Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Price Soars By Around 8% After Court Ruling

At the end of August, we reported that Alphabet (GOOGL) stock price had reached a historic high, closing above $210. But today, the price is likely to climb to a new, significantly higher level. Yesterday, in after-hours trading, it surged by roughly 8%.

Why did Alphabet (GOOGL) shares rise?

The jump is explained by a court ruling in a case concerning alleged monopoly practices related to the Chrome browser. According to Investopedia, a federal judge ruled that the tech giant does not need to sell Chrome. This dispelled fears that Alphabet might have been forced to part with a core part of its business.

Interestingly, one of the factors behind the judge’s decision was the spread of AI solutions (such as ChatGPT and Perplexity), which offer competition to Chrome’s search and browsing functions.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Gold Price Reaches a New All-Time High

As shown on today’s XAU/USD chart, the price of gold has risen above $3,530 per ounce for the first time in history.

In 2025, the increase in gold prices has been driven by sustained central bank purchases, asset diversification, steady demand for so-called safe-haven assets amid geopolitical and trade tensions, as well as general dollar weakness.

At the beginning of September, bullish sentiment may have been reinforced by:

→ Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a nearly 92% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed meeting on 17 September. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is typically seen as a beneficiary of low interest rates.

→ News from China, where, in the presence of leaders from many countries, the establishment of a SCO development bank was announced. Market participants may have interpreted this as a new source of geopolitical risk and as pressure on the dollar’s status. Donald Trump has already claimed that the summit in China represents a conspiracy against the United States.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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What Are Fair Value Gaps and Liquidity Voids in the SMC?

Understanding the distinction between fair value gaps (FVGs) and liquidity voids may support traders aiming to interpret market structure with precision. Both concepts, fundamental to the Smart Money Concept (SMC) framework, reveal important insights into supply and demand imbalances. In this article, we’ll break down the mechanics of fair value gaps and liquidity voids, highlight their differences, and discuss how they may be applied in trading strategies.

Fair Value Gap (FVG) Meaning in Trading

A fair value gap, also known as an imbalance or FVG, is a crucial idea in Smart Money Concept that sheds light on the dynamics of supply and demand for a particular asset. This phenomenon occurs when there is a significant disparity between the number of buy and sell orders for an asset. They occur across all asset types, from forex and commodities to stocks and crypto*.

Essentially, a fair value gap in trading highlights a moment where the market consensus leans heavily towards either buying or selling but finds insufficient counter orders to match this enthusiasm. On a chart, this typically looks like a large candle that hasn’t yet been traded back through.

Specifically, a fair value gap is a three-candle pattern; the middle candle, or second candle, features a strong move in a given direction and is the most important, while the first and third candles represent the boundaries of the pattern. Once the third candle closes, the fair value gap is formed. There should be a distance between the wicks of the first and third candles.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Dollar Strengthens But Remains Under Pressure: Markets Await Jobs Data

The US currency managed to regain some ground in the first half of the week, yet no solid foundation for sustained growth has emerged. Market participants remain cautious, weighing both the latest macroeconomic data and expectations ahead of the release of the US non-farm payrolls report (NFP). This publication is traditionally regarded as a key indicator for assessing the Federal Reserve’s next steps and is capable of setting the tone for markets in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, with persistent pressure on the dollar, more analysts are expecting an increase in net short positions by the end of September.

Today’s statistics from the US and Canada add to market nerves: jobless claims, business activity indices (PMI), and trade balance figures could adjust short-term expectations. Another driver is Canadian labour market data (5 September at 15:30 GMT+3), which could influence the dynamics of the USD/CAD pair.

USD/CAD

Following the formation of a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily timeframe, the USD/CAD pair managed to test key resistance at 1.3800. Technical analysis of USD/CAD points to potential strengthening towards 1.3860–1.3900 if the 1.3800 level turns into support. A pullback from current levels could trigger a decline towards 1.3720–1.3760.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Silver Price Retreats from a 14-Year High

As the XAG/USD chart shows, yesterday silver climbed above $41.40 per ounce. The last time silver traded at this level was in September 2011. The rise in XAG/USD was supported by gold surging to a record high, which we reported yesterday.

Furthermore, Goldman Sachs analysts have issued a gold price forecast for mid-2026, according to which XAU/USD could rise to:
→ $4,000 under the base case;
→ $5,000 if 1% of the private US Treasury market flows into gold. This scenario would imply a loss of Federal Reserve independence, higher inflation, and the US dollar weakening as a so-called reserve currency.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month High

As the AAPL chart shows, yesterday the price rose above $238 – its highest level since early March.

The optimistic sentiment was fuelled by:
→ A court ruling concerning Google, which we reported on yesterday. Apple shares advanced after the court allowed Alphabet to continue paying Apple for preloading Google Search on the iPhone. Bank of America analysts even raised their AAPL price target to $260.
→ The upcoming Apple presentation scheduled for 9 September. Expectations are that the event could unveil the iPhone 17 and new Apple Watch models, which may provide a bullish catalyst.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Understanding the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) in Trading

The Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is a market structure concept used to identify areas of significant price displacement that may signal a shift in market sentiment. Unlike standard Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), which often act as magnets for price to revisit, IFVGs highlight zones where price may be less likely to return—suggesting the possibility of a strong directional move or trend reversal. Understanding IFVGs may offer traders additional conext when analysing momentum-driven markets or planning entries and exits. This article examines how IFVGs form, how they differ from conventional FVGs, and how they might be incorporated into a broader technical analysis framework.

Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – A Brief Overview

A Fair Value Gap (FVG) occurs when the market moves so rapidly in one direction that it leaves an imbalance in price action. This imbalance shows up on a chart as a gap between three consecutive candles: the wick of the first candle and the wick of the third candle fail to overlap, leaving a “gap” created by the second candle. It essentially highlights an area where buying or selling pressure was so dominant that the market didn’t trade efficiently.

Traders view these gaps as areas of potential interest because markets often revisit these levels to "fill" the imbalance. For example, in a bullish FVG, the gap reflects aggressive buying that outpaced selling, potentially creating a future support zone. On the other hand, bearish FVGs indicate overwhelming selling pressure, which might act as resistance later.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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In September, the S&P 500 Index Reached a New All-Time High

September is a month that statistically has the worst reputation for the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). However, in 2025 things may be different, as today the index hit a record high, rising above 6,520 points.

Bullish sentiment is being driven by:
→ expectations of an interest rate cut in September, which is believed will give the US economy a positive boost (and increase corporate profits);
→ yesterday’s release of the ISM Services PMI (actual = 52.0, forecast = 50.9), which pointed to industrial growth;
→ strong corporate results – for example, Broadcom (AVGO) published a solid report yesterday.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Amazon (AMZN) Shares Jump Over 4%

Amazon (AMZN) shares were among the top gainers in the equity markets yesterday, rising more than 4% and closing above $235 for the first time since February 2025.

The rally was fuelled by reports that Kuiper – Amazon’s project aimed at providing internet access via a network of low-Earth orbit satellites – has signed a partnership agreement with JetBlue. From 2027, this will allow free Wi-Fi to be offered on board selected aircraft. As a result, Amazon’s project is emerging as a new competitor to Elon Musk’s Starlink.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[mark2025]

hi everyone i m new here

 

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Market Analysis: NZD/USD and AUD/USD Rally Attempts, Will Buyers Stay in Charge?

AUD/USD started a decent increase above 0.6580. NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.5920.

Important Takeaways for AUD USD and NZD USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above 0.6545 against the US Dollar.
• There was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at 0.6530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5880 pivot level.
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5870 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from 0.6500. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear 0.6520 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.

The bulls cleared a contracting triangle with resistance at 0.6530. There was a close above the 0.6550 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested 0.6585. A high was formed near 0.6588 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.

There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6501 swing low to the 0.6588 high. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6585.

An upside break above 0.6585 might send the pair further higher. The next stop is near 0.6640. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6700 handle.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Canadian Dollar Falls After Labour Market Data Release

On Friday, disappointing figures showed that in August the Canadian economy lost 65,500 jobs (the forecast had been for an increase of 10,000), while the unemployment rate rose to 7.1%. This is the highest level of unemployment since May 2016, excluding the pandemic period.

It is believed that:
→ the deterioration in the labour market (primarily in manufacturing) is a consequence of the trade war with the United States;
→ the fall in employment in Canada has increased the likelihood that the Bank of Canada will resume its monetary easing campaign.

As a result, the CAD weakened sharply against other currencies. However, the depreciation against the US dollar was less pronounced, as the USD itself is under pressure from various factors.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Nikkei 225 Rises Following Resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba

As the chart shows, Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock index (Japan 225 on FXOpen) today approached its historic peak (B) around the 43,900 level.

Bullish sentiment was driven by political news. According to Reuters, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has stepped down. The leading candidate to replace him, Sanae Takaichi, is regarded as a supporter of stimulus measures and unprecedented monetary easing – a bullish factor for companies.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Learning Popular Reversal Signals: 10 Candlestick Patterns

Spotting market reversals early is one of the most valuable skills a trader can develop. Candlestick patterns may provide a clear visual representation of price dynamics, which may help identify shifts in sentiment before they fully unfold. When applied correctly, they can serve as important parts of trading strategies.

This article examines 10 candlestick reversal patterns that experienced traders rely on to navigate both bullish and bearish turning points.

What Are Reversal Candlestick Patterns?
Reversal candlesticks are important formations in technical analysis that signal a potential shift in the direction of an asset’s price. These patterns are observed within candlestick charts, where each "candle" reflects the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a specific period. Reversal patterns suggest that the current trend, whether upward or downward, may be losing momentum, providing a signal for traders to enter or exit the market before the trend reverses.

Reversal candlestick patterns come in both bullish and bearish forms. A bullish reversal indicates the potential end of a downward trend and the beginning of an upward movement, while a bearish reversal suggests the end of an uptrend and the start of a downtrend. Some common reversal patterns include the hammer, shooting star, engulfing candles, and three black crows or three white soldiers.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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What Is a Change of Character in the Smart Money Concept?

Mastering Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading hinges on recognising pivotal market shifts such as the Change of Character (CHoCH). This price action pattern serves as a signal of potential trend reversals, which may be used by traders to adjust positions and manage risk. In this article, we break down the CHoCH pattern, show how it differs from other structural shifts, and provide an example of how it might be applied on a real price chart.

Understanding Breaks of Structure
Understanding Breaks of Structure (BOS) is essential for traders before delving into concepts like Change of Character (CHoCH). A BOS in trading signifies a continuation within the current trend and is marked by a clear deviation from established swing points that indicate previous highs and lows.

In the context of an uptrend, a BOS is identified when the price exceeds a previous high without moving below the most recent higher low. This action confirms that the upward momentum is still strong and likely to continue as buyers push the market to new heights.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Analytical Euro to US Dollar Forecast for 2025 and 2026

EUR/USD has undergone a remarkable turnaround recently, rebounding from multi-year lows in early 2025 to levels above 1.17 in 2025 as shifting Fed policy expectations and a steadier Eurozone outlook reshape market sentiment. With analytical euro to dollar predictions pointing to moderate gains into 2026, here’s what to know about the key economic triggers that could define the next stage of the pair’s trajectory.

Historical Context and Recent Trends (2020–2025)
From 2019 to the present, the EUR/USD currency pair has navigated through turbulent economic waters, influenced by a series of global events and differing monetary policies between Europe and the United States.

Initially, the euro experienced a gradual depreciation against the dollar, moving from around 1.14 at 2019’s open to close the year at 1.12. This was largely due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) continuation of its quantitative easing program, coupled with its persistently low interest rate of 0%.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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US Dollar Index (DXY) Drops to 7-Week Low Ahead of Key Inflation Data

As the US Dollar Index (DXY) chart shows, the value of the USD against a basket of other currencies has fallen below 97.30 – its lowest level since late July.

The reasons lie in market sentiment ahead of major data releases:
→ On Wednesday at 15:30 GMT+3, Producer Price Index (PPI) figures will be published; a month ago they came in extremely high.
→ On Thursday at 15:30 GMT+3, Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures are due.

These releases are particularly significant as next week the Federal Reserve is set to announce its decision on interest rates – a 25-basis-point cut is widely expected.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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XAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might Pause

Today’s XAU/USD chart shows that gold continues to set records in September. The price has risen above $3,650 per ounce for the first time in history – one of the main drivers being expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut on Wednesday, 17 September.

Easier monetary policy is generally seen as boosting gold’s appeal – this has pushed XAU/USD nearly 6% higher since the start of September. However, the chart highlights three reasons why further upside may be limited.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Analysing Supply and Demand Trading Structures

A clear understanding of supply and demand zones allows traders to analyse market structure, anticipate possible price reactions, and study trend development. These zones represent areas where buying or selling pressure has historically influenced price movement, offering valuable context for evaluating future market scenarios. By observing how price interacts with these levels, traders may distinguish between strong and weak signals within different market conditions. This article outlines four primary supply and demand patterns, examining their characteristics and methods of application within trading strategies.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The Market Awaits ECB Signals: The Euro Loses Some Ground

European currency is consolidating and retreating slightly from local highs ahead of the ECB meeting. Friday’s weak US labour market data gave the euro a boost, but at the start of the week the market remained undecided on how to interpret the signals: after an attempt to strengthen, a correction followed, and traders returned to a wait-and-see approach. In the coming sessions, attention will be focused on the ECB’s decisions, updated macroeconomic forecasts, and comments from the ECB President, as well as on US releases that could influence expectations for the Fed (mortgage data and producer price indicators). In this environment of uncertainty, trading remains range-bound: a break above Friday’s highs in the euro would require confirmation from ECB rhetoric and weak US data; in the absence of such signals, the base case remains further consolidation with the risk of a deeper correction towards support levels.

EUR/USD

The pair has pulled back from recent highs and is holding near short-term support, reflecting caution ahead of the European regulator’s rhetoric. Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests a possible decline towards 1.1600–1.1630, as a bearish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. If the price returns above 1.1740, a retest of Friday’s highs near 1.1800 is possible.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.