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USDTRY - CBRT Leaves Rates Unchanged​

Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey announced its final rate decision of 2022 today at 11:00 am GMT. Market expected the main one-week repo rate to be left unchanged at 9.00%. Those expectations were met with the Bank leaving interest rates unchanged. This comes after 4 straight rate cuts at previous meetings. CBRT sees current rate levels as adequate.

As such decision was expected, market reaction was minor. EURTRY moved lower in a knee-jerk move but has recovered initial losses and now trades a touch above pre-decision levels.

 

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EURUSD​

The EURUSD pair faced negative pressure yesterday to attack 1.0580 level but it keeps its stability above it, and begins today with new bullish bias motivated by stochastic positivity, waiting to head towards our main expected target at 1.0745. Therefore, the bullish trend scenario will remain active as long as 1.0580 level remains intact.

The expected trading range for today is between 1.0550 support and 1.0710 resistance.​

 

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AUDUSD - US economy grew by 3.2% in the third quarter​

Yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) published the minutes of a meeting on monetary policy, in which the head of the department, Philip Lowe, explained why the interest rate was raised not by 50.0 basis points but by 25.0 basis points. Officials looked at two priorities, cost control and household resilience, and concluded that despite high inflation, increasing the rate by 50.0 basis points was inappropriate as it would create additional credit pressure on households.

The key event last night was the data on US gross domestic product (GDP): Q3 figure rose by 3.2% after rising by 2.9% earlier. The upward trend was supported by a stable volume of business investment and an increase in consumer spending due to funds accumulated during the coronavirus epidemic. Against this background, the national currency regained some lost positions and consolidated above 104.000 in the USD Index. Also, statistics on initial jobless claims were released: the value, as predicted, was worse than the previous one, showing 216.0K claims against 214.0K a week earlier.

On the daily chart of the asset, the trading instrument is moving below the support line of the local rising channel. Technical indicators are ready to reverse and give a signal to start selling.

Resistance levels: 0.675, 0.688 | Support levels: 0.66, 0.643​

 

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Gold Breaks the Support​

Gold price traded with strong negativity yesterday to break the bullish channel’s support line and head towards potential visit to 1776.25 level, making the bearish bias suggested for today, supported by moving below the EMA50. Therefore, we are waiting for more expected decline in the upcoming sessions, noting that breaching 1800 will stop the negative pressure and lead the price to recover again, taking into consideration that the markets might witness mixed trades due to the general weak volumes, caused by the holidays season.

The expected trading range for today is between 1775 support and 1810 resistance.​

 

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USDTRY - Turkish authorities intend to prevent currency fluctuations in the last week of the year

Last week, the main financial regulator of the Republic of Turkey sent out notices to commercial banks asking them to refrain from buying large amounts of US currency for their corporate clients so as not to provoke an increase in the USDTRY pair before the new year. Since the beginning of autumn, the agency has already artificially limited foreign exchange operations several times, focusing on the priorities set by the country's leadership, which believes that only loose monetary policy can lead to economic growth and record inflation is only a temporary problem that will be resolved along with the macroeconomic recovery indicators.

Meanwhile, Turkey is still pursuing its attempts to take a central place in the energy agenda of the Mediterranean, the Caspian Sea, and the Middle East and reduce its dependence on the supply of resources from outside. Last week, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced the discovery of a new gas field in the Black Sea, whose reserves are estimated at 58.0B cubic meters, and the total cost is 1.0T dollars. The total gas volume in Turkish territorial waters has risen to 710.0B cubic meters.

On the four-hour chart, the quotes of the USDTRY pair are moving within the next wave of the global side corridor. Technical indicators continue to hold a stable buy signal.

Support levels: 18.68, 18.62 | Resistance levels: 18.74, 18.785​

 

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EURUSD keeps its positive stability​

The EURUSD pair fluctuates within sideways trades since yesterday, keeping its stability above 1.0580 level, to keep the bullish trend scenario valid for the upcoming period, supported by stochastic move at the oversold areas, waiting to visit 1.0745 as a main target.

We remind you that breaking 1.0580 will press on the price to test the most important support at 1.0515 before any new positive attempt. The expected trading range for today is between 1.0560 support and 1.0710 resistance.​

 

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GBPUSD approaches the resistance​

The GBPUSD pair provided temporary positive trades yesterday to approach the key resistance 1.2135, and bounced downwards quickly from there, to resume the correctional bearish track, waiting to test 1.1950 as a next main target. Therefore, we will keep our bearish overview unless breaching 1.2135 and holding with a daily close above it.

The expected trading range for today is between 1.1940 support and 1.2100 resistance.​

 

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EURUSD - Trading near the resistance line of the rising corridor​

Yesterday, November data on borrowings in the EU countries were presented, which was poor: the volume of loans to enterprises grew by 8.4% instead of the expected 8.6%, and to the private sector – by 4.1% instead of 4.3%. Today, investors will pay attention to the dynamics of the Spanish consumer price index in December, and, according to analysts' forecasts, the index, harmonized with EU standards, may slow down from 6.7% to 6.0%.

On the daily chart, the quotes of the EUR/USD pair show corrective growth and are confidently holding near the resistance line of the ascending corridor. Technical indicators point to continued growth.

Support levels: 1.0574, 1.0396 | Resistance levels: 1.0691, 1.0849​

 

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EURJPY faces strong negative pressures​

The EURJPY pair surrendered to the negative pressures represented by the moving average 55 consolidation near 142.40 resistance in addition to stochastic exit from the overbought areas, to provide chances to get the negative momentum and notice its crawl towards 140.95, to record the first waited negative target.

We expect to face more negative pressures, to form new negative attack and press on 140.25 level, while breaking it will extend trades negatively towards 139.80 followed by reaching the next main target at 138.20.

The expected trading range for today is between 141.70 and 140.25.​

 

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EURUSD Gets New Positive Signal​

The EURUSD pair leaned on the EMA50 and begins to provide slight positive trades by today’s open, noticing that stochastic overlaps positively now, waiting to motivate the price to resume the expected bullish trend for the upcoming period, which its targets begin by testing 1.0745, noting that breaching this level will extend the bullish wave to reach 1.0840 areas.

Therefore, the bullish trend scenario will remain valid and active, noting that breaking 1.0640 might press on the price to provide intraday negative trades that target testing 1.0515 areas before any new attempt to rise.

The expected trading range for today is between 1.06 support and 1.0760 resistance.​