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The UK is in a serious recession, possibly more serious than that of the United States. The pound will continue to decline as a result unless the economic situation of the country can be turned around.
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The recession contributed to the pounds decline but there are many more factors.
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Anyway, the pending G20 conference, just 2 days away, is turning out to be a pivotal moment in the lefe of this economic crisis. Growing dissent over the British and American calls for increased spending along with an enormous rally in London is already making things interesting. Lets take for instance the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, who is on the record over the weekend as saying that a global new deal is not possible if those behind it do not have their own house in order. This is a nice way of saying “fix your own problems before you dictate to me how to fix mine.”
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I still have a lot of hope for the pound in the long run.
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The Pound (GBP/USD) fell down 60 pips in the Sunday open, as the currency market was again obsessed by risk-aversion. Furthermore, the pair already broke under Friday’s low, but now is leading towards an older 4h support area. The GBP’s calendar is full with top-row release this week.
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