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Market Analysis and Forecasts February 12, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Market tone: Sideways to mildly bullish as traders wait on fresh U.S. labor data
Key drivers:
U.S. employment, wages, and inflation expectations
ECB signaling comfort with current rates, limiting downside pressure
Structure: Holding above key support, forming a quiet accumulation
Support: 1.1870, 1.1833
Resistance: 1.1955, 1.2050
Trading idea:
Favor buying pullbacks near 1.1870 if price holds
Upside focus toward 1.1955
Selling only makes sense if price loses 1.1830 decisively
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Market Analysis and Forecasts February 13, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Market tone: Range-bound, cautious as traders wait for clearer U.S. signals
Key drivers: U.S. labor and housing data shaping dollar demand
Support: 1.1830, 1.1775
Resistance: 1.1895, 1.1955
Outlook: Sideways with mild downside risk if 1.1830 fails
Trading idea:
Buy near 1.1830 if price holds and stabilizes
Sell near 1.1895 on signs of rejection
Breakdown below 1.1830 opens room toward 1.1775
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Weekly Economic Calendar February 16 - February 20, 2025 ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK Monday – February 16
Japan: GDP figuresChina: Industrial production, retail salesEurozone: Trade balanceUnited States: Presidents’ Day (banks closed, thinner liquidity) Tuesday – February 17
Australia: Monetary policy meeting minutesUnited Kingdom: Labor market reportCanada: Consumer inflation dataUnited States: Empire State manufacturing survey Wednesday – February 18
United Kingdom: Consumer inflation dataEurozone: Current account dataUnited States: Housing starts and building permitsUnited States: Federal Reserve meeting minutes Thursday – February 19
Australia: Employment change and jobless rateEurozone: Manufacturing and services activity surveysUnited Kingdom: Retail salesUnited States: Weekly jobless claimsUnited States: Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey
Friday – February 20
Japan: National inflation dataGermany: Producer price dataCanada: Retail salesUnited States: Existing home salesUnited States: Consumer sentiment survey
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Happy Lunar New Year 2026
Season's greetings to all traders! Happy Chinese New Year and Happy Lunar New Year! Gong Xi Fa Cai! Xin Chun Kuai Le! May the coming months bring clarity to your charts, courage to your decisions, and strength to your mindset. May each opportunity be met with preparation and each challenge with resilience. Wishing you flourishing accounts, joyful celebrations, and meaningful progress in both trading and life. May prosperity, harmony, and lasting success accompany you throughout this vibrant new year!
Market Analysis and Forecasts February 19, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Current tone: Neutral to mildly firm after holding key support, but dollar strength limits upside.
Drivers: Fed minutes, U.S. durable goods, industrial production, steady ECB expectations, soft German sentiment.
Support: 1.1805, 1.1777, 1.1754
Resistance: 1.1850, 1.1894, 1.1955
Forecast:
Holding above 1.1805 keeps recovery potential alive.
Break above 1.1894 opens room toward 1.1955.
Strong U.S. data may push price back toward 1.1777.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts February 20, 2026 British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:
Bias: Mild bearish with corrective bounce riskDrivers:
Cooling inflation and labor data from Office for National Statistics Rising expectations of rate cuts from Bank of England Sensitivity to upcoming U.S. data Key Levels:
Support: 1.3505, 1.3456, 1.3426 Resistance: 1.3558, 1.3582, 1.3606 Outlook:
Downtrend remains dominant unless price reclaims 1.3505 convincingly Short-term rebounds possible but likely limited Trade Idea:
Sell near 1.3505–1.3558 zone Watch for dips toward 1.3456
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Weekly Economic Calendar February 23 - February 27, 2025 ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK Monday (Feb 23)
Germany business climate sentiment
Eurozone consumer inflation expectations
U.S. manufacturing activity snapshot
U.S. housing data
Tuesday (Feb 24)
Japan inflation data
Germany GDP update
Eurozone economic sentiment
U.S. consumer confidence
U.S. housing price index
Wednesday (Feb 25)
Australia inflation data
U.K. housing price report
U.S. new home sales
U.S. crude oil inventories
Central bank speakers (U.S. & Europe)
Thursday (Feb 26)
U.S. durable goods orders
U.S. jobless claims
U.S. GDP second estimate
Japan retail sales
ECB monetary policy meeting accounts
Friday (Feb 27)
Japan Tokyo inflation data
U.K. retail sales
Germany retail sales
Eurozone inflation data
U.S. core PCE price index (key inflation gauge)
U.S. personal income and spending
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Market Analysis and Forecasts February 24, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Outlook: Mildly bullish but cautious as euro gains face uncertainty from global trade tensions and mixed sentiment in Europe.
Key Drivers: ECB steady stance, wage growth support, focus on US data and Fed tone.
Support: 1.1808, 1.1776, 1.1742
Resistance: 1.1850, 1.1894, 1.1955
Trading Plan:
Buy near 1.1808 with targets toward 1.1850
Sell only on clear rejection at 1.1850
Bias stays upward while price holds above 1.1800
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Market Analysis and Forecasts February 25, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Outlook: Neutral with slight downside pressure as markets wait on U.S. data and tariff clarity
Support: 1.1776, 1.1742, 1.1726
Resistance: 1.1809, 1.1850, 1.1894
Trade idea:
Buy near 1.1776 only if price holds and shows reaction
Sell on a clean break below 1.1776 targeting 1.1742
Short-term selling near 1.1809 is valid if momentum fades
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Market Analysis and Forecasts February 26, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Bias: Slightly bearish to neutral as softer inflation keeps pressure on the euro and supports expectations of easier policy.
Support: 1.1776, 1.1742, 1.1726
Resistance: 1.1809, 1.1850
Outlook: Struggles below 1.18; upside depends on weaker dollar tone from central bank comments.
Trade Idea:
Buy near 1.1776 with targets at 1.1809;1.1850
Sell near 1.1809 if rejection appears, targeting 1.1768;1.1742
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Market Analysis and Forecasts February 27, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Bias: Mildly bullish but near key ceiling
Support: 1.1802, 1.1776, 1.1742
Resistance: 1.1835, 1.1850, 1.1894
Outlook: Euro holds firm despite weak credit data, supported by softer inflation expectations and potential policy easing. Upside is limited unless U.S. data weakens.
Trade Idea: Buy on dips near 1.1802 targeting 1.1835–1.1850; sell if price rejects 1.1850 for a pullback toward 1.1776
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Weekly Economic Calendar March 2 - March 6, 2025 ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK Monday, March 2, 2026
Japan – Final Manufacturing PMI
China – Caixin Manufacturing PMI
Eurozone – Manufacturing PMI (Final)
UK – Manufacturing PMI (Final)
US – ISM Manufacturing PMI
US – Construction Spending
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Australia – Retail Sales
Switzerland – CPI
Eurozone – Unemployment Rate
US – Factory Orders
US – Fed Member Speeches
Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Australia – GDP Growth Rate
China – Caixin Services PMI
Eurozone – Services PMI (Final)
UK – Services PMI (Final)
US – ADP Employment Change
US – ISM Services PMI
Thursday, March 5, 2026
Japan – Household Spending
Germany – Factory Orders
Eurozone – Retail Sales
US – Initial Jobless Claims
US – Trade Balance
Friday, March 6, 2026
Canada – Employment Change
US – Nonfarm Payrolls
US – Unemployment Rate
US – Average Hourly Earnings
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Market Analysis and Forecasts March 3, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Trend: Bearish
Support: 1.1727, 1.1697
Resistance: 1.1766, 1.1793
The euro remains under pressure due to geopolitical risks and capital flight into USD
Weak buyer presence suggests downside continuation unless 1.1727 holds firmly
Trade Idea:
Sell near 1.1766 resistance with targets at 1.1727; 1.1697
Buy only if price stabilizes above 1.1727 with clear rebound potential
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Last edited: Mar 3, 2026
Market Analysis and Forecasts March 4, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook: EUR/USD (Bearish bias)
Pressure driven by weak Eurozone data and rising energy costs
Ongoing Middle East tensions favor the dollar over the euro
Support: 1.1673, 1.1634, 1.1618
Resistance: 1.1707, 1.1724, 1.1747
Outlook: Downtrend remains unless buyers defend 1.1673
Trade idea:
Sell below 1.1673; target 1.1634
Buy only on strong rebound above 1.1673 → target 1.1707
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Market Analysis and Forecasts March 5, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook
Bias: Mild recovery within a broader downside pressure as USD demand stays firm
Support: 1.1587, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1626, 1.1673
Outlook: Holding above 1.1587 keeps short-term upside alive, but gains remain limited
Trade: Buy near 1.1587 with targets at 1.1626–1.1673; sell on rejection at 1.1626 targeting 1.1587
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Market Analysis and Forecasts March 6, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook
The euro remains under pressure as weak retail sales highlight slowing economic momentum in the eurozone, while uncertainty around global energy prices continues to weigh on sentiment. Market attention is shifting toward upcoming U.S. labor market data, which could drive the next directional move.
Support: 1.1587, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1673, 1.1707
Forecast: Slightly bearish bias while trading below nearby resistance.
Trading idea:
Buy near 1.1587 if buyers defend the level, targeting 1.1654–1.1673 .
Sell on a break below 1.1587 , targeting 1.1528 .
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Weekly Economic Calendar March 9 - March 13, 2025 ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK Monday — March 9
China Consumer Price Index (inflation)
China Producer Price Index
U.S. Treasury bill auctions
Tuesday — March 10
Japan Final Gross Domestic Product
China Trade Balance
Australia Consumer Confidence
Australia Business Confidence
Wednesday — March 11
Germany Consumer Price Index
United Kingdom inflation report hearings
United States Consumer Price Index (major inflation release)
U.S. government bond auction
Thursday — March 12
United Kingdom central bank governor speech
United States Producer Price Index
United States Initial Jobless Claims
United States Trade Balance
Friday — March 13
United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product
Canada Employment Report and Unemployment Rate
United States Gross Domestic Product estimate
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures
United States Personal Income and Spending
United States Consumer Sentiment survey
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Market Analysis and Forecasts March 10, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook
The euro remains under pressure as weak German industrial data and geopolitical uncertainty weigh on sentiment. Short-term rebounds are possible, but the broader tone still favors sellers.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1468
Resistance: 1.1621, 1.1654
Trading Strategy: Consider buying near 1.1528 if buyers defend the level, targeting 1.1621. A clear break below 1.1528 may open the way for sell trades toward 1.1468 .
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Market Analysis and Forecasts March 11, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook
The euro remains supported as easing energy pressure and a softer U.S. dollar improved sentiment toward the Eurozone economy. However, upcoming U.S. data may introduce volatility.
Support: 1.1607, 1.1468
Resistance: 1.1654, 1.1707, 1.1747
Outlook: Slight bullish bias while price holds above 1.1607.
Trading plan:
Buy near 1.1607 with targets at 1.1654 and 1.1707 .
Consider short positions near 1.1654–1.1707 if the market struggles to break higher.
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Market Analysis and Forecasts March 12, 2026 Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook
The euro remains under pressure as weak inflation in the eurozone and energy uncertainty weigh on sentiment, while markets focus on upcoming U.S. inflation data and comments from Michelle Bowman.
Support: 1.1607, 1.1468
Resistance: 1.1666, 1.1707
Forecast: Sideways with mild upside if support holds.
Trading recommendation: Buy near 1.1607 targeting 1.1666 . If price breaks below 1.1607 , consider selling toward 1.1555–1.1468 .
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