Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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European Currencies Move Sideways Ahead of Key US Data

The euro and the pound have entered a consolidation phase after rising earlier in the week, reflecting a cautious market stance ahead of the release of a key set of US macroeconomic data. Trading activity has noticeably declined, as investors prefer not to increase positions before the publication of US GDP and personal spending figures, which could have a significant impact on expectations regarding future Federal Reserve policy.

Geopolitical developments are providing an additional backdrop, alongside discussions at the Davos summit, where the focus is on global economic prospects, trade tariffs and policy coordination among leading economies — factors that are further reinforcing caution in the foreign exchange market.

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Intel (INTC) Shares Surge Ahead of Earnings Release

Yesterday, Intel (INTC) shares jumped by 11% in a single session, climbing above $54.00 — a level last seen in early 2022.

The sharp rally reflects several factors:
→ the psychological impact of breaking above the $50 threshold;
→ a short squeeze effect;
→ prevailing bullish sentiment ahead of Intel’s earnings report, due to be released after the close of the main trading session today.

Optimism is being driven by:

→ Analyst commentary (notably from HSBC), suggesting that the evolution of AI from simple chatbots to autonomous agents requires massive CPU capacity, not just GPUs. This implies a potential shift in demand away from Nvidia’s products towards Intel’s server chips.

→ Successful implementation of the 18A process technology and strong prospects for Panther Lake processors. Market participants may be expecting Intel to unveil ambitious plans for 2026, signalling the company’s emergence from its recent difficulties.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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US Dollar Strengthens After Trump’s Statements on Greenland

During his visit to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Donald Trump softened his stance on claims over Greenland. According to media reports, the US President pledged not to use military force against NATO allies and also withdrew threats to impose tariffs on goods from several European countries. This eased geopolitical tensions, leading not only to a recovery in US equities but also to a strengthening of the US dollar.

The USD/JPY chart, for example, shows the US dollar gaining ground against the yen (marked by the orange arrow), which is under pressure ahead of the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision scheduled for tomorrow.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Natural Gas Prices Surge as Cold Weather Approaches

According to AccuWeather, a powerful Arctic cold front is expected to sweep across the United States, reaching as far south as the southern states and bringing lower temperatures to more than 150 million people across 24 states.

On Thursday, Texas Governor Abbott declared a state of emergency in more than half of the state’s counties ahead of the cold snap. It is worth noting that Texas is home to key natural gas production facilities, while its infrastructure is less adapted to prolonged cold weather.

As a result, market sentiment is being shaped both by expectations of higher natural gas demand for heating and by the risk of technical disruptions to production.

Consequently, the XNG/USD chart shows a sharp rise in natural gas prices, with the move from last week’s low to the recent high amounting to nearly 40%.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Tesla (TSLA) Shares Jump After Musk’s Davos Remarks

This year’s Davos Forum has drawn attention not only because of developments around Greenland and Donald Trump’s proposed Peace Council, but also due to the appearance of Elon Musk, who has previously criticised the event. The world’s richest man made bold statements regarding Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robots, which became a key talking point.

According to Musk’s vision:

→ Tesla plans to begin selling Optimus robots to the general public by the end of 2027, with an estimated price of $20,000–$30,000, making them cheaper than a car.

→ In the long term, Optimus robots could account for up to 80% of Tesla’s total company value, while the robotics market — where robots may eventually outnumber humans — could generate trillions of dollars in market capitalisation.

These comments acted as strong bullish catalysts, and Tesla (TSLA) shares rose by more than 4% yesterday.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD And NZD/USD Advance As Risk Appetite Accelerates

AUD/USD started a fresh increase above 0.6850 and 0.6880. NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.6000.

Important Takeaways for AUD USD and NZD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above 0.6850 against the US Dollar.
- There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6880 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5950 pivot zone.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5935 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from 0.6725. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear 0.6800 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.

There was a close above 0.6880 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested 0.6930. A high was formed near 0.6930 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase. There was a minor decline below 0.6920.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Gold Price Breaks Above $5,000 for the First Time

At the market open on Monday, 26 January, gold prices (XAU/USD) formed a bullish gap and moved above the psychological $5,000 level. The rally then continued, with prices climbing close to $5,100.

Strong bullish momentum across precious metals markets has pushed gold up by around 18% since the start of the year, while silver has surged by approximately 50%.

Why Is Gold Rising?
The bullish tone is being driven by a combination of a weaker US dollar and heightened demand for safe-haven assets, shaped by the current environment:

→ The “Greenland issue”: renewed attempts by the Trump administration to acquire Greenland have escalated into a standoff with the EU, bringing the risk of a trade war.

→ Growing concerns about political pressure on the Federal Reserve and the stability of US monetary policy, given the US President’s intention to push for lower interest rates.

→ Central bank demand, harsh rhetoric from the White House towards Canada following its agreement with China, and ongoing tensions surrounding Iran.

All of this is fuelling an unstoppable bullish market. Under such conditions, is a decline in gold prices even possible?

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Japanese Yen Strengthens Sharply Amid Intervention Expectations

As the USD/JPY chart shows, the exchange rate fell sharply, reaching its lowest level since early November 2025.

The sudden strengthening of the yen has been driven both by expectations ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting and by growing speculation about a possible currency intervention, which could be carried out jointly by the Japanese authorities and the US Federal Reserve.

According to media reports:

→ on Friday, the New York Fed took specific actions that were interpreted as potential precursors to an actual intervention, providing the first bearish impulse;

→ on Sunday, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated that the government would take “necessary steps” against speculative market movements — reinforcing the initial momentum at the market open on Monday.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Insights with Gary Thomson: Geopolitics, Central Bank Meetings, and Corporate Earnings

In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!

In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson breaks down what moved the markets last week and unpacks the strategic implications of the most critical events driving global markets.

Key topics covered in this episode:
— What Happened in the Markets Last Week
— Central Bank Meetings
— Stocks to Watch

Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.




Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Analytical Gold Price Predictions for 2026, 2027, and Beyond

Gold continues to attract attention as investors search for a so-called safe haven in an increasingly uncertain global environment. Rising geopolitical tensions, currency volatility, central bank reserve shifts, and questions about long-term economic resilience have all pushed gold back into focus.

With prices reaching repeated record highs in 2025, many are now looking beyond the immediate rally and asking what comes next. This article breaks down the factors shaping gold’s trajectory and examines analytical gold price forecasts for 2026 to 2030.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Nasdaq 100 Advances Ahead of Tech Giants’ Earnings

As early as tomorrow, after the close of the main trading session, quarterly results will be released by Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META) and Tesla (TSLA), with Apple (AAPL) scheduled to report on Thursday.

As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) climbed today to its highest level since early November, rising above 25,900. Since the start of the week, the index has gained around 1.8%. This appears to reflect a shift in market sentiment:

→ Geopolitical risks are fading. Market participants seem to have adapted to the news flow surrounding tariffs and Greenland. After the initial shock, current political rhetoric is increasingly viewed as a negotiating stance rather than a genuine threat to business.

→ Confidence in market leaders. Prices are factoring in expectations that tech giants will outline roadmaps showing how their record AI spending will begin to generate net profits as early as this year.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) Falls to Its Lowest Level Since September

As the DXY chart shows, the US dollar index is trading today at its lowest level since September 2025. From this month’s peak, the decline has exceeded 2%.

Why Is the Dollar Weakening?
→ The Fed factor. The interest rate decision is due tomorrow. Markets are expecting dovish rhetoric from Jerome Powell to offset economic risks stemming from tariff wars. It cannot be ruled out that the Fed Chair may soften his stance under unprecedented pressure from the White House administration, including threats of criminal prosecution.

→ Loss of safe-haven status. The dollar is losing appeal as a defensive asset amid geopolitical tensions (the US–EU dispute over Greenland and strained relations with Canada). Capital is actively flowing out of fiat currencies into real assets, as confirmed by yesterday’s historic breakout in gold prices above $5,000.

That said, the technical picture offers some grounds for optimism among bulls.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Rally Accelerates Past 1.20, USD/CHF Buckles

EUR/USD started a fresh surge above 1.1900 and 1.2000. USD/CHF declined further and is now struggling below 0.7750.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF Analysis Today
- The Euro started a major increase from 1.1700 against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1915 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.7800 and 0.7750 support levels.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7675 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1700 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1850 barrier to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar.

The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1950. Finally, the pair cleared 1.2000 and 1.2050. A high was formed near 1.2080 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1669 swing low to the 1.2080 high.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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AUD/USD and USD/CAD Test Key Levels Ahead of Central Bank Decisions

Commodity currencies have moved up to key levels after extending their recent gains, maintaining upward momentum. However, the next phase of price action will largely depend on fundamental drivers. For now, there are no clear signs of a slowdown, but proximity to important levels is increasing the market’s sensitivity to news.

Decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada, along with accompanying guidance from policymakers, could either confirm the strength of the current move or trigger a correction after the recent strong advance. Overall, the market remains directional, but it is approaching a point where fundamental signals become decisive.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EUR/USD Climbs Above 1.2000 After Trump’s Remarks

Expectations of lower Federal Reserve interest rates, recession risks, and the negative fallout from the US stance on Greenland have been among the factors acting as bearish drivers for the dollar in recent weeks.

Additional pressure came from signals that the US may be willing to sell dollars to help Japan strengthen the yen. Yesterday’s comments from Donald Trump then gave the market fresh momentum.

“The dollar is doing great,” Trump replied when asked by a reporter whether he thought it had fallen too sharply recently. Does this mean the president is comfortable with the national currency having lost around 9% during the first year of his term?

Trump’s words triggered a sharp weakening of the US dollar against other currencies. In particular, EUR/USD rose above the psychological 1.2000 level for the first time since 2021.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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For the First Time In History, the Price of Silver Has Exceeded $115

The weakness of the US dollar amid the White House’s ambiguous policy stance, along with other factors (including geopolitics and industrial demand for silver), has led to the XAG/USD quote rising above $115 this week.

Since the beginning of the year, the price of an ounce of silver has increased by more than 50%, continuing the steep upward trend that began back in 2025.

It seems the bull market in precious metals is unstoppable, but the chart is sending important signals that cast doubt on this view.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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USD/CAD Falls Below the 2025 Low

Yesterday, financial markets were closely watching statements from central banks regarding interest rates, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada. According to Forex Factory:

→ The Federal Reserve kept the Federal Funds Rate at 3.75% by a majority vote. “The economy has once again surprised us with its strength,” Powell said at the press conference. The Fed Chair also added that “our policy is in a good place”.

→ The Bank of Canada left the Overnight Rate unchanged at 2.25%. In its official statement, significant attention was paid to the impact of uncertainty surrounding the trade agreement between Canada, the United States and Mexico (CUSMA).

Although there were no surprises and the central banks’ decisions matched analysts’ forecasts, the reaction of the USD/CAD pair was quite dynamic. After a spike in volatility, the exchange rate fell below the 2025 low. Moreover, on higher-timeframe charts, a bearish break of support is visible, with that support running through the lows of 2023–2025.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EUR/USD and GBP/USD continue to rise after the Fed meeting

The euro and the pound maintained their upward momentum after the Federal Reserve meeting, despite interest rates being left unchanged. At the start of the week, both pairs rose sharply: EUR/USD tested the area above the psychological 1.2000 level, while GBP/USD climbed towards 1.3870, after which a moderate correction followed as profits were taken.

However, after Jerome Powell’s speech, demand for European currencies strengthened again, as the Fed Chair’s rhetoric was perceived by the market as a signal in favour of future easing and the regulator maintaining a cautious stance, with no need to return to tightening.

An additional source of pressure on the dollar remains the geopolitical and trade backdrop. Statements by Donald Trump on tariff policy towards Europe have increased uncertainty around the outlook for external trade and added to market nervousness, periodically boosting volatility and supporting demand for alternatives to the dollar. Against this background, gains in the euro and the pound are being driven both by interest rate expectations and by a broader reassessment of risks related to tariffs and political rhetoric.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Meta Platforms (META) Shares Rise Above $700 After Earnings Release

Yesterday, Meta Platforms published its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report, which made a strong impression. In after-hours trading, META shares surged by more than 10% at one point, reaching around $740.

Why META Shares Are Rising
The company not only met analysts’ expectations but significantly exceeded them:

→ Earnings per share (EPS): actual $8.88 (expected $8.19–8.21), up 11% year-on-year.
→ Revenue: actual $59.9bn (forecast around $58.35bn).

In addition, the media highlighted several positive factors:

→ A strong outlook for 2026.
→ A high operating margin of around 41%, demonstrating strong business efficiency despite substantial spending.
→ Continued growth in advertising services: the company has integrated AI into ad delivery, with growth seen both in ad pricing (+6%) and the number of impressions (+18%).

A particularly important development was Mark Zuckerberg’s statement that the Reality Labs division is expected to pass its peak loss this year. This reassured investors concerned about prolonged cash burn related to capital expenditure.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Post a Record Decline

On Wednesday, after the close of the regular trading session, Microsoft (MSFT) released its quarterly earnings report, which exceeded analysts’ expectations:

→ Earnings per share: actual $4.14, forecast $3.90;
→ Gross revenue: actual $81.2bn, forecast $80.3bn;
→ Operating profit: up 21%.

Despite the strong results, MSFT shares suffered a dramatic sell-off of around 10% by the close of yesterday’s trading. According to media reports, this was the largest one-day drop in Microsoft’s share price on record, with the company losing roughly $360bn in market capitalisation.

Why MSFT Shares Collapsed

Market participants were most likely disappointed by the following factors:

→ A sharp rise in capital expenditure: capex surged by 66% to $37.5bn as Microsoft continued to invest heavily in data centres and AI infrastructure, while the timing of meaningful returns on these investments remains uncertain.

→ Slowing growth in the cloud computing segment.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.