Negative data bearish for HK50
Hong Kong’s trade deficit widened in November. Will the HK50 continue declining?
Recent Chinese economic data were negative: manufacturing slowed in China in December while trade deficit widened in Hong Kong in November. Markit reported that Caixin Manufacturing PMI declined more than expected in December, indicating contraction in China’s manufacturing sector. And Census and Statistics Department of Hong Kong data showed trade deficit widened to HKD 45.0 billion in November of 2018 from HKD 39.7 billion in the same month a year earlier. The slowing of activities in manufacturing sector is being attributed to deteriorated US-China trade relations, though President Trump tweeted over the weekend about “big progress” in a telephone discussion about trade with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Weak economic data are bearish for HK50.
On the daily timeframe the HK50: D1 is falling after retracing to three-month high in the end of September.
Technical Analysis Summary
Position Sell
Sell stop Below 24926.5
Stop loss Above 25958.0
Hong Kong’s trade deficit widened in November. Will the HK50 continue declining?
Recent Chinese economic data were negative: manufacturing slowed in China in December while trade deficit widened in Hong Kong in November. Markit reported that Caixin Manufacturing PMI declined more than expected in December, indicating contraction in China’s manufacturing sector. And Census and Statistics Department of Hong Kong data showed trade deficit widened to HKD 45.0 billion in November of 2018 from HKD 39.7 billion in the same month a year earlier. The slowing of activities in manufacturing sector is being attributed to deteriorated US-China trade relations, though President Trump tweeted over the weekend about “big progress” in a telephone discussion about trade with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Weak economic data are bearish for HK50.
On the daily timeframe the HK50: D1 is falling after retracing to three-month high in the end of September.
- The Parabolic indicator gives a sell signal.
- The Donchian channel indicates downtrend: it is tilted lower.
- The MACD indicator gives a bearish signal: it is below the signal line and the gap is widening.
- The Stochastic oscillator is falling but has not breached into oversold zone yet.
Technical Analysis Summary
Position Sell
Sell stop Below 24926.5
Stop loss Above 25958.0