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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 3, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:
  • Key Fundamental Drivers: UK housing price rises, budget measures; Bank of England expected to cut rates cautiously; dollar under pressure from Fed cuts.
  • Market Behavior: Trading sideways between 1.3210–1.3268; slight correction after reaching upper boundary.
  • Support/Resistance: Support: 1.3210, 1.3156 | Resistance: 1.3268
  • General Forecast: Neutral to bullish if 1.3210 holds; strong break below may trigger a sell-off to 1.3156.





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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 4, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Key Fundamental Drivers
  • Pound boosted by strong UK services activity.
  • Caution persists over financial-stability risks flagged by central bank.
  • Dollar direction depends on incoming US labor and services data.
Market Behavior
  • Buyers defended support zone, maintaining short-term upward momentum.
  • No clear selling pressure unless US data surprises strongly.
Support & Resistance
  • Support: 1.3218, 1.3156
  • Resistance: 1.3268
General Forecast
  • Moderate upward tilt while holding above support.
  • Break above resistance may target higher levels; downside limited unless US data strengthens dollar.






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 5, 2025



Euro (EUR/USD) Outlook:
Market Analysis
  • Pound rises after firm services activity and softer U.S. dollar conditions.
  • UK construction weakness tempers optimism, but BoE expected to proceed slowly with easing.
  • Price stretched to the upside, awaiting pullback before stronger directional move.
General Forecast
  • Potential correction lower before another attempt to test highs.
  • Support: 1.3268 / 1.3218
  • Resistance: 1.3365





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Weekly Economic Calendar


December 8 - 12, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday — Dec 8
  • Eurozone: Sentix investor confidence (December).
  • Germany: Industrial production (m/m).
  • Japan: Final Q3 GDP (q/q, annualized) and GDP deflator.
  • Italy: Bank holiday (markets lighter).
Tuesday — Dec 9
  • Market positioning ahead of the Fed — reduced liquidity, volatility risk.
  • Various central banker speeches / panels through the week (watch BoE/ECB/BoJ comments).
Wednesday — Dec 10
  • U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision (rate announcement) and Chair press briefing — primary market mover for USD and risk assets.
Thursday — Dec 11
  • Follow-through from Fed decision: speeches, regional data and market reaction trades; country data windows still scheduled (check local releases).
Friday — Dec 12
  • Residual data releases and market flow: scheduled economic releases across majors (USD, JPY, EUR) may keep volatility elevated as the week closes.





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Market Analysis and Forecasts


December 9, 2025



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook:
Key Drivers
  • Lack of UK data leaves pair driven by U.S. fundamentals.
  • Bond yields stabilizing as markets anticipate rate cuts both in the UK and U.S.
  • Pound remains resilient after strong performance last week.
Market Behavior
  • Trading within a wide horizontal range.
  • Buyers defending 1.3321, sellers resisting near upper boundaries.
Support & Resistance
  • Support: 1.3321, 1.3268
  • Resistance: 1.3372
General Forecast
  • Bias remains slightly bullish while above 1.3321.
  • Break below support signals deeper correction toward 1.3268.





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