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Libertex: Análisis
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[QUOTE="Libertex, post: 111462, member: 39454"] [B]Libertex: Weekly forecast for 10-14 October[/B] [B]Stock market[/B] Last week the dollar behaved safely remove Because cometary macrostatistics and Representatives of the US Fed fueled the expectation of an interest rate rise in the near future. In the market environment esta indices experienced some uncertainty. It Should be Mentioned That even the weak labor market data Could not change the situation. This week May Provide catalysts for desirable growth indicators. On Wednesday, the minutes of the meeting will be published September. A small hint of the very aggressive throttle position Could be enough for the indicators to rise again. If Friday's report on retail sales shows the fall INSTEAD OF 0.6% growth, expectations of interest rate rise by the Fed Could be reduced Which would support the benchmarks. In This case [URL deleted][B]S & P 500[/B] (ES) Could Be Aimed at 2180.00 level again. One would expect the [B]Dow Jones[/B] (YM) at 18360 With the ultimate objective to 18500. [B]commodities market[/B] Oil hit four-month highs. Taking into account the fact That next week ACCORDING TO Bloomberg OPEC meets to discuss the issue of distribution of cutting production quotas, oil has the potential to continue to rise. An additional factor for the rise in prices Could be a weaker dollar in the event of a soft position of the US Fed. However, high oil prices Relatively cause the activity of shale gas Producers, Which Could Increase supply. In Addition, it is worth, as always, pay attention to the report of the United States Department of Energy. If the report after a fall of 6 weeks shows growth, [URL deleted] [B]Brent[/B] (BRN), Which is a little overbought Currently, Could Develop a correction at the level of 50.00 dollars a barrel. But so far there is no reason for a stronger fall. THUS, the fluctuation band May Have boundaries Between 50.00 - 53.00. [B]Currency market[/B] This week Precisely Against the dollar moods will be more influential in the market. ACCORDING to the labor market, it is premature to talk about prep safe recovery of the US economy. This Means That DESPITE Attempts by Representatives of the Federal Reserve of the United States to convince the market That it is ready to raise interest rates in the near future, the market May Have Doubts, but now the probability of rise in December is 70.2%. THUS, the tone of the minutes of the meeting of September and reports on retail sales and consumer confidence index in the US will be decisive, as Friday's comments from Yellen. If the Act Demonstrates a soft policy of the Fed, the reports do not reach the Predicted values and Yellen does not Provide a specific guidance, the dollar Could be an outsider in the currency market. In This environment the pair [URL deleted] [B]USD / JPY[/B] Could Be Aimed 102.00 level again. [B]Alonda Alvarez, Most analytical of Libertex [/B] [B][URL deleted][/B] [/QUOTE]
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