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GBP/USD Back to the 1.3000 Level

October 6, 2020 at 4:28 by Dorin Rosu

The Great Britain pound versus the US dollar currency pair sits just under the 1.3000 psychological level. Where to from here?

Long-term perspective

The trend that started at the 1.2092 support, after the 1.2075 low was printed, managed to appreciate a hair away from 1.3502.

However, as the retracement from 1.3502 failed to find support at 1.3261, the price fell beneath the triple resistance defined by 1.3261, the descending trendline, and the upper line of the ascending channel.

This fueled the bearish enthusiasm so much that they were able to drive the price almost back to the lower line of the ascending channel, noting the 1.2675 low.

From there, a new rise commenced, one that was able to lock the 1.2777 intermediate level and touch 1.3000, a psychological level.

Given that 1.3000 is a resistance, as it was confirmed like so on September 18, and due to the fact that the price came, yet again, quite close to the descending trendline, which plays the role of resistance, the bulls could meet some wealthy bearish opposition.

If this would be the case, then 1.2777 may be the next area to be paid a visit. Of course, as this level — alongside the lower line of the ascending channel — makes up a support area, the bulls could try a comeback from here.

On the other hand, if the bulls do manage to validate 1.3000 as support, then 1.3261 would be the next target.

Short-term perspective

The drop from the 1.3482 high started a depreciation that recorded the 1.2675 low. However, as the shrinkage was not able to continue, the price got above the firm 1.2783 support level.

Once above 1.2783, the bulls pushed the price until the next significant level, 1.2983.

So, for the time being, the price oscillates in a flat lined up by the two aforementioned levels.

If the resistance remains in place, in the light of those discussed for the longer term, the bears could put a lot of pressure on the support area, targeting 1.2612.

On the flip side, if the resistance fails, then 1.3175 is the next stop.

Levels to keep an eye on:


D1: 1.3000 1.2777 1.3261
H4: 1.2783 1.2983 1.2612 1.3175

If you have any questions, comments, or opinions regarding the US Dollar, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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