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[NPBFX_Official]

USD/JPY: wave analysis 01.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the downward correctional fourth wave 4 and the wave (C) of 4 ended, and the upward fifth wave 5 develops. Now, the third wave of the lowest level 3 of (1) of 5 and the wave iii of 3 are developing. If the assumption is correct, the USD/JPY pair will grow to the area of 154.00–158.82. In this scenario, the critical stop loss level is 147.60.

Main scenario

Long positions may be opened above the level of 147.60 with the targets at 154.00–158.82. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price below the level of 147.60 will let the asset go down to the area of 142.55–138.80.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

Microsoft Corp.: wave analysis 04.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Microsoft Corp. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The price is in a correction and a fall is possible.

On the daily chart, the fifth wave of the highest level 5 and the wave (5) of 5 form. Now, the first wave of the lowest level 1 of (3) ended, and the correctional second wave 2 of (3) started. If the assumption is correct, the price of the asset will fall to the area of 450.00–425.00. In this scenario, the critical stop loss level is 555.10.

Main scenario

Short positions may be opened below the level of 555.10 with the targets at 450.00–425.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 555.10 will let the asset grow to the area of 600.00–630.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Microsoft Corp. аnd trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

eBay Inc.: technical analysis 05.08.2025

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on eBay Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of eBay Inc., an American online retail company, are trading at 93.00.

On the daily chart, the price is moving within a long-term uptrend, retreating from the resistance line of the channel with the boundaries of 86.00–70.00.

On the four-hour chart, the quotes consolidated above the year’s high of 82.00. After consolidation above 93.00, they can reach 100.00, which is confirmed by the asset being above the previous price gap of 83.00–77.00. Nevertheless, sell positions are relevant if the instrument drops to the resistance line of the 85.00 range.

Technical indicators strengthen the buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are above the signal line, and the AO histogram forms ascending bars in the positive zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 96.00 with the target at 105.00 and stop loss 90.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price consolidates below 89.00 with the target at 80.00. Stop loss is slightly above 94.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on eBay Inc. аnd trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

USD/CAD: wave analysis 07.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The price is in a correction and may grow.

On the daily chart, the upward first entry wave of the highest level (1) ended, and the downward correctional second wave (2) forms, within which the wave А of (2) ended. Now, the upward correctional wave B of (2) and the wave a of B are developing. If the assumption is correct, the USD/CAD pair will grow to the area of 1.4020–1.4163. In this scenario, the critical stop loss level is 1.3574.

Main scenario

Long positions may be opened above the level of 1.3574 with the targets at 1.4020–1.4163. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price below the level of 1.3574 will let the asset go down to the area of 1.3400–1.3070.

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If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

Brent Crude Oil: wave analysis 08.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on XBR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The price is in a correction and a fall is possible.

On the daily chart, the correctional second wave of the highest level (2) and the wave C of (2) ended, and the third wave (3) started. On the 4-hour chart, the first entry wave of the lowest level i of 1 of (3) have formed, and the downward correctional second wave ii of 1 of (3) and the wave (c) of ii are developing. If the assumption is correct, the price of the asset will fall to the area of 62.15–59.00. In this scenario, the critical stop loss level is 72.70.

Main scenario

Short positions may be opened below the level of 72.70 with the targets at 62.15–59.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 72.70 will let the asset grow to the area of 82.50–92.30.

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[NPBFX_Official]

Apple Inc.: technical analysis 11.08.2025

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Apple Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Apple Inc., a giant in the development and sale of personal and tablet computers, are trading at 228.00.

On the daily chart, it has not yet left the ascending channel with dynamic boundaries of 235.00–200.00 and is starting to test its resistance line.

On the four-hour chart, the quotes have reached the previous trend high of 225.00 and are heading towards the resistance level of 250.00 around the peak of February 22. The presence of price gaps, the last of which is between 217.55–212.94 and has not yet been closed, also adds confidence in the continuation of growth.

Technical indicators are preparing to strengthen the buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are above the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming ascending bars in the positive zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 236.00 with the target at 250.00 and stop loss 230.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price falls and consolidates below 222.00 with the target at 202.00. Stop loss is above 230.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Apple Inc. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

EUR/USD: wave analysis 12.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The price is in a correction and a fall is possible.

On the daily chart, a downward correctional second wave of the highest level 2 of (A) ended, and the third wave 3 of (А) develops, within which the first entry wave of the lowest level i of 3 ended, and the downward correctional second wave ii of 3 forms. Now, the wave (а) of ii is developing, and the correctional wave iv of (a) has formed. If the assumption is correct, the EUR/USD pair will fall to the area of 1.1200–1.1015. In this scenario, the critical stop loss level is 1.1700.

Main scenario

Short positions may be opened below the level of 1.1700 with the targets at 1.1200–1.1015. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.1700 will let the asset grow to the area of 1.2000–1.2255.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

USD/CHF: wave analysis 13.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the upward correctional second wave of the highest level (2) of 5 ended, and the third wave (3) of 5 develops, within which the wave 1 of (3) formed. Now, the upward correctional wave 2 of (3) and the wave a of 2 are developing. If the assumption is correct, the USD/CHF pair will grow to the area of 0.8375–0.8532. In this scenario, the critical stop loss level is 0.7908.

Main scenario

Long positions may be opened above the level of 0.7908 with the target at 0.8375–0.8532. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.7908 will let the asset go down to the area of 0.7700–0.7500.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

Cisco Systems Inc.: technical analysis 14.08.2025

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Cisco Systems Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Cisco Systems Inc., an American manufacturer and supplier of network equipment for large holdings and telecommunications companies, are trading at 70.00.

On the daily chart, the price is correcting slightly below the resistance line of the ascending channel with dynamic boundaries of 74.00–67.00.

On the four-hour chart, the quotes are approaching the high of 72.00, confirming the high potential for maintaining positive dynamics with the target at 76.00, and the current consolidation above the peak along the trend of 69.30 allows for continued growth.

Technical indicators have turned towards buying: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are above the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming correction bars above the transition level.

Trading tips

Long positions may be formed after the price grows and consolidates above 72.10 with the target at 76.00. Stop loss — around 70.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be formed after the price declines and consolidates below 68.60, with the target below 64.00. Stop loss — 72.00.

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If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Cisco Systems Inc. аnd trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

GBP/USD: British economy grew 0.4% in June 15.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The GBP/USD pair is correcting in the area of 1.3548. The dynamics are supported by the neutral trend of the American currency quotes, while the pound has increased in value, which is primarily due to the reduction in the interest rate at the last meeting of the Bank of England, as well as against the backdrop of positive macroeconomic data.

Thus, the British economy added 0.4% in June after –0.1% in May, and in the second quarter growth was 0.3% with a forecast of 0.1%, while the annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was fixed at around 1.2% after 1.3% in the previous period, although analysts expected 1.0%. The key reason for the positive dynamics was the manufacturing sector: in June, Industrial Production adjusted by 0.7% after –1.3% the month before, and in annual terms the figure was 0.2%. As a result, the regulator received all the necessary arguments to reduce the interest rate to 4.00%, and another easing of monetary policy can be expected before the end of the year if the labor market remains stable.

As for the US dollar, its quotes are at 97.92 in USDX today amid growing signals regarding the reduction in borrowing costs from the US Federal Reserve. Earlier, investors were somewhat concerned by data on the labor market: the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.2% in July from 4.1% in June, and the Employment Change increased by 73.0 thousand, while an increase of 110.0 thousand was expected, but Initial Jobless Claims this week decreased from 227.0 thousand to 224.0 thousand, which led to a decrease in Continuing Jobless Claims from 1.968 million to 1.953 million. The report on the Producer Price Index was also positive, rising by 0.9% in July after zero dynamics the month before, and the annual indicator accelerated to 3.3%, which is much higher than the 2.5% growth expected by analysts.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, the instrument is correcting, holding slightly below the support line of the ascending channel with boundaries of 1.3800–1.3400, which it left at the end of July.

Technical indicators have reversed again and issued a new buy signal: the fast Alligator indicator EMAs crossed the signal line from below, and the AO histogram is forming new corrective bars, having moved to the buy area.

Support levels: 1.3460, 1.3200.
Resistance levels: 1.3630, 1.3790.

Trading tips

If the asset continues corrective growth and the price consolidates above the resistance level of 1.3630, long positions will be relevant with target at 1.3790. Stop-loss — 1.3530. Implementation time: 7 days and more.

If the asset reverses and continues declining, and the price consolidates below the local support level at 1.3460, short positions can be opened with the target at 1.3200. Stop-loss — 1.3550.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD аnd trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

NZD/USD: Statistics New Zealand reports 5.0% rise in food prices 18.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The NZD/USD pair continues its corrective movement near 0.5940. The New Zealand dollar's attempts to continue its local growth are not facing serious resistance from the American currency, which fell in Friday's trading, and the latest macroeconomic reports confirmed the continuing instability in the New Zealand economy.

Statistics New Zealand (Stats.NZ) reported that food prices rose 5.0% in the year ending July 2025, after rising 4.6% for the 12th month in a row. All five major food groups showed an increase compared to the previous period: for example, prices for groceries rose by 5.1%, milk by 16.0% to 4.70 New Zealand dollars per 2.0 liters, butter by 42.2% year-on-year to 17.18 New Zealand dollars per 1.0 kg, the cost of cheese increased by 29.5% to 13.01 New Zealand dollars per 1.0 kg, and meat products — by 7.9%.

In turn, the US dollar is trading at 97.60 in USDX this morning. The summit of American and Russian leaders in Alaska did not produce the expected positive results, and the instrument remained under pressure amid weak macroeconomic data: Retail Sales fell in July from 0.9% to 0.5%, and Industrial Production fell by 0.1% after increasing by 0.4% the month before, leading to a weakening of investors' confidence that the US Federal Reserve will adjust the interest rate by more than –25 basis points. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's (CME Group) FedWatch Tool shows the probability of a marginal cut in borrowing costs is 84.8%, down slightly from 92.0% late last week.

Support and resistance

The instrument is correcting, still moving slightly below the resistance line of the lateral channel with dynamic boundaries of 0.6110–0.5850.

Technical indicators have not changed their downward dynamics to upward yet, but are easing the pressure: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are moving towards the signal line, and the AO histogram, being lower than the transition level, is forming new correction bars.

Support levels: 0.5890, 0.5760.
Resistance levels: 0.5990, 0.6110.

Trading tips

If growth continues and the price consolidates above the resistance level of 0.5990, buy positions with a target of 0.6110 will be relevant. Stop-loss — 0.5930. Implementation time: 7 days and more.

If the asset reverses and continues declining, and the price consolidates below the local support level at 0.5890, short positions can be opened with the target at 0.5760. Stop-loss — 0.5970.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

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You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on NZD/USD аnd trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

USD/JPY: wave analysis 19.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the correctional fourth wave 4 and the wave (C) of 4 ended, and the upward fifth wave 5 develops. Now, the third wave of the lowest level 3 of (1) of 5 is developing, within which the wave i of 3 and the correctional wave ii of 3 have formed. If the assumption is correct, the USD/JPY pair will grow to the area of 154.00–158.82. In this scenario, the critical stop loss level is 146.13.

Main scenario

Long positions may be opened above the level of 146.13 with the targets at 154.00–158.82. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

A breakout and the consolidation of the price below the level of 146.13 will let the asset go down to the area of 142.10–138.80.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

Johnson & Johnson: technical analysis 20.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Johnson & Johnson for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The shares of Johnson & Johnson, one of the leading retail holdings, are trading at 177.00.

On the daily chart, the price is attempting to consolidate above the resistance line of the sideways channel with fixed boundaries of 170.00–142.00.

On the four-hour chart, the consolidation above the previous high of 175.00 confirms the likelihood of growth toward the historical peak of 190.00. However, if the price consolidates below 175.00, the negative dynamics are likely to persist.

Technical indicators maintain a stable buy signal: the EMA range on the Alligator indicator is expanding upwards, and the AO histogram is forming rising bars in the positive zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 180.00 with the target at 190.00. Stop loss is 176.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price falls and consolidates below 174.00 with the target at 164.00. Stop loss is 180.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Johnson & Johnson аnd trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

Netflix Inc.: technical analysis 21.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Netflix Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Netflix Inc., an American entertainment company, as well as a streaming service for movies and TV series, are trading at 1200.00.

On the daily chart, the price is correcting to the support line of the ascending channel with dynamic boundaries of 1400.00–1100.00.

On the four-hour chart, the probability of a downward movement remains high and may increase after the quotes consolidate below the previous low of 1150.00. On the other hand, in case of consolidation above the peak of 1250.00, near which the instrument is, it will allow it to update the historical extreme of 1340.00.

Technical indicators maintain a buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator expand the range of fluctuations above the signal line, and the AO histogram forms ascending bars in the positive zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 1250.00 with the target at 1340.00. Stop loss is 1200.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price falls and consolidates below 1150.00 with the target at 1060.00. Stop loss is 1200.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Netflix Inc. аnd trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[NPBFX_Official]

EUR/GBP: investors analyze business activity data from the UK and the EU 22.08.2025

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/GBP for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/GBP pair quotes are around 0.8647: the euro is trading at fairly stable levels and after the formation of a local low, an upward trend has begun again against the backdrop of the relative stability of the EU economy, as well as a new acceleration in the rate of inflation in the UK.

Yesterday, the leading eurozone economies released business activity data, which for the most part exceeded the previous period's figures: the German Manufacturing PMI rose from 49.1 points to 49.9 points, and in the eurozone as a whole — from 49.8 points to 50.5 points, which returned it to the "green" zone for the first time in a long time. As for the Composite PMI, it rose to 49.8 points in France, 50.9 points in Germany, and 51.1 points in the eurozone as a whole, which is the highest value since early spring. With new orders currently showing a significant increase and the number of new hires increasing for the sixth month in a row, experts believe that economic growth in the eurozone could accelerate against this backdrop, but will remain moderate overall.

Meanwhile, according to a joint statement from officials in Brussels and Washington published the day before, the vast majority of goods from the EU, in particular cars, pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, will be subject to a 15.0% duty when imported into the United States. The agreement does not provide for any exceptions for wines and spirits, as France and Italy had hoped. The French Federation of Wine and Spirits Exporters (FEVS) has already expressed "deep disappointment", predicting serious difficulties for the industry.

As for the British currency, the current weak macroeconomic indicators are the driver of the downward dynamics of its quotes. First of all, it is worth noting the business activity reports: the Manufacturing PMI in August was 47.3 points after 48.0 points in the previous period with a forecast of 48.2 points, but a much bigger problem for the national economy could be inflation, which has begun to accelerate again. The Consumer Price Index rose to 3.8% in July from 3.6%, in line with the Core CPI — almost twice the Bank of England's target, which could pose a major barrier to a possible rate cut before the end of the year.

Against this backdrop, the EUR/GBP pair is likely to continue trading in an upward trend with a possible slowdown and a transition to sideways dynamics.

Support and resistance

The instrument is trading slightly above the support line of the ascending channel with dynamic boundaries of 0.8800–0.8600, preparing to continue the upward trend.

Technical indicators have almost reversed again and are ready to issue a new buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are held slightly above the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming ascending bars, being below the transition level.

Support levels: 0.8600, 0.8510.
Resistance levels: 0.8680, 0.8740.

Trading tips

If the asset continues growing and the price consolidates above the resistance level at 0.8680, long positions will be relevant with target at 0.8740. Stop-loss — 0.8620. Implementation time: 7 days and more.

If the decline continues and the price consolidates below the support level of 0.8600, it is relevant to open sell positions with a target of 0.8510. Stop-loss — 0.8660.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

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