Forex Blog

EUR/USD today on Forex rallied high to 1.3380 level as the fundamental indicators from U.S. came below expectations. First, May Core CPI came at 0.1% level, whereas expected value was 0.2% (though, overall CPI was 0.1% higher than expected). Then, Industrial Production showed completely no increase in May which can be very for the U.S. GDP. Industrial Capacity Utilization was also lower than expected - 81.3% against 81.6%. And at last - Michigan University Consumer Sentiments Index (preliminary) decreased in May to 83.7, whereas experts expected 88.0. Such a bad day for the U.S. macroeconomics can be a sign to FOMC, which might start considering interest rates lowering.

Today the April U.S. CPI data cam out a bit higher than the market expected - 0.6% against 0.5%. A higher CPI data can mean a fast increase of the U.S. interest rate by the Fed, which in its turn gives USD a support to rally higher against other currencies. But all in all 0.1% difference can be not enough to significantly move the Forex market in any direction, so it’s better to wait for more macroeconomic data.

Today after CPI report came out to be higher than expected (Consumers Price Index in March (YoY) reached 3.1% against expected 2.8%), GBP/USD broke through the historical $2 level and is floating now in 2.0030-2.0070 range - the highest since 1981. Looks like bad times for USD have came. On the other hand it’s nearly a perfect time to enter long on USD, because the correction will certainly follow. Though, Forex market can’t be treated that simple.