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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 3, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:
  • Key Fundamental Drivers: UK housing price rises, budget measures; Bank of England expected to cut rates cautiously; dollar under pressure from Fed cuts.
  • Market Behavior: Trading sideways between 1.3210–1.3268; slight correction after reaching upper boundary.
  • Support/Resistance: Support: 1.3210, 1.3156 | Resistance: 1.3268
  • General Forecast: Neutral to bullish if 1.3210 holds; strong break below may trigger a sell-off to 1.3156.





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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 4, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Key Fundamental Drivers
  • Pound boosted by strong UK services activity.
  • Caution persists over financial-stability risks flagged by central bank.
  • Dollar direction depends on incoming US labor and services data.
Market Behavior
  • Buyers defended support zone, maintaining short-term upward momentum.
  • No clear selling pressure unless US data surprises strongly.
Support & Resistance
  • Support: 1.3218, 1.3156
  • Resistance: 1.3268
General Forecast
  • Moderate upward tilt while holding above support.
  • Break above resistance may target higher levels; downside limited unless US data strengthens dollar.






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 5, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Market Analysis
  • Pound rises after firm services activity and softer U.S. dollar conditions.
  • UK construction weakness tempers optimism, but BoE expected to proceed slowly with easing.
  • Price stretched to the upside, awaiting pullback before stronger directional move.
General Forecast
  • Potential correction lower before another attempt to test highs.
  • Support: 1.3268 / 1.3218
  • Resistance: 1.3365





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Weekly Economic Calendar


December 8 - 12, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday — Dec 8
  • Eurozone: Sentix investor confidence (December).
  • Germany: Industrial production (m/m).
  • Japan: Final Q3 GDP (q/q, annualized) and GDP deflator.
  • Italy: Bank holiday (markets lighter).
Tuesday — Dec 9
  • Market positioning ahead of the Fed — reduced liquidity, volatility risk.
  • Various central banker speeches / panels through the week (watch BoE/ECB/BoJ comments).
Wednesday — Dec 10
  • U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision (rate announcement) and Chair press briefing — primary market mover for USD and risk assets.
Thursday — Dec 11
  • Follow-through from Fed decision: speeches, regional data and market reaction trades; country data windows still scheduled (check local releases).
Friday — Dec 12
  • Residual data releases and market flow: scheduled economic releases across majors (USD, JPY, EUR) may keep volatility elevated as the week closes.





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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 9, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:
Key Drivers
  • Lack of UK data leaves pair driven by U.S. fundamentals.
  • Bond yields stabilizing as markets anticipate rate cuts both in the UK and U.S.
  • Pound remains resilient after strong performance last week.
Market Behavior
  • Trading within a wide horizontal range.
  • Buyers defending 1.3321, sellers resisting near upper boundaries.
Support & Resistance
  • Support: 1.3321, 1.3268
  • Resistance: 1.3372
General Forecast
  • Bias remains slightly bullish while above 1.3321.
  • Break below support signals deeper correction toward 1.3268.





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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 10, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:

Key Drivers
  • UK wage growth pressures BoE but rate cuts still expected.
  • U.S. data (NFIB, ADP, JOLTS) likely to dictate direction intraday.
  • Pound trading inside a tightening range.
Market Behavior
  • Consolidation within 1.3315–1.3365 triangle; breakout needed for direction.
  • Liquidity contracting, limiting volatility.
Support / Resistance
  • Support: 1.3315, 1.3268
  • Resistance: 1.3372
General Forecast
  • Break above 1.3372 favors upward continuation.
  • Break below 1.3315 signals renewed downside toward 1.3268.





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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 11, 2025




Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Key Drivers
  • Euro pressured by weak Italian data and broader eurozone concerns.
  • Market awaiting Fed rate decision and Powell's guidance.
  • Dollar supported by labor market strength but capped by expected rate cut.
Market Behavior
  • Price holding near support as buyers attempt to stabilize.
  • Risk sentiment remains fragile ahead of Fed comments.
Support / Resistance
  • Support: 1.1617, 1.1590
  • Resistance: 1.1656, 1.1728
General Forecast
  • Mild upward correction possible if Fed signals a softer stance.
  • Break below 1.1617 risks deeper decline toward 1.1590.






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 12, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
  • Dollar softness after Fed rate cut keeps euro supported, aided by firmer Eurozone outlook and reduced political risks.
  • Market awaits U.S. jobless claims and trade data for directional cues.
  • Consolidation above key support suggests buyers remain in control.
General Forecast
  • Mild bullish bias unless U.S. data surprises strongly.
  • Pullbacks toward support expected to attract buying interest.
Support / Resistance
  • Support: 1.1679, 1.1656
  • Resistance: 1.1728






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Weekly Economic Calendar


December 15 - 19, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Mon 15 Dec
  • JPY — BOJ Tankan (manufacturing & non-manufacturing surveys).
  • CNY — China: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Fixed Asset Investment, unemployment, NBS press briefing.
  • EUR — German WPI (wholesale prices).
  • CHF — PPI and SECO economic forecasts.
  • AUD — RBA commentary / speeches (selected officials).
Tue 16 Dec
  • USD — BLS: Employment Situation (November nonfarm payrolls — includes delayed data), plus retail sales and PMI updates.
  • CAD — Key Canadian data (CPI / housing starts / CPI components per local schedule).
Wed 17 Dec
  • USD — Secondary U.S. labour releases and BLS catch-up items (state job openings / related datasets).
  • EM / EU — assorted PMI prints, regional manuf. surveys and scheduled central-bank speakers.
Thu 18 Dec
  • USD — BLS: Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November (and Real Earnings release).
  • GBP — Bank of England: MPC decision / summary & minutes (policy decision published).
  • JPY / BOJ — BOJ policy meeting in progress (market focus on rate guidance).
  • USD — weekly jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed mfg index and other U.S. indicators.
Fri 19 Dec
  • USD / US — University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (final) and remaining catch-up releases; existing home sales and other monthly data close the week.
  • BLS / US states — State employment & unemployment updates (BLS revised schedule).






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 16, 2025




Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
  • Market tone: Sideways with mild bullish bias
  • Drivers: ECB policy expectations, cautious USD strength, U.S. data risk
  • Outlook: Buyers favored above key support; downside opens on breakdown
  • Support: 1.1725 | 1.1680
  • Resistance: 1.1758 | 1.1786






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 17, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
  • Market Bias: Mildly bullish within range
  • Drivers: Eurozone data strength, ECB policy stability, weaker USD
  • Outlook: Sideways consolidation with upside risk if range breaks
Support: 1.1725, 1.1680, 1.1656
Resistance: 1.1758, 1.1786






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 18, 2025




Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
  • The euro remains supported by broad US dollar softness following mixed US labor data that reinforced expectations for further policy easing.
  • Revised employment figures and higher unemployment weighed on the dollar, while ECB communication reduced expectations for aggressive future easing.
  • Improved confidence in Eurozone growth resilience continues to underpin the single currency.
  • Near-term price action suggests consolidation with mild downside risk before renewed upside attempts.
Support: 1.1725 | 1.1680 | 1.1656
Resistance: 1.1763 | 1.1786
Outlook: Mildly bullish above key support, with consolidation likely before further gains.







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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 19, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
  • Market tone: Mildly pressured ahead of ECB decision and U.S. inflation data
  • Key drivers: Dovish Eurozone inflation revision, weak German business sentiment, policy divergence with the Fed
  • Outlook: Range-bound with upward bias above key support
  • Support: 1.1725, 1.1680, 1.1656
  • Resistance: 1.1764, 1.1786





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Weekly Economic Calendar


December 22 - 26, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
  • Tuesday, Dec 23 sees key U.S. growth indicators including GDP data, durable goods orders, and consumer confidence.
  • Christmas Eve (Wednesday, Dec 24) features limited data and early market closures.
  • Thursday, Dec 25 is broadly a holiday with most markets closed.
  • Friday, Dec 26 returns to mostly normal but quiet market conditions.
  • Extended sessions from some central banks and producer price figures in Europe may also provide clues to trend shifts just before year-end.






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 23, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
  • Trading in a narrow range amid weak Eurozone data and low event risk
  • Soft German inflation and falling consumer confidence weigh on sentiment
  • ECB easing expectations cap upside, while dollar softness limits downside
  • Short-term moves driven by speculation rather than fundamentals
Forecast:
  • Neutral to mildly bearish bias
  • Likely range-bound unless a clear break above resistance or below support occurs






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December 23, 2025 Merry Christmas

and

Happy New Year



Merry Christmas to our valued traders and partners, your trust and teamwork have been the steady trend that kept our market moving forward. Together we navigated volatility, respected key levels, managed risk with discipline, and let patience compound like a well placed trade. Every breakout was powered by collaboration, every pullback met with resilience, and every session closed with stronger conviction. As the year settles and spreads grow quiet, we thank you for the liquidity you brought to our community and the confidence you invested in us. May the season bring balance to your charts, clarity to your strategy, and momentum to every new opportunity ahead. We look forward to fresh sessions, smooth execution, and shared growth as we align our outlooks and trade the future together!




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Weekly Economic Calendar


December 29 - January 2, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday, Dec 29
  • Japan: Holiday-thin trading
  • Global: Year-end positioning
Tuesday, Dec 30
  • Japan: Industrial Production
  • UK: Mortgage approvals
  • US: Pending home sales
Wednesday, Dec 31
  • China: Manufacturing & Services PMI
  • Germany: Inflation (prelim)
  • Switzerland: KOF economic barometer
  • US: Chicago PMI
  • Global: Early market closures
Thursday, Jan 1
  • Global: New Year holiday (major markets closed)
Friday, Jan 2
  • US: Weekly jobless claims
  • US: ISM Manufacturing PMI
  • Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI (final)
  • UK: Manufacturing PMI (final)







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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 30, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Market Bias: Mildly bullish, but fragile
  • Limited Eurozone data keeps EUR reactive to USD moves
  • ECB signals policy stability; softer U.S. inflation supports EUR
  • Buyers defending the 1.1758 area is critical for upside continuation
Key Levels
  • Support: 1.1758 | 1.1707 | 1.1680
  • Resistance: 1.1768 | 1.1802 | 1.1833
Outlook
  • Holding above 1.1758 favors a rebound toward 1.1800
  • Sustained move below 1.1758 risks a deeper pullback to 1.1707






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 31, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
  • Market Tone: Low volatility and narrow range amid holiday liquidity and cautious positioning.
  • Macro Focus: Fed meeting minutes and US data may revive short-term movement.
  • Outlook: Gradual upside bias supported by policy divergence favoring the euro.
  • Key Levels:
    • Support: 1.1754, 1.1707, 1.1680
    • Resistance: 1.1786, 1.1802, 1.1833
  • Bias: Bullish above range top, range-bound if rejected.







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