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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 10, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Mild bullish
• Support: 1.3386, 1.3338, 1.3310
• Resistance: 1.3422, 1.3440
• Plan: Buy near 1.3386 ; target 1.3422 / 1.3440
  Sell on rejection at 1.3422;1.3440 ; target 1.3386
• Note: Pound supported, but sensitive to U.S. developments

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Weekly Economic Calendar

July 13 - July 17, 2025


ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday ; July 13

• Japan: Producer Price Index ; early signal on pipeline inflation
• China: Trade Balance ; reflects external demand and export strength

Tuesday ; July 14

• UK: Employment Data (claimant count, wages) ; labor market health
• U.S.: Consumer Price Index ; main inflation driver for dollar moves

Wednesday ; July 15

• UK: Consumer Price Index ; key for Bank of England outlook
• U.S.: Producer Price Index; upstream inflation pressure
• Canada: Bank of Canada Rate Decision; policy direction and statement tone

Thursday ; July 16

• Australia: Employment Change & Unemployment Rate ; AUD volatility trigger
• U.S.: Retail Sales ; consumer spending strength
• U.S.: Jobless Claims; labor market consistency check

Friday ; July 17

• China: GDP, Industrial Production, Retail Sales ; broad economic health
• Eurozone: Final CPI ; confirms inflation trend
• U.S.: Consumer Sentiment ; outlook on spending and confidence

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 14, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Neutral, holding gains on improved sentiment
• Support: 1.3360, 1.3310, 1.3270
• Resistance: 1.3386, 1.3412, 1.3440
• Outlook: Pound supported by risk recovery, but capped by Fed expectations
• Trade Setup:
  • Buy at 1.3360 or above 1.3386 ; target 1.3412 / 1.3440
  • Sell near 1.3412;1.3434 ; target 1.3381 / 1.3346
  • Break below 1.3360 ; deeper drop risk

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 15, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Factors: Dollar strength, lack of UK data, oil-driven inflation fears, market focused on US CPI and Fed tone
• Support: 1.3335, 1.3310, 1.3270
• Resistance: 1.3402, 1.3440, 1.3459
• Outlook: Mild bearish / consolidating
• Trade Idea:
  • Sell rallies toward 1.3400; target 1.3335
  • Buy only above 1.3386;1.3400 with confirmation; target 1.3415+

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 16, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Cautious bullish (dollar weakness + policy expectations)
• Support: 1.3372 ; 1.3345 ; 1.3310
• Resistance: 1.3452 ; 1.3483
• Outlook: Depends on BoE tone; external factors dominate

Trade Ideas:

• Buy near 1.3372;1.3403 ; target 1.3425;1.3450
• Sell near 1.3425+ if momentum fades ; target 1.3370
• Favor dips over chasing highs

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 17, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Strong bullish momentum
• Support: 1.3481 ; 1.3372 ; 1.3345; 1.3310
• Resistance: 1.3550 ; 1.3596
• Outlook: Pound stays firm on softer dollar and stable UK outlook
• Trade Plan:
  • Buy dips near 1.3480;1.3500; target 1.3550+
  • Break above 1.3550 opens continuation higher
  • No strong short setups unless sharp rejection appears

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Weekly Economic Calendar



July 20 - July 24, 2025




ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday – July 20

• China: Loan Prime Rate decision
• Germany: Producer Price Index
• US: Leading Economic Index

Tuesday – July 21

• Australia: RBA Meeting Minutes
• UK: Public Sector Net Borrowing
• Canada: Consumer Price Index
• US: Existing Home Sales

Wednesday – July 22

• New Zealand: Consumer Price Index
• Eurozone: Consumer Confidence
• US: Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday – July 23

• Japan: Manufacturing & Services PMI
• Eurozone: ECB Rate Decision
• Eurozone: ECB Press Conference
• US: Initial Jobless Claims
• US: Manufacturing PMI

Friday – July 24

• UK: Retail Sales
• Germany: Manufacturing PMI
• Eurozone: Manufacturing & Services PMI
• US: Durable Goods Orders

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 21, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Short-term recovery, but upside limited
• Why: Political stability helping, but inflation risks and weak industry remain
• Support: 1.3432, 1.3372, 1.3345, 1.3310
• Resistance: 1.3479, 1.3509, 1.3550, 1.3596
• Outlook: Likely push higher first, then fade

Trade ideas:

• Buy near 1.3432 with confirmation
• Sell at 1.3479–1.3509 zone
• Failure above 1.3550 → downside toward 1.33

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 22, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Short-term bearish, medium-term mixed
• Support: 1.3432, 1.3372, 1.3345
• Resistance: 1.3479, 1.3509, 1.3550
• What's happening: Political uncertainty and fiscal concerns weigh on the pound despite stable jobs data. Inflation data is the key trigger.
• Trade idea:
  • Sell below 1.3432; target 1.3380;1.3345
  • Buy only if price reclaims 1.3460+ with strong momentum

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 23, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Bearish
• Support: 1.3373, 1.3345, 1.3310
• Resistance: 1.3449, 1.3479, 1.3509
• Context: Political uncertainty + softer inflation + weak labor = pressure on pound
• Plan:
  • Sell near 1.3449;1.3479
  • Break below 1.3360 ; opens 1.3300
  • Avoid longs for now (no strong buyers)

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 24, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Corrective pullback within broader uptrend
• Key Levels:
  • Support: 1.3373, 1.3345, 1.3310, 1.3270
  • Resistance: 1.3449, 1.3479, 1.3509
• Outlook: Softer inflation weighs on pound; downside pressure may continue short term
• Trade Idea:
  • Short near 1.3390 with confirmation
  • Buy only after strong break and hold above 1.3390;1.3449

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Weekly Economic Calendar



July 27 - July 31, 2025




ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday ; July 27

• Durable Goods Orders
• German Ifo Business Climate
• Retail Sales Monitor

Light start; sentiment and business outlook set early tone.
Tuesday ; July 28

• :us: Consumer Confidence
• :us: JOLTS Job Openings
• :jp: Unemployment Rate
• :flag-au: CPI (Quarterly)

Focus shifts to consumer strength and inflation signals.
Wednesday ; July 29

• :us: GDP (Advance)
• :us: Pending Home Sales
• :flag-eu: Consumer Confidence (Final)

Key day for USD direction as growth data comes in.
Thursday ; July 30

• :jp: Bank of Japan Rate Decision
• :jp: Monetary Policy Statement
• :us: Core PCE Price Index
• :us: Initial Jobless Claims
• :de: CPI (Preliminary)

High-impact day; yen volatility likely, inflation back in focus.
Friday ; July 31

• :us: Nonfarm Payrolls
• :us: Unemployment Rate
• 🇺🇺 Average Hourly Earnings
• :flag-eu: CPI (Flash Estimate)
• :flag-ca: GDP

Big finish; labor data and inflation could trigger strong moves across USD pairs.

Quick Trading Notes

• Early week: slower, positioning phase
• Midweek: USD driven by growth data
• Thursday: JPY pairs highly sensitive
• Friday: strong volatility expected across all majors

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 28, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Outlook: Mildly bullish but dependent on USD direction
• Drivers: Weak underlying UK demand despite better data; dollar sentiment dominates
• Support: 1.3323, 1.3300, 1.3270
• Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3390, 1.3449
• Bias: Buyers holding control above 1.3323
• Trade Idea:
  • Buy dips near 1.3323 ; target 1.3360
  • No strong short setups unless price fails below 1.3300

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 29, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Bearish after breaking below key level
• Drivers: Weak UK data flow, focus on BoE decision, easing oil helping but not enough
• Support: 1.3270, 1.3228, 1.3209
• Resistance: 1.3300, 1.3318, 1.3360
• Outlook: Downside remains favored while below 1.3300
• Trade Idea:
  • Sell near 1.3300;1.3318
  • Target: 1.3270 ; 1.3228
  • Only consider buying if price regains 1.3360

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


July 30, 2026



British Pound (GBP/USD) Outlook

• Market Context
  • Pound stuck in a tight range, weaker compared to euro.
  • BoE expected to stay steady; limited support from UK side.
  • More sensitive to USD strength than EUR.
• Bias
  • Short-term: Slightly bearish
  • Range-bound unless major catalyst hits.
• Key Levels
  • Support: 1.3280, 1.3228, 1.3209
  • Resistance: 1.3303, 1.3318, 1.3360, 1.3390
• Trading Plan
  • Sell near 1.3303;1.3318; target 1.3280
  • Buy only if price breaks above 1.3318
  • Watch Fed tone;strong USD can push this lower quickly

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Weekly Economic Calendar



August 3 - August 7, 2025




ECONOMIC FOCUS THIS WEEK
Monday; August 3

• US manufacturing activity report sets early tone for the dollar
• Eurozone manufacturing readings confirm growth pace across major economies
• UK housing and factory data hint at domestic demand strength

Tuesday; August 4

• Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision draws attention to rate outlook
• US factory orders reflect business spending trends
• Eurozone producer prices show inflation pressure at the pipeline level

Wednesday; August 5

• US private employment data offers early signal ahead of jobs report
• Services sector readings from US and UK highlight consumer-driven growth
• Canada trade balance shows external demand strength

Thursday; August 6

• Bank of England policy decision becomes the main focus for GBP
• US jobless claims provide insight into labor market stability
• Japan household spending reflects domestic recovery pace

Friday; August 7

• US nonfarm payrolls dominate market direction for the week
• Canadian employment data adds volatility to CAD pairs
• China trade data influences risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies

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https://autorebateforex.com/market-news/key-economic-events-this-week-starting-august-3-2026/

 

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


August 4, 2026



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Bearish overall, weak recovery attempts
• Support: 62,000, 60,600, 58,500
• Resistance: 63,400, 64,800, 66,000
• Outlook: Market remains under pressure from weak demand and institutional selling; recovery attempts lack strength
• Trade Idea: Sell near 68,000;70,000 zone if reached; short-term buy only from 62,000 support for quick rebounds; downside risk remains dominant

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


August 5, 2026



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Sideways to slightly bullish, holding recent gains
• Support: 63,500 / 63,100
• Resistance: 63,800 / 64,100
• Outlook: Price stable despite corporate selling, showing resilience but lacking strong momentum
• Trade idea: Buy near 63,500 on support, target 63,800;64,100; sell near 63,800 if rejection appears

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


August 6, 2026



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Bullish continuation after consolidation; supported by institutional flows
• Support: 62,300, 60,600, 58,500
• Resistance: 64,800, 66,000, 66,800
• Outlook: Break above 64,800 may trigger stronger upside momentum
• Trade Idea:
  • Buy dips near 62,300 or breakout above 64,800
  • Sell if price fails near 64,800 resistance
• Note: ETF flows and macro liquidity remain key drivers

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Market Analysis and Forecasts


August 7, 2026



Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Outlook

• Bias: Short-term bearish correction after failed hold above key level
• Support: 64500, 64200
• Resistance: 64700, 64900, 65300
• Outlook: Weak institutional demand keeps upside limited
• Trade idea: Sell near 64700;64900 if price stalls; buy only on dips near 64500 with tight risk control

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