Technical Outlook, Strategies & Commentaries On The Major Currencies

Jan 18, 2012
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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Biased To The Upside On Correction

EURUSD: With EUR closing higher on a recovery the past week it looks to strengthen further in the new week. However, we may see a mild pullback before it could push higher again. Support is seen at 1.0750 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.0700 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0600 level where a break will expose the 1.0550 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0950 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0000 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1000 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1041 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Biased To The Upside On Corrective Recovery

GOLD: With GOLD halting its weakness and triggering a recovery the past week, further strength is expected. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,175.25 level where a break will aim at the 1,160.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,140.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,120.00 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at the 1,190.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,200.00 level, its key psycho level. A violation of here will turn attention to the 1,214.75 level followed by the 1,150.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside medium term but faces corrective recovery risk
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Faces Consolidation Risk

GBPJPY: Having halted its weakness and closed marginally higher the past week, GBPJPY now faces consolidation of that move. Its now taking back some of its Friday strength during Monday trading session. On the downside, support comes in at the 178.00 level where a violation will aim at the 177.00 level. A break below here will target the 176.00 level followed by the 175.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 174.00 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 179.00 level followed by the 180.00 level where a break will aim at the 181.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 182.00 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the downside short term but faces corrective recovery threats

 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On USDCAD

USDCAD: Sees Further Corrective Weakness

USDCAD: The pair took back almost all of its intraday day gains to close lower on Monday and followed through lower on Tuesday. This development now leaves it targeting further downside. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2450 level followed by the 1.2400 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.2350 level and then the 1.2300 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.2550 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2600 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2650 level. All in all, USDCAD continues to face bearish offensive short term
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Sets Up For Price Weakness

AUDUSD: With a flat close on a rejection candle seen on Tuesday, AUDUSD faces a move lower on price weakness. While its key resistance at 0.7974/80 zone cap upside moves, our bias remains to the downside. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7937 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.8000 level and then the 0.8050 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8100 level. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7800 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7750 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7700 level with a cut through targeting further downside towards the 0.7650 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure but faces recovery threats in the short term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Vulnerable To The Downside.

GBPUSD: With a reversal of its gains off the 1.4993 level now underway, further decline is envisaged. Support lies at the 1.4800 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.4750 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.4700 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4650 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.4900 level with a break aiming at the 1.4950 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5000 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5050 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term though facing recovery threats.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Looks To Keep Recovery Tone

USDCHF: With USDCHF still facing recovery higher risk, a move higher could occur in the new (see daily chart) although closing lower the past week. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9550 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9500 level and then the 0.9450 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 0.9700 level with a breach targeting the 0.9750 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9800 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside in the short term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Vulnerable On Price Failure

EURUSD: With EUR closing almost flat the past week, it faces downside risk as long the 1.1051/96 levels cap. Resistance is seen at 1.0950 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1000 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1050 level where a break will expose the 1.1096 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.0800 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0750 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0700 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0766 level, its Mar 23’2015 low . All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside on correction though seen hesitating on Tuesday.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist on USDJPY

USDJPY: Follows Through On Recovery

USDJPY: Having followed through on the back of its rejection candle on Thursday during Monday’s trading session, more strength is expected. On the upside, resistance resides at the 120.00 level with a turn above here aiming at the 120.50 level. A break will target the 121.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 121.50 level where a violation will aim at the 122.00 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 118.50 level where a break will target the 118.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.50 level followed by the 117.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside in the immediate term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Maintains Downside Threats

EURUSD: With EUR continuing to look vulnerable, further downside pressure remains. Resistance is seen at the 1.0900 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.0950 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.1096 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.0800 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0750 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0700 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0766 level, its Mar 23’2015 low . All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside on weakness
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On USDCAD

USDCAD: Sets To Extend Weakness

USDCAD: The pair halted its strength to close slightly higher on Tuesday, leaving risk of a move lower on the cards. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2750 level followed by the 1.2800 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2850 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2900 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2600 level followed by the 1.2550 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.2500 level and then the 1.2450 level. All in all, USDCAD remains biased to the upside medium term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Remains Weak And Vulnerable

GOLD: With GOLD’s bias continuing to point lower, further bearishness is now envisaged. This is consistent with its short term weakness triggered off the 1,219.51 level the past week. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,170.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,150.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,130.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,100.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1,200.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,219.51 level. A violation of here will turn attention to the 1,240.00 level followed by the 1,150.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside medium term but faces corrective recovery risk