EUR/USD in tight range above 1.3000 level during Asia
EUR/USD keeps trading in late Asia-Pacific quite limited at 1.3169 between highs at 1.3186 and lows at 1.3162 for all session being so far in the start of the week. GBP/USD is holding onto Friday's firm gains as trading gets underway this Monday, last at 1.5840 versus 1.5830 at the end of trading in NY, having traded a tight 1.5828/50 range so far today. After reaching an 11-month high of 84.17 last week, USD/JPY has pulled back and now trades, at 83.50 in Asia, up from 83.37 at the end of trading late Friday. To the downside, support levels lie at 83.40, 83.10 and 82.80, while, to the upside, resistance levels lie at 83.80, 84.15 and 84.50.
AUD/USD climbed to a 6-day high of 1.0614 Monday in the Asia-Pacific, last quoted around the 1.0600 mark from 1.0580 as it drifts sideways as RBA Governor Stevens' speaks at the Asian investment conference.The New Zealand dollar touched a 7-day high against the greenback on Monday, jumping to 0.8274 from 0.8234 late in the New York session on Friday. Last at 0.8256, resistance is noted at 0.8320 (27 Feb low), while support lies at 0.8192 (22 June high).
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-03-19 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Current Account s.a (Jan)
2012-03-19 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Current Account n.s.a (Jan)
2012-03-19 09:00 GMT | Italy Industiral Orders n.s.a (YoY) (Jan)
2012-03-19 10:00 GMT | European Monetary UnionConstruction Output s.a (Jan)
FOREX NEWS
2012-03-19 05:26 GMT | EUR/USD in tight range during Asia
2012-03-19 05:11 GMT | AUD/USD hovers around 1.0600 as Stevens speaks
2012-03-19 00:31 GMT | GBP/USD consolidating below 1.5850
2012-03-19 00:01 GMT | USD/JPY dowside limited while above 83.10
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Neutral
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
After the EURUSD formed a bottom 1.3003 (S3) the pair rose and penetrated upwards all of our resistance levels forming a new high (intraday) at 1.3189 (R1). If it breaks above that level we can expect a target at 1.3273 (R2). On the other hand if a break occurs below the first support at 1.3119 (S1) expect the price to retest 1.3048 (S2) and any further fall will then be limited to 1.3003 (S3) a strong technical and psychological level for the bulls as it has been retested in the past (Feb. 2012) without succeeding to break below it.
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The GBPUSD gained momentum and rose forming a new top at 1.5861 and after then fell and since last night is moving in a consolidation mode. If a break occurs above the first resistance level at 1.5861 (R1) it would suggest a target at 1.5912 (R2) and any further rise will then be limited to 1.5967 (R3). If it fails to break above the first resistance level we expect the price to retest 1.5787 (S1). A break below that level would suggest a target at 1.5734 (S2) and any further fall with then focus on 1.5654 (S3).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Neutral
MA20 : Neutral
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY has been moving upwards since the beginning of March and the bulls face a major hurdle at the 84.18 level (resistance), a level that is significant both psychologically and technically. A break above 83.81 (R1) would suggest a target at 84.18 (R2) a year high. On the other hand a break below 83.17 and we expect the price to retest 82.58 (S2) and any further fall with then be limited to 81.96 (S3).
EUR/USD has been on corrective mode all Asian trade long, printing lows at 1.3225 and highs at 1.3243, last at 1.3231. Local share markets are mostly in the red, with Japan on holiday, following gas prices rising in China, and comments from BHP on slowing iron demand from China, which has sent Aussie lowest for the week, triggering some USD rally across the board. Oil and gold also trade at session lows while these lines are being written.GBP/USD traded down to 1.5865 during the Asia-Pacific session Tuesday, as risk appetite waned and investors favored the safety of the US dollar as Asian stocks traded in red.
AUD/USD has come under renewed selling pressure in Asia as traders react negatively to comments from an executive at BHP, sliding sharply from it session high of 1.0623 to a fresh session low of 1.0575 and threatening to edge lower.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-03-20 07:00 GMT | Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2012-03-20 07:00 GMT | Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) (Feb)
2012-03-20 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2012-03-20 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom Retail Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
FOREX NEWS
2012-03-20 05:31 GMT | EUR/USD in corrective mode above 1.3220 in Asia
2012-03-20 05:25 GMT | GBP/USD pressured ahead of key CPI data
2012-03-20 02:31 GMT | EUR/AUD hit fresh 5-day highs above 1.2510
2012-03-20 02:11 GMT | AUD/USD back under pressure on BHP comments
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD rise from 1.3150 and made a sharp move upwards breaking above our yesterday’s resistance level and closing just below of our recommended target ending our day with profits (+48 pips)!! After the price formed a top at 1.3264 (R1), the price fell and now is moving above our first support level. We expect the price to move upwards and retest the March high at 1.3264 (R1). Look for long positions at 1.3264 targeting 1.3291 (R2). A stop loss should be placed at 1.3224.
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Neutral
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD gained momentum in yesterday’s session and formed a higher bottom and top, successfully penetrating yesterday's target ending our day with 36 pips of profit! After that the price found a strong resistance at 1.5913 (R1), a yearly high. We expect the price to move upwards but only a break above 1.5913 (R1) will give as a confirmation for long positions targeting 1.5967 (R2).
The USDJPY trapped in the 83.00 – 83.81 range. A break in either direction will determine the trading bias in today`s session. A break below 83.00 will confirm our short positions targeting 82.58 (S2) and a further fall will be limited to 81.94 (S3). On the other hand, if the pair breaks above the first resistance level of 83.81 (R1), we would expect the price to retest 84.18 (R2) a year high and further rise will then focus at 84.57 (R3).
EUR/USD is currently at 1.3267 retreating from session highs at 1.3283, highest since March 08, still up for the session +0.30% and +0.71% for the week. European futures point for a higher open following the run up in US futures in after hours, and the rise in commodities during the Asian trade, although local share markets have traded in a mixed way with mostly all indexes in the red, Nikkei lower near session lows by -0.59%.At the start of trading this Wednesday, USD/JPY is trading a tight 83.52-83.72 range, last at 83.60 with support levels noted at 83.30, 83.10 and 82.80, while resistance is seen at 83.80, 84.15 and 84.45.
AUD/USD has given up all of its earlier gains this Wednesday in Asia, coming off hard from its 1.0525 intraday high to levels back near its starting price at 1.0477.After consolidating above the 0.8300 handle for the last week, EUR/GBP has recently broken to the upside and has risen to a 6-day high of 0.8358 this Wednesday in Asia, last quoted at 0.8355, up 20 pips above its opening price.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-03-21 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes
2012-03-21 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing (Feb)
2012-03-21 12:00 GMT | Canada Leading Indicators (MoM) (Feb)
2012-03-21 13:30 GMT | United States Fed's Bernanke Speech
FOREX NEWS
2012-03-21 05:45 GMT | EUR/USD ends Asian trade above Monday highs
2012-03-21 05:36 GMT | GBP/USD limited below 1.5900 ahead of Europe
2012-03-21 02:50 GMT | EUR/GBP climbs to 6-day high near 0.8360
2012-03-21 02:09 GMT | EUR/JPY limited below 111.00 figure
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD gained momentum and formed a higher top, successfully penetrating yesterday's resistance making a new high at 1.3283 (R1). The pair is moving upwards and we expect the price to continue its uptrend but only a break above 1.3283 (R1) will give as a confirmation for long positions targeting 1.3324 (R2). As far as the price is below 1.3283 (R1) we remain flat.
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD fell on yesterday’s trading session and was supported at 1.5819 (S1) a strong technical level. The price then rose and was able to close in the middle of first support and resistance level and now it seems that the price is gaining momentum. A break above 1.5913 (R1) would suggest a target at 1.5967 (R2) and further rise will be limited at 1.5997 (R3). Look for long positions at 1.5913 targeting recommended resistance levels.
The USDJPY didn’t made any significant moves in yesterday’s trading session and is still trapped in the 83.00 – 83.81 range. A break in either direction will determine the trading bias in today`s session. A break below 83.00 will confirm our short positions targeting 82.58 (S2) and a further fall will be limited to 81.94 (S3). On the other hand, if the pair breaks above the first resistance level of 83.81 (R1), we would expect the price to retest 84.18 (R2) a year high and further rise will then focus at 84.57 (R3).
GBP/USD bracketed between 1.5855/82 ahead of key UK data
EUR/USD is currently at 1.3230 slightly off session highs, before worse than expected Chinese PMI figures came out at 48.1. The Euro has been relatively well supported specially against AUD given the risk-off round in the Asia-Pacific market after the PMI data, lifting EUR/AUD to fresh 2012 highs at 1.2737. The pair holds onto +0.19% gains since session started, still below 0.618 retrace of yesterday's leg down 1.3285/1.3178. GBP/USD traded a limited range between 1.5855 and 1.5882 during the Asia-Pacific session, last quoted just a few pips below its starting price this Thursday at 1.5867.In the European session ahead, risk event for the Pound will be February UK Retail Sales data due for release at 0930 GMT, considered one of the most important consumer indicators.
The Australian dollar (AUDJPY) is sliding across the board this Thursday in Asia after a surprisingly weak reading of China's HSBC Flash PMI, reigniting concerns of a sharp slowdown in the world's second largest economy, shrinking in March for a fifth successive month to 48.1. The EURJPY after remaining well on course for the 111.57 intervention high, the pair had a violent turnaround on Wednesday, courtesy of heavy yen buying across the board, taking the rate as low as 110.03 post NY close and even extending to new lows at 109.87 post trade balance results in Japan, which came better than expected due to an increase in US car sales and steel exports.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-03-22 09:00 GMT | EU Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (Mar) Preliminar
2012-03-22 09:00 GMT | EU Purchasing Manager Index Services (Mar) Preliminar
2012-03-22 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb)
2012-03-22 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) (Feb)
FOREX NEWS
2012-03-22 06:01 GMT | EUR/USD at session highs in late Asia
2012-03-22 04:14 GMT | USD/JPY still above 83.00
2012-03-22 02:30 GMT | China HSBC Manufacturing PMI declines to 48.1 in Mar
2012-03-22 00:03 GMT | Japan: Feb Merchandise Trade Balance surprisingly srtong at Y32.9B
EURUSD has been moving upwards since the middle of March and the bulls face a major hurdle at the 1.3284 level (resistance), a level that is significant both psychologically and technically. A break above 1.3284 (R1) would suggest a target at 1.3325 (R2) and further rise will then be limited at 1.3371 (R3). On the other hand if the price manages to stay below our first resistance level then we expect the price to retest 1.3177 (S1) and a break below that level the expected target is at 1.3119 (S2).
The GBPUSD rise and find a strong resistance at 1.5913 (R1) and after that it trapped in a trading range between this level and 1.5816 (S1). A break in either direction will determine our trading bias for today. A break below 1.5816 (S1), the expected target is at 1.5734 (S2). On the other hand if the pair gain momentum to the upwards and breaks above 1.5913 (R1) would suggest target at 1.5968 (R2).
The USDJPY retested the 84.18 twice without succeeding to break above it with a result to trapped in a trading range between 84.18 (R1) and 83.00 (S1). A break below 83.00 (S1) would suggest target at 82.58 (S2) and further fall will then be limited at 81.94 (S3). On the other hand if the price rises from the current level we expect to retest first resistance for third time. Look for short positions at 83.00 level targeting support levels.
EUR/USD is trading at 1.3200 as last, entering the final hours of the Asia-Pacific session slightly off from highs around 1.3211/13 and still limited below 0.5 retrace of yesterday's European morning sell off. The pair has seen little movement in current session with less than 20 pips range from bottom to top. Local share markets trade mostly in the big red, with US futures slightly above yesterday's highs pointing for a modest recovery in European equity markets.The pound took a massive hit on risk aversion on Thursday following the release of weaker-than-expected UK retail sales data, suggesting continued weakness from consumers.GBP/USD reached 1.5770 before bouncing higher, ending the NA session at 1.5819, down from 1.5871.
After a sharp drop to a 2-week low of 85.35 overnight, AUD/JPY has been relatively bid this Friday, climbing to a session high of 86.23 from 85.70 at the Asian open.AUD/USD holds a bid tone this Friday in early Asia following its drop to a two-month low of 1.0335 overnight, having fell alongside stocks and commodities. The bull pressure suggests that a correction is underway, and the pair has risen to levels above 1.0400.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-03-23 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals (Feb)
2012-03-23 11:00 GMT | Canada Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Feb)
2012-03-23 11:00 GMT | Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core
2012-03-23 11:00 GMT | Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
FOREX NEWS
2012-03-23 04:54 GMT | EUR/USD little changed in Asia holds above 1.3200
2012-03-23 03:40 GMT | AUD/JPY climbs above 86.00
2012-03-23 00:28 GMT | AUD/USD back above 1.0400
2012-03-23 00:01 GMT | UK Nationwide Consumer Confidence falls to 44 in Feb
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The EURUSD fell and formed a new bottom at 1.3133 (S2). After that the price rebounded and was able to break above yesterday’s resistance and it seems it will re-test a high soon. A break above the first resistance at 1.3213 (R1) would suggest a target of 1.3284 (R2). If price holds its momentum on the upside we can expect a further rise towards 1.3325 (R3). On the other hand, if the price does not manage to break above 1.3213 (R1) we can expect the pair to retest support at 1.3177 (S1) and a break below that level would suggest target at 1.3133 (S2).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND: Down trend
MA10 : Neutral
MA20 : Neutral
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD made a high at 1.5913(R2) as it continued its move upwards since middle of March. A break above 1.5831 (R1) would suggest March high at 1.5913 (R1) a level that has been retested twice but without managing to break above it. On the other hand a break below 1.5784 (S1) would suggest target at 1.5734 (S2) and further fall will then be limited at 1.5654 (S3).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Neutral
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY moved downwards and successfully penetrated our yesterday’s support forming a new low at 82.32 (S1) and after that rise and closed below of our first resistance. The pair is under bearish pressure since the price made a high at 84.15 (R3) and retested it twice without succeeding to break above it with a resulting reversal and downwards move. A break below the 82.32 (S1) level would suggest a target at 81.94 (S2) and a further fall will then focus on 81.51 (S3). We believe the pair will continue the downward move and will find a strong support at 81.00 (S4) a significant technical and psychological level.
GBP/USD dropped from an earlier high of 1.5880 to a recent session low of 1.5850 ahead of the European opening, last quoted near the bottom of the range at 1.5855, recording a 0.9% loss so far this Monday.USD/JPY held firm on Monday in the Asia-Pacific, trading up to 82.76 from 82.40 past Friday, last at 82.68, up 0.4% on the day. Technically speaking, overall, the pair is retreating from recent multi-month highs in the 84.15 zone and may be looking to correct lower.UR/USD is currently breaking to fresh session lows last at 1.3259, lower from previous weekly close past Friday 10 pips above, with session highs at 1.3285
GBP/JPY is currently at 131.28, near session highs 10 pips above, and still below Friday's highs at 131.50. The cross is up +0.45% since last week's close, with Cable slightly lower from same close, and USD/JPY at session highs above 82.50.
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SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD formed a high at 1.3284 (R1) profiting on all our targets recommended in yesterday’s analysis gaining a total of 71 pips!! After that the pair fell and it now seems that it is going to retest 1.3284 (R1) soon, a level that have been retest 3 times in the past (March). A break above that level will be suggesting target at 1.3325 (R2) and further rise will then be limited at 1.3382 (R3). On the other hand if price manage to break below 1.3220 (S1) we will then expect the price to retest 1.3177 (S2) and then further fall will then approach towards 1.3133(S3).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The GBPUSD rise and retested for third time our resistance level at 1.5913 (R1) without succeeding to break above it ending our day with half portion of profits (41 pips). We except the price to continue its upward move as it is under bullish pressure at the moment (both of our MA are bullish) and it seems to be breaking above 1.5913 (R1) a strong technical and psychological level. A proper confirmation for the long positions will be when the price manages to break above the first resistance level of 1.5913 (R1) targeting 1.5968 (R2). A stop loss should be placed below 1.5860.
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Oversold
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY fell sharply and formed a strong support level close to 81.94 (S2). Following that the price rebounded and broke above our Friday’s support and now is moving between that level and 83.00 level. A break above that level we suggest further rise towards 83.44 (R2) and further rise will then focus on next target at 84.18 (R3). On the other hand if the price manages to stay below our first resistance level of 83.00 (R1) then we expect the price to retest 82.32 (S1) and a break below that level then the expected target is at 81.94 (S2).
EUR/USD is currently at 1.3350 retreating from a double intraday high at 1.3366, right below 0.23 retrace of latest leg down 1.3485/1.3003, and Feb 27 lows. Just 10 pips now below its opening price in Asia-Pacific, the pair has been in a quiet range all session long, with highs around same price NY close.After a timid break out above 83.00, USDJPY handle reaching 2-day highs at 80.03 highest since past Thursday, minutes before Tokyo opening, the pair is back to previous opening prices, last at 82.84. The pair still trades above weekly opening prices by some +0.52%.
EUR/JPY is back trading near its starting price after threatening the 111.00 mark this Tuesday. Coming off a sharp overnight rally into the 110.60 price zone, the pair managed to reach a 4-day high of 110.91 earlier in the Asia-Pacific, but has since retreated and is now quoted just above session lows at 110.55, 5 pips below its starting price. Beyond the 111.00 psychological figure, resistance is noted at 111.41 (21 March high), while EUR/JPY may encounter support at 109.91 (27 Feb high).
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-03-27 07:30 GMT | Sweden Producer Price Index (MoM) (Feb)
2012-03-27 07:30 GMT | Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) (Feb)
2012-03-27 13:00 GMT | United StatesS&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)
2012-03-27 14:00 GMT | United States Consumer Confidence (Mar)
FOREX NEWS
2012-03-27 04:34 GMT | EUR/USD breaking below 1.3350 in late Asia
2012-03-27 02:26 GMT | EUR/JPY struggling to take out 111.00
2012-03-27 00:41 GMT | AUD/JPY struggling below 87.50
2012-03-27 00:20 GMT | GBP/USD limited below 1.5970
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD moved upwards in yesterday’s trading session and successfully penetrated our second resistance forming a new top at 1.3368 (R1) profiting a total of 41 pips!! The pair is under bullish pressure since the price made a low at 1.3000 levels, it formed a higher bottoms and higher tops, breaking with success above 1.3180 with a result of a trend reversal (intraday) - uptrend. A break above the 1.3375 level would suggest a target at 1.3413 (R2) and a further rise will then focus on 1.3487 (R3) a significant strong technical level. Look for long positions above 1.3368 targeting resistance levels (R1 and R2). A stop loss should be placed above 1.3284 (S1).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD rise from 1.5875 and made a sharp move upwards breaking above our yesterday’s resistance level and closing just above of our recommended target ending our day with profits (+55 pips)!! The pair is in a crucial moment as a break above 1.5980 February high, it will determine our trading bias targeting 1.6046 (R2). Look for long positions above first resistance targeting 1.6046 (R2). A stop loss should be placed above 1.5907 (S1).
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY didn’t made any significant moves yesterday as it traded in a trading range between the 83.00 (R1) and 82.32 (S1) support level. We remain flat on USDJPY until we see in which direction it will move to develop a clear uptrend or a downtrend with more reliable support and resistance levels. No position.
EUR/USD heads into London session open ending the Asian trade at 1.3018, near session and fresh 5-week lows at 1.3009, losing some -0.43% from its opening price around 1.3075, and session highs at 1.3096. Local share markets are in the red with Nikkei lower by -1.33% and oil and gold also both at session lows, gold just breaking below Friday's lows. The Yen is reigning so far this Monday, benefited by the ballooning Spanish 10-yr bond yields, which recently hit the 6%, coupled with short-term negative effects on the Chinese band widening, seen as factor that will increase market volatility.
AUD/JPY has traded down to as low as 83.41 late Friday so far this Monday in Asia fueled by risk off flows triggered by the PBOC’s decision Saturday to widen the USD/CNY trading band. EUR/JPY has broken below support in the 105.45-50 area and is now targeting lower levels, last at 105.30 vs 105.92 late Friday in New York.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-16 08:00 GMT | Turkey Budget Balance (Mar)
2012-04-16 08:00 GMT | Italy Global Trade Balance (Feb)
2012-04-16 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Trade Balance n.s.a. (Feb)
2012-04-16 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Trade Balance s.a. (Feb)
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-16 05:24 GMT | USD/JPY breaks support at 80.60
2012-04-16 01:45 GMT | AUD/JPY dips below 83.50
2012-04-16 00:54 GMT | USD/CHF well bid in Asia
2012-04-16 00:51 GMT | EUR/USD hits fresh 1-month low
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD after the pair formed a high at 1.3214 it fell for 2 consecutive days and formed a bottom at 1.3004 (S1) a significant technical and psychological level. A break below that level will confirm our short positions towards 1.2951 (S2) and a further fall with then be limited to 1.2913 (S3). On the other hand if the price manages to stay above 1.3004 (S1) we expect the price to retest 1.3048 (R1) and if a break happens above that level we expect the price to move towards next upwards objective at 1.3140 (R2) and to give a ‘big breath’ to the bulls as 1.3000 levels are crucial for them.
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD fell this morning and formed a low at 1.5822 penetrating below Friday’s resistance level. A break below 1.5804 (S1) will continue its downward move targeting the next support level at 1.5755 (S2) a strong technical level and further decline will then be limited to 1.5704 (S3). On the other hand if the price breaks above 1.5858 (R1) it would suggest a target at 1.5909 (R2).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY couldn’t hold this morning and fell, breaking below our Friday’s support level. A break below 80.35 would suggest a target at 79.67 (S2) and a further fall will focus attention on 79.13 (S3) a significant technical and psychological level. The short positions are supported by the Moving Averages 10 – 20 that are both bearish. A stop loss should be placed at 81.20 (R1).
Forex: EUR/USD holding above 1.3100 ahead of German ZEW
EUR/USD is currently bouncing at 1.3122 from session lows at 1.3106 following RBA minutes and worse than expected foreigners investment figures in China for the 5th consecutive month, following a -6% for the month of March. The pair retraces from yesterday's highs at 1.3148, and higher from yesterday's and 8-week lows at 1.2994. The London session ahead will be a busy one according to EUR macro data related being released, including German ZEW economic sentiment survey and EU CPI figures both at 09:00 GMT. Earlier at 08:30 GMT will take place the Spanish short term sovereign debt auction, according to Bloomberg, which will focus market's attention. Later at 12:30 GMT ECB's chairman Mario Draghi will give a speech at a conference in Frankfurt.
After operating in consolidation mode for over 6 days, the EUR/GBP pair finally broke lower overnight to fresh 2012 lows, touching 0.8208 before regaining the upside to close on Monday at 0.8263, ending 0.2% above past Friday’s close. USD/CAD is currently at 1.0003, marginally higher from yesterday's weekly open in Asia-Pacific, climbing from Friday's lows 0.9926, and retracing from yesterday's highs 1.0030. The pair is trading at the upper bound of a price range has been into since late January this year, reaching as low as 0.9842 by March 01 since then.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-17 08:00 GMT | United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Mar)
2012-04-17 09:00 GMT | EU - Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Mar)
2012-04-17 09:00 GMT | EU - Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY) (Mar)
2012-04-17 12:30 GMT | European Monetary Union ECB President Draghi's Speech
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-17 05:00 GMT | Japan Mar Consumer Confidence Index increase to 40.3
2012-04-17 03:52 GMT | Forex: EUR/GBP trades down to 0.8250
2012-04-17 01:40 GMT | RBA Minutes: CPI Q1 to dictate case for easier policies
2012-04-17 01:32 GMT | Australia Mar New Motor Vehicle Sales increase to 4%
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
After the EURUSD formed a bottom at 1.3000 (S2) the pair rose and penetrated upwards all of our resistance levels forming a new high (intraday) at 1.3147 (R1). If it breaks above that level we can expect a target at 1.3214 (R2). On the other hand if a break occurs below the first support at 1.3047 (S1) expect the price to retest 1.3000 (S2) a strong technical and psychological level for the bulls.
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Neutral
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD made a sharp move upwards and broke above yesterday’s resistance level forming a new top at 1.5909 (R1). A break above that level would suggest a target at 5984 (R2) a strong technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the price manages to hold below 1.5909 we expect a retest of the first support level at 1.5858 (S1). A break below that level will suggest target at 1.5804 (S2).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The USDJPY fell and broke below our Friday’s resistance level forming a new low at 80.29 (S1) and it seems that it will continue its downward movement. Both of our Moving Averages are bearish creating a strong resistance to the price. Look for short positions around 80.29 targeting 79.57 (S2). A stop loss should be placed at 80.73 (R1).
EUR/USD kept during the Asian trade with its tight range since late Monday in NY, showing no change today from yesterday's open in Asia-Pacific, trading at 1.3123 as last, with a session high at 1.3140, and a low at 1.3109. Risk appetite also had another round in the local share markets, with Nikkei higher by +1.81% despite the bad Chinese housing data coming out, and gold also on the rise above $1650. Yen selling was the way to go today in the Asian trade. For the London session ahead everybody will be waiting for tomorrow's 10 year Spanish bond auction, as for today's agenda there will only be two significant risk events EUR related during the European morning, current account for the EU
The AUD/USD has slipped below 1.0400 after a collection of Aussie negative news coming down the pipe just as the HK market prints its first ticks. The pair has failed to break yesterday's high at 1.0415, pulling back to current 1.0396 level.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-18 08:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Current Account s.a (Feb)
2012-04-18 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes
2012-04-18 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) (Apr)
2012-04-18 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom Claimant Count Change (Mar)
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-18 04:31 GMT | GBP/USD in trendless period ahead of BoE Minutes
2012-04-18 04:24 GMT | EUR/USD unchanged above 1.3120
2012-04-18 00:31 GMT | Australia Feb Conference Board Australia Leading Index 0.2%
2012-04-18 00:15 GMT | USD/JPY pushes above 81.00
EURUSD didn’t made any significant moves yesterday as it traded in a consolidation mode between the 1.3090 (S1) and 1.3153 (R1) levels. A break below 1.3090 would suggest a target of 1.3047 (S2) and further fall will then focus on 1.3000 (S3) a strong technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the price manages to stay above the first support (S1) we expect the price to retest 1.3153 (R1) and a break above that level will concentrate our focus on 1.3214 (R2).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Neutral
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The GBPUSD formed a top on yesterday’s trading session at 1.5970 and then fell forming a low just above first support level at 1.5920. Now it seems it is moving away from 1.5909 (S1) to retest the resistance levels. A break above 1.5951 (R1) would suggest a target of 1.5984 (R2) and a further rise will then focus on the next target at 1.6048 (R3). On the downside, if the price breaks below the first support level of 1.5909 (S1) we can expect retesting of 1.5858 (S2). A further decline will then bring focus to the next support level at 1.5819 (S3).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY made a sharp move upwards this morning and successfully broke above yesterday’s resistance level. Only a break above 81.82 (R1) will confirm our long positions targeting our resistance levels. A stop loss should be placed at 80.73 (S2).
EUR/USD capped below 1.3150 ahead of German IFO business climate
EUR/USD kept on tightening its trading range once again during the Asia-Pacífic session in the last trading day of the week in the region, last at 1.3145, with session highs at 1.3154 and lows at 1.3128. Daily 14 ATR volatility indicator shows a record low reading since early December last year, indicative of the very thin range the pair has trade within this week, ahead of a pretty bussy next week. Local share markets trade with no exception in the red with Nikkei down by -0.39%. The London session ahead has a main risk even in the form of German Ifo Business Climate index, expected to come in line with previous, which will set the pace for EUR/USD at 08:00 GMT, till next key risk event follows thru at 12:30 GMT in the form of US CPI figures. IMF and G20 meetings also start today, with French first round elections to take place Sunday, and Sarkozy starting to feel the pain in the polls.
The EUR/AUD cross has touched a fresh 7-day high of 1.2736 this Friday in Asia, largely on the back of Aussie weakness after the export price index fell 7.0% in the first quarter versus expectations of a 0.2% decline, adding to views that Australia’s terms of trade are poised to cool in the months ahead. The pair is now at 1.2730 vs. 1.2714 late Thursday in New York, recording a modest 0.1% gain on the day, amid a relatively quiet session in FX. AUD/USD trades at 1.0320 vs 1.0322 before the release.
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FOREX NEWS
2012-04-20 04:22 GMT | GBP/USD trades quietly ahead of UK Retail Sales
2012-04-20 01:31 GMT | Australia Export Price Index (QoQ) -7% in 1Q
2012-04-20 01:30 GMT | Australia Import Price Index (QoQ) -1.2% in 1Q
2012-04-20 01:04 GMT | USD/JPY at weekly highs, resistance at 81.80
EURUSD didn’t made any significant moves yesterday as it traded in a trading range between 1.3153 (R1) and 1.3057 (S1) level. The only difference from the last trading session is that the pair is moving just below the first resistance level. We remain flat on EURUSD until we see a clear break out and in which direction it will move to develop an uptrend or a downtrend with more reliable support and resistance levels. No position.
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The GBPUSD formed a top on yesterday’s session at 1.6072 (R1) and then fell forming a new low at 1.6009. Now it seems it is moving away from this level to retest the resistance levels. A break above 1.6072 (R1) would suggest a target of 1.6129 (R2) and a further rise will then focus on the next target at 1.6178 (R3). On the downside, if the price breaks below the first support level of 1.6009 (S1) we can expect retesting of 1.5963 (S2). A further decline will then bring focus to the next support level at 1.5909(S3).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The USDJPY fell from 81.75 and formed a lower top at 81.69(R1) after which the price rebounded from 81.39 (S1). A break above the first resistance level of 81.69 (R1) would suggest a target of 82.13 (R3). If the price holds its momentum on the upside we can expect a further rise towards 82.67 (R4). On the other hand, if the price does not manage to break above 81.69 (S1) we can expect the pair to retest support at 81.39 (S1) and a further fall will be limited to 81.13 (S2).
EUR/USD has been around the 1.3200 round mark up and down during Asian session, last at 1.3194, printing session lows at 1.3177 and highs at 1.3209, slightly below Friday's close. Local share markets trade in the red overall, with Nikkei index down by -0.19%. For the London session ahead not many big risk events Euro related will come out but PMI figures, first French one at 07:00 GMT, followed by Germany one half hour later, and EU manufacturing PMI at 08:00 GMT, all of them expected to come slightly better than previous.
Investors are fleeing the Australian Dollar through the Asian session on a lower-than-expected Australian PPI print, which came at +1.4 YoY, -0.3 QoQ actual against 2.2%, 0.4% consensus, respectively. The Australian Dollar had been trading sluggish in the lead-up to the event as equity markets turned from flat to red territory despite last Friday's risk appetite mood. The results make the case for an RBA rate cut in the next policy meeting even more likely now.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-23 07:30 GMT | GermanyPurchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (Apr)
2012-04-23 07:30 GMT | GermanyPurchasing Manager Index Services (Apr)
2012-04-23 08:00 GMT | EU - Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (Apr)
2012-04-23 08:00 GMT | EU - Purchasing Manager Index Services (Apr)
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-23 05:03 GMT | Japan: Coincident Index (Feb): 95
2012-04-23 01:43 GMT | AUD/USD declines on Australia PPI data
2012-04-23 01:31 GMT | Australia 1Q Producer Price Index (QoQ) -0.3%
2012-04-23 01:30 GMT | Australia 1Q Producer Price Index (YoY) 1.4%
EURUSD gained momentum in Friday’s session and formed a higher bottom and top, successfully penetrating Friday's resistance level. After that the price found a strong resistance at 1.3214 (R1) a strong technical level. We expect the price to move upwards but only a break above 1.3214 (R1) will give as a confirmation for long positions targeting 1.3269(R2) and further rise will then be limited at 1.3313 (R3). A stop loss should be placed above 1.3153 (S1).
GBPUSD made a sharp move upwards and successfully broke above Fridays’s resistance level continuing the upward move. As long as it is above our first support level 1.6078 (S1), we can look for long positions targeting 1.6247 (S3). A stop loss should be placed at 1.6009 (S2) but the most conservative and tactical traders can hold and wait for the break above 1.6143 (R1) to open their long positions.
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The USDJPY fell from 81.77 (R1) and formed a lower bottom at 81.25 after which the price rebounded from from that level. A break above the first resistance level of 81.77 (R1) would suggest a target and retest of 82.34 (R2). If the price holds its momentum on the upside we can expect a further rise towards 82.89 (R3). On the other hand, if the price does not manage to break above 81.77 (R1) we can expect the pair to retest support at 81.20 (S1) and a break below that level would suggest target at 80.73 (S2).
EUR/USD quiet in Asia despite markets turmoil; holds above 1.3150
EUR/USD is quietly trading within a descending tight channel of less than 20 pips wide 1.3145/57 since NY close, last at 1.3152, despite big moves in Aussie and Yen in Asia-Pacífic trade. EUR/AUD is currently printing fresh 2-week highs at 1.2822 after much lower than expected Aus 1Q CPI showed a 0.1% increase while some +0.6% was expected, which opens the RBA doors for a rate cut next meeting May 1st. Local share markets are trading overall deep in the red. London session ahead brings a relatively quiet agenda in EUR macro data related with only EU industrial new orders at 09:00 GMT, though several sovereign debt auctions will take place, including short term Spanish one and longer term Italy and Netherlands from 08:00 to 09:00 GMT. Market will test Netherlands yields after recent government debacle.
AUD/USD has come under a new round of selling pressure on risk-off flows after soft consumer inflation data from down under, which has reinforced the case for a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the RBA at its meeting next week, and a possible 50 basis point rate cut over the next few months. The pair has pushed to a fresh 2-week low of 1.0246, down 0.7% from 1.0318 late Monday in New York.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-24 07:30 GMT | Sweden Unemployment Rate (Mar)
2012-04-24 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing (Mar)
2012-04-24 09:00 GMT | Italy Wage Inflation (MoM) (Mar)
2012-04-24 09:00 GMT | Italy Wage Inflation (YoY) (Mar)
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-24 03:50 GMT | AUD/USD slides below 1.0250
2012-04-24 01:31 GMT | Australia 1Q Consumer Price Index (QoQ) 0.1%
2012-04-24 01:30 GMT | Australia 1Q Consumer Price Index (YoY) 1.6%
2012-04-24 00:14 GMT | China’s banks may find it harder to raise capital
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD fell sharply and formed a strong support level close to 1.3100. Following that the price rebounded and broke above our Friday’s support and now is moving between that level and 1.3181 level. A break above that level we suggest further rise towards 1.3226 (R2) and further rise will then focus on next target at 1.3287 (R3). On the other hand if the price manages to stay below our first resistance level of 1.3181 (R1) then we expect the price to retest 1.3118 (S1) and a break below that level then the expected target is at 1.3057 (S2).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The GBPUSD didn’t made any significant moves in yesterday’s session as it traded in a consolidation mode between the 1.6078 (S1) and 1.6143 (R1) levels. A break below 1.6078 would suggest a target at 1.6009 (S2) and further fall will then focus on 1.5963 (S3) a strong technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the price manages to stay above the first support (S1) level we expect the price to retest 1.6143 (R1) and a break above that level will concentrate our focus on 1.6187 (R2).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Oversold
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY continued to move downwards from 81.77, forming a new low above 80.73 (S1) this morning. A break below that level would suggest target at 80.29 (S2) and further fall will then focus on 79.57 (S3). Look for short positions in today’s trading session, as this is supported by the fact that both of our Moving Averages are turned bearish and are proving a strong resistance to the price. A stop loss should be placed at 81.20 (R1).
EUR/USD keeps struggling around 1.3200 mark last at 1.3196, trading a tight range during Asian session, with highs at 1.3207, and lows at 1.3191. The pair has not moved much since yesterday's NY open, closing the gap lower with which opened Monday with yesterday's highs at 1.3220 ahead of today's FOMC at 16:30 GMT and further economic projections and press conference at 18:00-18:15 GMT. The London session ahead will also bring ECB chairman Mario Draghi testifying before European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Committee in Brussels at 07:00 GMT, German 30 year bond auction at 09:00 GMT, and UK GDP at 08:30 GMT which could have an impact on EUR/GBP.
USD/JPY’s overnight bounce from 80.84 has extended above the 81.50 price zone in quiet Asia-Pacific trading, having touched a session high of 81.55 as the market holds a bullish tone ahead of the BOJ meeting on Friday.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-25 08:30 GMT | United KingdomGross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q1)
2012-04-25 08:30 GMT | United KingdomGross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q1)
2012-04-25 12:30 GMT | United States Durable Goods Orders (Mar)
2012-04-25 12:30 GMT | United StatesDurable Goods Orders ex Transportation (Mar)
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-25 04:42 GMT | GBP/USD within 20-pip margin; UK GDP eyed
2012-04-25 04:23 GMT | EUR/USD around 1.3200 ahead of FOMC
2012-04-25 00:49 GMT | AUD/USD bracketed between 1.0310/40
2012-04-25 00:11 GMT | USD/JPY pushes up to 81.50
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD has been moving upwards since the middle of April and the bulls face a major hurdle at the 1.3226 level (resistance), a level that is significant both, psychologically and technically. A break above 1.3226 (R1) would suggest a target at 1.3287 (R2) and further rise will then be limited to 1.3351 (R3). On the other hand if the price manages to stay below our first resistance level then we expect the price to retest 1.3180 (S1) and if a break occurs below that level the expected target is at 1.3118 (S2).
GBPUSD didn’t make any significant moves in yesterday’s trading session apart from a false break out above 1.6150. Following that the price fell and trapped in a trading range between yesterday’s current support and resistance levels. Our recommendation for today’s trading session is no position until we see a clearer trend direction. No position.
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The USDJPY moved upwards and broke above yesterday’s support level closing around to 81.60, just below our first resistance. A break above 81.77 (R1) will confirm our long positions targeting 82.41 (R2). On the other hand a break below 81.20 (S1) would suggest a target at 80.29 (S3).
EUR/USD has traded a very limited range in Asia between 1.3215 and 1.3232, hovering below its 3-week high after the dollar took a recent hit on USD-negative comments from the Fed, in particular, that the central bank stands ready to use additional measures (more QE) if necessary, which fueled a broad greenback selloff. In the European session ahead, the risk focus for EUR will be Euro-zone consumer confidence data along with Euro-zone economic and industrial confidence data for April, due for release at 09:00 GMT. A few hours later, at 12:30 GMT, German CPI figures are to be published, with economists anticipating a +2.0% reading in the year to April.
EUR/JPY extended its bounce from the 50% retracement of the 104.60/107.98 upswing in overnight trading, reaching the 107.65 price zone before closing at 107.50. So far in Asia, the pair is edging lower, on the verge of losing all of the previous day’s gains, last at 107.33.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-26 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals (Mar)
2012-04-26 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Consumer Confidence (Apr)
2012-04-26 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Economic Confidence (Apr)
2012-04-26 12:30 GMT | Germany Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Apr) Preliminar
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-26 04:57 GMT | GBP/USD consolidating recent gains ahead of Europe
2012-04-26 04:32 GMT | Japan Feb All Industry Activity Index (MoM) improves to -0.1% vs -1%
2012-04-26 03:26 GMT | EUR/JPY correcting lower
2012-04-26 01:24 GMT | EUR/USD trading at 3-week highs
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The EURUSD didn’t make any significant moves in yesterday’s trading session as it moved between the first support and resistance level. A break in either direction will determine the trading bias in today`s session. A break below 1.3180 will confirm our short positions targeting 1.3118 (S2) and a further fall will be limited to 1.3057 (S3). On the other hand, if the pair breaks above the first resistance level of 1.3234 (R1), we would expect the price to retest 1.3275 (R2) and a further rise will then focus at 1.3341(R3).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD made a high at 1.6183(R2) as it continued its move upwards since middle of April. A break above 1.6183 (R1) would suggest target at 1.6247 (R2) and further rise will then be limited at 1.6292 (R3). On the other hand a break below 1.6078 (S1) would suggest target at 1.6009(S2) and further fall will then be limited at 1.5963 (S3).
USDJPY released a lot of volatility in yesterday’s trading session moving upwards above 81.50 and then moved downwards breaking below that level touching our support level. After that the price bounced from 81.00 level and moved upwards successfully penetrating our resistance level. It seems that the pair is gaining momentum and is moving towards 81.77. A break above that level would suggest a target at 82.42 (R2) a strong technical level. Look for long positions above 81.77 (R1) targeting 82.42 (R2).
EUR/USD is currently at 1.3203, holding below yesterday's lows, previous to the S&P announcement of the Spanish sovereign debt downgrade two notches from A to BBB+. The pair fell from NY close price around 1.3240 to as low as 1.3178 on the news, recovering from there till current quotes with not much of a move since then, for the last 4 hours moving in a 20 pip range. The session ahead for London shows a moderately soft agenda in terms of EUR data related, with GfK German consumer climate and German import prices on monthly basis at 06:00 GMT, followed by French consumer spending 45 minutes later, and several Spanish minor data coming out along the European morning. Market will also pay attention to Italian bond auctions at 09:00 GMT, in order to find what resulting yields come out from the auctions.
The cross EUR/AUD is currently trading at 1.2717 near a double session low, down from a 3-day move lower started Tuesday at double 1.2835 highs following much worse than expected CPI numbers from Australia. It is down by -0.34% since yesterday's Asia-Pacific opening price
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SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
EURUSD couldn’t hold in yesterday’s trading session and fell, breaking below our support level and forming a new low at 1.3171 (S1). A break below that level would suggest a target at 1.3118 (S2) and a further fall will focus attention on 1.3057 (S3) a significant technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the pair moves upwards and manages to break above 1.3262 (R1) we expect the price to retest 1.3313 (R2) and any further rise will then be limited to 1.3364.
The GBPUSD didn’t made any significant moves in yesterday’s session as it traded in a consolidation mode between the 1.6134 (S1) and 1.6208 (R1) levels. A break below 1.6134 would suggest a target at 1.6078 (S2) and further fall will then focus on 1.6009 (S3) a strong technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the price manages to stay above the first support (S1) level we expect the price to retest 1.6208 (R1) and a break above that level will concentrate our focus on 1.6267(R3).
USDJPY released a lot of volatility in yesterday’s trading session moving upwards above first resistance and then moved downwards breaking below 81.00 touching our yesterday’s support level. Our recommendation for today’s trading session is no position until we get a clearer direction of the trend. No position.
EUR/USD is currently at 1.3249, near the upper bound of the tiny range the pair has traded into this Monday in Asia-Pacific, with main markets Japan and China closed for Golden Week holiday. US and European share markets point for a marginal higher open, according to their futures. For the London session ahead agenda shows German retail sales at 06:00 GMT as EUR macro data related, followed by EU M3 money supply and private loans at 08:00 GMT and CPI figures at 09:00 GMT, as well as short term sovereign debt auctions from France along the European morning.
Despite the Bank of Japan expanded its QE program by JPY5trn to JPY70trn last Friday in Asia, an outcome in line with expectations, the measure seems to have underwhelmed the market, which continues to buy the Yen ignoring the recent aggressive monetary easing.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-04-30 08:00 GMT | European Monetary Union M3 Money Supply (3m) (Mar)
2012-04-30 08:00 GMT | European Monetary Union M3 Money Supply (YoY) (Mar)
2012-04-30 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index (YoY)
2012-04-30 09:00 GMT | Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Apr) Preliminar
FOREX NEWS
2012-04-30 01:31 GMT | Australia Mar Private Sector Credit (YoY) 2.3%
2012-04-30 00:31 GMT | Australia Apr TD Securities Inflation (YoY) 1.9%
2012-04-30 00:30 GMT | Australia TD Securities Inflation (MoM) 0.3% in Apr
2012-04-30 00:30 GMT | GBP/USD quiet near 7-month highs
The EURUSD found a strong support at 1.3171 (S1) and moved upwards breaking above our resistance levels. We expect the price to continue its move upwards as this is supported by the fact that both of our Moving Averages are bullish and are providing a strong support just above previous low. Look for long positions at 1.3269 targeting second resistance level at 1.3324 (R2).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
GBPUSD gained momentum and formed higher bottoms successfully penetrating Friday's resistance levels. We expect the price to continue its upwards move targeting 1.6345 (R1) and further rise will then be limited at 1.6389 (R2).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Oversold
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY fell sharply and formed a strong support level close to 80.00 level. Look for short positions at current level targeting 79.54 (S1) and further fall will then focus on next support level at 79.05 (S2). A stop loss should be placed at 80.65 (R1).
EUR/AUD is shooting up after RBA cut 50pbs to 3.75% sending AUD/USD to fresh 4-day lows now around 1.0340, while EUR/USD is climbing higher now stalling below 1.3260, making the cross reaching the 1.2825 mark. The cross is higher by more than 170 pips in the week or a +1.29% increase, while more than half of that is just from the RBA just released rates. EUR/AUD is stalling ahead of past Tuesday's highs at 1.2836, printing a fresh session high at 1.2825, last at 1.2812 bids. Most countries in Europe will close today on Labor Day holiday, drying up liquidity during London session, with no EUR data related being published.
With Nikkei index open falling again below the 9500 key figure losing some -0.98%, USD/JPY trades at 79.87 off from session highs at 79.93, and bouncing from double intraday low at 79.75 near NY close. Most local markets are closed for holidays, and key risk event China manufacturing PMI will deliver at 01:00 GMT.
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UPCOMING EVENTS :
2012-05-01 07:00 GMT | Denmark Retail Sales (YoY) (Mar)
2012-05-01 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (Apr)
2012-05-01 02:00 GMT | United States Construction Spending (MoM) (Mar)
2012-05-01 02:00 GMT | United States ISM Manufacturing (Apr)
FOREX NEWS :
2012-05-01 01:32 GMT | Australia 1Q House Price Index (YoY) -4.5%
2012-05-01 01:30 GMT | Australia House Price Index (QoQ) -1.1% in 1Q
2012-05-01 01:00 GMT | China Apr NBS Manufacturing PMI increase to 53.3
2012-05-01 00:20 GMT | USD/JPY capped below 80.00
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The EURUSD formed a top on yesterday’s session at 1.3269 (R1) and then fell forming a new low at 1.3208. Now it seems it is moving away from this level to retest the resistance levels. A break above 1.3269 (R1) would suggest a target of 1.3313 (R2) and a further rise will then focus on the next target at 1.3367 (R3). On the downside, if the price breaks below the first support level of 1.3208 (S1) we can expect retesting of 1.3156 (S2). A further decline will then bring focus to the next support level at 1.3104(S3).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
After a successful run since the beginning of April, GBPUSD formed a top in yesterday’s trading session at 1.6301 (R1) and fell creating a support level near 1.6200. Yesterday the price was able to break above the same level (S1), and now is moving downwards for a correction. Our recommendation for today’s trading session is look for long position between 1.6200 and 1.6134 level. A stop loss should be placed at 1.6078 (S3).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Oversold
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
USDJPY fell and penetrated successfully our support levels forming a new low at 79.70. A break below that level would suggest target at 78.57 (S2). Look for short positions targeting second support as both of our Moving Averages turned bearish. A stop loss should be placed at 80.21 (R1).
EUR/USD is recovering at 1.3228 part of today's Asia-Pacific session losses, bouncing from lows at 1.3205, after falling from session highs around 1.3240. The pair is marginally lower by -0.09% from yesterday's open, with local share markets on the rise overall Nikkei +0.33% and Hang Seng +1.15%. The London session ahead brings different EU countries PMI and job figures, starting with Italy, France and Germany PMI figures around 07:45 GMT, Germany unemployment at 07:55 GMT, followed by EU PMI at 08:00 GMT and Italy unemployment at same hour, Italy PPI at 09:00 GMT and UE unemployment at same hour. No major sovereign debt auctions will take place today, while Ecofin is scheduled for all morning long.
GBP/JPY is marginally higher in Asia-Pacific at 130.09 from an open around 129.90, though retreating from session highs at 130.26. The cross is still lower for the week by -0.36%. AUD/USD is currently at session highs 1.0343, bouncing from session lows 1.0327. The pair found support this Tuesday at 1.0305 after the massive sell-off following the RBA 50bps rate cut yesterday sending AUD/USD from above 1.0400 to mentioned day lows. It is down by -0.79% from yesterday's Asia-Pacific open price.
Read More https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/02052012/
UPCOMING EVENTS :
2012-05-02 07:30 GMT Switzerland SVME - Purchasing Managers' Index (Apr)
2012-05-02 08:00 GMT Germany Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (Apr)
2012-05-02 08:00 GMT Germany Unemployment Change (May)
2012-05-02 08:00 GMT European Monetary Union Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (Apr)
FOREX NEWS :
2012-05-02 02:38 GMT China: HSBC PMI up at 49.3 vs 48.3
2012-05-02 01:11 GMT USD/JPY can't break above 80.30
2012-05-02 01:03 GMT New Zealand Apr ANZ Commodity Price -4.5%
2012-05-02 00:20 GMT AUD/USD capped below 1.0350
The EURUSD didn’t made any significant moves yesterday as it traded in a consolidation mode between the 1.3203 (S1) and 1.3283 (R1) levels. A break below 1.3203 would suggest a target at 1.3156 (S2) and further fall will then focus on 1.3104 (S3) a strong technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the price manages to stay above the first support (S1) level we expect the price to retest 1.3283 (R1) and a break above that level will concentrate our focus on 1.3381(R3).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The GBPUSD fell yesterday and was supported at 1.6186 (S1) a strong technical level (correction). The price then rose and was able to break above yesterday's resistance completing a close just above our Fibonacci level 38.2%. We expect the price to move upwards and to retest our resistance levels at 1.6247 (R1) and 1.6301 (R2). A stop loss should be placed at 1.6186 (S1).
SUMMARY : Up
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : Bullish
STOCHASTIC : Oversold
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The USDJPY moved closer to support levels at 79.65, retested it twice but didn’t manage to break below it. After that, the price rise and was supported at that level. If price will be able to break above today’s first resistance level at 80.65 (R1) would suggest target at 81.04 (R2). On the downside, a break below 80.05 (S1) would suggest target at 79.65 (S2) and further fall will then be limited at 79.13 (S3).
EUR/USD is currently at 1.3145 off session lows at 1.3137, coming lower from NY session highs 1.3167, in a relatively quiet Asia-Pacific session with Tokyo closed for holiday. Local open share markets trade in the red over all, with Shanghai index leading the way lower with some -1.85%. The London session ahead shows a busy agenda though not because of many risk events but because of very key ones, including ECB interest rate statement at 11:45 GMT this time extraordinarily coming from Barcelona, followed by press conference at 12:30 GMT. Also at 09:00 GMT will come EU monthly PPI, but more importantly, two major bond auctions will take place along the European morning, from Spain and France at 08:30 and 08:50 GMT respectively.
Cable is quietly trading within a tight range 1.6207/1.6188 since early NY, last at 1.6195, lower by -0.15% since yesterday's Asia-Pacific open. The pair is down for the week some -0.43% after hitting fresh 7-month highs Monday at 1.6301, now retreating from there with weekly lows yesterday at 1.6162.
Read More https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/03052012/
UPCOMING EVENTS :
2012-05-03 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services (Apr)
2012-05-03 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Producer Price Index (YoY)
2012-05-03 09:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Producer Price Index (MoM)
2012-05-03 11:45 GMT | European Monetary Union ECB Interest Rate Decision
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Neutral
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The EURUSD fell and formed a bottom at 1.3123 (S1). After that the price rebounded and was able to break above yesterday’s support at 1.3168. A break above the first resistance would suggest a target of 1.3203 (R2). If price holds its momentum on the upside we can expect a further rise towards 1.3241 (R3). On the other hand, if the price does not manage to break above 1.3168 (R1) we can expect the pair to retest support at 1.3104 (S2). A break below that level would suggest target at 1.3057 (S3).
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Neutral
MA20 : Neutral
STOCHASTIC : Neutral
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
The GBPUSD rebounded from 1.6301 (R3) yearly high and then fell, forming a bottom at 1.6160 (S1). A break below the first support level (S1) would suggest a target of 1.6128 (S2) and a further fall will be limited at 1.6075 (S3). On the other hand, if price holds its momentum on the upside we can expect a rise and retest towards 1.6209 (R1). A break above that level will then bring focus to the next resistance level at 1.6248 (R2).
The USDJPY didn’t made any significant moves in yesterday’s session as it traded in a consolidation mode between the 80.05 (S1) and 80.65 (R1) levels. A break below 80.05 would suggest a target at 79.65 (S2) and further fall will then focus on 79.08 (S3) a strong technical and psychological level. On the other hand if the price manages to stay above the first support (S1) level we expect the price to retest 80.65 (R1) and a break above that level will concentrate our focus on 81.43(R3).
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