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Daily Market Analysis from Hotforex Broker
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[QUOTE="HFM, post: 180843, member: 32345"] [B]Date : 11th May 2020. Events to Look Out for This Week.[/B] [IMG alt="[IMG]"]https://analysis.hotforex.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/events2_1200x628-696x364.png[/IMG] Welcome to our weekly agenda, our briefing of all the key financial events globally. The week ahead is expected to be dominated by the reopening of states and the easing of lockdown restrictions globally. Safety remains a draw even as the panic that gripped markets in March subsided in April — the path out of lockdown remains subject to myriad risks and uncertainties, most prominently that a lockdown/restart has never been tried on this scale before. The degree of success will be a main driver of stocks, bonds and commodities in May. However for the week ahead more precisely, the key event will be the UK GDP numbers, which will show the damage to the UK economy from the virus, given lockdowns began very late in the quarter. [B][B]Tuesday – 12 May 2020[/B][/B] [LIST] [*][B]Consumer Price Index (CNY, GMT 01:30)[/B] – The April Chinese CPI is expected to have improved on a monthly and yearly basis. [*][B]Consumer Price Index and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) –[/B] The headline CPI has been estimated at a -0.6% drop in April with a 0.1% core price increase, following respective March readings of -0.4% and -0.1%. The headline will be restrained by an estimated -21% April drop for CPI gasoline prices. As-expected April figures would result in a headline y/y increase of 0.6%, down from 1.5% in March. Core prices should set a 2.0% y/y rise, a down-tick from 2.1% y/y last month. [/LIST] [B]Wednesday – 13 May 2020[/B] [LIST] [*][B]Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement and Press Conference (NZD, GMT 02:00)[/B] – On March 16, the Bank cut 75 bps to 0.25% and pledged that the rate will remain at that level for at least the next 12 months. In the next meeting, the RBNZ is expected to move to zero or even negative rates, after Governor Adrian Orr said last month that negative rates were not off the table, after New Zealand enforced a strict one-month lockdown to limit the spread of the coronavirus that brought economic activity to a standstill. [*][B]Gross Domestic Product (GBP, GMT 06:00)[/B] – The preliminary Q1 GDP is expected to have dipped to -2% q/q following the flat reading of Q4. In a yearly basis, we should see a plunge to -1.6% y/y from 1.1%y/y. [*][B]Industrial and Manufacturing Production (GBP, GMT 06:00) – [/B]The two indices are expected to have declined to -5.8% m/m and -5.6% respectively in March. Such dismal data will suggest that lock downs had a clear devastating impact on the UK economy similar to other economies. [/LIST] [B]Thursday – 14 May 2020[/B] [LIST] [*][B]Labour Market Data (AUD, GMT 01:30)[/B] – As the world has changed since March as the pandemic prompted widespread shutdowns of economies across the globe, employment change for 2020 is expected to show a significant increase to the unemployment rates globally. For Australia, the April employment change is expected to have significantly decreased to -40K from 5.9K in March, while the unemployment rate is expected to have increased to 5.5% in April, compared to 5.2% in the previous month. [*][B]Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (EUR, GMT 06:00) – [/B]The final German HICP for April is anticipated to remain unchanged at 0.8% y/y. [*][B]Jobless Claims (USD, GMT 12:30)[/B] – The latest US reports revealed a disappointing round of claims data that prompted downward revisions in April and Q2 growth forecasts. For claims, a 3,169k figure in the first week of May exceeded estimates. But more importantly, continuing claims soared by 4,636k to a much higher than expected 22,647k. [/LIST] [B]Friday – 15 May 2020[/B] [LIST] [*][B]Gross Domestic Product (EUR, GMT 06:00)[/B] – German preliminary Q1 GDP growth is seen to have dropped at -2.0%q/q and a deduction of 0.2% from 0.3% in a yearly basis. These estimates follow the first estimate for Eurozone Q1 GDP (April 30) which slumped -3.8% q/q in the first estimate, bringing the annual rate down to -3.3% y/y. A pretty bleak picture in Germany and in the Eurozone that is unlikely to change substantially in the coming months. [/LIST] [B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/B] [URL deleted] [B]Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer:[/B] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. [/QUOTE]
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