Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

DE 40 forecast: the index slightly recovered, but the decline continues

The DE 40 stock index has partially rebounded from its recent losses, but the overall trend remains bearish. The DE 40 forecast for today is negative.

DE 40 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Germany’s preliminary manufacturing PMI came in at 49.5 in October 2025
• Market impact: the data creates a mixed backdrop for the German equity market

Fundamental analysis

Germany’s manufacturing PMI for October came in at 49.6 points, slightly above both the consensus forecast of 49.5 and the previous reading of 49.5. The figure indicates that the industrial sector remains in contraction, but with signs of gradual stabilisation near the neutral threshold. For the equity market, this is a moderately positive signal in terms of expectations: the slower pace of decline in manufacturing supports the valuation of future cash flows in cyclical sectors, reduces the risk of margin erosion from underutilised capacity, and may help narrow discounts on industrial assets. However, since the indicator remains below 50, it continues to reflect weakness in domestic and external demand, limiting the upside potential and making it dependent on confirmation of improvement in subsequent data releases.

Read this article on RoboForex website - DE 40 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Brent forced to reassess its outlook

Brent crude prices have slipped to 65.86 USD per barrel as the market reacts swiftly to changing headlines and shifting sentiment. Details — in our analysis for 28 October 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

• Brent continues to decline and may enter a sideways range.
• Rapid changes in news flow are forcing investors to reassess the outlook.
• Brent forecast for 28 October 2025: 64.00 and 63.50.

Fundamental analysis

On Tuesday, Brent crude oil fell for the third consecutive session, dropping to 64.86 USD per barrel amid growing concerns of oversupply following signals from OPEC+ about a potential output increase.

According to sources, at the upcoming Sunday meeting, members of the alliance are expected to discuss a moderate production hike for December, with Saudi Arabia reportedly pushing to regain lost market share.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

USDJPY will need strength ahead of central bank meetings

The USDJPY pair is consolidating around 151.98 midweek as traders shift their focus towards upcoming Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan decisions. Discover more in our analysis for 29 October 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• The USDJPY pair is saving its strength ahead of key policy meetings from the Fed and the BoJ
• Yen weakness continues to support Japan’s export-oriented sectors
• USDJPY forecast for 29 October 2025: 151.50–152.50

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate edged up to 151.98 on Wednesday as investors await the Bank of Japan’s meeting, where policymakers are widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged.

Officials are set to discuss conditions for a potential resumption of the rate-hike cycle, as tariff-related risks gradually ease, although inflationary pressures still complicate the policy outlook.

Earlier, the yen strengthened by about 0.5% following a meeting between Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who urged Japan to pursue a sound monetary policy. Markets interpreted his remarks as a subtle criticism of Japan’s slow pace in tightening monetary conditions.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

EURUSD at a crossroads: Fed split and EU CPI data to decide the course

Amid expectations of fundamental data from the US and the EU, the EURUSD rate may rise towards 1.1715. Discover more in our analysis for 30 October 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

• Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI): previously at 2.0%, projected at 2.0%
• Publication of FOMC minutes
• EURUSD forecast for 30 October 2025: 1.1715

Fundamental analysis

The eurozone CPI reflects changes in the cost of goods and services for consumers, helping to assess purchasing trends and the level of stagnation in the economy. A stronger-than-expected indicator would support the euro.

The EURUSD forecast for 20 August 2025 suggests that the index may remain flat at 2.0%. However, if the actual figure exceeds the forecast, it could affect the EURUSD rate and strengthen the euro.

Read this article on RoboForex website - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Gold (XAUUSD): volatility eases, but demand persists

Gold (XAUUSD) remains volatile around 4,010 USD. While risk sentiment has improved, investor interest in the precious metal persists. Find more details in our analysis for 31 October 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• Reduced geopolitical risk is weighing on gold (XAUUSD)
• October ends on a positive note, with gold up roughly 50% year-to-date
• XAUUSD forecast for 31 October 2025: 4,045

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) prices have retreated to around 4,010 USD per troy ounce, marking the second consecutive week of losses. The metal remains under pressure due to shifting expectations around the timing of future Federal Reserve rate cuts and news of the US-China trade truce.

The two countries reached a one-year agreement on rare earth metals and strategic resources. Donald Trump announced a 10% reduction in tariffs on fentanyl-related products, while Beijing pledged to curb mining output and resume imports of US soybeans. However, the long-term stability of the deal remains uncertain.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

USDCAD in consolidation, waiting for fresh signals

The USDCAD pair gained 0.7% in October, as markets remain tense amid shifting monetary and political factors. Discover more in our analysis for 3 November 2025.

USDCAD forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: the USDCAD pair strengthened following weak Canadian GDP data
• Current trend: the market is consolidating amid a lack of fresh catalysts
• USDCAD forecast for 3 November 2025: 1.3977 or 1.4035

Fundamental analysis

The Canadian dollar weakened against the US dollar after data showed an unexpected GDP contraction of 0.3% in August. The USDCAD pair is hovering around 1.4020, trading within the 1.3980–1.4035 range. In October, the CAD lost 0.7%, marking its second consecutive monthly decline, despite signals from the Bank of Canada suggesting that the easing cycle may be nearing its end.

Last Wednesday, the BoC lowered rates for the fourth time this year and noted that further reductions were highly unlikely. The Canadian dollar briefly strengthened on the statement, but the effect quickly faded after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks. Adding to the pressure, Canada’s GDP fell by 0.3% in August following a revised 0.3% increase in July, while markets expected it to remain flat. Preliminary estimates point to a 0.1% rebound in September, which could help avoid a recession in Q3.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDCAD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 forecast: the index enters a correction, but the uptrend remains intact

The uptrend in the US 30 index remains strong, suggesting the potential for another all-time high. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.

US 30 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: US ISM manufacturing prices for October came in at 58.0
• Market impact: the data has a moderately positive effect on the equity market

Fundamental analysis

The ongoing US government shutdown has now become the longest in history after the Senate once again failed to pass a funding bill yesterday. Meanwhile, the ISM manufacturing prices index came in at 58.0, below the forecast of 62.4 and the previous reading of 61.9. This means that prices paid by manufacturers for raw materials and components are still rising (as the index remains above 50.0), but the pace of growth has slowed significantly and fallen short of expectations. This is effectively a disinflationary signal from the manufacturing sector.

For the US 30 index, the data is moderately positive. Large industrial companies benefit from easing cost pressures and potentially lower discount rates. However, the short-term reaction will depend on whether investors interpret the data as primarily disinflationary or as a sign of weaker end demand.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

JP 225 forecast: the index corrected by more than 6%

The JP 225 stock index is trading in an uptrend, although volatility has increased significantly. The JP 225 forecast for today is positive.

JP 225 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the Bank of Japan set the interest rate at 0.50% per annum
• Market impact: the effect on the Japanese stock market is generally positive

Fundamental analysis

The Bank of Japan’s decision to keep the key interest rate unchanged at 0.50%, fully matching the forecast and previous level, means there was no monetary surprise for the market. For Japanese stock market participants, this signals that accommodative financial conditions will continue: borrowing costs for corporations and households remain low, and the equity risk premium relative to bonds remains attractive.

For the JP 225 index, which includes a significant share of exporters, industrial companies and financial institutions, the overall effect of the decision appears moderately positive. The absence of surprises reduces short-term volatility and reinforces the base scenario for valuation models: stable monetary policy, controlled bond yields and favourable conditions for corporate financing. Unless the accompanying BoJ comments point to a faster pace of tightening in the coming quarters, the JP 225 index will likely maintain its upward momentum.

Read this article on RoboForex website - JP 225 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team