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USD/JPY Descending Channel — Bullish Breakout Possible

May 7, 2017 (Last updated on May 17, 2017) by Andriy Moraru

The daily chart of the USD/JPY currency pair demonstrates a classic occurrence of the descending channel pattern ready for an upward breakout. The channel has formed after the pair had peaked in December of 2016. It lasted long enough and produced a sufficient number of border touches to be viewed as a valid trend continuation formation.

The channel is marked with the yellow lines on the chart screenshot below. The cyan line marks my breakout entry point — it is positioned at 10% of the channel’s width above the upper border. The green line marks my descending take-profit level — it is positioned at 100% of the channel’s width above the upper border. I will set my stop-loss to the low of the breakout candle or to the low of the preceding candle if the former is trading mostly outside the pattern. I will ignore bearish breakouts from this channel because a descending channel serves as a trend continuation setup for a previous uptrend. You can click on the image below to see its full-size version:

USD/JPY - Descending Channel Pattern on Daily Chart as of 2017-05-07

I detected this channel using the Channel Pattern Detector indicator and built this chart using the ChannelPattern script. You can download my MetaTrader 4 chart template for this USD/JPY pattern. You can trade it using my free Chart Pattern Helper EA.

Update 2017-05-09 9:20 GMT: The pair broke through the upper trendline and triggered my entry today at 0:28 GMT. With an open price at 113.352, stop-loss at 112.388, and the current take-profit at 118.174, the risk-to-reward ratio looks great while the breakout itself seems strong enough:

USD/JPY - Descending Channel Pattern on Daily Chart as of 2017-05-09 - Post-Entry Screenshot

Update 2017-05-17 9:07 GMT: The trade has hit its stop-loss at 3:24 GMT today as the strong rally followed the meeting of BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda with Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzō Abe:

USD/JPY - Descending Channel Pattern on Daily Chart as of 2017-05-17 - Post-Exit Screenshot

If you have any questions or comments regarding this descending channel on USD/JPY chart, please feel free to submit them via the form below.

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