The lower than expected exchanged levies between US and China raised the risk appetite

Walid Salah Eldin

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Feb 15, 2016
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The global equities markets could find leeway to recover Monday losses, After levies exchange between US and China.

US started this time by imposing 10% tariff on $200b worth of Chinese imports, then China chose to impose tariff on $60b worth of US imports and the levy rate range will be between 5% and 10%.

But both actions were weaker than expected and show weaker desire to escalate the tension meanwhile, as there are still opened channels to talk between these 2 major economies.

Trump asked China clearly to not impose the same to not be exposed to higher levies on larger amount of imports can worth $267b "The half of Chinese exports to US" and China did by this fewer symbolic announced tariff yesterday.

The risk appetite could easily bypass through these lower than expected levies which have given hope for a possible deal and engulfed will for deescalating.

Reuters said that China hopes US will maintain mutually beneficial trade relationship via dialogue of mutual respect and equality.


The demand for risk raised the UST yields by a considerable way supporting the Greenback which became more attractive comparing to the gold which is still struggling to hold close to $1200 psychological level per ounce.

While The odds of raising the Fed Fund rate twice more this year are still supporting USD which becomes more favorable in the time of trade tension, as the major exporting economies in EU and Asia can accept higher USD value versus their local currencies to overcome the US tariffs adverse influences on their exports.


The Asian equity indexes are following now their US counterparts which closed up ignoring the worries about the trade tension and the Japanese equities became favorable chance, after USDJPY broke above 112.15 formed resistance in the beginning of last month, While the Japanese market is waiting now for the outcome of BOJ broad members meeting.


And in the European session, The focusing can be by God's will on UK inflation data of August over the producing level and also the consuming level to know more about the pressure on BOE to raise rate after it has done in the second of last August.

While the mixed political situation inside the conservative party itself can tackle the Brexit deal passing, while May's government lower majority in the house of common can keep it always in check.

BOE chief Mark Carney said earlier this month that the markets see another sterling drop, if there is no Brexit deal and the real income squeeze would return for UK households for a few years.

Carney said that could lead to a material rise in prices in the shops due to weaker pound and potential tariffs and then the policy would be tighter instead of looser in that case.

GBPUSD retreated to be trading currently just below 1.3150, after the Conservative Party Conference in Birmingham raised to the surface the conflicts between May and its contender in the party and the most favorable person to Trump in UK Boris Johnson!


Kind Regards

Global Market Strategist of FX-Recommends

Walid Salah El Din
 

epicresearch

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Jul 18, 2018
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China will levy tariffs on about $60 billion worth of U.S. goods in retaliation for the latest round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese products, as previously planned, but has reduced the level of tariffs that it will collect on the products. The tit-for-tat measures are the latest escalation in an increasingly protracted trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies.
 

Walid Salah Eldin

Master Trader
Feb 15, 2016
216
6
84
47
Egypt
www.fx-recommends.com
China looked shy to do yesterday but it did this placed this levy as it should retaliate. it did not as the same as US has done as it does not was escalting and it obeyed to Trump request to not do the same for not facing higher rate on higher amounts. anyway China should accept and negotiate with US on a stop levies point. It is compensated and rewarding anyway and it just losing ground in US by this unwanted war. it does not need to escalate too to prove its strength. i name it only symbolic levy and as you said it started to reduce the level in early stage of the war which is looking has lower potential than was expected.