On the daily chart, bulls are still hoping to form a “Dragon” pattern. The first step will be the pair’s exit out of the short-term consolidation range between 0.9575 and 0.9650. The second step will be a successful attack on diagonal resistance. Only if these 2 conditions are met, USD/CHF will get a chance to rise to 0.9785 and higher.
On H1, USD/CHF is forming the “Dragon’s head”. To complete it, it needs to overcome resistance at 0.9650. In this case, the activation of AB=CD with the target at 161.8% will become more likely.
On the daily chart, GBP/USD formed an inside bar. It points at the indecisiveness of market players. A break of the inside bar’s low together with the formation of “Three Indians” pattern will strengthen the risks of a pullback towards 1.34, 1.33 and 1.3265.
On H1, GBP/USD is consolidating in the 1.3465-1.3570 area in line with “Spike and ledge” pattern. A successful test of its upper border will open the way to the north. On the other hand, a break of support at 1.3465 will increase the risks of correction to 1.3400-1.3420 and 1.3300-1.3325.
Bulls faced with resistance at 1.2029, so the price is likely going to decline towards the nearest support area at 1.2003 - 1.1975 in the short term. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.2042 - 1.2059.
We've got a "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed. So, bears are likely going to test the closest support at 1.1975. However, if we have a pullback from this level, bulls will try to reach another resistance at 1.2029 - 1.2042.
There's a "Double Top", which has been confirmed, so the price is consolidating. The main intraday target is the nearest support at 1.3444. If we have a pullback from this level, there'll be an option to have a bullish price movement towards the closest resistance at 1.3652 - 1.3681.
The price is consolidating between the levels 1.3479 - 1.3532. Also, there's a developing "Pennant" pattern. In this case, bears are likely going to achieve the 55 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally.
There's a reversal "Doji" pattern, which hasn't been confirmed yet. Therefore, the market is likely going to test the 34 Moving Average in the short term. If a pullback from this line happens, we could have another upward price movement.
We've got a bearish "Shooting Star", but confirmation of this pattern is quite weak. So, we should keep an eye on 55 Moving Average as an intraday target. If this MA acts as support, bulls are likely going to deliver a new local high.
USD/JPY: BEARS GOING TO TEST NEAREST "WINDOW"
12:23 20.09.2017
There are a "Shooting Star" and a "Harami" patterns, which both have been confirmed enough. In this case, bears are likely going to test the nearest "Window", which could be a departure point for another upward price movement.
The price reached the 34 Moving Average, so there's an opportunity to have a local bullish correction. However, bears are likely going to test the 89 MA afterwards, which could act as support.
We've got a pullback from 5/8 MM Level, so wave 4 has been ended. The price is rising, so we could have a bullish impulse in wave 5. The main intraday target is 8/8 MM Level.
There's a possible wedge, which could be wave , so bears are likely going to deliver wave [ii] during the day. If a pullback from 4/8 MM Level happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have wave [iii] of 5.
Wave 4 turned out to be bigger, so 5/8 MM Level is likely going to be tested once again. If a pullback from this level arrives later on, there'll be an opportunity to have wave 5. In this case, we should keep an eye on 8/8 MM Level as an intraday target.
It seems like wave 4 is taking the form of a double zigzag. The last decline could be wave (a) of [y], so bulls are likely going to deliver wave (b) during the day. Nevertheless, we could have another bearish impulse in wave (c) of [y] of 4 afterwards.
EUR/JPY: BULLS FULFILLED THEIR MISSION
07:43 21.09.2017
Recommendation:
SELL 133.25
SL 133.8
TP 132.3
On H1, EUR/JPY reached 161.8% target of the junior and senior AB=CD patterns. This increases the risks of a pullback to the uptrend. Never the less, as long as the pair’s inside the uptrend channel, bulls remain in control of the situation.
On H1, EUR/JPY is forming a “widening wedge” pattern. Its end together with the break of support at 133.25 will open the way south towards 23.6% and 38.2% correction levels of the last bullish wave.
USD/JPY: BULLS ARE BREAKING OBSTACLES
07:53 21.09.2017
Recommendations:
BUY 112.1 SL 111.55 TP1 113.3 TP2 113.85
BUY 111.85 SL 111.3 TP1 112.85 TP2 113.3
On the daily chart, USD/JPY keeps going north towards 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern. Bulls showed their strength by managing to conquer resistance at 112.07. Currently it is acting as support.
On the daily chart, USD/JPY reached the targets of the “Widening wedge”. The pair is trading within the uptrend channel. This means that bulls are in control of the pair. Pullbacks towards 112.10 and 111.85 can be used for forming long positions.
We've got a "Triple Top", so the market has plunged. In this case, we should keep an eye on the next support at 1.1837 - 1.1822 as an intraday target. If a pullback from this area happens, we could have an upward correction in the direction of the 89 Moving Average.
We've got a "Pennant", so the pair is likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.1907 during the day. However, if we have a pullback from this area, there'll be an opportunity to have another decline towards the next support at 1.1975 - 1.1822.
There's a "Double Top", but the price is consolidating. It's likely that bears are going to reach the nearest support at 1.3374. Meanwhile, if we have a pullback from this level, bulls will probably try to reach the closest resistance afterwards.
The 55 Moving Average has acted as support, so the price is consolidating. Also, we've got a developing bearish "Flag" pattern. In this case, bulls are likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.3532 - 1.3550. If a pullback from these levels arrives later on, there'll be an opportunity to have a bearish price movement towards the 89 Moving Average.
The 89 Moving Average has acted as support, so we've got a "High Wave" pattern, which was confirmed. So, we could have an upward correction and a decline afterwards.
There's a bullish "High Wave", which has been confirmed. In this case, the market is likely going to test the nearest "Window". If a pullback from this level happens, bears will try to deliver a new local low.
We've got a "Shooting Star", but this pattern hasn't been confirmed yet. So, we could have a local downward correction. If any bullish pattern arrives afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement.
There's a bearish "Harami", which has been confirmed enough. However, we could have a local upward correction in the short term. Nevertheless, bears are likely going to test the 55 Moving Average later on.
GBP/USD: POSITIVE SENTIMENTS RETURNED TO MARKET
06:30 22.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 1.3550; resistance – 1. 3650.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.3550; SL — 1.3530; TP1 — 1.3650; TP2 — 1.3700.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a cancelled golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, the lines are horizontal; the Bulls are gaining the strength and returned the prices above Kijun-sen.
USD/JPY: DOLLAR IS CORRECTED TO KIJUN-SEN
06:31 22.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 112.00; resistance – 112.70.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 112.00; SL — 109.80; TP1 — 112.70; TP2 — 113.40.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a cancelled golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are returned to the support of Tenkan and Kijun and may go higher.
The main trend is still bullish, so we've got a "V-Bottom" pattern, which pushed the price higher. So, the market is likely going to continue rising towards the next resistance at 1.2021 - 1.2033. If a pullback from this area happens, we could have a decline towards the nearest support at 1.1925 - 1.1909.
We've got a "Triple Bottom", which has been confirmed, but bulls faced with resistance at 1.1968. In this case, the price is likely going to test the closest support at 1.1941 - 1.1934. However, if we have a pullback from these levels, bulls will try to achieve another resistance at 1.2021 - 1.2033.
The price is consolidating between the levels 1.3652 - 1.3444. Tha main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.3625 - 1.3681. If a pullback from this area arrives little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline in the direction of the closest support at 1.3533.
There's a bullish "Pennant", so the pair is likely going to reach the nearest resistance at 1.3625 -1 .3681. Meanwhile, if we see a pullback from these levels, bears will probably try to deliver a downward correction.
EUR/USD: DEVELOPING TRIANGLE IN WAVE 4
07:26 22.09.2017
There's a pullback from 7/8 MM Level, so we've got a developing triangle in wave 4. It's likely that the price is going to test the lower side of this pattern. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward impulse in wave 5.
The price is consolidating between the 5/8 and 2/8 MM Levels. Wave [d] of 4 is about to end, so we could have wave [e] of 4 in the short term. If another pullback from 3/8 MM Level arrives later on, bulls will try to deliver wave .
On the daily chart, EUR/USD broke below the diagonal support and left the uptrend channel. This increases the possibility of a “Shark” and “Head and Shoulders”. Their realization will lead to a pullback towards 1.1710. To resume the uptrend, bulls need to conquer resistance at 1.2030.
On H1, EUR/USD formed a “Widening wedge”. To trigger it, the pair needs a confident test of support at 1.1825-1.1840.
