Technical Analysis &XAGMXN : 2020-02-24

IFC Markets

Master Trader
Oct 31, 2012
London (Great Britain)
Bollinger BandsNeutral
Parabolic SARBuy

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe, XAGMXN: D1 went up from the neutral channel. It’s hard to say whether this is a breakthrough of the resistance line or a false one, but a number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for a further increase. We do not exclude bullish trend if the XAGMXN rises above its last high: 350. This level can be used as an entry point. The initial limitation of the risk is possible below the last lower fractal, the 200-day moving average line and the Parabolic signal: 324. After opening a pending order, the stop moves after the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we change the potential profit / loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most cautious traders can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the trend. If the price overcomes the stop level (324) without activating the order (350), it is recommended to delete the order: there are internal changes in the market that have not been taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis
In this review we propose to consider the Silver vs. MXN Personal Composite Instrument (PCI). It reflects the price dynamics of silver versus the Mexican peso. Will XAGMXN quotations grow?

Such dynamics means a rise in price of silver and weakening of the Mexican peso. On February 13, the Bank of Mexico lowered the rate to 7% from 7.25%. Against this background, last week the peso showed its maximum decline in 9 months. Market participants do not rule out further rate cuts amid relatively low Mexican inflation of 3.18% in the second half of January, in annual terms. Mexico will release many important macroeconomic data next week: inflation for the 1st half of February (Monday), final GDP and current account balance for the 4th quarter (Tuesday), retail sales for December (Wednesday), unemployment for January ( Thursday) and the trade balance for January (Friday). These figures indicators can affect the dynamics of the Mexican peso. On the other hand, silver rises in price along with other precious metals amid the risks of the coronavirus epidemic expansion. Note that the volume of silver trading on the COMEX exchange in January 2020 increased by 32% compared with January 2019 and amounted to 313 thousand tons.