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Netflix Elliott Wave View: More Strength is Expected

Netflix ticker symbol: $NFLX short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the rally to $369.83 high on 6/05/2018 ended Minor wave 1. The internals of that rally unfolded as Elliott wave impulse structure with lesser degree 5 waves structure in Minute wave ((i)), ((iii)), and ((v)). Below from $369.83, the decline to $354.10 low on 6/08/2018 ended Minor wave 2 pullback.

The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave Flat structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended in 3 swings at $363.33. Minute wave ((b)) ended in another 3 waves at $368.99 and Minute wave ((c)) ended in 5 waves at $354.10 low. Up from there, Minor wave 3 remains in progress into another 5 waves impulse structure and already showing higher high sequence in the stock. The internal degree Minute wave ((i)) of 3 completed at $365.67 & Minute wave ((ii)) of 3 completed at $357.50 low.

Near-term Minute wave ((iii)) of 3 is expected to complete soon in 5 wave structure. Afterwards, the stock is expected to do a pullback in Minute wave ((iv)) of 3 in 3, 7 or 11 swings. The stock then should do another push higher towards $401 – $430.2, which is 100%-161.8% Fibonacci extension area of Minor wave 1-2. The move higher should complete 5 waves structure and also end cycle from 6/8/2018 low ($354.10). We don’t like selling it and intraday dips should find buyers in 3, 7 or 11 swings.

Netflix 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Oil Price on Holding Pattern Ahead of OPEC meeting

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will meet in Vienna next week to discuss potential reduction or revision to the 1.8 million barrels/day production cut put in place in early 2017. After yearlong rise in oil and gasoline price, there’s a call to control Oil price from rising too far and too fast. Interestingly, the loudest call comes from the United States.

Ahead of the congressional elections in November in the United States, President Donald Trump wants crude price to be lower. In fact, he tweeted twice specifically targetting OPEC. His first tweet was in April



Then yesterday Mr. Trump again criticize OPEC publicly in social media despite oil prices having stabilized since his first tweet in April. The rise in Oil price is due to the production cut in past few years by OPEC. However, most OPEC members are not able to increase production at this stage due to lack of investment and sanctions. Iran and Venezuela production for example continue to dwindle due to US sanctions. Venezuela’s oil exports are falling by tens of thousands of barrels every month while Iranian exports can fall by 200,000 and a million barrels a day by next year.

Oil’s market report for the month of June by EIA and Opec showing a stable demand growth while Non-Opec supply growth increased a bit.



Saudi Arabia and Russia seem to have agreed to export more oil to bolster the country’s economy, to the detriment of fellow Opec members such as Iran, Venezuela who want higher oil prices. The WTI has fallen back from $72.83 to $64 partly as a result of market expectation that OPEC will increase the production in the second half of the year. However, non-OPEC supply (mostly U.S. shale) is expected to grow as well. EIA expects oil demand to grow by 1.4 million barrels/day and non-OPEC supply will grow by 2 million barrels/day. With potential 1 million barrels/day addition by OPEC, the market looks to be well supplied until next year. These factors could help pressure and cap the price of Oil in 2018.

On the other hand, there are also factors which could be positive for Oil prices. Several OPEC countries are not able to increase the production. Venezuela experiences severe production outage, and already lost 350,000 barrels / day this year with the decline accelerating. Iran on the other hand can lose 500,000 to 1 million barrels / day supply because of U.S. sanctions. Thus, although Saudi Arabia and Russia might decide increase the output, the higher production might not offset the disruptions.

Oil Long Term Elliottwave View


Oil (CL_F) rally from 6.9.2017 low exhibits an impulsive behavior with extension, which is typical characteristic of wave ((3)). In the proposed count above, the entire rally from 1.18.2016 low is unfolding as an impulse in which we are within cycle degree wave III. Cycle degree wave III has an internal subdivision of Impulse structure in lesser Primary degree. If this interpretation is correct, then Primary wave ((4)) pullback can’t overlap with Primary wave ((1)), which means as far as the pullback stays above $55.18, Oil can extend the rally higher.
 

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FTSE Elliott Wave View: Calling For Another Leg Lower

FTSE short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the bounce to 7904.97 high on 5/22/2018 peak ended primary wave ((1)). Below from there, the index is doing a pullback in Primary wave ((2)) in 3, 7 or 11 swings to correct cycle from 3/23/2018 low. Down from 7904.97 high, the decline to 7610.66 low ended the first leg of the pullback in Intermediate wave (W). The internals of Intermediate wave (W) unfolded as Elliott wave Zigzag structure where Minor wave A ended at 7703.26, Minor wave B ended at 7738.46, and Minor wave C of (W) ended at 7610.66. Up from there, the bounce to 7793.45 high ended the correction against 5/22/2018 cycle in Intermediate wave (X). The internals of Intermediate wave (X) unfolded as double three structure where Minor wave W ended at 7772.12, Minor wave X ended at 7637.52 and Minor wave Y of (X) ended at 7793.45.

Then down from there, the index has made a new low below Intermediate wave (W) at 7610.66 low confirming the next leg lower within intermediate wave (Y) of ((2)) has started. Near-term, while below 7793.45 high, the rally is expected to fail in 3, 7 or 11 swings for another leg lower towards 7435.72 – 7504.01, which is 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of Intermediate wave (W)-(X) to complete Primary wave ((2)). Afterwards, the index is expected to find buyer’s either for a new high or for 3 wave bounce at least. We don’t like selling it in the proposed pullback.

FTSE Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart
 

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NZDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis: Ready For Recovery?

NZDUSD short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the bounce to 0.7060 high ended intermediate wave (4). Down from there, the decline is unfolding as Impulse Elliott Wave structure where sub-division of Minute wave ((i)), ((iii)) & ((v)) are unfolding in 5 waves within a lesser degree cycle. On the other hand, the corrective Minute degree wave ((ii)) & ((iv)) should unfold in any 3 wave corrective sequence, such as zigzag, double three, flats.

Down from 0.7060 high, the pair ended the first leg lower in 5 waves at 0.6991 low in Minute wave ((i)). Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 0.7053, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 0.6918 low in another 5 waves. Up from there, the bounce to 0.6955 high ended Minute wave ((iv)). Below from there, Minute wave ((v)) of 1 remains in progress in another 5 waves structure. Pair has already reached the minimum target in blue box, thus cycle from 0.7060 high is mature. Once Minor wave 1 is complete, pair should bounce in Minor wave 2 in 3, 7 or 11 swings before the decline resumes, provided pivot at 0.7060 high stays intact. We don’t like buying the pair in the proposed bounce.

NZDUSD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart


 

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Elliott Wave Analysis: GBPUSD Showing Incomplete Sequence

GBPUSD short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the recovery to 1.3473 on 6/07/2018 peak ended primary wave ((B)) bounce as double three structure. Below from there, the pair has managed to break below the previous low on 5/29 (1.3203) to confirm the next extension lower in primary wave ((C)) has started. With this break lower, the sequence from 4/17/2018 peak has become incomplete to the downside.

Down from 1.3473 high, intermediate wave (1) unfolded as an impulse structure with lesser degree sub-division showing 5 waves structure in Minor wave 1, 3 & 5. The internals of Minor wave 1 ended in 5 waves at 1.3306. The Minor wave 2 bounce ended at 1.3447. Then Minor wave 3 ended in another 5 waves at 1.3209. Minor wave 4 ended at 1.3298 & Minor wave 5 of (1) is proposed complete in 5 waves at 1.3146 low.

Above from there, pair could have started intermediate wave (2) recovery in 3, 7 or 11 swings. However, pair needs to make further separation from the lows to validate this view. If pair breaks below 1.3146 low instead, then it is still in the process of ending Minor wave 5 lower. Near-term, while pullbacks stay above from 1.3146 low, the pair is expected to do a bounce higher in intermediate wave (2). The it should find sellers in 3, 7 or 11 swings for further downside extension in the pair. We don’t like buying the pair in the proposed bounce. And expect sellers to appear in any rally in 3, 7, 11 swing for extension lower in the pair.

GBPUSD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Palladium (PA_F) Buying Opportunity Ahead?

Palladium ended a cycle from January 2016 low (452.63) and the pull back should be a Palladium Buying Opportunity. Rally from January 2016 low can be counted as an Elliott Wave Impulse when rally to 776 completed wave ((1)), dip to 652.15 low completed wave ((2)), rally to 1023.95)completed wave ((3)), dip to 973.60 low complete wave ((4)) and rally to 1133 completed wave ((5)) which we have labelled as wave “a” of (III) of a diagonal higher.

Palladium Buying Opportunity – Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis


Chart above shows the Impulse rally up from 452.63 low which has completed and we are now in a pull back to correct the cycle from 452.63 low. So far we have seen 3 swings lower to 890.85 which was followed by a bounce which has so far failed below 1133 peak. As bounces fail below 1047.75 ((X)) high and more importantly below 1133 peak, Palladium has scope to trade lower into 806.98 – 749.94 area to complete a 7 swings corrective decline. Due to 5 waves rally from 452.63 low, we expect to see buyers appearing in 806.98 – 749.94 area and then the rally can resume for new highs above 1133 peak or we should get a larger 3 waves bounce at least. Once ((W)) low at 890.85 is broken, we will have 5 swings incomplete sequence down from 1133 peak and then wave (X) bounce could offer a selling opportunity for a move lower into 806.98 – 749.94 area which is where we believe we should get another Palladium buying opportunity.
 

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VOX Elliott Wave View: Extending Higher As Impulse

Vanguard communication services ticker symbol: VOX short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to 84.50 on 5/11 peak ended intermediate wave (1) as an impulse. Down from there, the pullback to 81.78 on 5/29 low ended intermediate wave (2) pullback as expanded Flat. The internals of a Flat correction ended Minor wave A at 82.76, Minor wave B ended at 84.67 high and Minor wave C of (2) ended at 81.78 low.


Up from there, the rally is extending higher in an impulse sequence with extension with lesser degree sub-division showing 5 waves structure in Minor wave 1, 3 & 5. Those 5 waves are expected to complete either intermediate wave (3) or can end some sort of wave (C) of a Flat correction from 5/09 low. The internal of Minor wave 1 ended in 5 waves at 83.62 high, Minor wave 2 ended at 82.19 low. Then the rally to 85.92 high completed another 5 waves in Minor wave 3 higher. The pullback to 84.63 low ended Minor wave 4.

Above from there Minor wave 5 of (3) remains in progress in another 5 waves structure & expected to complete soon as it already reached the minimum extension area already. But in case of further extension higher, the ETF can see 87.19-87.80 0.618-0.764% Fibonacci extension area of 1+3 to complete intermediate wave (3). Afterwards, the ETF is expected to do a pullback in wave (4) for the correction of 81.78 cycle in 3, 7 or 11 swings before further upside is seen. We don’t like selling it into a proposed pullback.

VOX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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lliott Wave View: USDJPY Support Around The Corner?

USDJPY short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the rally to 110.91 high ended Minor wave 1 & also the cycle from 5/29 low. The internals of that rally higher unfolded as Elliott wave leading diagonalwhere Minute wave ((i)) ended at 110.27 high in 5 waves, Minute wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 109.17, and Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.85 in 5 waves structure.

Down from there, Minute wave ((iv)) pullback ended at 109.89 and Minute wave ((v)) of 1 ended at 110.90 high in another 5 waves structure. Below from 110.9 high, pair is doing a Minor wave 2 pullback to correct cycle from 5/29 low in 3, 7 or 11 swings. So far the pullback looks to be unfolding as Elliott wave double three structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 109.53 with internals subdivision as zigzag correction. Up from there, Minute wave ((x)) bounce ended at 110.76 with internal subdivision of a double three. Near-term focus remains towards 109.36-109.04, which is 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of Minute ((w))-((x)) to end the Minute wave ((y)) & also the Minor wave 2 pullback. Afterwards, the pair is expected to resume higher provided the pivot from 5/29 low (108.10) stays intact or should do a 3 wave bounce at least. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback.

USDJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Soybean Hit 9 Year Low Due to Trade War

Early this week the price of Soybean futures (ZS_F) plunged to a new low in more than 9 years due to the tit-for-tat trade war between U.S. and China. Soybean Futures started to drop on Friday last week after Trump administration decided to go ahead with 25% tariff on $50 billion worth of goods from China. The list of targeted goods includes technology products which are part of Beijing’s Made in China 2025 initiative.

China quickly retaliated with its own 25% tariff on 545 U.S. goods worth equal value, including agricultural products such as soybeans, corn, and wheat. Soybean futures for July delivery dropped more than 7% to $8.415 a bushel, the lowest since March 2009. The price is now 10% down for the year, and more than 17% down for the quarter.



According to the study by Purdue University, if Beijing applies 10% tariff on U.S. Soybeans, total soybean exports could drop by 18%. China still buys more soybeans from the U.S. than any other agricultural commodity. Last year, China bought $14 billion worth of soybean. China is the world’s biggest importer of soybean and America’s largest buyer.



However, in the short term, as the world’s top importer, China can not fulfill its soybean needs without importing massive quantities of the U.S. product. China still needs U.S soybean in a few months, even next year. However, if the trade war drags on for a long time, China can look for an option which could have irreversible effects on U.S. markets.

So in the short term, China will feel the pain of having to purchase U.S. soybean at higher cost in the next couple of months. The higher price that the Chinese needs to pay is somewhat offset with the declining Soybean Futures price. U.S farmers on the other hand are also feeling the pain with soybean futures price near 10 year low. In the long run, depending on how long the conflict persists, the unintentional result will be that China can adapt without U.S soybean.

Soybean Daily Elliott Wave Analysis




Daily chart of Soybean Futures (ZS_F) shows a 5 swing incomplete sequence from 6.10.2016 high, favoring further downside. Please note that this 5 swing does not refer to well-known 5 waves impulse in Elliott Wave Theory. Rather, it’s part of a 7 swing structure, which is also known by the name of double three Elliott Wave structure (WXY). You can learn more about this special structure by watching the video “How to trade WXY Elliottwave Structure.” Soybean Futures is expected to bounce in swing #6 and as long as the rally fails below swing #4 (1085.7), then it’s expected to extend lower towards 702.1 – 774.7. So the price per bushel target is $7.02 – $7.75 approximately.
 

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USDSGD Showing Incomplete Elliott Wave Structure To The Upside

USDSGD short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the decline to 1.3299 on 6/07 low ended primary wave ((X)) pullback. Above from there, the pair rallied higher and went on to make a new high for this year creating 5 swing incomplete sequence to the upside from 1/25/2018 low. This sequence is represented by the bullish tag marked on the chart below.

The rally from 6/07 low appears to be in 5 waves & the structure looks impulsive. The 5 waves rally up from 6/7 low ended Intermediate wave (A) of an Elliott wave Zig-zag pattern at 1.3654. Up from Primary wave ((X)) low at 1.3299, the rally to 1.3371 high ended Minor wave 1. Then the pullback to 1.3326 low ended Minor wave 2 as double three structure.

Above from there, the pair made a strong rally in lesser degree 5 waves structure & ended Minor wave 3 at 1.3642 high. Down from there, the pullback to 1.3531 low ended Minor wave 4. Finally, the rally to 1.3654 high may have ended Minor wave 5 and also the Intermediate wave (A) of a Zigzag. The pair is now doing a pullback in Intermediate wave (B) to correct cycle from 6/07 low in 3, 7 or 11 swings before further upside is seen. We don’t like selling it and expect buyers to appear once Intermediate wave (B) pullback ends in 3, 7 or 11 swings for further upside, provided the pivot from 6/07 low (1.3299) stays intact.

USDSGD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Nikkei How Far Elliott Wave Correction Can Take Place?

Nikkei short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the index is correcting the cycle from 3/23/2018 low (20190) in 3, 7 or 11 swings. Rally to 23005 high ended Minor wave X of a possible double correction lower. Down from there, Minor wave Y remains in progress with lesser degree cycle showing another double correction structure.

Below from 23005 high, the decline to 22270 low ended Minute wave ((w)) as Elliott Wave Zigzag structure. The internals of that decline ended Minutte wave (a) at 22585 low, Minutte wave (b) ended at 22710 high and Minutte wave (c) of ((w)) ended at 22105. Up from there, Minute wave ((x)) ended as double three at 22769 high. The internals of that bounce ended Minutte degree wave (w) at 22585. Minutte degree wave (x) ended at 22390 low and Minutte wave (y) of ((x)) ended at 22769 high. Down from there, Minute wave ((y)) is taking place with another double correction lower. The internals of that decline ended Minutte wave (w) at 22025 low and bounce to 22405 high ended Minutte wave (x).

Near-term, while rally stays below 22405 high, and more importantly the pivot at 22769 high stays intact, index is expected to turn lower 1 more time within Minutte wave (y) of ((y)) of Y lower approximately towards 21537 – 21811, which is the 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of Minute wave ((w))-((x)). Afterwards, expect Index to resume higher or or bounce in 3 waves at least. We don’t like selling it and expect buyers to appear in 21537 – 21811 area above.

Nikkei Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart
 

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Facebook (FB) Elliott Wave Analysis: Pullback Remains In-progress

Facebook ticker symbol: $FB short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the rally to $203.55 ended primary wave ((1)). Down from there, the pullback in primary wave ((2)) remains in progress in 3, 7 or 11 swings to correct cycle from 3/26/2018 low. The internals of that pullback shows an overlapping structure thus suggesting that the correction takes the form of corrective structure i.e either (W),(X),(Y) or (W),(X),(Y),(X),(Z) structure within the intermediate degree.

Below from $203.55 high, the pullback is proposed to be unfolding as Elliott wave double three structure where Intermediate wave (W) ended at 193.11, Intermediate wave (X) ended at 200.75, and Intermediate wave (Y) of ((2)) remains in progress. The internal of Intermediate wave (W) also unfolded as a double three structure where Minor wave W ended in 3 swings at $199.31, Minor wave X ended $202.24 and Minor wave Y of (W) ended at $193.11 as a Flat. Up from there, intermediate wave (X) also unfolded in 3 swings as Elliott Zigzag structure with Minor wave A ended at $199.40, Minor wave B ended at $195.98 and Minor wave C of (X) ended at $200.83 high.

Down from there, intermediate wave (Y) of ((2)) remains in progress as another double three structure. Internals of that decline ended Minor wave W in 3 swings at $192.22 and Minor wave X ended at $197.45. Near-term focus remains towards $188.91-$186.90, which is 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of Intermediate wave (W)-(X) to end primary wave ((2)) pullback. Afterwards, the stock is expected to find buyers for primary wave ((3)) higher ideally or should do a 3 waves reaction higher at least. We don’t like selling it into a proposed pullback.

Facebook ($FB) 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Hang Seng Elliott Wave Analysis: Correction Lower Happening

Hang Seng short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the rally to 31521.13 high on 6/07/2018 peak ended Intermediate wave (2). Down from there, the decline to 27990.45 low is proposed to have completed Intermediate wave (3). The internals of Intermediate wave (3) unfolded as Elliott Wave Impulse structure with extension. This suggests the sub-division of each wave lower (i.e. Minor wave 1, 3, and 5) unfolded as 5 waves structure.

Below from 31521.13 high, Minor wave 1 of (3) ended in 5 waves at 30874.1 and Minor wave 2 of (3) ended at 31242.86 high. Then down from there, Minor wave 3 of (3) took place in extended 5 waves & ended at 28169.1. Up from there, Minor wave 4 of (3) ended at 28962.29 high, and Minor wave 5 of (3) ended at 27990.45 low. Above from there, the index is correcting cycle from 6/07 peak in Intermediate wave (4) bounce.

The internals of that bounce is expected to unfold as an expanded flat. As far as a pivot from 6/07 peak (31537) peak stays intact during the bounce, index is expected to fail 1 more time within Intermediate wave (5) towards 27588-26540 target area next. Afterward, the index is expected to find buyers there for larger 3 wave reaction higher at least. We don’t like selling the Index.

Hang Seng 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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EURJPY Elliott Wave Analysis: Pullback can Provide Buying Opportunity

EURJPY short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the decline to $126.63 on 6/19 low ended intermediate wave (2) pullback. Up from there, intermediate wave (3) remains in progress as Elliott wave impulse. The internals of Minor wave 1 is unfolding as a leading diagonal with sub-division of 5-3-5-3-5. Up from $126.63 low, Minute wave ((i)) ended in 5 waves at $128.84. Minute wave ((ii)) pullback ended in 3 swings as a double three Elliott Wave structure at $127.12 low. Then rally from there ended Minute wave ((iii)) in another 5 waves at $129.5 high. Down from there, the pullback to $128.44 low ended Minute wave ((iv)) pullback as a Running Flat. Above from there, Minute wave ((v)) of 1 remains in progress in another 5 waves structure. The cycle looks mature but pair can extend higher 1 more time before it completes Minor wave 1. Afterwards, the pair is expected to do a pullback in Minor wave 2 in 3, 7 or 11 swings to correct cycle from $126.63 low before further upside towards $132.30-$133.63 area is seen. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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OIL Elliott Wave View: Providing Buying Opportunity Soon

OIL short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the pullback to $63.39 on 6/18/2018 low ended primary wave ((4)). Up from there, the instrument rallied strongly to the upside and went on to make new high for the year. A rally from there took place in the form of an Impulse Elliott wave structure with extension with lesser degree oscillation showing the sub-division of 5 waves structure in each leg higher.

The internals of rally from $63.39 low ended Minor wave 1 in 5 waves at $66.53. Then the pullback to $64.34 low ended Minor wave 2 in 3 swings. Above from there, instrument rallied higher strongly in Minor wave 3 and ended another 5 waves at $74.46 high. Down from there the pullback to $72.51 low ended Minor wave 4. Then a rally to $75.27 high ended Minor wave 5 and also completed Intermediate wave (1) higher.

Below from there, the instrument is pulling back to correct cycle from 6/18 low ($63.39) in Intermediate wave (2) and expected to find buyers in 3, 7 or 11 swings. Currently, the instrument already did a 3 waves pullback in Minor wave W at $72.14, which is located inside $72.39-$71.82 blue box area and bounced higher. However, while it stays below the $75.27 high, the instrument is expected to do a double correction in 7 swings lower towards $70.74-$69.53, which is 123.6%-161.8% Fibonacci extension area of Minor wave W-X before it resumes the upside provided the pivot from $63.39 low stays intact. We don’t like selling it and expect Oil to stay supported as far as a pivot at $63.39 low is holding.

OIL 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Elliott Wave Analysis: Is AUDUSD Ready to Resume Lower?

AUDUSD short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the decline to $0.7308 low ended Intermediate wave (A) of a possible Zigzag structure coming from 6/06/2018 peak ($0.7676). Above from there, the 3 waves recovery to $0.7484 high ended Intermediate wave (B) bounce. The internals of that Intermediate wave (B) unfolded as Elliott Wave Zigzag correction where Minor wave A ended at $0.7424 high. Subdivision of Minor wave A of (B) unfolded as 5 waves where Minute wave ((i)) ended at $0.7342. Minute wave ((ii)) ended at $0.7312, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at $0.7404. Then Minute wave ((iv)) ended at $0.7368 and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at $0.7424 high.

Down from there, Minor wave B ended at $0.7359 low. Up from there, Minor wave C of (B) ended at $0.7484 high with internals also unfolded in another 5 waves structure. Minute wave ((i)) ended at $0.7408. Minute wave ((ii)) ended at $0.7371, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at $0.7483. Then Minute wave ((iv)) ended at $0.7452 and Minute wave ((v)) of C ended at $0.7484 high. This rally also completed Intermediate wave (B) bounce there, after reaching the 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of Minor A-B at $0.7475-$0.7503 area. Near-term, while bounces fail below there, expect pair to resume lower in Intermediate wave (C). However, a break below $0.7305 low remains to be seen to validate this view & until than a double correction higher in Intermediate wave (B) bounce can’t be ruled out. We don’t like buying it.

AUDUSD 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Elliott Wave Analysis: USDJPY Extending Higher As Impulse

USDJPY short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to 111.13 high ended Minute wave ((i)). Down from there, the pullback to 110.24 low ended Minute wave ((ii)). The internals of that pullback unfolded as a Flat Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended in lesser degree 3 swings at 110.77. Then bounce to 111.10 ended Minutte wave (b). And Minutte wave (c) of ((ii)) ended in 5 waves at $110.24 low.

Up from there, Minute wave ((iii)) remains in progress. And rally higher is showing the sub-division of 5 waves in lesser degree cycle suggesting an impulse structure. Above from $110.24 low, Minutte wave (i) of ((iii)) ended in 5 waves at 111.35. The pullback to 110.74 low ended Minutte (ii) of ((iii)). A rally higher from there is expected to complete Minutte wave (iii) of ((iii)) soon in another 5 waves in between 161.8%-200% Fibonacci extension area of Minutte wave (i)-(ii)) at 112.56 – 112.93. Afterwards, the pair is expected to do a pullback in Minutte wave (iv) of ((iii)) before another push higher is seen. We don’t like selling it. And as far as a pivot from 110.24 low holds pair is expected to see more upside.

USDJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

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Berkshire Hathaway Stock Aiming for Recovery

Berkshire Hathaway (Class A NYSE: BRK.A – Class B NYSE: BRK.B) is currently the seventh largest company in the S&P 500 Index by market capitalization. The company ,lead by Warren Buffett, has averaged an annual growth in book value of 19.0% to its shareholders since 1965.

Berkshire Hathaway Class B NYSE: BRK.B is one of the main stock within the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund XLF. Year-to-date, the whole financial sector is still pointing in the negative side and not seeing any profit yet.

The 5 most weighted stocks in XLF are Berkshire, JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citibank . They will be reporting earning tomorrow and next week which may shift things around in the coming few weeks to end up with a green summer.



The stock market is turning bullish as Technology & Consumer Discretionary sectors already leading the move higher, so we need to take a look at the technical Elliott Wave structure of BRK.B to help identify the path for the Financial sector.

Since 01/29/2018 peak, Berkshire Hathaway did a corrective 7 swings structure ( Double Three )which reached it’s equal legs area around $185.68 – $180.64. Up from there the stock started bouncing higher and it’s expected to resume the rally to new all time highs with a minimum target at $225 – $238 area.

Berkshire Hathaway BRK.B 4H Chart 07.12.2018


Recap:

Berkshire Hathaway is looking for at least a 50% bounce to correct the decline from January peak which may be followed later on by a higher move to take that peak and open a new daily cycle to the upside.
 

Elliottwave-Forecast

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Feb 17, 2017
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SPX Elliott Wave Analysis: Buying Opportunity Soon

SPX Short-term Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the pullback to $2691.80 low on 6.28.2018 ended intermediate wave (2). Above from there, the rally higher to $2848.03 peak ended Minor wave 1. The internals of that rally higher took the form as impulse Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((i)), ((ii)) & ((iii)) unfolded in 5 waves structure & wave ((ii)) & ((iv)) unfolded in 3 swings corrective sequence.

Up from $2691.8 low, the rally higher to $2743.26 high ended Minute wave ((i)) in 5 waves. The pullback to $2698.95 ended Minute wave ((ii)) and the rally higher to $2804.53 high ended Minute wave ((iii)) as 5 wave structure. From there, Minute wave ((iv)) pullback ended at $2789.24 low and the rally higher to $2848.03 peak ended Minute wave ((v)) which also completed Minor wave 1.

The Index is now correcting cycle from 6.28.2018 low within wave 2 in 3, 7 or 11 swings before further upside is seen. Near-term focus remains towards $2783.14-$2759.10, which is 100%-161.8% Fibonacci extension area of ((w))-((x)) to end the 3 swings pullback in Minor wave 2. Buyers should appear from the above area either for new highs or for 3 waves reaction higher at least. We don’t like selling it.

SPX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
 

Elliottwave-Forecast

Master Trader
Feb 17, 2017
2,426
9
84
www.elliottwave-forecast.com
NASDAQ Elliott Wave Analysis: Ready To Rally Higher?

NASDAQ futures: ticker symbol NQ_F short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the decline to $7167.37 low ended intermediate wave (2) pullback. The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott Wave Flat correction where Minor wave A ended at $7311.50 low. Above from there, the bounce to $7530 high ended Minor wave B bounce as Elliott wave Zigzag where Minute wave ((a)) ended at $7489.75 high, Minute wave ((b)) pullback ended at $7386.75 low and Minute wave ((c)) of B ended at $7530 high.

Down from there, the index declined in 5 waves lower within Minor wave C. The first leg lower Minute wave ((i)) ended at $7388.5. Up from there, the bounce to $7467 high ended Minute wave ((ii)) and then the decline to $7263.50 low ended Minute wave ((iii)). Minute wave ((iv)) bounce ended at $7309.25 and the last leg Minute wave ((v)) of C ended at $7167.37 low. This last leg also completed Intermediate wave (2) pullback. Near-term, while dips remain above $7167.37 low, expect the Index to do a nesting to resume the the next leg higher. A break above $7530 (irregular wave B) however is needed for final confirmation to avoid a double correction lower. We don’t like selling the index.

NASDAQ 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart