Technical Outlook, Strategies & Commentaries On The Major Currencies

Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Maintains Bullish Offensive

GBPUSD: Having continued to remain bullish, more recovery is expected. Resistance resides at the 1.5600 level with a break aiming at the 1.5650 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5700 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5750 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5500 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5450 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5400 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5350 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term though recovering.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Bullish, Extends Corrective Recovery.

GOLD: With GOLD recovering strongly on Thursday, further strength is envisaged in the days ahead. On further upside, resistance resides at the 1,230.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,250.00 level, its key psycho level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1,280.00 level followed by the 1,300.00 level. A cut through this level will extend gains towards the 1,320.00 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,200 level where a break will aim at the 1,180.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,160.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,140.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the upside on corrective recovery.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Declines On Sell Off

EURUSD: With EUR triggering a strong sell-off on Thursday, further downside pressure is envisaged. Support is seen at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.0950 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1250 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1300 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1378 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1400 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term though facing a recovery higher nearer term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Risk Builds On 1.1096 Level

EURUSD: With EUR breaking down out of its consolidation range to close lower the past week, risk now builds on its key support located at 1.1096 level. We expect that level to give in for the pair resume its broader downside pressure. However, this might not happen first test. Support is seen at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.0950 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1250 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1300 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1400 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1450 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1500 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term with eyes on key support.
 
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Jan 18, 2012
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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Risk Remains Lower Despite Recovery Attempts

GOLD: Although a marginal higher close occurred the past week, GOLD continues to retain its broader downside pressure. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1,219.98 level where a break will aim at the 1,230.00 level, its key psycho level. A violation of here will turn attention to the 1,250.00 level followed by the 1,180.00 level. A cut through this level will extend gains towards the 1,300.00 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,200 level where a break will aim at the 1,180.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,160.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,140.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the upside on corrective recovery.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist on USDJPY

USDJPY: Vulnerable Below The 120.47 Level

USDJPY: Despite the pair’s marginal higher close the past week, it still faces bear risk while holding below the 120.47 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 118.62 level where a break will target the 118.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.00 level followed by the 116.00 and then the 115.00. On the upside, resistance resides at the 120.47 level. Below here will aim at the 121.00 level where a break will target the 122.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 123.00 level where a violation will aim at the 124.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside medium term but faces bear threats.


 
Jan 18, 2012
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Special Focus On USDCAD

USDCAD: Caps Strength, Turns Lower

USDCAD: Having capped its strength at 1.2442 level to turn lower during Tuesday trading session, further downside pressure is envisaged. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2400 level followed by the 1.2350 level. Further out, support resides at the 1.2300 level and then the 1.2250 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2500 level followed by the 1.2550 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2600 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2650 level. All in all, USDCAD faces further downside pressure.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Weakens, Eyes Key Support

EURUSD: With seen weakening, further decline towards its key support the 1.1096 level is expected. Support is seen at 1.1050 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1000 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0950 level where a break will expose the 1.0900 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1200 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1250 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1300 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1378 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist on USDJPY

USDJPY: Recovering With Caution

USDJPY: Broader outlook for USDJPY may be higher in the medium term but faces consolidation to downside threats in the short term. While the 120.47/81 zone caps, our bias remains lower. On the downside, support comes in at the 119.50 level where a break will target the 118.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.00 level followed by the 116.00 and then the 115.00. On the upside, resistance resides at the 120.00 level. Below here will aim at the 121.00 level where a break will target the 122.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 123.00 level where a violation will aim at the 124.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside medium term but faces bear threats.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Biased To Upside On Bullish Offensive

USDCHF: With USDCHF strengthening further the past week, further bullish build up is envisaged. its gains on Tuesday, further bullishness is envisaged. Resistance resides at the 0.9900 level with a breach targeting the 0.9950 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 1.0000 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9800 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9750 level and then the 0.9700 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside in the short term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Resumes Broader Weakness

EURUSD: With EUR breaking down through its key support located at the 1.1096 level the past week, further downside pressure is envisaged. However, we a think a recovery higher on the back of its recent weakness should occur in the new week. Support is seen at 1.0750 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.0700 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0650 level where a break will expose the 1.0600 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0950 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1000 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1050 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1100 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term with eyes on key support.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Recovers Higher On Correction

GBPJPY: The cross has triggered a recovery following its past week declines. This development leaves GBPJPY targeting further upside in the days ahead. On the downside, support comes in at the 182.00 level where a violation will aim at the 181.00 level. A break below here will target the 180.00 level followed by the 179.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 178.00 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance lies at the 183.00 level followed by the 184.00 level where a break will aim at the 185.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 186.00 level. Its daily RSI is turning higher supporting this view. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside on corrective recovery
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On EURJPY

EURJPY: Bear Risk Builds Up On The 130.14 Level

EURJPY- With the cross seen reversing its Monday losses on Tuesday, a retake of its key support standing at the 130.14 level is likely. On the downside, support comes in at the 130.14 level where a break will aim at the 129.00 level. A turn below here will target the 128.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 127.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance resides at the 131.50 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 132.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 133.00 level where a break will aim at the 134.00. All in all, the cross continues to face downside risk medium term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Special Focus On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Sees Bearish Follow Through Lower

GBPJPY: With the cross facing price extension from its Tuesday weakness, further downside pressure is now seen. On the downside, support comes in at the 181.00 level where a violation will aim at the 180.00 level. A break below here will target the 179.00 level followed by the 178.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 177.00 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance lies at the 183.00 level followed by the 184.00 level where a break will aim at the 185.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 186.00 level. Its daily RSI is turning higher supporting this view. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside on corrective recovery though pulling back.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Extends Bullishness

USDCHF: With the pair extending its bullishness the past week, further strength is envisaged in the new week. Although USDCHF may see a corrective pullback following its recent strength. Resistance resides at the 1.0100 level with a breach targeting the 1.0150 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 1.0200 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 1.0000 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 0.9950 level and then the 0.9900 level. Further down. Support comes in at 0.0850. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside in the medium term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Retains Broader Downside Bias

EURUSD: With EUR declining further the past week, it looks to weaken further in the new week. However, we may see a corrective recovery on the back of its recent weakness. Support is seen at 1.0450 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.0400 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0350 level where a break will expose the 1.0300 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.0550 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0600 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0650 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0700 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0750 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Currency Focus On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Triggers Correction, Eyes The 1.4950 Level

GBPUSD: With the pair triggering a correction, further upside pressure is envisaged. Our minimum upside target stands at the 1.4950 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.4750 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.4698 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.4650 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4600 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.4892 level with a break aiming at the 1.4950 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5000 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5050 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term though recovering higher

 
Jan 18, 2012
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Special Focus On EURJPY

EURJPY: Extends Corrective Recovery

EURJPY- Having triggered a correction on Monday and followed through on Tuesday, risk of more upside remains. On the downside, support comes in at the 128.00 level where a break will aim at the 127.50 level. A turn below here will target the 127.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 126.50 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 129.05 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 129.30. Further out, resistance resides at the 130.00 level where a break will aim at the 131.00. All in all, the cross continues to face downside risk medium term but has triggered a correction short term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Loses Rally Gains, Weakens

EURUSD: With EUR seen taking back most of its rally gains on Thursday, further weakness is now envisaged. Resistance is seen at 1.0750 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.0800 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.0850 level where a break will expose the 1.0900 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.0650 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0600 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0550 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0500 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.
 
Jan 18, 2012
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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Looks To Extend Weakness.

GBPJPY: With the cross declining strongly on Thursday, it faces further weakness. On the downside, support comes in at the 177.50 level where a violation will aim at the 177.00 level. A break below here will target the 176.00 level followed by the 175.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 174.00 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance lies at the 179.00 level followed by the 180.00 level where a break will aim at the 181.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 182.00 level.. All in all, the cross remains biased to the downside