Improving data bullish for AU200
September trade surplus rose in Australia and the producer price index rose more than expected in third quarter. Will the AU200 recovery continue?
The Reserve Bank of Australia left the interest rate at 1.5% and revised up a little its forecasts for economic growth in 2018 and 2019 at its November 6 meeting. Its central forecast for 2019 and 2020 growth of the Australian economy was upgraded to 3.5%. Recent economic data were positive on balance: the balance of trade surplus rose in September instead of declining as export grew while imports fell. And prices that producers receive for their output rose more than expected in third quarter. The retail sales growth however ticked lower to 0.2% on month in September from 0.3%, but the weak sales reading was in line with the central bank’s forecast. The RBA had noted “growth in household income remains low”. Positive Australian data are bullish for AU200.
On the daily timeframe AU200: D1 is correcting higher following the decline after hitting 11-year high in the end of August. The price had fallen below the 50-day moving average MA(50) but is approaching to test it now.
Technical Analysis Summary
Position Buy
Buy Stop Above 5935.85
Stop loss Below 5609.28
September trade surplus rose in Australia and the producer price index rose more than expected in third quarter. Will the AU200 recovery continue?
The Reserve Bank of Australia left the interest rate at 1.5% and revised up a little its forecasts for economic growth in 2018 and 2019 at its November 6 meeting. Its central forecast for 2019 and 2020 growth of the Australian economy was upgraded to 3.5%. Recent economic data were positive on balance: the balance of trade surplus rose in September instead of declining as export grew while imports fell. And prices that producers receive for their output rose more than expected in third quarter. The retail sales growth however ticked lower to 0.2% on month in September from 0.3%, but the weak sales reading was in line with the central bank’s forecast. The RBA had noted “growth in household income remains low”. Positive Australian data are bullish for AU200.
On the daily timeframe AU200: D1 is correcting higher following the decline after hitting 11-year high in the end of August. The price had fallen below the 50-day moving average MA(50) but is approaching to test it now.
- The Parabolic indicator has formed a buy signal.
- The Donchian channel indicates no trend yet: it is flat.
- The MACD indicator is below the signal line with the gap narrowing. This is a bullish signal.
- The stochastic oscillator is in the overbought zone, this is bearish.
Technical Analysis Summary
Position Buy
Buy Stop Above 5935.85
Stop loss Below 5609.28