AutoRebateForex Official Thread - Automated 80% Forex Rebates

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 4, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:

• Key Drivers: Strong UK services PMI; domestic political turmoil weighing.
• Bullish Factors: PMI supports recovery outlook; weak U.S. data could lift GBP.
• Bearish Risks: Political instability and dovish BoE sentiment.
• Support Levels: 1.3626, 1.3591, 1.3509
• Resistance Levels: 1.3675, 1.3752, 1.3770
• Forecast: Consolidation likely; vulnerable to political headlines and NFP outcome.

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Weekly Economic Calendar


July 7 - July 11, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Wednesday, July 9

• Asia: China CPI and PPI; RBNZ expected to keep rates unchanged
• Europe: Bank of England releases meeting minutes
• US: FOMC meeting minutes due; deadline for Trump’s new tariffs may spark volatility

Thursday, July 10

• Asia & Europe: No significant releases
• US: Weekly jobless claims; Fed members Musalem, Waller, and Daly to speak

Friday, July 11

• Asia: Light calendar
• Europe: UK GDP figures expected to show mild growth
• US: Canadian employment data may impact CAD volatility

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 8, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:

• Bias: Flat to bearish intraday; sellers in control near key support.
• Macro: Market ignores local data, focused on fiscal risk and Trump’s trade stance.
• Outlook: A dip toward 1.3591 likely unless 1.3654 is breached cleanly.
• Support: 1.3591, 1.3509, 1.3471
• Resistance: 1.3675, 1.3712, 1.3752

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 9, 2025



New Zealand Dollar (NZD/USD) Outlook:

• Market Sentiment: Kiwi consolidates after retreating from monthly highs.
• Drivers: RBNZ policy hold expected; U.S. pressure caps upside.
• Forecast: Testing key pivot near 0.6000; breakout likely post-decision.
• Support: 0.6000, 0.5930, 0.5900
• Resistance: 0.6050, 0.6090, 0.6120

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 10, 2025



Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook:

• Market Condition: Downtrend as Fed tone counters tariff risks; buyers inactive.
• Bias: Bearish below 3357; limited rebound potential.
• Support: 3301, 3274, 3246
• Resistance: 3342, 3357, 3393
• Forecast: Decline toward 3274 possible if under 3301; rebound only if above 3357.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 11, 2025



Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook:

• Analysis: Gold supported by Fed cut hopes and global trade concerns; dollar softness adds lift.
• Forecast: Upside momentum may continue toward 3345 if above 3329 holds.
• Support: 3306, 3291
• Resistance: 3329, 3345

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Weekly Economic Calendar


July 14 - July 18, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Wednesday – July 16

• Europe: UK CPI inflation data
• North America:
  • US PPI inflation report
  • US Crude Oil Inventory data
  • Fed speakers: Barkin, Barr, Williams

Thursday – July 17

• Asia: Australia employment data
• Europe: UK employment figures
• North America:
  • US Retail Sales, Weekly Jobless Claims, and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
  • Fed speakers: Kugler, Daly, Cook, Waller

Friday – July 18

• No key data from Asia or Europe
• North America:
  • US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 15, 2025



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook:

• Drivers: Institutional demand, risk-on tech flows, breaking resistance in historic rally.
• Forecast: Bullish trend intact; profit-taking may trigger brief dip before 125k–130k test.
• Support: 117500, 112000
• Resistance: 123236, 125000, 130000

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 17, 2025



Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:

• Drivers: AUD pressured by weak China data and risk-off sentiment; labor data awaited; RBA likely to stay dovish.
• Bias: Bearish
• Support: 0.6491, 0.6468, 0.6448
• Resistance: 0.6558, 0.6602
• Forecast: Decline may extend to 0.6448 if 0.6491 breaks; only a break above 0.6602 shifts bias upward.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 18, 2025



Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:

• Bias: Bearish; pressured by weak jobs data.
• Key Drivers: Rising jobless rate, rate cut risk from RBA.
• Support: 0.6467, 0.6439
• Resistance: 0.6557, 0.6585
• Outlook: Watch for drop toward 0.6400; any rebound likely capped.

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Weekly Economic Calendar


July 21 - July 25, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Wednesday, 23 July

• Quiet day for economic data globally
• US Existing Home Sales figures due
• Market focus shifts to earnings and geopolitics

Thursday, 24 July

• Flash PMIs from Australia, France, Germany, EU, UK, and US
• RBA Governor Bullock speaks in Asia
• ECB announces interest rate decision and forward guidance
• US jobless claims and new home sales reports due

Friday, 25 July

• Tokyo CPI released in the Asian session
• UK retail sales and German IFO business climate data in Europe
• US durable goods orders round out the week

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 22, 2025



New Zealand Dollar (NZD/USD) Outlook:

• Market context: Kiwi buoyed by global risk tone and dovish Fed comments, though capped by cautious RBNZ outlook and tariff fears.
• Short-term bias: Neutral to slightly bullish; needs confirmation of break higher.
• Support: 0.5957, 0.5923
• Resistance: 0.5996, 0.6030
• Forecast: Sustained move above 0.5996 may target 0.6030+; a drop under 0.5923 would confirm bearish tilt.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 23, 2025



Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:

• Outlook: Sideways bias; Aussie supported by hawkish RBA minutes but capped by soft local data.
• Key Focus: July inflation data, USD moves.
• Support: 0.6503, 0.6480
• Resistance: 0.6533, 0.6541
• Forecast: Holds 0.6500–0.6540 range; break above 0.6541 opens path to 0.6580.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 24, 2025



Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:
Aussie extends rally on risk-on mood, boosted by strong technical trend and trade optimism.

• Support: 0.6539, 0.6521, 0.6488
• Resistance: 0.6579, 0.6596, 0.6629
• Forecast: Bullish continuation favored above 0.6576.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 25, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:

• Analysis: Weaker UK services PMI weighs on the pound; concerns grow over fiscal outlook and rate policy signals.
• Outlook: Short-term pullbacks likely if data from the U.S. strengthen. Watch for any BoE forward guidance shifts.
• Support: 1.3534, 1.3493, 1.3467
• Resistance: 1.3586, 1.3645
• Forecast: Limited upside; may retreat if U.S. data strengthens or UK growth outlook worsens.

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Weekly Economic Calendar


July 28 - August 1, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Thursday, July 31

• Asia:
  • Australia Retail Sales
  • China PMI
  • Bank of Japan rate decision
• Europe:
  • Germany and France Preliminary CPI
• North America:
  • Canada GDP
  • US Core PCE Price Index
  • US Employment Cost Index
  • US Unemployment Claims
  • Apple and Amazon earnings

Friday, August 1

• Asia:
  • No major events
• Europe:
  • EU Flash CPI Estimate
• North America:
  • US Non-Farm Payrolls
  • US Unemployment Rate
  • US Average Hourly Earnings
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI
  • University of Michigan Revised Sentiment

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 29, 2025



Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook:

• Consolidation mode, awaiting Fed clarity.
• Safe-haven demand weakens on trade deals and stable US data.
• Upside capped unless breakout above key resistance.
• Support: 3326, 3309, 3300
• Resistance: 3351, 3377, 3401, 3439
• Forecast: Sideways bias; bullish if above 3351, bearish below 3326.

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 30, 2025



Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook:

• Gold declines amid a stronger dollar and easing global trade tensions
• Fed decision and geopolitical developments may provide near-term catalysts
• Safe-haven demand remains limited in current risk-on environment
• Support: 3296
• Resistance: 3323, 3351, 3374, 3401, 3438

Forecast: May remain subdued unless Fed turns dovish or tensions flare







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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 31, 2025



Candian Dollar (USD/CAD) Outlook:

• Key Drivers: USD/CAD supported by BoC holding rates and U.S. trade pressure. Rate differentials favor USD. Oil rebound may cap CAD losses.
• Bias: Bullish with further upside likely unless oil rallies sharply.
• Support: 1.3760, 1.3747
• Resistance: 1.3817, 1.3830

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


August 1, 2025



Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook:

• Gold attempted a rebound from 4-week lows, helped by dollar profit-taking post-FOMC.
• U.S. data and Fed’s no-rate-cut stance weigh on upside momentum.
• Trump’s new tariffs and geopolitical headlines lend some support.
• Trend remains bearish unless price clears above 3331 with conviction.

Support: 3274
Resistance: 3302, 3331, 3351







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