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GENERALIZED FOREX FORECAST FOR 24-28 NOVEMBER 2014
Generalizing the opinions of 35 analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be concluded:
- 24-28 November, while securing itself at 1.2400, the EUR/USD pair will be in a sideways trend. At the same time, a fall to the 1.2350 mark is possible;
- a sideways trend can also be predicted for GBP/USD with strengthening volatility in the corridor of 1.5575-1.5720 towards the middle of the week;
- the USD/JPY pair, most probably, will once again strive to get to the level of 118.75-119 after which a retreat to 115.70 will follow;
- and finally, after several weeks of deliberation both analysts and indicators have reached the consensus that USD/CHF will continue moving upwards to at least 0.9740.
As for last week’s forecast:
- the general outlook for EUR/USD was fully confirmed. Both the predicted growth at the start of the week and the fall to the level of 1.2400 occurred. Although the upper boundary of the range turned out to be slightly higher than the calculated one (1.2550), we can say that the pair worked within the prescribed limits, finishing the week with the long awaited spectacular break of the lower rate of 1.2400;
- as for the GBP/USD pair, a sideways trend with possible growth to the 1.5725 mark and sliding down to the level of 1.5580 was predicted, which is what happened. After a bold swoop on the top boundary of 1.5725, already Monday morning the pair began rolling down rapidly, stopping at the 1.5590 mark 19 November and then rebounding to the levels of the beginning of the week;
- as predicted, USD/JPY repeated its behaviour over the previous two weeks precisely, breaking through the 117.30 mark on Wednesday and strengthening the dollar by another 160 points;
- the opinions of the analysts and the technical analysis indications regarding USD/CHF diverged. With that, strong volatility with a possibility of a fall to 0.9550 was predicted for the pair. The range of the fluctuations of the exchange rate indeed turned out to be strong – over 175.5 points, while the pair approached the 0.9550 mark more than once.
Roman Butko, NordFX
