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Technical Analysis
Daily Technical Analysis by FXCC
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[QUOTE="alayoua, post: 30966, member: 11379"] [b]Market Overview by FXCC July 24 2012[/b] [B]Market Overview by FXCC July 24 2012 Eurozone problems finally come to rest in Germany. As if the markets could not take one more blow, yesterday, Moody's Investor Service took the first step toward stripping Germany of its coveted AAA credit rating, cutting the outlook for Europe's largest and most pivotal economy to "negative".Delivering a stark warning on Monday that no one is immune from the eurozone's rolling crisis, the ratings agency lowered Germany's credit outlook from "stable" to "negative". A similar move was announced for fellow AAA ranked economies, the Netherlands and Luxembourg. US stocks have skidded amid a global sell-off on renewed eurozone sovereign debt concerns that Spain was headed for a bailout and Greece could exit the eurozone. Spain's borrowing costs on Monday struck highs considered unsustainable, sparking fears that the eurozone's fourth-largest economy may require a bailout. The Dow Jones Industrial Average recovered from a loss of over 200 points to close at 12,721.46, down 101.11 points, or 0.79 per cent, putting in a second straight day in negative territory. Asian equities this morning have opened down, but seem to be on hold as investors digest yesterday's Wall Street action and try to interpret the Moody's downgrade. Read More [url]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/24072012/[/url] UPCOMING EVENTS : 2012-07-24 07:58 GMT | EMU - Markit Manufacturing PMI (Jul) 2012-07-24 08:30 GMT | UK - BBA Mortgage Approvals (Jun) 2012-07-24 12:30 GMT | CANADA - Retail Sales (May) 2012-07-24 12:58 GMT | US - Markit Manufacturing PMI (Jul) FOREX NEWS : 2012-07-24 04:59 GMT | Yen poised to outperform in general - BBH 2012-07-24 04:30 GMT | EUR/USD below 1.2150 ahead of Spanish auction 2012-07-24 04:21 GMT | GBP/USD stagnant above 1.55 ahead of Europe 2012-07-24 03:25 GMT | AUD/USD, 1.03 proves tough; RBA speech underway ------------------ EURUSD : 1.21226 / 1.21232 DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY [IMG]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/24072012/EURUSD.gif[/IMG] 1.2233 | 1.2189 | 1.2156 1.2079 | 1.2035 | 1.2002 SUMMARY : Down TREND : Down trend MA10 : Bearish MA20 : Bearish STOCHASTIC : Oversold MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Technicals are bearish, all signals point same direction; RSI at 31 still has some downside room. But we see a choppy sideways rally from the 1.2160 area to the 1.2320 area. The euro's strong downtrend continues to be in place as the prices have remained firmly below the declining 21-day moving average. Below 1.2145 we have the next Fibonacci level at 1.1820 and this is now the next downside target. Supports are seen at the 21-DMA lower Bollinger line 1.2055, followed by 1.1985 and 1.1957 with resistance levels at the 10-DMA line at 1.2231 and then at 1.2282. -------------- GBPUSD : 1.55254 / 1.55262 DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY [IMG]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/24072012/GBPUSD.gif[/IMG] 1.5715 | 1.5663 | 1.5590 1.5465 | 1.5416 | 1.5340 SUMMARY : Down TREND : Down trend MA10 : Bearish MA20 : Bearish STOCHASTIC : Overbought MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Technicals remain bearish breaching support at 50 day MA 1.5540 leaves 1.5450 as next important level for support; bullish MACD stands in contrast to other bearish indicators. The daily trend remains sideways but our outlook continues to point lower. A move below 1.5390 will virtually confirm the bearish bias and should lead to the long-anticipated downside acceleration toward 1.35 eventually. Supports are seen at 1.5414, 1.5393 and then at 1.5375, with resistance levels at the 55-DMA line at 1.5654 and then at 1.5738. --------------- USDJPY : 78.323 / 78.328 DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY [IMG]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/24072012/USDJPY.gif[/IMG] 79.055 | 78.765 | 78.530 78.000 | 77.710 | 77.475 SUMMARY : Down TREND : Down trend MA10 : Bearish MA20 : Bearish STOCHASTIC : Oversold MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Technicals remain bearish flirting with 78.00, RSI approaches 30; support at June low of 77.66 The USD fell below our stop level at 78.61, which proved to be inadequate. In the short term the immediate pressure is on the downside, but the larger-degree trend is sideways. The downside will likely be limited and a move below 76.00 will not occur at this stage. On the upside, we need a firm and sustained break above 80.60 any major shift. Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd, [/B] [/QUOTE]
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