technical analysis

Weak data bearish for HK50 Hong Kong’s economic growth slowed in Q4 2018 and private sector contraction continued in February. Will the HK50 continue declining? Recent Hong-Kong economic data were weak: the economy shrank 0.3% over quarter in the last three months of 2018, the private sector...

Positive euro-zone data bullish for EU50 Retail sales increase and private business sector expansion were better than expected in euro-zone. Will the EU50 advance continue? Latest euro-zone economic data were positive: retail sales in January rose more than expected, and private sector...

African swine fever has spread from China to Vietnam In the countries of Southeast Asia, an outbreak of African Swine Fever (ASF) is observed. Will LHOG prices rise? Vietnamese authorities will take decisive measures to control ASF. From February 1 to March 3, the ASF was detected in 7...

The abolition of duties on US soybeans will be discussed at the meeting of the heads of the United States and China China may abolish duties on US soybeans. Will soybean meal prices rise? The abolition of duties will be discussed at the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese...

A slowdown in global economy may reduce the demand for oil In this review, we suggest considering the personal composite instrument (PCI) &GAS/OIL. It reflects the price change dynamics of US natural gas against the American West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude oil. Will GAS/OIL prices...

Brexit dates may be postponed In this review, we would like to draw your attention to the chart of the British pound vs the New Zealand dollar currency pair. Will the GBPNZD rise? Such dynamics indicate the strengthening of the pound against the New Zealand dollar. The main positive factor for...

Market participants hope that China will increase US cotton imports along with soybeans Market participants hope that China will increase US cotton imports along with soybeans. Will Cotton prices rise? US Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue said that China agreed to buy an additional 10...

Bank of Mexico may cut the rate In this review, we will consider the chart of the euro against the Mexican peso. Is there a possibility for the EURMXN to rise? Such a movement occurs when the euro strengthens and the Mexican peso weakens. The current account balance of Mexico has been negative...

There are risks of reduction in global sugar production Because of weather conditions, sugar production may decline in the EU, Brazil, India and Thailand. Will Sugar pricesrise? The Brazilian Sugarcane Industry Association (UNICA) reported a decrease in sugarcane harvest in the 2018/19...

Gas reserves have reduced in the US In this review, we suggest considering the personal composite instrument (PCI) “Gas vs. the Russian ruble”. It reflects the price dynamics of US natural gas against the Russian ruble. Will the GAS/RUB rise? Such a movement means that natural gas prices are...

Two copper companies have suspended their operation in India and Indonesia The Supreme Court of India overturned the National Green Tribunal’s decision to resume the operation of copper smelter owned by the British company Vedanta. Will Copper prices rise? India accounts for a little more than...

Trend holds steady at 1.294 for the week USD/GBP resistance at 1.3078 while support bottoms out at 1.2717. Oil gains as China trade agreement reports negative output. (WTI) Crude oil Futures up by 2.2% [URL deleted]

Gold prices fall amid increasing demand for dollar assets Gold prices decrease amid the strengthening of the US dollar. As a rule, these two assets move in antiphase and are antagonists of each other. Will the XAUUSD fall? Last week, the US dollar index showed the maximum weekly growth in six...

Wheat reserves fell in Canada The national statistical agency Statistics Canada reported a reduction in Canadian wheat reserves. Will Wheat prices rise? In December 2018, total wheat reserves in Canada amounted to 23.2 million tons. This is by 0.2% less than the level of December 2017 and by...

China can reduce beef consumption All India Meat & Livestock Exporters Association expects a decrease in global demand for Indian beef. Will LCATTLE prices fall? According to the forecast of this association, beef exports from India in the 2018/19 agricultural season may be reduced by 15% to...

Positive euro-zone data bullish for EU50 Consumer confidence in Germany improved for February. Will the EU50 advance continue? The consumer confidence improved in Germany unexpectedly: the GfK consumer confidence index rose to 10.8 going into February 2019 from an upwardly revised 10.5 in...

Global copper deficit persists According to the International Copper Study Group (ICSG), over 10 months of 2018, the global copper deficit has amounted to 545 thousand tons. Will copper prices rise? World copper consumption in January - October 2018, increased by 2.8% compared with the same...

A reduction in orange yield is expected in Brazil The Cepea agency expects a 30% reduction in shipment volumes of oranges from Brazil in the 2018/19 agricultural season. Will orange prices rise? It should be noted that since mid-July 2018, frozen orange juice prices have fallen by about a...

Slowing retail sales bearish for GB100 UK’s retail trade growth slowed in December. Will the GB100 continue declining? Recent UK economic data were negative: retail sales growth in the UK eased to 3% over year in December 2018. The expectations were retail sales would remain steady at 3.6%...

The “budget rule” may contribute to the further increase in PCI In this review, we suggest considering the personal composite instrument (PCI) “BRENT vs the Russian ruble”. It reflects the price dynamics of a barrel of Brent crude oil against the Russian currency. Will BRENT/RUB prices rise...