Expectancy or How Much Profitable Traders Really Make

[Arya Stark]

If you want to know how much you make per trade, there’s no point to look at your average winning trade, because you also have the losing trades. What you actually make per trade is “expectancy”. It is a very simple calculation.


All the pips you made / amount of trades = expectancy. This is what you actually make per trade.


I analyzed hundreds profitable accounts on Myfxbook that are at least 3 years old, at reputable brokers. Their average Expectancy is 6 pips. None made more more than 11 pips per day.

 

[OscarR]

So basically it is more about consistency than chasing big wins.

 

[Arya Stark]

So basically it is more about consistency than chasing big wins.

Or maybe the fact that lots of big wins is either impossible or extremely hard.

 

[maya95]

What counts is expectancy not the flashy wins.

 

[MoonTrekkerZ]

Expectancy shows how much a trader can realistically make on average per trade. It takes into account wins, losses, and their sizes. Successful traders focus on keeping expectancy positive by sticking to proven strategies, managing risk carefully, and staying disciplined, rather than chasing quick profits or following hype.

 

[CryptoX]

Expectancy shows how much a trader can earn on average per trade by combining win rate and risk-reward ratio. Successful traders rely on positive expectancy rather than constant wins. Profits usually come from consistent, smaller gains over time, supported by discipline, proper risk management, and a reliable trading strategy.