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Weekly review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | November 13, 2026

XAUUSD: BUY 4129.25, SL 4090.25, TP 4211.25

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Gold rose at the start of the week as oil declined amid more restrained US statements regarding Iran. Lower oil prices reduce inflation concerns and may ease pressure from high yields on the metal. However, October US employment growth of 165k strengthened expectations for a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

US consumer price data will be released on Tuesday, and producer price data on Friday. Moderate price growth could help gold hold onto part of Monday's gains and continue its recovery if bond yields fall. An acceleration in core inflation could revive demand for the dollar and derail this scenario.

Trading idea: BUY 4129.25, SL 4090.25, TP 4211.25

#SP500: SELL 7426, SL 7516, TP 7219

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The S&P 500 lost 2.7% last week, although tech stocks partially recovered on Friday. On Thursday, Applied Materials' results and outlook will help determine whether chipmakers' demand for equipment remains strong. A weak forecast could intensify doubts that AI infrastructure investments will yield the expected profits.

Actual results and estimates for companies yet to report indicate that S&P 500 earnings grew 31.4% year-on-year in the third quarter. This provides support for equities. However, strong US employment supports rate hike expectations, and expensive borrowing limits recovery potential. While the market awaits inflation data and new corporate forecasts, the risk of further declines remains higher.

Trading idea: SELL 7426, SL 7516, TP 7219

#BRENT: SELL 97.16, SL 99.66, TP 92.16

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Oil starts the week lower following Donald Trump's statement that new strikes on Iran are unlikely as negotiations progress. For the market, this reduces the risk of new export disruptions. According to JPMorgan, global supply already exceeded demand by 1.4 million barrels per day in October, increasing downward pressure on prices as supply threat fears subside.

On Thursday, the IEA's World Oil Market Outlook and US inventory data will be released. Rising inventories would strengthen the downside scenario, while a significant drawdown could slow it. After last week's sharp drop, some de-escalation expectations are already priced in. New disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could quickly bring back the risk premium.

Trading idea: SELL 97.16, SL 99.66, TP 92.16

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Analysis of margin levels for November 10, 2026 XAUUSD

XAUUSD: BUY 4047.15-4097.65, TP1-4148.05, TP2-4273.25.

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Long-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volume for the current contract is located in the range with quotes 4150.00–4200.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being executed below this range, indicating seller strength.



Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volume for the medium-term trend is located in the range with quotes 4113.00-4128.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being executed below this range, indicating buyer weakness.

The area of favorable prices for buying from the perspective of margin support is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones constructed from the maximum of 09.11.2026.

Quote for the upper boundary of zone 1/4 – 4097.65.

Quote for the upper boundary of zone 1/2 – 4047.15.

Intraday targets: update of the maximums from 09.11.2026 – 4148.05.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the Support and Resistance Zone (SRZ) – 4273.25.



Trading recommendations: buy from the favorable price range upon formation of a reversal pattern.

Buy: 4047.15–4097.65, Take Profit 1 – 4148.05, Take Profit 2 – 4273.25.

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Fundamental Market Analysis for November 11, 2026 EURUSD

EURUSD:

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For the euro, the main counterweight to the strong US dollar remains the ECB's readiness to curb inflation. On Tuesday, Joachim Nagel stated there were solid grounds for raising rates in December. However, Philip Lane linked further decisions to the pass-through of energy costs into wages and other prices. Such signals support the euro but do not imply a pre-agreed acceleration of tightening.

American data provided a clearer signal: consumer prices rose by 0.4% month-on-month in October against an expected 0.3%. Christopher Waller also advocated for an FRS rate hike in December. The combination of data and statements strengthened demand for the dollar as investors revised their expectations for borrowing costs in the US. New reasons are now needed to weaken this argument.

Part of the US advantage is already reflected in yesterday's pair decline, so extrapolating that magnitude onto Wednesday would be premature. Lower energy costs would support European business, and stronger ECB signals could help the euro recover. While the market revises US rates upward, the base scenario for EURUSD allows for further moderate declines.

Trading idea: SELL 1.1165, SL 1.1185, TP 1.1120

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Elliott wave analysis of the market for November 12, 2026 BTCUSD

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BTCUSD: BUY 74000, SL 72000, TP 95000.

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Nothing significant or interesting has happened with Bitcoin yet. The asset continues to remain under pressure but is trying not to drop even lower.

For this reason, the scenario previously considered remains relevant. It is expected that the corrective decline took the form of a triple zigzag and has completed.

Therefore, at the moment, preparation for a strong impulsive rally is underway.

Thus, it makes sense to consider buying at current market levels with a potential upward target in the 95000 area.

Investment idea: BUY 74000, SL 72000, TP 95000.

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