Cryptocurrencies Market Update ➡️ Solid ECN

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Massive Crypto Sell-Off!​

Binancecoin loses almost 10% and Bitcoin falls by more than 5% amid the problems of the Binance exchange in the US

Cryptocurrencies are clearly in a downturn. Bitcoin is losing over 5%, and Binance Coin is down nearly 10% following the news that the SEC was planning to sue the largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance, due to uncovered irregularities. Binance is accused of violating securities market regulations, conducting unregistered securities sales (the SEC considers cryptocurrencies as securities), and operating an unregistered securities exchange in the United States. Additionally, the SEC reportedly indicated that the exchange was managing its clients' funds, including secretly transferring funds to an entity controlled by the company's founder.

It is important to note that this is not the first time U.S. authorities have sued Binance. The CFTC had previously taken similar action. The United States likely wants to prevent investments in cryptocurrencies through the Binance exchange as quickly as possible.

In response to these reports, we are witnessing significant drops in cryptocurrencies and, above all, a breakout from the recent sideways trend. As we can see, positive sentiments in the U.S. stock market or commodity market no longer have a positive impact on cryptocurrencies.

Binancecoin is at its lowest since early March, as is Bitcoin. On the other hand, we are seeing further increases on the US100.​

 

[Solid ECN]

Cardano​

• The seventh-largest cryptocurrency on the market, Cardano (ADA), is falling to levels not seen since late March.​
• According to the SEC, Cardano is a security, and the Robinhood exchange is considering delisting some of the cryptocurrencies designated as securities by regulators - to avoid potential regulatory problems​
• Some investors accuse the project of a lack of clear growth despite a nearly $13 billion market capitalization​

Onchcain data shows higher activity and accumulation by larger investors
Project developer Charles Hoskinson indicated that the project is developing at the right pace and much of the developers' work is not visible to the 'naked eye' from the outside. More recently, Cardano has been working on the Marlowe project, which could potentially facilitate the entire construction and bring smart contract adoption to the financial sector. The IOHK organization behind Cardano has indicated that Marlowe has already been audited both internally and externally to meet security requirements.

The regulator claims that Cardano is only ostensibly decentralized while nearly 17% of the supply is in the hands of a few entities that regularly conducted sales to finance the development and marketing of the project - through unregistered sales of securities. Cardano was thus supposed to meet the conditions of the so-called Howey test: "investment of assets, in a joint venture, with the expectation of profit derived from the efforts of others."

According to IntoTheBlock, Cardano saw an increase in large transactions over the past 24 hours where the total number of Cardano token (ADA) trades increased by 5.8 million to 63.57 million Cardano (ADA) . The number of large transactions, above $100,000, increased to 14,780 or (4,790 more than the previous day). Buying activity in terms of Cardano inflows into large portfolios also increased by 123.6% yesterday compared to June 5 (part of the transactions were due to portfolio splits - a total of 6.61 million net inflows).

CARDANO price again fell below the SMA200 (red line) suggesting a possible test of $0.30 where we see previous price reactions and the 71.6 Fibonacci retracement of the December 2022 upward wave. The chart also somewhat resembles an head and shoulders formation, with the neckline running through at the aforementioned $0.30 level.​

 

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BTCUSD​

Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a range of 25,300 to 26,000. The key support level is at 25,300, which has shown significant reactions in the past few months. If the bullish momentum fails to sustain this level, a potential further decline may be expected.

 

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Ripple​

Cryptocurrency RIPPLE gains 5% as fintech lawyers await to get access to internal SEC correspondence in court later today. Ripple has been fighting the SEC for nearly 2 years according to which the cryptocurrency is a security, and the company behind it has committed illegal sales. The cryptocurrency has proved surprisingly resilient to the crypto crisis of recent days.​

• The dossier due to arrive in court today is expected to include messages exchanged by SEC members after former director Hinman's speech. The one contrary to Gensler's position indicated that cryptocurrencies could be commodities. Potentially inconsistent comments could undermine the SEC's authority and increase Ripple's chances of winning in court.​
• The Federal Trade Commission (CFTC) has long been in dispute with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over whether cryptocurrencies should be considered commodities or securities. Over the years, there has still been no consistent position on the issue. This regulatory mess could be exploited by lawyers;​

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A look at the chart​

In recent weeks, which have been very weak for crypto, the price of Ripple has managed to rise unexpectedly. The chart below shows the divergence between Binancecoin (yellow chart) testing the December minima, and Ripple - this one has been gaining since late May. In contrast to Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies. The market is taking a positive view of the chances of winning in court, with the judge allowing evidence of the Commission's internal correspondences into the case despite the SEC's protest.

RIPPLE is climbing in the vicinity of 0.56 USD, and potentially breaking the psychological resistance of previous peaks at 0.57 USD may open the way to 0.68USD where the price may encounter the first significant resistance (past price action).​

 

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Bitcoin near 29,000​

"Bulls" return to crypto. The market is reacting to more moves by financial institutions

The cryptocurrency market has had some really good days. Fear over the Binance exchange and regulations has given way to positive sentiment due to the recent actions of investment funds. It's thanks to them that the market is reassured that cryptocurrencies 'won't disappear' from Western financial markets, and Bitcoin can finally count on interest from institutions. As a result, the largest cryptocurrency is struggling to break through $29,000 today.
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• Following news of a Bitcoin Trust ETF from BlackRock and a similar fund application from Fidelity Investments, investors were optimistic about Deutsche Bank's application to provide digital trust services.​
• In the evening, the market also reacted to news of the opening in the US of a new crypto exchange EDX Markets. For the moment, however, the entity will specialize in serving institutions and cannot be compared to Binance or Coinbase​
• EDX is backed by Citadel Securities and Virtu Financial, among others, some of the largest market makers in the world, as well as Charles Schwab , Fidelity Investments fund and other Wall Street institutions.​
• Today's reports from the US indicate that another institution, Invesco, has once again applied to the SEC for approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF​
• A Nomura survey indicated that 96% of professional institutional investors managing nearly $5 trillion (303 institutions) are willing to invest in cryptocurrencies, and 82% had a positive view of the long-term prospects of Bitcoin and Ethereum​
• As a result of Bitcoin's sudden rise in the market, the largest wave of short position liquidations since May 28 took place (Approx. $40 million liquidation in the last 24 h according to CoinGlass)​

On-Chain data shows the fastest increase in Bitcoin flows to institutions with very little or even zero trading history in more than 6 months. This behavior of the network may indicate an accumulation trend on the part of long-term investors.

Bitcoin (BITCOIN) stock chart, W1 interval. The largest cryptocurrency has rebounded from the lower limit of the uptrend sustained since the beginning of this year and is currently heading towards the upper resistance barrier, set by the zone of local peaks from April this year.​

 

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Bitcoin​

• Bitcoin struggles to maintain the $30,000 level​
• Extreme emotions in cryptocurrencies​

Last week, we wrote about the euphoria surrounding BTC, XRP, and other cryptocurrencies after XRP won the case against the SEC in court. Riding the positive sentiment, BTC briefly surged to the $31,800 level, ETH surpassed $2,000, and XRP gained over 80% to reach $0.90.

However, the upper boundary of the consolidation channel for BTC is incredibly strong. The $31,200-$31,400 level served as significant support during the bull market in 2021 and the bear market in 2022. This time, BTC failed to break above it and experienced a sharp decline to around $30,000 on Friday evening. Speculations arose regarding the reason for the drop, but it was most likely a combination of several factors:​

• Still ongoing regulatory and macroeconomic uncertainty​
• XRP's win against the SEC, which after emotions cooled down, still leaves room for the SEC to appeal and continue the dispute​
• Speculations about Binance's weak condition following information concerning layoffs of 1,500-3,000 employees compared to the total employment of around 8,000​

The failure to break above the channel despite such significant news may suggest weakness in the bulls and an upcoming short-term downward trend. A key level to watch is the lower boundary of the channel around $29,700-$30,000. A daily close below this level could pave the way towards $27,500.​

 

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Bitcoin: Will the Price Drop Below $25,000​

Bitcoin’s price is falling and is currently around $25,400. A few days ago, the price went up after Grayscale won a court case against the SEC. However, the excitement didn’t last long. Major cryptocurrencies are having trouble keeping their value because there aren’t enough new investors. The SEC didn’t accept other applications for funds, including one from BlackRock. The next deadline for reviewing applications is in mid-October.

Technically looking at the D1 interval, Bitcoin prices recently reacted at the support level of $26,000 (slightly breaching it earlier). This level stemmed from the lower limit of a broad 1:1 pattern. According to the Overbalance methodology, defending this level could result in a move to new highs. However, the upward movement was halted at the level of the 100-day EMA, after which the price dynamically moved downward. We are currently observing another attempt to negate the 1:1 geometry. Attention should be paid to the horizontal support zone at the level of $25,300, which is currently being tested. If this level is breached, the price drop may intensify. The next noteworthy support level is only at $23,600, which results from a 50% measurement of the last upward wave.​

 

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Bitcoin Analysis

Cryptocurrencies extend losses amid fears of FTX asset liquidation!

Bitcoin is down 2.70% and is struggling to maintain the key support zone at the level of 25,200 dollars. The sentiment in the market is not improving, and the upcoming decision on September 13th regarding the liquidation of FTX assets with a total value of 3.4 billion dollars is causing another wave of panic. The next level of support is 24,800 dollars. This was the low on June 15, 2023, following the market panic due to the delisting of many altcoins and SEC lawsuits.

The liquidation of funds from FTX is to take place gradually, with between $100-200 million entering the market week by week. However, the details of the transaction are not yet known. It is possible that the assets will be sold on the OTC market - outside exchanges. In this case, all market concerns are panic, which only confirms the stage of the cycle we are currently in.

Another date to watch this week is the statement by the SEC chairman, Gary Gensler, before the Senate Banking Committee, which will take place on September 12th.​

 

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Bitcoin is testing its highest levels since August 31 ahead of the FOMC decision.​

Today, we're seeing a general recovery in the cryptocurrency market. Interestingly, there aren't major changes happening in the foreign exchange market, especially with the dollar. In recent times, we've noticed that Bitcoin's performance is often linked to other assets like Wall Street indices or gold. Even though US100 contracts are having a weaker day today, Bitcoin is on the rise, which is also in line with an increase in gold prices. This could be due to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting that might signal the end of interest rate increases. In the past, Bitcoin has benefited from a weaker dollar, which was partly due to reduced expectations of a rate hike. If the Federal Reserve adopts a cautious approach now, Bitcoin might break through the 28,000 mark and attempt to reach 30,000 USD. After that, the next target would be 32,000 USD, which is the highest level since May 2022.

 

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Bitcoin is better than digital Gold​

Bitcoin and gold are both seen as valuable assets, according to a recent report by Matrixport. Bitcoin's popularity has surged due to its digital nature, making it a desirable asset. Currently, Bitcoin's market value is $540 billion, which is about 10.8% of the total value of physical gold. Gold ETFs, on the other hand, are worth $200 billion.

The report suggests that if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approves a Bitcoin ETF, it could attract an investment of $20 - $30 billion. This could potentially cause a significant increase in Bitcoin's value. However, the SEC has been slow in making a decision on this matter and has postponed all new applications until October. Despite this, the crypto market remains optimistic about the potential influx of mainstream investment.

Interestingly, Bitcoin has an advantage over gold. You can remember your private keys, which means there's no risk of them being taken away.

Matrixport's head of research, Markus Thielen, pointed out that storing wealth in gold is becoming less popular in today's digital age. It also has limitations when it comes to international transactions. In contrast, Bitcoin allows for quick and discreet transfers of value across borders.

In conclusion, given the current technological advancements, Bitcoin serves two main purposes. It acts as a store of value similar to gold and as a speculative financial asset.​

 

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SOLUSD Analysis​

Amidst the ETF rumors, Solana’s price experienced a significant surge, peaking at $27, a trend that was mirrored by other cryptocurrencies. This spike in SOLUSD’s price resulted in it reaching the $24 - $27 resistance zone, causing both the RSI indicator and Stochastic oscillator to enter the overbought region.

Technical indicators suggest an impending market correction. With SOLUSD breaking the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, it’s anticipated that Solana will correct its recent gains and potentially decline to $22.4, aligning with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands.

This scenario is contingent on SOLUSD closing below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour chart, which is currently around $23.5. If bearish momentum is observed, we can expect SOLUSD’s bearish trend to persist, with initial targets set at $23.24, followed by the $22 pivot point.​

 

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin has successfully breached the $28,000 threshold. This significant level had previously maintained Bitcoin’s price within a range of $28,000 to $25,000 since mid-August 2023.

Upon examining the BTCUSD 4-hour chart, it’s evident that Bitcoin, often referred to as ‘digital gold’, is trading within a bullish channel. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is currently in the overbought zone. The critical level that sustains BTCUSD’s bullish trend is $27,952. As long as the price remains above this level, Bitcoin is likely to trade above the median line of the bullish channel. Given that the RSI is in the overbought territory, a minor decline to the R1 level is anticipated. This level presents a substantial supply zone for BTCUSD bulls.

If the R1 level is breached, the next bearish target for the bulls would be the $27,237 pivot point, followed by the lower boundary of the bullish channel.​

 

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Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride: Predictions from the Pros​

As Bitcoin’s wild ride keeps everyone guessing, big names are dropping hints about where it might head next. Currently, Bitcoin is at $30,377, a tiny bit higher than yesterday.
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The Dollar’s Dive: Schiff’s Scary Prediction​

Peter Schiff, a money expert, thinks trouble’s brewing for the US dollar. He predicts a long-lasting money slump and prices going up too fast, which isn’t good news for folks with dollars. But for Bitcoin, it might be a silver lining.
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Saylor Says Bitcoin’s a Winner​

Then there’s Michael Saylor, a big Bitcoin fan, showing off how well his Bitcoin plan has worked. His company, MicroStrategy, loves Bitcoin so much; they bought more, now owning a stash worth a whopping $4.68 billion. This big move might be giving Bitcoin’s price a nudge up.
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Kiyosaki’s Crystal Ball: Gold Glitters, Bitcoin Booms​

Robert Kiyosaki, the guy who wrote “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” thinks Bitcoin could shoot up to an amazing $135,000. He’s also big on gold, expecting it to do pretty well.
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Predicting Bitcoin’s Next Move​

Looking at Bitcoin’s recent price chart, there are some key numbers to watch. It’s swinging around $29,208, with the next big hurdle at $31,207. If it breaks through that, it could head for $32,440 or even $34,473. But if it starts slipping, it might drop to around $29,174 or lower.

 

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LTCUSD

Last week, the cryptocurrency market saw a notable uptick, and Litecoin (LTC) investors were among those who profited from this positive shift. The LTCUSD exchange rate climbed to a formidable resistance point at $71.15. This upward movement prompted bears to increase selling pressure, culminating in a long wick candlestick pattern on the final day’s candle.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), an essential technical indicator, is approaching the overbought zone. But it’s not just about the RSI nearing this zone. The indicator is displaying a significant divergence, often an indication of a trend shift or a deceleration in the bullish bias. As a result, we anticipate LTCUSD to adjust its recent gains and maintain its price above the pivot point of $64, unless the LTCUSD bulls can surpass the $71 resistance in the forthcoming session.​

 

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Bitcoin

Currently, the Bitcoin to USD (BTCUSD) pair is experiencing a high buying pressure, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exceeding 80. This suggests a saturation of buyers in the market, and the price may not increase significantly before it begins to drop.

Market experts at FxNews advise caution for those considering increasing their holdings of this cryptocurrency. They recommend waiting for the price to stabilize above the support level of $32,000 before making additional purchases. This is due to the potential overvaluation of assets that are heavily bought, leading to a possible price correction.​

 

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FTX Bitcoin Theft: New Movement Detected​

A new chapter unfolds in the ongoing FTX Bitcoin theft saga. Blockchain analysis group PeckShield has alerted the community with a recent discovery. They've traced another batch of Bitcoin, which was part of the assets stolen from the now-defunct FTX.

The FTX Bitcoin theft has seen the hacker orchestrate a move of about 288.8 Bitcoin, currently valued at nearly $10 million.
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Evaluating the Extent of the FTX Bitcoin Theft​

Looking back, the once-prominent cryptocurrency exchange FTX crumbled in November last year. Amidst the chaos, an anonymous hacker seized the moment, orchestrating a heist that resulted in the loss of roughly $500 million in cryptocurrencies. This individual didn’t waste time, quickly converting the stolen assets into 180,000 Ethereum, which were then scattered to 12 separate wallets. At the time of this distribution, the Ethereum amassed was worth about $200 million.

The aftermath of the FTX Bitcoin theft turned the hacker into a significant Ethereum stakeholder. In a strategic move later that November, the hacker converted 50,000 ETH to Ren Bitcoin (RenBTC), a variant of Bitcoin on the Ethereum network.
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Recent Attempts to Liquidate Stolen Ethereum​

U.Today has reported on attempts made this year to launder the stolen Ethereum. The FTX Bitcoin theft perpetrator tried to exchange the Ethereum for tBTC on the ThorSwap DeFi platform in early October. The platform promptly shut down to prevent this, highlighting the vulnerability of DeFi systems to such exploitation.

Undeterred, the hacker pivoted to the Threshold Network, successfully transferring the Ethereum into the Bitcoin network. At that point, the FTX Bitcoin theft culprit had approximately 110,000 ETH in their possession, worth about $180 million.

Following the suspension of ThorSwap, Bitcoin advocate Max Keiser took the opportunity to critique DeFi for being "heavily centralized," in contrast to his views on the decentralization of Bitcoin.
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Substantial Ethereum Shifts to US Exchanges​

In a related development, cryptocurrency tracking firm Whale Alert has noted large Ethereum movements. In recent activity linked to the FTX Bitcoin theft, substantial sums of Ethereum were transferred to major US exchanges such as Coinbase and Kraken.

Despite the tumultuous market, Ethereum showed impressive growth of 18.14% from October 20 to October 26, reaching a high of $1,848. This increase paralleled Bitcoin's climb above $34,000. Post-surge, Ethereum recorded a modest 2.84% decrease but continues to maintain its strength around the $1,800 threshold, still feeling the ripples of the FTX Bitcoin theft.a​

 

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LUNA Coin Analysis Amidst Market Turbulence​

Despite the unpredictable nature of Bitcoin, which has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency market, there remains a resilient sense of optimism among crypto investors. LUNA coin, in particular, has come under the spotlight as it faces the brunt of Bitcoin's price swings. The analysis reveals that LUNA coin has tested the critical support level of $0.437 on multiple occasions, leading to a complete reversal of its previously secured gains. This has raised pertinent questions about the coin's durability in the face of short-term market speculation.

The trading volume for LUNA coin has seen a downturn, a factor that could compel crypto exchanges to undertake significant strategic decisions regarding the coin's listing and trading mechanisms. This shift is noticeable as the market progresses towards a post-2024 era, anticipated to be free from the burden of insolvent tokens—a stark contrast to the volume-centric bear markets and their accompanying regulations.

Should LUNA coin's valuation slide below the crucial threshold of $0.437, the analysis suggests that it could enter a precarious phase, potentially leading to further devaluation towards the $0.387 level, having to first breach intermediary resistances at $0.412 and $0.405. Such a downturn would mark unprecedented low points for the coin, challenging the fortitude of investors.

This article underscores the inherent hope that continues to fuel crypto investors' enthusiasm, even as they weather the storm of Bitcoin volatility and its cascading effects on altcoins, including LUNA coin. The analysis serves to equip investors with insights into the coin's performance and prospects within the volatile crypto market.​

 

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Solana​

SOLUSD experienced a significant price increase in October, surging as high as $47.5 before easing to $34.5. Solana is currently trading around $42.5, with the RSI indicator hovering in the overbought area since October 20. Despite the overbought condition in SOLUSD, the pair hasn't started a correction yet. This indicates that the Solana market is currently dominated by a bullish bias and is extremely volatile.

Zooming into the Solana 4H chart provides a better insight into the SOLUSD price action. The crypto pair is trading in a bullish channel and appears more organized on the daily chart. Currently, the pair is testing the middle line of the bullish channel and is above the Kernel line of the Lorentzian Classification indicator. The Kernel line supports the bullish scenario, suggesting that the SOLUSD price is likely to rise and test the October high around $46.2.

The R2 level (36.98) supports the bullish scenario. If the pair closes below this level, the bullish scenario is invalidated, and the next bearish target is the pivot.​

 

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SEC Crypto Regulation Challenged by Senator Lummis' Stand​

Senator Cynthia Lummis from Wyoming is standing up to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which is really cracking down on crypto companies. Talking to Yahoo Finance, she made it clear she's not happy with how the SEC is handling things. She's especially against a new rule the SEC wants to make official without asking Congress first.
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SEC's Tough Actions​

Recently, the SEC has been really tough, taking legal action against big crypto companies like Coinbase and Binance. A rule from the SEC, made in March 2022, is getting a lot of attention from Senator Lummis. It says companies that look after crypto for customers have to show these in their financial reports and tell investors about the risks.

But, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) said the SEC should've asked Congress before making this rule. Senator Lummis is now working hard to stop this rule from being set in stone. She believes it's just too much and could be bad for people if a crypto company goes under.
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Pushing for Clearer Rules​

Senator Lummis is not just talking; she's doing things. With Senator Kirsten Gillibrand from New York, she's pushing a big crypto law to make things clearer. They're trying to sort out small differences between the Senate and House versions, mainly about stablecoins, which are a type of crypto. She's hopeful that by early 2024, they'll pass the law. They even got a part of it into a big defense spending bill to address terrorist groups using crypto.
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Concerns Over SEC's Bulletin​

Last week, a Democrat, Representative Wiley Nickel, called out the SEC for how it's managing the new rule. He's worried it could make digital assets less safe. Others in Congress are also worried. Representative Patrick McHenry thinks the rule could scare financial companies away from crypto.

In short, there's a lot of back and forth about the SEC's role in regulating crypto, and Senator Lummis is at the center, fighting for a balance that keeps everyone's interests in mind.​

 

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, is currently trading within a narrow bullish channel as per the 4-hour chart. Today's trading session saw the formation of a long wick candlestick pattern, indicating a potential decline to the lower boundary of the bullish channel.

The market sentiment is predominantly bullish, a scenario that finds support at the S1 level. However, should this level be breached, the next target for the bears would be the S2 level.​