# Probability on forex

#### Futurama

Probability on forex
I was tested it in broker on EUR/USD with 1pip spread like 1.5000/ 15001
We open a position Long 1 lot and when price move below 1 pips we open another position 1 lot, and when price move another time 1 pip down, we open another long and we open and open when the price move 1pips in plus we close all posiotions.
On second demo account we open a short 1 lot and similar that when price move agains us we buy next positions and stop when the price move 1 tick/ pips in our trend(down)
So far we have a statistics like this, its for a 2pips on the plus
for LONG:
0.01 = 2946// 0.02 = 2254// 0.03 = 1629// 0.04 = 1152// 0.05 = 838// 0.06 = 599// 0.07 = 438// 0.08 = 302// 0.09 = 216// 0.10 = 151// 0.11 = 105// 0.12 = 74// 0.13 = 44// 0.14 = 30// 0.15 = 23// 0.16 = 18// 0.17 = 14// 0.18 = 6// 0.19 = 5// 0.20 = 4// 0.21 = 2// 0.22 = 1// 0.23 = 1// 0.24 = 0
for SHORT:
0.01 = 3038// 0.02 = 2289// 0.03 = 1650// 0.04 = 1194// 0.05 = 843// 0.06 = 622// 0.07 = 412// 0.08 = 274// 0.09 = 186// 0.10 = 134// 0.11 = 82// 0.12 = 60// 0.13 = 41// 0.14 = 27// 0.15 = 16// 0.16 = 11// 0.17 = 6// 0.18 = 5// 0.19 = 4// 0.20 = 1// 0.21 = 0// 0.22 = 0// 0.23 = 0// 0.24 = 0

We can change the parameters like open every LONG when price move in bad direction on 1 pips and close all when price move in our favorite direction on +1 pips, 2, 3, 4, 5, .... 1000pips
So we have a good statistics with almost 100% probability to enter good position and get profit like 1 or 2, or 10 pips.
To a 1 or 2 pips profit we must use a martingale strategy, but 10 or 30 we can only buy at good signal.
We will have a much more signal to buy LONG/ SHORT position when we play at 1,2 profit then a 10 or 20 pips.
In 1, 2 pips profit we will have a requote and slipage, its not a problem with a 10 or 20 or 50 pips profit.
In history data its not similar to real time price, slipage, requote.
So what we need?
We need a statistics from every currency pair, stock, index, option etc. on every tick data in real time like close at +1, 2, 3, 4, ...150pips to figureat out when is a great signal to take position, We need a get as much data and send it to a server, so every one can see how much the price move up, or down to long and sell signals.
It will be good when someone develope this - sory i dont know how.
Why date from meany useres - to get a full statistics and knowlege how it works exactly on every close + 1, 2, 3, ...
every broker, every currency pair, stock, every spread, every users, every trading platform that can be programete like mt4, oanda etc.

On mt5 the price is close quicker then MT4, check it yoursel.
EA to show you what i have on the mind:
MT4/MT5 - platform
D - demo for statistics
L/S - Long Short
L=const/ L+1 - lot constans or increse 1 then 2 then 3 4 5 ...
I was test it for a broker admiral markets mt4/mt5

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#### Enivid

Staff member
Sorry, but I do not get the idea behind this strategy. How can it be profitable even in theory?

sasw

Last edited:

#### Futurama

Sorry, but I do not get the idea behind this strategy. How can it be profitable even in theory?

U just counting open position LONG in one directions down on demo no 1.
On demo no 2 u count SHORT how meany positions was opened in a row up.
The statements from 2 weeks show us that max was 23 in a row - this is us edge, we open posintion LONG when the LONG will be a 23 and have a +2 pips profit.
Yes its teory, but statistics for me are interesting and they are reapiting.
now im collect data for + 10 pips.

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