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General Forex Discussion
Automated Forex Robots
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[QUOTE="Hooya, post: 4513, member: 2567"] nothing wrong with mechancial trading automated or otherwise but you have to understand trading and the math behind it. If you have a trading system that has risk to reward ratio of 5:1 like so many fx robots you will eventually end up losing on that system. It is my beleif that all automatic trading systems will revert to an average strike rate i.e about 50% wins to loss. In fact I expect most to fluctuate between 40-60% over a decent number or trades going forward. So if you are trading a system that has a supposed 95% strike rate ..expect it to fall. Naturally if one has a negative risk to reward then you can afford for the strike rate to fall to 50%. I think one would find that there is some way of calculating the potential of a system by taking strike rate and risk to reward into account and creating a single figure that one could compare all systems by. I think if you chose a system where the strike rate is needed to breakeven is 50% or less (or at least in my estimated 40-60%) range you wouldn't go far wrong. [/QUOTE]
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