Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

The Australian dollar back in play: how US inflation and the Consumer Sentiment Index may strengthen AUDUSD

After losing ground, the Australian dollar is making another attempt to recover, with AUDUSD quotes testing the 0.6890 level. Discover more in our analysis for 27 March 2026.

AUDUSD forecast: key takeaways

• US inflation expectations from the University of Michigan: previously at 3.4%, projected at 3.4%
• University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index: previously at 56.6, projected at 55.5
• AUDUSD forecast for 27 March 2026: 0.6960

Fundamental analysis

Today’s AUDUSD forecast favours the Australian dollar, which has every chance of recovering against the USD, with the pair currently trading around 0.6890.

According to the forecast for 27 March 2026, US inflation expectations from the University of Michigan may remain unchanged at 3.4%. It is worth remembering that the indicator had been falling for several months from 4.2 to 3.4. Actual data at the previous level can be considered neutral, indicating some stabilisation in the US economy. However, a worse-than-expected actual reading may affect the AUDUSD rate, strengthening the Australian dollar.

Read this article on RoboForex website - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

160.00 is the psychological barrier for USDJPY: who will win, the dollar or the Japanese yen

The yen is on the verge of intervention by the BoJ. The USDJPY pair broke above the psychological 160.00 mark and, after correcting, is trading around the 159.60 level. Discover more in our analysis for 30 March 2026.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• After testing the 160.46 mark, the USDJPY pair plummeted
• The BoJ prepares for an intervention
• The Japanese regulator is ready to defend its currency at any cost

Fundamental analysis

Today, 30 March 2026, the USDJPY currency pair staged a real drama worthy of a Hollywood blockbuster. Within just a few hours, the exchange rate first hit a new 20-month high by testing the 160.46 mark and then plummeted, reflecting the harshest intervention threats from the Japanese authorities in the past two years.

At the moment, quotes are consolidating around 159.60, balancing on a thin line between the real threat of currency intervention by the BoJ and the dollar as a safe-haven currency.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 500 forecast: the index falls more than 10%

The US 500 is falling rapidly, exceeding average seasonal fluctuation levels. The US 500 forecast for today is negative.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US services PMI preliminarily came in at 51.1 in March
• Market impact: the data is negative for the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The release of the US services PMI data turned out to be moderately weak for equities. The actual US services PMI came in at 51.1 compared to a forecast of 52.0 and a previous reading of 51.7. This means the services sector is still expanding, since the index remains above 50.0, but the pace of growth slowed more than the market expected.

For the US 500, such news more often creates a moderately negative outlook in the short term. This is especially noticeable if the market had been positioned for stronger macroeconomic data ahead of the release.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 500 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 forecast: the index continues to fall after a correction

After a correction, the US 30 index resumed its downward movement. The US 30 forecast for today is negative.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US core PCE index rose to 3.1%
• Market impact: the data has a negative impact on the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The US core PCE data can generally be viewed as moderately neutral, but with a slightly negative bias for the US 30 index. The actual reading was 3.1% year-on-year, in line with forecasts but above the previous level of 3.0%. This suggests that underlying inflation pressure is not easing as quickly as the market and the Federal Reserve would like.

For the US 30 index, the reaction is typically restrained, but more likely cautiously negative. The index comprises large, established companies, many of which operate in the industrial, financial, consumer, and healthcare sectors.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

EURUSD is down again: everyone wants the safe-haven dollar

The EURUSD pair slipped to 1.1532. The US dollar is in a strong position, as no one expects a quick Federal Reserve rate cut. Find more details in our analysis for 2 April 2026.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The EURUSD pair is retreating as external pressure mounts
• The market remains negative on Middle East risks
• EURUSD forecast for 2 April 2026: 1.1500

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate fell to 1.1532 on Thursday. The US dollar was supported by uncertainty over the timing of the end to the conflict in the Middle East following statements by US President Donald Trump.

In his evening address the previous day, Trump noted that Washington was close to accomplishing its key strategic objectives in Iran, but allowed for the possibility of new hard strikes over the next two to three weeks. This increased tension and maintained a high degree of uncertainty for global markets.

Read this article on RoboForex website - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

AUDUSD on the verge of a breakout: Australia is ready to raise interest rates

Ahead of the NFP release, volatility in the AUDUSD pair has fallen noticeably, with quotes testing the 0.6900 mark. Find more details in our analysis for 3 April 2026.

AUDUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Westpac expects three rate hikes in 2026
• US Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at -92 thousand, projected at 65 thousand
• The Australian dollar received unexpected support from China

Fundamental analysis

Today’s AUDUSD forecast takes into account that the Australian dollar is showing remarkable resilience, balancing on a knife edge between strong domestic support and an external geopolitical storm. The AUDUSD pair is trading around 0.6900, attempting to build on its upward momentum after the recent decline.

The domestic driver for the AUD today is not just hawkish signals, but a real consensus on the inevitability of further policy tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Read this article on RoboForex website - AUDUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team