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Surplus of Cocoa & Wheat Drives Prices Down

June 17, 2011 at 1:09 by Vladimir Vyun

Cocoa fell on the speculation that there will enough supply to satisfy demand. INTL Hencorp Futures LLC predicted that a global surplus of cocoa will be 156,000 metric tons by September. The strengthening dollar also had its negative impact on commodities, including cocoa and wheat. September delivery for cocoa tumbled as much as $89 (3 percent) to $2,886 per ton as of 12:01 on ICE, posting the biggest drop since May 5.

Supply of wheat is also expected to be ample and therefore prices went down. Russia plans to lift the ban on exports by July 1, while rainy weather should help the crops in Ukraine. The US Department of Agriculture increased its forecast for global inventories on June 9 to 184.26 million metric tons, up 1.7 percent from the forecast in the previous month. Futures for delivery of wheat in September sand $0.31 (4.2 percent) to $7.0825 per bushel by 13:15 on CBoT after it reached $7.0325, the lowest price since March 17.

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