USD/JPY: "SHOOTING STAR DOJI" PATTERN
15:38 14.07.2017
The 21 Moving Average is acting as resistance. All the last candles are bearish, so there isn't any reversal pattern so far. Therefore, the pair is likely going to test the lower "Window" in the short term.
There's a "Shooting Star Doji", so the price is declining. In this case, the 144 Moving Average is likely going to act as support. If we see a pullback from this line, bulls will have a green light to return to the market.
AUD/CHF RISING INSIDE MINOR IMPULSE WAVE 3
17:31 14.07.2017
AUD/CHF rising inside minor impulse wave 3
Next buy target - 0.7620
AUD/CHF continues to rise inside the sharp minor impulse wave 3 – which earlier broke through the multiple consecutive resistance levels – 0.7400 (previous by target), 0.7460 (top of the previous minor correction (iv)), 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous downward ABC correction (2) from February, and most recently – the pair broke through 0.7520 (monthly high from June). AUD/CHF can then be expected to rise further to the next buy target at the next resistance level 0.7620 (top of the earlier wave (ii) from May).
AUD/USD broke multi-month resistance level 0.7740
Next buy target - 0.7900
AUD/USD continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave (iii) – which earlier broke through the powerful multi-month resistance level 0.7740 (which has been steadily reversing all upward impulses of this currency pair from the middle of 2016, as can be seen from the daily AUD/USD chart below). The breakout of this resistance level should lead to the substantial strengthening of of the bullish pressure on this currency pair. AUD/USD is expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 0.7900.
AUD/NZD: PULL BACKS COULD COME SOON
06:02 17.07.2017
AUD/NZD has been following a cycle started from the end of June and it’s currently in an extreme zone for bulls, as the price action had reached the area between 1.0619 and 1.0688, which are the Fibonacci expansion zone of 123.6% and 161.8%. Such territory can provide another selling wave for the pair and if that happens, we can expect a decline towards 61.8% at 1.0507.
To invalidate that scenario, the pair should break above 1.0688 in order to test the 1.0700 psychological level. RSI indicator at H4 chart is currently overbought.
Technical levels: support – 1.1430; resistance – 1.1515.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.1430; SL — 1.1410; TP1 — 1.1490; TP2 – 1.1515.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with horizontal Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are supported by Cloud and bounced to positive area.
USD/JPY: DOLLAR ENTERED INTO CLOUDY AREA
10:08 17.07.2017
Technical levels: support – 112.10; resistance – 113.30.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 112.10; SL — 111.90; TP1 — 113.00; TP2 — 113.30.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen and the lines are horizontal; the market is in a correction to Senkou Span B – waiting for bouncing.
On the daily chart, AUD/USD keeps moving up to 161.8% target of the inverted “Crab” pattern. The nearest support levels are close to 0.7750 (historical level) and 0.7715 (previous high). As long as the pair is trading above the convergence area of 0.7715-0.7750, bulls will remain in control.
On H1, there are “Three Indians” and “Spike and ledge” patterns. The decline below the line of “Three Indians” will increase the risks of correction towards 0.7715/0.7725.
Bulls faced resistance at 1.1464, so we've got a bearish "V-Top" pattern, which pushed the price to support at 1.1425. However, bears are likely going to test the next support at 1.1398 in the short term. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the nearest resistance at 1.1494 - 1.1529.
There's a "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed. The price is testing support at 1.1444, so we could have another decline in the direction of the 89 Moving Average. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this line happens, bulls will have a green light to reach the next resistance at 1.1488 - 1.1494.
GBP/USD: BEARS GOING TO ACHIEVE CLOSEST SUPPORT
11:13 17.07.2017
The price found resistance at 1.3119, so we've got a "V-Top" pattern, which set up a bearish correction. The main intraday target is the nearest support at 1.3057 - 1.2032. However, if we see a pullback from this area, we should keep in mind the next resistance at 1.3184 as a bullish goal.
We've got a "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed. So, bears are likely going to achieve the closest support at 1.3057 - 1.3032 during the day. At the same time, if a pullback from these levels happens, there'll be an option to have a bullish price movement towards resistance at 1.3119
On the daily chart, USD/CAD has caught up with the convergence area of 1.2690-1.2620. Here we find the target of the “Shark” pattern. If bulls manage to protect these levels, the possibility of consolidation in the 1.2590-1.2780 area will increase. On the other hand, the quick break will allow bears to go down, towards 1.245-1.2460.
On H1, large players formed two areas of shorts accumulation: 1.2720-1.2765 and 1.2865-1.3010. Without successful tests of these levels the development of the correction is not possible.
It seems like wave (E) of is about to end, which means a bullish impulse in wave C of (E) is going to finish soon. If we have a pullback from 7/8 MM Level, there'll be an opportunity to have a downward price movement towards 6/8 MM Level.
There's a possible ending diagonal pattern in wave [v] of C. Wave (v) of [v] is likely going to be continued, so we could have a new local high in the short term.
As we can see on the one-hour chart, wave (v) of [v] is taking the form of a zigzag. So, we're likely going to have another bullish impulse in wave c of (v). The main intraday target is +1/8 MM Level.
The last bullish "Tweezers" pattern has been confirmed. However, there's a bearish "Dark Cloud", so we could have a local downward correction. Anyway, the market is likely going to continue falling down afterwards until any reversal pattern forms.
The 34 Moving Average has acted as support, so there's a bullish "Harami", which has been confirmed. Therefore, we're likely going to have a new local high during the day.
GBP/USD: 55 MA ACTING AS RESISTANCE
14:35 17.07.2017
The price is consolidating along the "Window". The 55 Moving Average is acting as resistance. In this case, the pair is likely going to achieve the 144 MA in the short term.
There's a bearish "High Wave", which has been confirmed enough. So, the market is likely going to test the lower "Window". If any bullish pattern arrives afterwards, we could have an upward price movement towards the Moving Averages.
On the daily chart, bulls managed to break above resistance at 1.1472-1.1480. This put the longer-term bearish trend to an end. Resistance became support, “Bat” pattern turned into “Crab” with interim target of 127.2% at 1.1800.
On H1, EUR/USD is trading within the bullish channel. Bulls are in control. Buy on any pullbacks to the downside.
On the daily chart, bears are trying to resume the downtrend. If they manage to get below June low, the possibility of the decline to 127.2% and 224% targets of “Crab” and AB=CD patterns will significantly increase.
On H1, USD/CHF formed “Three Indians” pattern. Bears are currently trying to pull the pair outside of 0.9600-0.9690 consolidation range within “Spike and ledge” pattern. Success in this will slow seller to continue the decline.
EUR/USD: LOCAL CORRECTION COMING SOON
10:50 18.07.2017
Bulls faced resistance at 1.1529, so the market is likely going to test the nearest support at 1.1494 in the short term. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.1529 - 1.1560.
The price is consolidating along resistance at 1.1529. If any bearish pattern forms in the coming hours, the pair is likely going to reach the closest support at 1.1494. However, if we see a pullback from this level, bulls will have a green light to achieve another resistance at 1.1529 - 1.1560.
GBP/USD: LOCAL "V-BOTTOM" PATTERN
10:56 18.07.2017
The price faced support at 1.3057, so there's a local "V-Bottom" pattern, which pushed the pair higher. So, the market is likely going to test the next resistance at 1.3137 - 1.3184 soon. At the same time, if a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an option to have a decline in the direction of the nearest support at 1.3047 - 1.3032.
There's a consolidation, which is taking place near resistance at 1.3116. In this case, bulls are likely going to deliver a new local high, so we should keep an eye on the closest resistance at 1.3137 as an intraday target. Considering a possible pullback from this level, we could have a bearish correction afterwards.
EUR/USD: PULLBACK FROM 6/8 MM LEVEL
12:10 18.07.2017
It's likely that the current ending diagonal pattern has been formed. Therefore, if the price fixates under 5/8 MM Level, bears are going to deliver an impulse in wave (i). The main intraday target is 3/8 MM Level
There's a pullback from 6/8 MM Level. So, if the pair comes back to the upper side of the diagonal, there'll be an opportunity to have wave i of (i). In this case, we should keep in mind 4/8 MM Level as the nearest bearish target.
GBP/USD: POUND DECIDED TO CORRECT
14:25 18.07.2017
Technical levels: support – 1.2980; resistance – 1.3090.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.2980; SL — 1.2960; TP1 — 1.3090; TP2 — 1.3150.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices made a new local highs and corrected to Kijun-sen.
