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Analysis of margin levels for May 12, 2026 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: BUY 4632.08-4702.88, TP1-4773.68, TP2-4913.48.​

Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The maximum volume accumulation of the current contract is located in the range of 4700.00–4760.00. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within this range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.

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Medium-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation of the medium-term trend is located in the range of 4705.00–4715.00. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out above this range, which indicates the strength of buyers.

The favorable buy price area from the point of view of margin support is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the high of 12.05.2026.

The quote of the upper boundary of the 1/4 zone is 4702.88.

The quote of the upper boundary of the 1/2 zone is 4632.08.

Intraday targets: renewal of the highs from 12.05.2026 — 4773.68.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ — 4913.48.

​

Trading recommendations: buying from the favorable price range when a reversal pattern is formed.

Buy: 4632.08–4702.88, Take Profit 1–4773.68, Take Profit 2–4913.48.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 13, 2026 GBPUSD​

GBPUSD:

​

GBP/USD is trading around 1.3540 after a noticeable decline the previous day. The main pressure on the pair is coming from the strengthening of the US dollar after accelerating inflation and rising Treasury yields. The market has become more cautious in assessing the outlook for Fed rates, while demand for the US currency has increased due to worsening sentiment across global markets and rising oil prices.

The pound remains under domestic pressure due to political uncertainty in the United Kingdom and a jump in long-term government bond yields. Investors are concerned that prolonged disputes around the country’s leadership could complicate fiscal policy and increase borrowing costs for the government, businesses, and consumers. Therefore, attempts by the pound to stabilize appear limited.

As of today, the base case for GBP/USD remains moderately bearish. If demand for the dollar persists and there are no clear signs of easing political tensions in the UK, the pair may continue to correct lower. New data on U.S. producer prices could intensify the move if it confirms sustained inflationary pressure. Therefore, the preference remains for selling from current levels.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3540, SL 1.3560, TP 1.3450

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Elliott wave analysis of the market for May 14, 2026 BTCUSD​

BTCUSD: BUY 81400, SL 79100, TP 95000.​

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Bitcoin has so far been unable to resume its upward movement. Every attempt to rise encounters resistance that cannot be overcome. However, it is now possible to see that a zigzag pattern has formed, which means there is a high probability of another attempt to start an upward impulsive movement.

Growth is expected within the development of wave 3, which will likely extend. If this is indeed the case, we may witness a prolonged impulsive rally. Targets around 95,000 remain valid, although movement even higher is also possible.

In this situation, it is recommended to open positions upon a breakout of the local maximum.

Investment idea: BUY 81400, SL 79100, TP 95000.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 15, 2026 USDJPY​

Event to watch today:

15:30 EET. USD - Retail Sales

USDJPY:

​

USD/JPY is trading near 158.50 as the US dollar maintains its advantage amid a revision of expectations for Fed policy. Rising oil prices and supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz are increasing inflationary pressure, while fresh retail sales and jobless claims data point to the resilience of the US economy. This supports demand for the dollar against the yen.

The yen remains vulnerable despite discussions about possible action by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market. According to Reuters, Japan had already purchased yen in early May as USD/JPY approached the 160.00 area. Such measures may restrain sharp upward moves, but they do not yet change the overall balance of power: the yield differential between the US and Japan continues to favour the dollar.

In Japan, inflationary pressure is also increasing due to expensive energy and the weak national currency, which raises expectations of stricter decisions by the Bank of Japan at upcoming meetings. However, until the regulator provides concrete signals, the market will continue to focus on US statistics and Fed expectations. Therefore, the base-case scenario remains a moderate rise in USD/JPY, with an elevated risk of intervention from Tokyo.

Trading recommendation: BUY 158.50, SL 158.20, TP 159.40

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Weekly Overview: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 22 May 2026​

XAUUSD: SELL 4530.00, SL 4560.00, TP 4440.00​

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Gold starts the week under pressure, trading around 4530 dollars per ounce. Despite tensions in the Middle East, the metal is receiving limited support, as rising oil prices are strengthening inflation expectations and supporting US bond yields.

An additional pressure factor remains the strong US dollar. Investors are waiting for the minutes of the latest Fed meeting and assessing the likelihood of tight financial conditions being maintained for longer. Against this backdrop, demand for gold may remain restrained.

Trading recommendation: SELL 4530.00, SL 4560.00, TP 4440.00

#SP500: SELL 7408, SL 7460, TP 7250​

The S&P 500 enters the week after declining amid rising oil prices and US bond yields. Expensive energy increases inflation concerns, while higher debt market yields reduce the attractiveness of equities, especially after the index’s strong rise in previous weeks.

Investors will focus on the Fed minutes, US business activity, and reports from major companies. If the data confirms persistent price pressure, the market may continue its correction, as expectations for interest rates will remain less favorable for equities.

Trading recommendation: SELL 7408, SL 7460, TP 7250

#BRENT: BUY 111.25, SL 108.25, TP 120.25​

​

Brent starts the week rising above 111 dollars per barrel. The main factor remains the risk of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant share of global oil exports normally passes. Reports of attacks in the region are creating additional tension.

As long as diplomatic progress remains limited, the market will continue to price in a risk premium. Even with concerns about global demand, the current balance remains supportive for oil: any signs of deterioration in the Middle East may strengthen Brent buying.

Trading recommendation: BUY 111.25, SL 108.25, TP 120.25

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Analysis of margin levels for May 19, 2026 XAUUSD​

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​

• Long-term trend: bearish. The highest concentration of volume for the current contract is located within the range of 4670.00–4720.00. Currently, trading activity in XAUUSD is occurring below this range, indicating the strength of sellers.

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• Medium-term trend: short. The maximum concentration of medium-term trend volume is located in the range of 4690.00–4705.00. Currently, trading in XAUUSD is taking place below this range, indicating the strength of sellers.

• The area of favorable prices for selling from a margin requirement perspective is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones drawn from the low of May 18, 2026.

• The lower boundary of the 1/4 zone is quoted at 4548.30.

• The lower boundary of the 1/2 zone is quoted at 4616.60.

• Intraday targets: a retest of the lows from May 18, 2026—4480.00.

• Medium-term targets: a test of the lower boundary of the Average Weekly Control Zone—4233.70.

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• Trading recommendations: sell from the range of favorable prices upon the formation of a reversal pattern.

• Sell: 4548.30–4616.60, Take Profit 1–4480.00, Take Profit 2–4233.70.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 20, 2026 EURUSD​

Event to watch today:

21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes

EURUSD:

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​

EUR/USD is trading near 1.1610 on Wednesday, May 20, after falling to April lows. Pressure on the pair is being driven by a strong US dollar: investors are pricing in a higher probability of a Fed rate hike by the end of the year due to rising inflation risks linked to expensive oil and tensions in the Middle East. Additional support comes from demand for safe-haven assets, which strengthens the dollar against major currencies.

The euro is not receiving stable support from expectations that the ECB may be more cautious with further policy easing. For the market, the yield gap and the dollar’s strength are currently more important, as rising energy prices worsen the outlook for the eurozone economy and increase business costs. Against this backdrop, euro buyers remain cautious, while the pair’s recovery is still limited.

Today, market attention is shifting to the minutes of the latest Fed meeting. If the document confirms the regulator’s readiness to maintain tight financial conditions for longer or discuss a rate hike if inflation remains elevated, the dollar may keep its advantage. For EUR/USD, this keeps the baseline scenario pointed lower toward 1.1520, as long as the external backdrop supports the US currency.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1610, SL 1.1640, TP 1.1520

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Analysis of margin levels for May 21, 2026 #NQ100​

#NQ100: BUY 28748.9-29026.4, TP1-29303.9, TP2-30234.9.​

• Long-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation of the current contract is located in the range of 24000.0–24300.0, according to quotes. Currently, investment transactions are being conducted on #NQ100 above this range, indicating buyer strength.



• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation of the medium-term trend is located in the range of 28980.0–29030.0, according to quotes. Currently, investment transactions are being conducted on #NQ100 above this range, indicating buyer strength.

• The area of favorable purchase prices in terms of margin is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2, built from the high of May 20, 2026.

• The quote for the upper boundary of zone 1/4 is 29026.4.

• Upper boundary of the zone: 1/2–28748.9.

• Intraday targets: Renewing the highs from May 20, 2026–29303.9.

• Medium-term goals: test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ – 30234.9.



• Investment recommendations: Buy from within the favorable price range when a reversal pattern forms.

• Buy: 28748.9–29026.4, Take Profit 1–29303.9, Take Profit 2–30234.9.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 22, 2026 GBPUSD​

GBPUSD:

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GBP/USD is trading near 1.3430 on Friday, May 22, after an attempted recovery during the week. The pound looks more resilient than the euro, but the overall background remains mixed: the US dollar is supported by strong domestic statistics and uncertainty around the Middle East. Investors are in no hurry to sell the US currency, as high oil prices increase caution in global markets.

Pressure on the pound increased after weak UK business activity data. The preliminary composite index for May fell below 50 points, indicating a contraction in business activity for the first time since April last year. This negative signal outweighed the effect of more favorable inflation data and strong GDP for the first quarter, as the market again prices in the risk of weaker demand.

The main scenario for GBP/USD remains downward. The Bank of England remains restrained in its assessments, while market participants mostly expect the rate to be kept unchanged at the next meeting, which limits support for the pound. The dollar retains an advantage due to US macroeconomic data and its status as a safe-haven currency during a period of geopolitical uncertainty. As long as the pair has not consolidated above 1.3460, selling looks preferable.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3430, SL 1.3460, TP 1.3340

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Weekly overview: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 29 May 2026​

XAUUSD: BUY 4560.00, SL 4530.00, TP 4650.00​

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​

Gold starts the week near $4,560 per ounce and is supported by a weaker US dollar. Investors are assessing the prospects of a US-Iran agreement on the Strait of Hormuz: lower oil prices reduce inflation risks and partly ease the pressure of high interest rates on the metals market.

Demand for safe-haven assets remains in place, as a quick outcome to the negotiations is not guaranteed. If the dollar stays under pressure and market participants continue to price in a softer inflation backdrop due to falling oil prices, XAU/USD may keep the advantage on the buyers’ side during the week.

Trading recommendation: BUY 4560.00, SL 4530.00, TP 4650.00

#SP500: BUY 7475, SL 7415, TP 7655​

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The S&P 500 starts the week near 7,475 points after steady growth in the US stock market. The index is supported by improved investor risk sentiment, oil falling below $100, and demand for technology stocks following strong corporate earnings.

The main factor limiting growth is the high yield on US Treasury bonds and the Fed’s caution due to inflation. However, if Middle East negotiations continue to reduce energy risks, #SP500 still has room for moderate growth.

Trading recommendation: BUY 7475, SL 7415, TP 7655

#BRENT: SELL 98.30, SL 101.30, TP 89.30​

​

Brent starts the week near $98.30 per barrel after a sharp decline. Pressure on the price increased due to expectations of a US-Iran agreement, which could open the way for the restoration of shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and reduce the risk premium in oil prices.

The market is still taking into account the possibility that negotiations may fail, so upward rebounds are possible. However, the basic weekly background is shifting toward a decline: if supply concerns ease and demand remains cautious, Brent may continue moving lower.

Trading recommendation: SELL 98.30, SL 101.30, TP 89.30

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Elliott wave analysis of the market for May 26, 2026 BTCUSD​

BTCUSD: BUY 76800, SL 75900, TP 95000.​

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​

Bitcoin continues its struggle for the opportunity to develop a strong upward impulsive movement. So far, there has been little success. Every step higher comes with difficulty and is met with an immediate response from the opposing side.

Nevertheless, the situation still remains favorable for growth. Previously, the development of a corrective decline in the form of a zigzag likely came to an end, representing wave 2 within an emerging upward impulsive movement.

This was followed by an attempt to rise and then a corrective pullback. Today, buyers are likely to make another attempt to push the price higher, so it is worth considering opening long positions at current market levels.

Investment idea: BUY 76800, SL 75900, TP 95000.

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[Fresh Forex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for May 27, 2026 GBPUSD​

GBPUSD:

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​

GBP/USD is trading near 1.3450 on Wednesday, May 27, after pulling back from higher levels seen at the start of the week. The British currency remains under pressure due to the strengthening US dollar, as investors are taking a more cautious view of the prospects for a quick resolution of the conflict around Iran. New US strikes have worsened market sentiment, while stronger demand for the US currency limits the pound’s recovery.

The domestic backdrop for the UK is also mixed. The latest business activity data showed the composite PMI falling below 50, indicating an economic slowdown. Inflation slowed to 2.8% in April, but rising energy prices continue to create risks for households and businesses. The Bank of England is likely to act cautiously, so the pound is not receiving strong support from rate expectations.

The political factor is also holding back pound buyers after regional elections and discussions about the stability of the Labour Party leadership. At the same time, the pair’s short-term movement still depends on the dollar and news from the Middle East. As long as investors prefer defensive assets, GBP/USD remains vulnerable to further decline.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3450, SL 1.3480, TP 1.3360

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Analysis of margin levels for May 28, 2026 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: SELL 4500.63-4590.28, TP1-4367.23, TP2-4121.33.

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Long-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range, at quotes 4395.00–4445.00. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out below the specified range, which indicates the strength of sellers.

​

Medium-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the medium-term trend is located in the range, at quotes 4535.00-4555.00. At the moment, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out below the specified range, which indicates the strength of sellers.

The area of favorable prices for selling from the point of view of margin support is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the minimum of 28.05.2026.

The quote of the lower boundary of the 1/4 zone is 4433.93.

The quote of the lower boundary of the 1/2 zone is 4500.63.

Intraday targets: renewal of the lows from 28.05.2026–4367.23.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ - 4121.33.

​

Trading recommendations: sales from the range of favorable prices when a reversal pattern is formed.

Sell: 4500.63-4590.28, Take Profit 1–4367.23, Take Profit 2–4121.33.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 29, 2026 USDJPY​

USDJPY:

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​

USD/JPY is trading above 159.00, remaining close to the area where expectations of possible action by Japanese authorities previously increased. The dollar is supported by high US inflation and the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance, but further growth in the pair is limited by the risk of intervention from Japan and reports of easing tensions around the US and Iran.

The yen remains weak due to softer Tokyo inflation data, which reduced market confidence in a near-term rate hike by the Bank of Japan. However, the proximity of USD/JPY to 160.00 makes dollar buying less comfortable: market participants remember that such levels were previously accompanied by strong warnings from Japanese officials and sharp movements in the pair.

For today, the base scenario suggests a cautious decline in USD/JPY from current levels. If the dollar continues to lose support after reports of a ceasefire, and investors start reducing risk ahead of a possible reaction from Japan, the yen may recover part of its positions. Therefore, selling looks preferable, especially while the market remains cautious around the 160.00 area.

Trading recommendation: SELL 159.35, SL 159.65, TP 158.45

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Weekly Review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 5 June 2026​

XAUUSD: BUY 4518.50, SL 4478.50, TP 4645.50​

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Gold starts the week near $4,518–4,522 per ounce: a stronger dollar and interest rate expectations limit further growth, but the conflict in the Middle East continues to support demand for safe-haven assets. The market is waiting for signals from the Fed and news on US-Iran talks, so sharp price swings remain possible.

On the weekly horizon, the baseline scenario remains moderately positive: tensions around energy supplies increase inflation risks, while central bank demand supports gold on pullbacks. Dollar strength may slow the move, but if the geopolitical backdrop worsens, buyers could push the price back above current levels.

Trading recommendation: BUY 4518.50, SL 4478.50, TP 4645.50

#SP500: BUY 7616, SL 7550, TP 7820​

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The S&P 500 enters June near record highs: the index is trading around 7,580, while the futures price is close to 7,616. The market is supported by strong earnings expectations and demand for companies linked to artificial intelligence. Rising oil prices remain the main limiting factor, as they increase concerns about inflation.

This week, investors will focus on US employment data and Fed comments. If the reports do not show a sharp overheating of the economy, demand for equities may remain stable. However, the high concentration of growth in the technology sector increases the risk of profit-taking, so the buy scenario looks cautious.

Trading recommendation: BUY 7616, SL 7550, TP 7820

#BRENT: BUY 93.20, SL 90.80, TP 100.40​

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Brent starts the week near $93.10–93.30 per barrel after gaining more than 2%. The key driver is tension in the Persian Gulf region and uncertainty around US-Iran negotiations. The market is concerned about possible supply disruptions, which offsets part of the pressure from weaker Chinese oil imports in May.

Over the week, the price may remain supported while Middle East news stays worrying. Growth is limited by expectations of supply recovery if the ceasefire is extended, as well as buyer caution after the May decline. The baseline scenario is moderate growth with high sensitivity to news.

Trading recommendation: BUY 93.20, SL 90.80, TP 100.40

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Analysis of margin levels for June 2, 2026 #NQ100​

#NQ100: BUY 30079.8-30357.3, TP1-30634.8, TP2-31380.8.​

Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range, at quotes 29070.0–29360.0. At the moment, investment operations on #NQ100 are being carried out above the specified range, which indicates the strength of buyers.

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Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the medium-term trend is located in the range, at quotes 29950.0–30020.0 and 30300.0–30370.0. At the moment, investment operations on #NQ100 are being carried out inside the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.

The area of favorable prices for buying from the point of view of margin support is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the maximum of 01.06.2026.

The quote of the upper boundary of the 1/4 zone is 30357.3.

The quote of the upper boundary of the 1/2 zone is 30079.8.

Intraday targets: renewal of the highs from 01.06.2026–30634.8.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ – 31380.8.

​

Investment recommendations: purchases from the range of favorable prices when a reversal pattern is formed.

Buy: 30079.8-30357.3, Take Profit 1-30634.8, Take Profit 2-31380.8.

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[Fresh Forex]

Oil back in the spotlight!​

Oil #WTI and #BRENT remain among the most sensitive assets in the market. Prices continue to be supported by tensions in the Middle East, uncertainty surrounding US-Iran negotiations, restricted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and the risk of supply disruptions. According to Reuters, on June 2, #BRENT closed near $96 per barrel, while #WTI settled around $93.76, extending gains amid expectations of new developments regarding Iran and global oil supplies.
The key driver for the market remains geopolitics. The Strait of Hormuz continues to be a major risk point, as a significant share of global oil and gas flows passes through this route, and any restrictions on its operation increase supply concerns. Additional pressure comes from attacks on Russian oil refining infrastructure, declining oil inventories ahead of the high-demand summer season, and ongoing uncertainty surrounding a potential peace agreement involving Iran. At the same time, upside potential is being limited by signs of weakening demand. Elevated prices are already forcing consumers and industries to reduce consumption, while the International Energy Agency has reported softer demand from both the petrochemical and aviation sectors.

​

5 factors currently driving #WTI and #BRENT:

• The Strait of Hormuz. Restrictions on shipping through one of the world’s most important oil transit routes support prices and increase the risk premium.
• US-Iran negotiations. Any signs of a breakthrough agreement could push prices lower, while failed talks or renewed escalation could trigger another strong rally.
• Oil inventories. Traders are closely monitoring stockpiles in the US and globally. Continued inventory declines ahead of the summer season may provide further support for WTI and BRENT.
• Demand from China, aviation, and petrochemicals. If high prices begin to weigh more heavily on consumption, oil may enter a corrective phase.
• Production growth outside the Middle East. The US, Brazil, Argentina, and other producers are partially offsetting supply shortages, but so far not enough to fully ease market tensions.

Changes in oil prices also affect the shares of major energy companies. Rising #WTI and #BRENT prices typically support oil producers such as ExxonMobil (#Exxon), Chevron (#Chevron), ConocoPhillips (#ConPhillip), Shell (#Shell), BP (#BP), and TotalEnergies (#Total). Higher oil prices generally boost revenue and profit margins for producers, as they can sell crude at higher prices while operating costs remain relatively stable. This can improve financial performance and increase investor interest in their stocks.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for June 5, 2026 EURUSD​

Event to watch today:

15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate

EURUSD:

​

EUR/USD is trading near 1.1615, remaining under pressure due to steady demand for the US dollar. The American currency is supported by tensions in the Persian Gulf, rising oil prices, and investors’ cautious attitude toward risk assets. Brent is holding above $90 per barrel, increasing concerns about inflation and supporting demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.

For the euro, the situation remains difficult. Rising energy prices increase costs for businesses and households in the eurozone, which worsens the outlook for industry and consumer demand. The ECB is in a difficult position: inflation risks require caution, while weak economic dynamics limit the room for more decisive action.

Today, the market’s attention is focused on the US employment report. The number of jobs is expected to have increased by 85,000 in May, while unemployment is expected to remain at 4.3%. If the data confirms the resilience of the labor market, the dollar may maintain its advantage, while EUR/USD may continue to decline.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1615, SL 1.1645, TP 1.1525

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[Fresh Forex]

Weekly overview: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 12 June 2026​

XAUUSD: SELL 4310.00, SL 4340.00, TP 4220.00​

​

Gold starts the week under pressure after a strong US labor market report. The data strengthened expectations of a higher Fed rate, supporting the US dollar and US Treasury yields. This is a negative factor for gold, as the asset does not generate interest income.

At the same time, the decline may be limited by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and demand for safe-haven assets. However, over the weekly horizon, Fed policy expectations remain the key factor: if the market continues to price in a higher rate, XAU/USD may retain its downward bias.

Trading recommendation: SELL 4310.00, SL 4340.00, TP 4220.00

#SP500: SELL 7400, SL 7460, TP 7220​

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The US stock market enters the new week after a strong sell-off in the technology sector. Pressure increased after the US employment report: the resilient labor market reduced expectations of a quick easing of Fed policy and made investors more sensitive to upcoming inflation data.

Additional risk for #SP500 comes from rising oil prices and tensions in the Middle East, as these factors may increase inflation expectations and put pressure on corporate costs. Over the weekly horizon, the base-case scenario is a cautious decline in the index while risk appetite remains unstable.

Trading recommendation: SELL 7400, SL 7460, TP 7220

#BRENT: BUY 96.50, SL 93.50, TP 105.50​

​

Brent starts the week higher amid a renewed escalation between Israel and Iran. The market is again assessing risks to oil supplies through the Middle East, including possible disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. This supports prices despite investor caution after strong US economic data.

The OPEC+ decision to increase production quotas from July remains a limiting factor. However, the actual effect may be limited if geopolitical risks continue to disrupt stable exports. This week, the fundamental balance for Brent remains moderately positive.

Trading recommendation: BUY 96.50, SL 93.50, TP 105.50

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Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

 

[Fresh Forex]

Analysis of margin levels for June 09, 2026 XAUUSD​

XAUUSD: SELL 4323.05–4377.25, TP1 4268.85, TP2 4060.95.​

Long-term trend: short. The largest volume concentration of the current contract is located in the 4440.00–4490.00 range. XAUUSD is currently trading below this range, which indicates seller strength.

​

Medium-term trend: short. The largest volume concentration within the medium-term trend is located in the 4455.00–4478.00 range. XAUUSD is currently trading below this range, which also confirms seller strength.

From a margin zone perspective, the favorable selling area is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones, built from the low of 08.06.2026.

The lower boundary of the 1/4 zone is 4323.05.

The lower boundary of the 1/2 zone is 4377.25.

Intraday targets: a retest of the lows from 08.06.2026 at 4268.85.

Medium-term targets: a test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ at 4060.95.

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Trading idea: selling from the favorable price range if a reversal pattern forms.

Sell: 4323.05–4377.25, Take Profit 1 4268.85, Take Profit 2 4060.95.

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