Book Review: Beat the Forex Dealer by Agustin Silvani
Beat the Forex Dealer: An insider's look into trading today's foreign exchange market is a rather unusual Forex book. Unlike most of the others, that either introduce you to the currency market or teach you to some trading techniques, this book is mostly a warning. Despite having a little bit of both of those aspects, Silvani's main message is a forewarning of a significantly unfair game played in the industry.
There is little to say about Agustin Silvani himself, except that Beat the Forex Dealer is his only published book as of now and that he is a head of trading at MIGFX Inc. It is evident that Agustin knows all the ins and outs of the industry and is not shy to share them in his book. While he is right on many occasions and offers some firsthand knowledge, we won't be recommending this book to anyone. Yes, back in 2008, it would be an excellent and extremely useful read. But now, with the first half of the book pretty outdated and its main premise being quite inadequate (we will explain that later), there is simply no reason to waste your money (the book is rather expensive) or your time (the good thing it is not too long) on this work.
So, what will you learn from this book? Not much if you have some positive live trading experience in Forex. A good deal if you are new to the market. Here is the list of book's chapters with brief description of each:
- Through the Eyes of a Trader describes the financial markets, foreign exchange market, its participants, brokers, dealers, traders, turnover, etc. It would be a good deal if it had not been based mainly on 2007 BIS Triennial Survey. Since then, numerous triennial reports have been released, including 2019 BIS survey. A lot has changed since 2007. Also, this chapter will try to instill some fear and paranoia in you.
- The Retail Side of Things explains how the retail traders (you and us) trade via modern online Forex brokers. It is mainly about how the things are done in the USA and is also outdated since the
Dodd-FrankAct Reform has made the industry closer to the state of being over-regulatedrather than under-regulatedthere.
- Joining the 10% shares some insights of how to make a good trader out of yourself. Overall, not bad, if not for the recommendations to use scaling in/out and money management
stop-losses. Also, it uses a "straw man" argument against the automated trading and analytical forecasting models. No trading strategy is shared in this chapter.
- FX Trading Tips talks about various market sessions and how to use their timing to trader's advantage. Some more trading techniques are shared, including a subsection on using a
stop-losswithout risking being hit by stop-hunters. Some particular trading strategies are shared in this chapter. Although they are not precisely defined, the reader will be able to use them for own good right after finishing the chapter. Agustin Silvani also uses the chapter's final subsection to criticize Forex market analysts.
- Dealer Trades shares techniques and methods of detecting the market movements driven by FX dealers and trading accordingly to that knowledge. Three strategies based on
anti-dealertechniques are described.
- The Future concludes the book by suggesting that the online Forex market will soon become a place where an average trader will not be able to earn much. The amount of regulation will increase because its current state is too good to last long.
There is also an Appendix with some good (and poor) advice including a subsection on how to deal with a bad trade gone really bad.
It isn't difficult to notice the disadvantages of this book as we have already pointed out several. Here is the full list of the book's cons:
- It is
out-of-date. A new edition would fix this drawback, but in its current state, Beat the Forex Dealer cannot be classified as a great book on FX trading.
- Answering the wrong question. You do not need to beat dishonest dealers — you have to stay away from them! If they are so crooked that they hunt your
stop-loss, add extra slippage and deny your trades, what is the guarantee that they won't just block your deposit?
- Bad trading habits. Money management
stop-lossis a bad idea (explained thoroughly by Van K. Tharp), gradually entering and exiting positions is a bad idea (unless there is some liquidity problem), fiddling with the position deep in red instead of closing it right away will make you no good either.
- Analysts. Agustin hates them. Big time. Whatever your experience with them is, it is always good to remember that analysts just analyze. It is up to you whether to use their analysis or discard it.
- No statistics to back up trading techniques and other claims. When the author uses controversial claims, it is better to have at least some statistics at hand to verify them. None is offered here.
Of course, there were some good points to this book:
- Insights on dealers' practices. Although its importance may look overstated in the book, the warning you get can be useful.
- Good trading ideas. Even without a statistical proof, they are worth checking out. If you are struggling to find a Forex system for yourself, you can try getting one here.
- The Appendix. It can be quite helpful with all those
how-tos, glossary and trading related quotes.
Overall, this book leaves a rather negative impression after reading it. Why strain yourself at something as unfair as trying to beat a dealer when there are much better alternatives — either trading via a pure ECN broker or going even farther and trading FX via an exchange (for example, ICE)?
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