Key To Markets - Discussion

Key To Markets

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Mar 27, 2017
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USDCAD technical view ahead of NFP.
  • CAD boosted with Q2 GDP growth.
  • Medium-term potential support zone remains between 1.2360 and 1.2320 levels.
  • The strong GDP data supports another BoC rate hike in September.
USDCADDaily-1.png

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Key To Markets

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EUR strength will shift the focus to ECB staff projection.
  • We believe the inflation and ECB's growth forecast will be quiet.
  • We recommended sell trade last week, retraced beyond our targets.
  • We are not expecting a new information in this week’s ECB meeting

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Key To Markets

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Divergence observed between BRENT and WTI
  • Last month price action consolidated in a tight range but traded mostly above 52$.
  • The price action divergence observed between BRENT and WTI.
  • Hedge funds and money managers cut their bullish bets on U.S.
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Key To Markets

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EURAUD: Facing resistance at 200EMA (monthly)
  • A breakdown below 1.4730 could open to further retracement.
  • The daily bullish pattern remains.
  • Today's Aussie GDP and ECB are the risk events.
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Key To Markets

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EUR likely to peak typically.
  • The common currency remains in a consolidation phase.
  • Widely expected the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels.
  • Focus to quarterly staff projection on inflation forecast.
  • Euro longs were trimmed modestly
JUNE.png

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Key To Markets

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USDCAD: Retraced 50.0%. 1.2060 is the key.
  • Set of supports available on the monthly chart.
  • 200MA finds at 1.2010 and 100EMA finds at 1.1970.
  • The rate cut in January 2015 level is the key.
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Key To Markets

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Central Banks announcements this week Sep 10-16.
  • The brand new week wraps with SNB and BoE rate statements.
  • We are watching EURCHF (bullish) and USDCHF (neutral).
  • USDCHF we are watching 0.9360-0.9330 levels.
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Key To Markets

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How will the GBP react to CPI and BoE rate decision?
  • From August low’s GBP appreciated more than 3.5%.
  • Trading on a verge of a breakout.
  • CPI and BoE are the risk events.
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Key To Markets

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Brent: Support elevated to 53
  • Rejected at 78.6%
  • Range expected between 55-50$.
  • Pattern divergence spotted between BRENT and WTI
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Key To Markets

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USDJPY: US CPI, Retail sales and next week’s FOMC statement are the key risk events.
  • USD dominance continues against AUD,EUR,JPY,CHF,TRY and ZAR so far this week.
  • JPY cross buying demand led the USDJPY to rebound
  • A weekly close above 111.25 could push the trading range higher.
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Key To Markets

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BoE Tightening cycle is the key.GBP FX snapshot.
  • EURGBP continues the corrective decline phase.
  • We shifted our focus to GBPJPY.
  • GBPUSD: Resistance 1.3500-1.3530.
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Key To Markets

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JPY crosses witness multiple bullish patterns.
  • Last week price action was the strongest in 2017.
  • Facing resistance at 50MA (monthly).
  • Rebound nearly 38.0% (118.65-107.30 fall).
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Key To Markets

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EURUSD: Support base rose to 1.1820 from 1.1660.
  • A footprint above 1.20 needed to visit the near term supply zone.
  • Further headroom available until holds 1.1660.
  • Unwind of the balance sheet is well priced.
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Key To Markets

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NZDUSD: General election risk
  • NZ’s current account deficit narrowed to 1.6$ billion
  • The primary risk to NZD is general election
  • Supply zone remains between 0.7345-0.7420
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Key To Markets

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JPY crosses technical overview.
  • AUDJPY and CADJPY gave an inverse H&S pattern breakout
  • We remain bullish on JPY crosses especially against AUD,CAD,EUR and GBP to the Japan election.
  • Summary of banks BOJ preview.
USDJPYWeekly.png

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Key To Markets

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AUDUSD: Friday’s pivotal 0.7870-0.7840
  • AUDUSD trading below 20 and 50MA
  • Psychological support finds at 0.7900 below this 0.7870
  • A deep cut expected if 0.7800 taken out
AUDUSDH4-2.png

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Key To Markets

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Mar 27, 2017
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GBPUSD: Near-term downside risk available
  • Pound plunges on Theresa Brexit speech, closed at 1.3494 on Friday
  • Last week’s GBPUSD price action paused the four-week rally
  • Near-term trading range remains between 1.3450-1.3600
GBPUSDH1.png

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Key To Markets

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Mar 27, 2017
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Gold: Sitting at 50.% fib reaction.
  • Intraday supports finds at 1281 and 1279
  • The daily RSI sloping down
  • We are waiting for 61.8% fib-1261
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Key To Markets

Active Trader
Mar 27, 2017
414
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London, UK
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EURUSD: Respect the 2015 August low.
  • Last week’s corrective pullback printed a bearish pattern and completed the ABC target.
  • Potential resistance seems at 1.1830/1.1850 levels.
  • We shifted our near-term bearish take to neutral.
EURUSDMonthly-2.png

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Key To Markets

Active Trader
Mar 27, 2017
414
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42
44
London, UK
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AUDUSD: Weekly pivotal seems at 0.7960
  • The Aussie dollar closed at the lowest point in the Q3.
  • RBA meeting in focus, 3 October 2017, 2.30 pm AEDT
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