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Trendline on AUD/CAD May Send It to 0.8918

February 6, 2020 at 6:02 by Dorin Rosu

The Australian dollar versus the Canadian dollar currency pair is at a very interesting spot.

Long-term perspective

After printing the high of 0.9149, the price retraced under the 0.9093 resistance level and continued a descent that pierced the potential support of 0.9010 and extended all the way to 0.8918.

From 0.8918 an appreciation commenced, one that tried to conquer 0.9010, but ended up confirming it as resistance. In the process, a false piercing of the 0.9010 level took place, thus etching the high of 0.9049.

This was followed by a new downwards pointing leg, one that broke the 0.8912 support and impressed the low of 0.8842. After that, a new appreciation came into being and went above the pierced level.

The last swing seems to be testing the resistance trendline that results by uniting the highs of 0.9149 and 0.9049, respectively.

If the line gets confirmed as resistance, then it would send the price towards 0.8918. From there, two things could occur. The first is for the level to keep serving as support. This would lead to the formation of an inverted head and shoulders, with January 8, serving as a first shoulder and the low of 0.8842 as the head. In such a scenario, the bulls are expected to try and push the prices towards 0.9010, which represents their first target.

The second possibility is for the 0.8918 level to give way. This may very well be succeeded by the confirmation of 0.8918 as resistance, which in turn opens the way to 0.8842 — a first profit taking area — and then to the 0.8800 psychological level — not highlighted on the chart.

Short-term perspective

After confirming the 0.9041 level as resistance, the price depreciated but as soon as it got under 0.8827 the bulls came into the scene and sent it to 0.8985.

If they manage to conquer 0.8985 and confirm it as support, then the way to 0.9041 and later to 0.9105 has a green light.

On the other hand, if 0.8985 fails to be confirmed as resistance, 0.8923 may be paid a visit, which would later pave the way to 0.8872.

Levels to keep an eye on:


D1: 0.8918 0.9010 0.8800 and the low of 0.8842
H4: 0.8985 0.9041 0.9105 0.8923 0.8872

If you have any questions, comments, or opinions regarding the Technical Analysis, feel free to post them using the commentary form below.

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