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Technical Analysis
Weekly FX forecast from NordFX
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[QUOTE="Julia NordFX, post: 82564, member: 12852"] [B][CENTER]Generalized Forex Forecast for 4-8 May 2015 [/CENTER][/B] First, a few words regarding last week’s forecast: - the forecast for EUR/USD was fulfilled by exactly 50%. As promised, at the start of the week the pair strived to the top boundary of the corridor, which was defined by the highs of March and April. However, after that, instead of rebounding and going downwards, the pair rushed further upwards and reached the level of February; - GBP/USD was much more docile – it was rising for the first few days of the week but towards the end, as predicted, it rapidly rolled downwards and finished the five days where it had taken off; - USD/JPY was predicted to continue its sideways trend and rise to around 120.80-122.00, which happened with 100% accuracy. The pair’s sideways movement with a 120.28 high is clearly seen on the H4 and D1 charts; - on the contrary, the analysts’ forecast for USD/CHF turned out to be 100% inaccurate. The pair was expected to mirror the movements of EUR/USD and it did. Precisely due to this, USD/CHF went downwards, reaching the level of February just like EUR/USD. [CENTER]***[/CENTER] Now about the forecast for the coming week. Generalizing in a table the opinions of 35 analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, it can be suggested that: - the EUR/USD pair will be in a sideways trend with fluctuations in the range of 1.1100-1.1430, although the pair may fall to 1.0800, returning to the low of last week; - the majority of the analysts think that GBP/USD will also be in a sideways trend in the boundaries from 1.5000 to 1.5300. This forecast is supported by the discordance in the indicator readings; - like last week, most of the analysts and 82% of the indicators presume that USD/JPY will try to consolidate in the range of 120.00-122.00, the high for the coming five days being at 121.50. On the other hand, 8% of the analysts predict a sharp rebound downwards and a fall to the level of 117.00; - finally, USD/CHF is most likely to take after EUR/USD, same as last week. If the latter moves downwards, USD/CHF, mirroring EUR/USD, will go upwards to 0.9500. With this, if you calculate the mean maximum and minimum based on all the forecasts, the pair should finish the next week exactly at the same level it had started, i.e. at 0.9335. [B]Roman Butko, NordFX[/B] [/QUOTE]
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