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Posts Tagged ‘technical analysis’

Forex Technical Analysis for 05/12—05/16 Week

Monday, May 12th, 2008

EUR/USD trend: hold.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: hold.
EUR/JPY trend: hold.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.5001 1.5142 1.5311 1.5452 1.5621 1.5762 1.5931
GBP/USD 1.9078 1.9268 1.9403 1.9593 1.9728 1.9918 2.0053
USD/JPY 98.74 100.68 101.74 103.68 104.74 106.68 107.74
EUR/JPY 153.02 155.81 157.49 160.28 161.96 164.75 166.43

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5149 1.5324 1.5459 1.5634 1.5769
GBP/USD 1.9268 1.9403 1.9593 1.9728 1.9918
USD/JPY 100.68 101.74 103.68 104.74 106.68
EUR/JPY 155.81 157.49 160.28 161.96 164.75

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5309 1.5394 1.5422 1.5451 1.5507 1.5536 1.5564 1.5650
GBP/USD 1.9358 1.9448 1.9477 1.9507 1.9567 1.9597 1.9626 1.9716
USD/JPY 101.16 101.99 102.26 102.54 103.09 103.36 103.64 104.46
EUR/JPY 156.71 157.94 158.35 158.76 159.58 159.99 160.40 161.63

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.5692 1.9823 104.21 161.12
Support 1.5382 1.9498 101.21 156.65

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.5594 1.9784 105.61 163.07
61.8% 1.5476 1.9660 104.46 161.36
50.0% 1.5439 1.9622 104.11 160.83
38.2% 1.5402 1.9583 103.76 160.31
23.6% 1.5357 1.9536 103.32 159.65
0.0% 1.5284 1.9459 102.61 158.60

Forex Technical Analysis for 05/05—05/09 Week

Saturday, May 3rd, 2008

EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: hold.
USD/JPY trend: buy.
EUR/JPY trend: buy.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.4957 1.5159 1.5290 1.5492 1.5623 1.5825 1.5956
GBP/USD 1.9229 1.9426 1.9571 1.9768 1.9913 2.0110 2.0255
USD/JPY 101.35 102.29 103.83 104.77 106.31 107.25 108.79
EUR/JPY 157.52 159.06 160.79 162.33 164.06 165.60 167.33

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5141 1.5256 1.5474 1.5589 1.5807
GBP/USD 1.9426 1.9571 1.9768 1.9913 2.0110
USD/JPY 102.29 103.83 104.77 106.31 107.25
EUR/JPY 159.06 160.79 162.33 164.06 165.60

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5239 1.5330 1.5361 1.5391 1.5453 1.5483 1.5514 1.5605
GBP/USD 1.9528 1.9622 1.9653 1.9685 1.9747 1.9779 1.9810 1.9904
USD/JPY 104.02 104.70 104.93 105.15 105.61 105.83 106.06 106.74
EUR/JPY 160.72 161.62 161.92 162.22 162.82 163.12 163.42 164.32

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.5558 1.9841 106.78 164.83
Support 1.5225 1.9499 104.30 161.56

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.5693 1.9965 105.70 163.87
61.8% 1.5566 1.9834 104.75 162.62
50.0% 1.5526 1.9794 104.46 162.24
38.2% 1.5487 1.9754 104.17 161.85
23.6% 1.5439 1.9704 103.81 161.37
0.0% 1.5360 1.9623 103.22 160.60

Forex Technical Analysis for 04/28—05/02 Week

Saturday, April 26th, 2008

EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: hold.
USD/JPY trend: buy.
EUR/JPY trend: sell.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.4986 1.5271 1.5450 1.5735 1.5914 1.6199 1.6378
GBP/USD 1.9331 1.9504 1.9679 1.9852 2.0027 2.0200 2.0375
USD/JPY 101.00 101.84 103.13 103.97 105.26 106.10 107.39
EUR/JPY 159.93 161.30 162.23 163.60 164.53 165.90 166.83

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5245 1.5398 1.5709 1.5862 1.6173
GBP/USD 1.9504 1.9679 1.9852 2.0027 2.0200
USD/JPY 101.84 103.13 103.97 105.26 106.10
EUR/JPY 161.30 162.23 163.60 164.53 165.90

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5375 1.5502 1.5545 1.5587 1.5673 1.5715 1.5758 1.5885
GBP/USD 1.9663 1.9758 1.9790 1.9822 1.9886 1.9918 1.9950 2.0045
USD/JPY 103.25 103.83 104.03 104.22 104.62 104.81 105.01 105.59
EUR/JPY 161.90 162.54 162.75 162.96 163.38 163.59 163.80 164.44

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.6057 2.0114 104.62 165.22
Support 1.5593 1.9766 102.49 162.92

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.6019 2.0025 104.81 164.96
61.8% 1.5842 1.9892 104.00 164.08
50.0% 1.5787 1.9851 103.75 163.81
38.2% 1.5732 1.9810 103.49 163.54
23.6% 1.5665 1.9759 103.18 163.20
0.0% 1.5555 1.9677 102.68 162.66

Forex Technical Analysis for 04/21—04/25 Week

Saturday, April 19th, 2008

EUR/USD trend: buy.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: buy.
EUR/JPY trend: buy.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.5352 1.5510 1.5664 1.5822 1.5976 1.6134 1.6288
GBP/USD 1.9325 1.9464 1.9721 1.9860 2.0117 2.0256 2.0513
USD/JPY 96.75 98.53 101.09 102.87 105.43 107.21 109.77
EUR/JPY 153.50 155.88 159.91 162.29 166.32 168.70 172.73

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5509 1.5661 1.5821 1.5973 1.6133
GBP/USD 1.9464 1.9721 1.9860 2.0117 2.0256
USD/JPY 98.53 101.09 102.87 105.43 107.21
EUR/JPY 155.88 159.91 162.29 166.32 168.70

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5645 1.5731 1.5760 1.5788 1.5846 1.5874 1.5903 1.5989
GBP/USD 1.9761 1.9870 1.9906 1.9943 2.0015 2.0052 2.0088 2.0197
USD/JPY 101.27 102.47 102.86 103.26 104.06 104.46 104.85 106.05
EUR/JPY 160.42 162.19 162.77 163.36 164.54 165.13 165.71 167.48

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.6055 2.0186 104.15 164.30
Support 1.5743 1.9790 99.81 157.89

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.5981 1.9998 104.64 164.66
61.8% 1.5862 1.9847 102.98 162.21
50.0% 1.5825 1.9800 102.47 161.45
38.2% 1.5788 1.9753 101.96 160.70
23.6% 1.5743 1.9695 101.32 159.76
0.0% 1.5669 1.9602 100.30 158.25

EUR/USD Trade Idea for the Next Week

Sunday, April 13th, 2008

The current situation on the EUR/USD daily chart seems like a good preparation for the long position. If you look at the picture below you’ll see three highs almost at the same level — 1.5902 on March 17, 1.5896 on March 31 and 1.5913 on April 10. The corresponding lows of these highs conclude an uptrend. Altogether they form an ascending triangle, which is the known continuation pattern:

EUR/USD Ascending Triangle Pattern

Somewhere next week I expect the upper horizontal line to be broken and EUR/USD will be ready to head for the new absolute maximum near 1.6300-1.6500. I will probably set up a stop buy order at 1.5914 with a stop-loss near 1.5700 and target at 1.6350 to check this idea. But it will probably take a week or two to break the support level.

Forex Technical Analysis for 04/14—04/18 Week

Saturday, April 12th, 2008

EUR/USD trend: buy.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: sell.
EUR/JPY trend: hold.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.5368 1.5498 1.5652 1.5782 1.5936 1.6066 1.6220
GBP/USD 1.9274 1.9462 1.9575 1.9763 1.9876 2.0064 2.0177
USD/JPY 96.91 98.46 99.74 101.29 102.57 104.12 105.40
EUR/JPY 155.48 157.14 158.40 160.06 161.32 162.98 164.24

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5504 1.5665 1.5788 1.5949 1.6072
GBP/USD 1.9462 1.9575 1.9763 1.9876 2.0064
USD/JPY 98.46 99.74 101.29 102.57 104.12
EUR/JPY 157.14 158.40 160.06 161.32 162.98

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5651 1.5729 1.5755 1.5781 1.5833 1.5859 1.5885 1.5963
GBP/USD 1.9523 1.9606 1.9634 1.9661 1.9717 1.9744 1.9772 1.9855
USD/JPY 99.45 100.23 100.49 100.75 101.27 101.53 101.79 102.57
EUR/JPY 158.05 158.86 159.12 159.39 159.93 160.20 160.46 161.27

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.6001 1.9970 101.93 162.15
Support 1.5717 1.9669 99.10 159.23

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.5911 1.9950 102.85 161.72
61.8% 1.5803 1.9835 101.77 160.60
50.0% 1.5769 1.9800 101.44 160.26
38.2% 1.5735 1.9764 101.10 159.92
23.6% 1.5694 1.9720 100.69 159.49
0.0% 1.5627 1.9649 100.02 158.80

Test Your Technical Analysis Skills

Monday, April 7th, 2008

Are your technical skills good enough to earn by themselves? Can you trade without any fundamental information? Is technical analysis can be considered a self-sufficient tool at all? You can try to find the answers to these questions using an interesting financial training tool from Inspectd.com. It shows you only a bare six months chart of an unknown stock with only one moving average as an indicator. You have to decide whether to buy, sell, or skip this stock, the period of holding if you open a position and a percentage of funds to use. Then the stock and is further chart is revealed and you get your profit or loss. A very simple concept but it’s very addictive and very interesting in terms of the minimalistic technical analysis.

Why write about stock market thingie here? Because wouldn’t be very different if the same was implemented for the Forex trading. In fact, before you know the name of the stock it can be completely anything. There are only two factors that make it more useful to stocks traders rather than Forex ones. First, stock’s price range — it can be seen before you decide on the trade and knowing that it’s some penny stock or some heavy-weight stock might help sometimes. Second, the market volume is shown — there is no real market volume indicator in Forex. Nevertheless the number of price changes in a period is often used in place of the market volume in Forex trading. So, it’s not that big difference.

Anyway, I’ve found Inspectd.com to be both interesting as a trading emulator and as a technical analysis trainer. If you like any of these, you’ll like Inspect.com too. It’s a very new site (launched less than a month ago), but it’s already quite popular and a lot of new features can be expected soon.

Forex Technical Analysis for 04/07—04/11 Week

Saturday, April 5th, 2008

EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: hold.
EUR/JPY trend: hold.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.5147 1.5328 1.5533 1.5714 1.5919 1.6100 1.6305
GBP/USD 1.9436 1.9583 1.9756 1.9903 2.0076 2.0223 2.0396
USD/JPY 95.07 96.94 99.20 101.07 103.33 105.20 107.46
EUR/JPY 151.74 153.90 156.78 158.94 161.82 163.98 166.86

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5334 1.5544 1.5720 1.5930 1.6106
GBP/USD 1.9583 1.9756 1.9903 2.0076 2.0223
USD/JPY 96.94 99.20 101.07 103.33 105.20
EUR/JPY 153.90 156.78 158.94 161.82 163.98

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5525 1.5631 1.5666 1.5702 1.5772 1.5808 1.5843 1.5949
GBP/USD 1.9754 1.9842 1.9871 1.9901 1.9959 1.9989 2.0018 2.0106
USD/JPY 99.19 100.32 100.70 101.08 101.84 102.22 102.60 103.73
EUR/JPY 156.90 158.28 158.75 159.21 160.13 160.59 161.06 162.44

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.6010 1.9990 102.20 160.38
Support 1.5624 1.9670 98.07 155.34

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.5896 2.0049 102.94 161.09
61.8% 1.5749 1.9927 101.36 159.16
50.0% 1.5703 1.9889 100.88 158.57
38.2% 1.5657 1.9851 100.39 157.98
23.6% 1.5601 1.9805 99.78 157.24
0.0% 1.5510 1.9729 98.81 156.05

Forex Technical Analysis for 03/31—04/04 Week

Saturday, March 29th, 2008

EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: hold.
EUR/JPY trend: sell.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.4958 1.5149 1.5475 1.5666 1.5992 1.6183 1.6509
GBP/USD 1.9307 1.9533 1.9739 1.9965 2.0171 2.0397 2.0603
USD/JPY 95.62 97.09 98.11 99.58 100.60 102.07 103.09
EUR/JPY 148.49 150.77 153.77 156.05 159.05 161.33 164.33

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5183 1.5542 1.5700 1.6059 1.6217
GBP/USD 1.9533 1.9739 1.9965 2.0171 2.0397
USD/JPY 97.09 98.11 99.58 100.60 102.07
EUR/JPY 150.77 153.77 156.05 159.05 161.33

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5516 1.5658 1.5705 1.5753 1.5847 1.5895 1.5942 1.6084
GBP/USD 1.9707 1.9826 1.9866 1.9905 1.9985 2.0024 2.0064 2.0183
USD/JPY 97.77 98.46 98.68 98.91 99.37 99.60 99.82 100.51
EUR/JPY 153.86 155.31 155.79 156.28 157.24 157.73 158.21 159.66

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.6088 2.0068 100.09 157.55
Support 1.5571 1.9636 97.60 152.27

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.5858 2.0191 101.04 158.34
61.8% 1.5661 2.0026 100.09 156.32
50.0% 1.5600 1.9975 99.80 155.70
38.2% 1.5538 1.9924 99.50 155.08
23.6% 1.5463 1.9861 99.14 154.31
0.0% 1.5341 1.9759 98.55 153.06

Forex Technical Analysis for 03/24—03/28 Week

Saturday, March 22nd, 2008

EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: hold.
EUR/JPY trend: sell.

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.4742 1.5069 1.5250 1.5577 1.5758 1.6085 1.6266
GBP/USD 1.9074 1.9405 1.9610 1.9941 2.0146 2.0477 2.0682
USD/JPY 92.00 93.86 96.72 98.58 101.44 103.30 106.16
EUR/JPY 145.92 148.81 151.23 154.12 156.54 159.43 161.85

Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.5033 1.5177 1.5541 1.5685 1.6048
GBP/USD 1.9405 1.9610 1.9941 2.0146 2.0477
USD/JPY 93.86 96.72 98.58 101.44 103.30
EUR/JPY 148.81 151.23 154.12 156.54 159.43

Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.5152 1.5291 1.5338 1.5384 1.5478 1.5524 1.5571 1.5710
GBP/USD 1.9520 1.9668 1.9717 1.9766 1.9864 1.9913 1.9962 2.0110
USD/JPY 96.97 98.27 98.70 99.14 100.00 100.44 100.87 102.17
EUR/JPY 150.73 152.19 152.68 153.16 154.14 154.62 155.11 156.57

Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance 1.5667 2.0312 102.37 157.99
Support 1.5159 1.9776 97.65 152.68

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.5904 2.0272 100.45 157.01
61.8% 1.5710 2.0067 98.65 154.98
50.0% 1.5650 2.0004 98.09 154.35
38.2% 1.5590 1.9941 97.53 153.73
23.6% 1.5516 1.9862 96.84 152.95
0.0% 1.5396 1.9736 95.73 151.70


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