Weak global economic recovery

FIBO_Group

Master Trader
Jun 20, 2016
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Marketwatch
Weak global economic recovery


In today's release, we’ll cover the following topics:
- China’s inability to recover from quarantine.
- The German Minister of Economics pessimistic view on rapid economic growth.
- The Stock market in the red zone.

The Chinese Bureau of Statistics said that the economy has not returned to its normal level and this is a very bad signal for the global economy. After all, China was the first to quarantine, but as yet has not fully recovered, due to among other things, external risks. Let me remind you that China is one of the biggest producers in the world, so the current low purchasing power from the USA and Europe, as well as the conflict with the USA, is putting immense pressure on the world’s second largest economy.

Now let's move on to Europe. There are no important macroeconomic publications today, but even so, trading activity remains elevated. I’ll draw your attention to a decrease in interest for risk, which is due the low rates of recovery in business activity in most countries. Thus, the German Ministry of Economy does not expect a quick recovery and said at the moment it is only about achieving the so-called “bottom”.

I will draw your attention to the EUR / USD currency pair where buying activity has declined rapidly. Despite a statement by the German Ministry of Economy, demand under the strong technical support level of 1.1235 remains stable, indicating clear market uncertainty. As a result, there is a risk we may remain within the trading range of 1.1200–1.1320

Moving to the American trading session and we can notice the general weakening of the stock indices during premarket. As a result, with the opening of exchanges in the United States, selling activity may increase. One of the bearish factors remains internal conflicts and unrest and a selloff in the stock market will strengthen the USD.

During the European session, we observed a moderate growth of the GBP / USD pair, but the overall direction for this currency pair remains downward. Therefore, there is a possibility of further weakening on the back of a strengthening USD. With the opening of trading session in the United States, volatility may increase.

That’s all from me. Closely monitor the news background and be prepared for all the surprises of the market.
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