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Market Analysis and Forecasts


September 5, 2025



Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Outlook:
  • Key Factors Affecting the Pair
    • USD/CHF has been in a compressed range since August, awaiting breakout.
    • SNB cut cycle may be pausing after signs of stabilization in Swiss PMIs, though inflation softened (-0.1% m/m).
    • Market speculates SNB could revert to negative rates if inflation weakness persists, but currency strength remains a concern.
    • Yield spreads between US and Swiss bonds narrowing, limiting USD appeal against CHF.
  • Support Levels: 0.8035, 0.8026, 0.7990, 0.7920
  • Resistance Levels: 0.8045, 0.8054, 0.8064, 0.8100
  • Forecast: Risk of bearish breakdown below 0.7990 unless US jobs data surprises to the upside.






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Weekly Economic Calendar


September 8 - September 12, 2025



ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Mon Sep 8
  • Japan Q2 GDP (final / revised Q2 growth).
  • China August trade data (exports, imports, trade balance).
  • US Consumer Credit (G.19).
Tue Sep 9
  • US NFIB Small Business Optimism (monthly).
Wed Sep 10
  • US Producer Price Index (PPI) for August.
Thu Sep 11
  • US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August (headline & core).
  • ECB interest-rate decision / press conference (watch Lagarde's tone).
Fri Sep 12
  • University of Michigan preliminary Consumer Sentiment (Sept).
  • BLS, Real earnings / follow-ups tied to CPI releases.







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Market Analysis and Forecasts


September 9, 2025



Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Outlook:
  • USD/CHF pressured after weak NFP; recovery attempts capped.
  • Fed easing expectations limit dollar upside, while safe-haven flows reduced.
  • Market eyes US CPI and PPI later this week for direction.
  • Support: 0.7950 / 0.7930 / 0.7880
  • Resistance: 0.8000 / 0.8170 / 0.8220







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Market Analysis and Forecasts


September 10, 2025



Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:
  • Aussie supported by stronger GDP, improved business conditions.
  • Consumer confidence weak, but RBA seen holding rates this month.
  • Break above 0.6628/0.6632 improves bullish outlook.
  • Support: 0.6579, 0.6559
  • Resistance: 0.6612, 0.6632, 0.6650






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Market Analysis and Forecasts


September 11, 2025



Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Outlook:
  • Aussie supported by strong GDP and improving China core CPI.
  • Market eyes inflation expectations and RBA outlook.
  • Bias: Bullish above 0.6580, momentum building toward 0.6660.
  • Support: 0.6570, 0.6555
  • Resistance: 0.6635, 0.6660





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