereum (ETHUSD) price is moving sideways
• Ethereum’s status as core infrastructure may be strengthened
• ETHUSD forecast for 23 June 2026: 1,710 or 1,775

Fundamental analysis

The price of Ethereum (ETHUSD) is holding near 1,728 USD after a modest rise.

The launch of the independent research organisation Ethlabs may support the long-term investment case for Ethereum. Former leading developers from the Ethereum Foundation created the new non-profit centre, which will focus on preparing the network for broader institutional adoption.

Ethlabs’ priorities include faster settlement, cross-network interoperability, greater network scalability, better infrastructure for issuing tokenised assets, and further development of Ethereum’s economic model

Read this article on RoboForex website - ETHUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 forecast: the index has completed its correction

The US 30 index is trading in an uptrend and has completed its correction, suggesting a new all-time high. Today’s US 30 forecast is positive.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: the US Federal Reserve kept its interest rate at 3.75%
• Market impact: the data has a negative effect on the equity market

Fundamental analysis

For the US 30 index, this release appears rather neutral to moderately negative in the short term. The very fact that the rate was left at 3.50–3.75% is not in itself a shock for the market if investors had already priced in such a decision. However, the more important signal is not the current decision, but the change in the Federal Reserve’s rhetoric.

For the US 30 index, which includes major industrial, financial, consumer, and technology companies, this creates pressure through a higher cost of capital and more cautious expectations for corporate earnings.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

JP 225 forecast: the index is correcting

The JP 225 stock index entered a correction, but the trend remains upward. The JP 225 forecast for today is positive.

JP 225 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Japan’s core Consumer Price Index rose by 1.40%
• Market impact: the effect on the Japanese stock market is mixed

Fundamental analysis

The actual national core CPI reading was 1.4% year-on-year, exactly in line with the forecast and the previous figure. This means that the market did not face any inflationary surprises, and therefore, the probability of a sharp reassessment of expectations for the Bank of Japan's monetary policy remains limited.

For the JP 225, this data may act as a supportive factor, as moderate inflation reduces the risk of a more aggressive rate hike. This is important for the Japanese stock market since higher rate expectations put stronger pressure on company valuations.

Read this article on RoboForex website - JP 225 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US Tech forecast: the index continues its correction

The US Tech index continues to correct, but the trend remains upward. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.

US Tech forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US GDP grew by 2.1% in Q1 2026
• Market impact: the current data have a negative implication for the technology sector

Fundamental analysis

According to the release, US GDP for Q1 2026 was revised upwards to 2.1% annualised, compared with expectations of 1.6% and the previous reading of 0.5%. At first glance, this represents a positive signal for the stock market: the US economy is growing faster than expected, the risk of a sharp slowdown is decreasing, and corporate earnings are receiving a more stable macroeconomic foundation.

For the US Tech index, the news may be moderately positive overall, although with clear limitations. The stronger-than-expected GDP reading confirms that the US economy remains resilient, meaning demand for cloud services, software, semiconductors, data centre equipment, and artificial intelligence-related solutions may remain high.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US Tech Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

DE 40 forecast: the index lacks a directional trend

The DE 40 stock index entered a medium-term sideways channel. The DE 40 forecast for today is negative.

DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Germany’s preliminary services PMI came in at 46.8 in June
• Market impact: the data creates a positive backdrop for the German stock market

Fundamental analysis

Germany’s services PMI data looks negative for the DE 40 index, with the actual reading coming in at 46.8 points, below the forecast of 49.0 and the previous 48.1. Since a reading below 50.0 points indicates a contraction in business activity, the market may interpret this publication as a signal of deterioration in the German economy, particularly in domestic demand and the services sector.

For the DE 40 index, this news creates pressure, all else being equal. Investors may revise expectations for revenue and earnings at German companies, especially those whose businesses depend on consumer spending, corporate services, lending, and domestic economic activity.

Read this article on RoboForex website - DE 40 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Brent decline or a fresh surge? The market awaits the US-Iran verdict

The oil market has frozen in anticipation of the outcome of US-Iran negotiations, with prices hovering around 73.30.

Brent forecast: key takeaways

• Brent is forming a correction after the decline
• The talks in Doha are the main event of the day
• Tanker companies are gradually resuming passage through the strait

Fundamental analysis

The Brent forecast for 30 June 2026 shows that prices are forming a corrective wave after the decline. The market is frozen in tense anticipation of the upcoming US-Iran talks. On the one hand, investors are hoping for diplomatic progress, while on the other, actual supplies through the Strait of Hormuz are still far from returning to normal.

The talks in Doha are in the spotlight today. Investors are pricing in a positive outcome of the meeting, even though the strait has not yet been reopened. Despite the remaining risks, tanker companies are gradually resuming passage through the strait.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 index forecast: the index hits a new all-time high

The US 30 index reached a new all-time high, but failed to consolidate above the resistance level. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US GDP grew by 2.1% in Q1 2026
• Market impact: the data has a positive impact on the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The quarterly US GDP data looks positive for the US 30 index, as actual economic growth reached 2.1%, above the forecast of 1.6% and the previous reading of 0.5%. This result shows that the US economy is more resilient than the market expected. For the US 30 index, this may act as a supportive factor.

For the US 30 index, this news may generally be viewed positively, as stronger economic growth typically improves expectations for corporate revenue and earnings.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

JP 225 forecast: the index enters a sideways trend

The JP 225 stock index entered a sideways trend, although the uptrend remains intact. The JP 225 forecast for today is positive.

JP 225 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Japan’s Tokyo core CPI rose by 1.60%
• Market impact: the impact on the Japanese stock market is mixed

Fundamental analysis

Tokyo core CPI data may have a moderately dampening effect on the JP 225. The actual reading was 1.6% year-on-year, fully matching the forecast, so the publication itself should not trigger a strong negative reaction. However, the increase from the previous 1.3% to 1.6% indicates accelerating inflationary pressures.

For the JP 225 index, this is a neutral-to-negative signal. On the one hand, inflation remains below the 2% level, so the data does not strengthen the case for sharp policy tightening.

Read this article on RoboForex website - JP 225 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Nonfarm Payrolls sent the dollar sharply lower: gold is surging towards 4,200 USD

Gold continues to strengthen after the release of US employment data. XAUUSD quotes are testing the 4,180 USD level.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at 129 thousand, currently at 57 thousand
• The US unemployment rate fell from 4.3% to 4.2%
• The likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the July meeting dropped to 18%

Fundamental analysis

The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 3 July 2026, shows that gold continues its confident recovery, testing the 4,180 USD mark. The rally began following the release of weak US labour market data, which radically changed expectations for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

On Thursday, the US June Nonfarm Payrolls report was published and became a real shock to the market. The previous reading was 129 thousand, the forecast stood at 114 thousand, and the actual figure stunned the market by coming in at 57 thousand.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

USDJPY above 162.00: the market is awaiting action from the Bank of Japan

The yen is losing ground once again, and the Japanese government is preparing for intervention. The USDJPY rate currently stands at 162.20.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The threat of intervention from the Japanese government remains
• Investors are awaiting the release of the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes
• USDJPY forecast for 6 July 2026: 161.80 and 163.00

Fundamental analysis

Fundamental analysis for 6 July 2026 shows that the pair is forming an upward wave towards the highs of 1986. On Monday morning, quotes are trading around 162.20, with the yen remaining under pressure despite the recent tightening of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy.

The pair’s approach to the 162.00–163.00 levels has fuelled expectations that Japan’s Ministry of Finance may re-enter the market to support the yen.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Ethereum gets a second chance: the market is gearing up for a strong move

The ETHUSD forecast for 7 July 2026 is positive for Ethereum; after the pullback, the price may continue to rise, currently standing at 1,178.00 USD.

ETHUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Ethereum rose by more than 12% last week
• The price increased in response to the weak US Nonfarm Payrolls report
• ETHUSD forecast for 7 July 2026: 1,840.00 or 1,740.00

Fundamental analysis

Today’s Ethereum price forecast takes into account that Ethereum is correcting today in the 1,770.00–1,780.00 USD area, pulling back from local highs after rising by more than 12% last week.

The price increase was a reaction to the weak US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which weakened the dollar and forced the market to price in Federal Reserve policy easing.

Read this article on RoboForex website - ETHUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 index forecast: the index continues to reach new all-time highs

The US 30 index has confidently surpassed its all-time high, with a correction highly likely. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 57 thousand in June 2026
• Market impact: the data has a positive impact on the stock market

Fundamental analysis

US Nonfarm Payrolls data appears weak for the market, with actual job growth at 57 thousand, below the forecast of 114 thousand and the previous reading of 129 thousand. This indicates a notable cooling in the labour market and may fuel concerns that the US economy is losing growth momentum.

This may support stocks, as lower rates increase the appeal of the stock market and reduce borrowing costs for businesses.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Solana shows strong fundamentals, but bears remain in control

SOLUSD remains under selling pressure despite a strong fundamental backdrop and growing institutional investor interest in the Solana ecosystem. The price currently stands at 78.03.

SOLUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The volume of tokenised real-world assets in the Solana network increased by 540 million USD over the week, reaching a new all-time high
• The introduction of European regulation accelerated the redistribution of capital from high-risk altcoins into more stable blockchain platforms
• SOLUSD forecast for 9 July 2026: 64.80

Fundamental analysis

The SOLUSD price is correcting upwards after declining for two consecutive trading sessions. Near the 75.85 USD mark, sellers encountered strong support, allowing buyers to seize the initiative temporarily.

The fundamental backdrop remains favourable for Solana. The volume of tokenised real-world assets in the network increased by 540 million USD over the last week.

Read this article on RoboForex website - SOLUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US Tech forecast: the index continues to trade sideways

The US Tech index is trading sideways without a clear trend. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.

US Tech forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US services PMI came in at 51.2 in June 2026
• Market impact: the current data has a negative impact on the technology sector

Fundamental analysis

US services PMI data appears moderately negative for the market, but it does not represent a strong stress signal. The actual PMI reading was 51.2, compared to the forecast of 51.3 and the previous reading of 51.3.

For the US Tech, the impact could be mixed. On the one hand, weaker PMI indicates slower activity across the largest part of the US economy.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US Tech Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

DE 40 forecast: the index enters a correction

The DE 40 stock index entered a correction after reaching a new all-time high. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive.

DE 40 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Germany’s industrial production rose by 1.9% month-on-month in May
• Market impact: the data creates a moderately positive backdrop for the German stock market

Fundamental analysis

The publication of German industrial production data is a moderately positive signal for the DE 40 index. In May, the indicator rose by 0.9% compared to the previous month, significantly exceeding the forecast of 0.1%. Furthermore, output continued to rise following a revised increase of 0.2% in April.

Since the DE 40 index includes the country’s largest publicly traded companies and represents the main part of German stock market capitalisation, improved macroeconomic indicators may support its price.

Read this article on RoboForex website - DE 40 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

XAUUSD under pressure: oil, inflation, and the Fed unite against gold

Ahead of US data, gold is attempting to regain ground, with XAUUSD prices testing the 4,030 USD level.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• US Consumer Price Index (CPI): previously at 4.2%, projected at 3.8%
• The escalation of the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz is weighing on XAUUSD quotes
• The Federal Reserve may raise the interest rate in the near term

Fundamental analysis

The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 14 July 2026, shows that gold is forming a correction after declining and testing the 4,030 USD mark.

Following a series of hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, the market has increased the likelihood of an interest rate hike at the September meeting. Rising Treasury yields and a stronger dollar are reducing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding asset.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

XRP retains chances of reaching new local highs

XRPUSD is undergoing a correction following a rise, but the price holding above key levels supports expectations of further growth. The price currently stands at 1.1076.

XRPUSD forecast: key takeaways

• XRPUSD entered a moderate correction phase after a strong upward momentum
• Spot XRP ETFs in the US saw no net capital inflows for the first time in eight weeks
• The main reason for the pause in investment inflows was stronger resistance near 1.15

Fundamental analysis

The XRPUSD rate moved into a moderate correction after the strong upward momentum formed a day earlier. Buyers tested the key resistance level near 1.1145 USD, where they encountered profit-taking, which triggered a local decline in prices.

The fundamental backdrop remains mixed. For the week ending 13 July, spot XRP ETFs in the US did not record net capital inflows, breaking an eight-week series of steady investment, during which the funds attracted about 1.48 billion USD.

Read this article on RoboForex website - XRPUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

JP 225 forecast: the index continues to decline

The JP 225 stock index entered a downtrend as part of a correction, but the pace of decline is slowing. The JP 225 forecast for today is negative.

JP 225 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: Japan’s industrial production rose by 0.1% month-on-month in May
• Market impact: the effect on the Japanese stock market is mixed

Fundamental analysis

Industrial production in Japan grew by only 0.1% month-on-month in June, compared to the forecast of 0.5%. The previous reading also stood at 0.5%. As a result, the actual data came in noticeably weaker than expected and indicates a significant slowdown in manufacturing activity growth.

The initial reaction in the JP 225 may be negative. Weak industrial production figures could heighten concerns about the state of the Japanese economy and the sustainability of domestic demand.

Read this article on RoboForex website - JP 225 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US Tech forecast: the index is trading sideways

The US Tech index is trading in a sideways range with no sign of a trend reversal. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.

US Tech forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US CPI came in at 3.5% in June 2026
• Market impact: this data is negative for the technology sectord

Fundamental analysis

The annual Consumer Price Index declined from 4.2% to 3.5%, while the market had expected 3.8%. Thus, inflation came in not only significantly below the previous reading, but also better than the forecast. An additional positive signal was that core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, slowed from 2.9% to 2.6% year-on-year and remained unchanged compared to May.

For the US Tech index, this data is predominantly positive. Technology companies are especially sensitive to interest rate expectations, as a significant portion of their market value is based on their expected future profits.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US Tech Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team